| Literature DB >> 34636982 |
Ben Johnson1, Edward Chia-Cheng Lai2, Huang-Tz Ou2, Hong Li3, Björn Stollenwerk4.
Abstract
This study assessed the cost-effectiveness of continued denosumab treatment, compared with discontinuation of denosumab after one dose, for the treatment of postmenopausal osteoporosis in Taiwan, using real-world fracture reduction effectiveness and cost data. Outcomes indicate that continued denosumab treatment produces an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of USD $16,743 per QALY.Entities:
Keywords: Cost-effectiveness; Denosumab; Osteoporosis; Postmenopausal; Real-world; Taiwan
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34636982 PMCID: PMC8510899 DOI: 10.1007/s11657-021-01020-6
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Arch Osteoporos Impact factor: 2.617
Fig. 1Structure of the model. aDeath can occur from any other Markov state. Transitions are not shown for simplicity
Model input parameters
| Input | Value (95% CIs) | Source | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fracture reduction efficacy | Hip fracture | Vertebral fracture | Nonvertebral fracture | |
| Hazard ratio—treatment vs off-treatment cohort | 0.62 (0.52 to 0.75) | 0.63 (0.52 to 0.75) | 0.62 (0.53 to 0.73) | TWRWS [ |
| Fracture rates in the off-treatment cohort | Hip fracture | Vertebral fracture | Other fracture | |
| Annual fracture rate | 0.017 (0.016 to 0.019) | 0.017 (0.015 to 0.018) | 0.004 (0.003 to 0.005) | TWRWS [ |
| Annual mortality in the “well” state | Value | |||
| Age 70–79 years | 0.041 | Chang 2016 [ | ||
| Age 80–89 years | 0.089 | Chang 2016 [ | ||
| Age 90 + | 0.168 | Chang 2016 [ | ||
| Relative risks of death following fracture | Hip fracture | Vertebral fracture | Other fracture | |
| First year after fracture—age 70–79 years | 1.57 | 1.26 | 0.97 | Chang 2016 [ |
| First year after fracture—age 80–89 years | 1.46 | 1.18 | 1.01 | Chang 2016 [ |
| First year after fracture—age 90 + years | 1.5 | 1.15 | 1.72 | Chang 2016 [ |
| Second and subsequent years after fracture—age 70–79 years | 1.69 | 1.27 | - | Chang 2016 [ |
| Second and subsequent years after fracture—age 80–89 years | 1.37 | 1 | - | Chang 2016 [ |
| Second and subsequent years after fracture—age 90 + years | 1.12 | 1.15 | - | Chang 2016 [ |
| Medical costs of fracture | Hip fracture | Vertebral fracture | Other fracture | |
| First year after fracture—age 70–79 years | $4,315 | $1,604 | $1,117 | Chang 2016 [ |
| First year after fracture—age 80–89 years | $4,395 | $1,844 | $1,571 | Chang 2016 [ |
| First year after fracture—age 90 + years | $3,930 | $1,354 | $1,281 | Chang 2016 [ |
| Second and subsequent years after fracture | $1,163 | $734 | Chang 2016 [ | |
| Drug costs and treatment management | Value | |||
| Denosumab—annual drug cost | $400.00 | Taiwan NHIA [ | ||
| Routine healthcare visit | $10.54 | Taiwan NHIA [ | ||
| Nurse visit | $12.04 | Taiwan NHIA [ | ||
| Bone densitometry scan | $20.01 | Taiwan NHIA [ | ||
| General population health-related quality of life | Value | |||
| Age 75–79 years | 0.669 | Sun 2008 [ | ||
| Age 80–84 years | 0.655 | Sun 2008 [ | ||
| Age 85 + years | 0.643 | Sun 2008 [ | ||
| Utility multipliers | Hip fracture | Vertebral fracture | Other fracture | |
| 1st year after fracture | 0.55 (0.53 to 0.57) | 0.68 (0.65 to 0.70) | 0.83 (0.82 to 0.84) | Svedbom 2018 [ |
| 2nd and following years after fracture | 0.86 (0.84 to 0.89) | 0.85 (0.82 to 0.87) | - | Svedbom 2018 [ |
CI, confidence interval; TWRWS, Taiwan Real-World Study
Base case cost-effectiveness results
| Outcome | Treatment cohort | Off-treatment cohort | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year fracture incidence per 1,000 patients | |||
| Hip fractures | 105 | 126 | − 21 |
| Vertebral fractures | 101 | 120 | − 19 |
| Other fractures | 25 | 30 | − 5 |
| Total fractures | 231 | 276 | − 45 |
| Costs (USD in 2020; discounted) | |||
| Fracture cost | $1,708 | $1,999 | − $290 |
| Drug cost | $1,094 | $200 | $894 |
| Treatment management cost | $122 | $22 | $100 |
| Total cost | $2,925 | $2,221 | $704 |
| QALYs and Life years (discounted) | |||
| Life-years | 8.456 | 8.432 | 0.023 |
| QALYs | 5.389 | 5.347 | 0.042 |
| Cost per QALY gained (USD) | $16,743 | ||
Scenario analysis results—treatment cohort versus off-treatment cohort
| Scenario | ∆ Costs (USD) | ∆ QALYs | ICER (USD) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | $704 | 0.042 | $16,743 |
| Perfect persistence assumed in persistent cohort | $1,239 | 0.059 | $20,882 |
| Fracture rates adjusted for age | $672 | 0.047 | $14,452 |
Fig. 2Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves—showing the number of iterations in which continued denosumab treatment (treatment) and discontinuation of denosumab after one dose (off-treatment) are cost-effective over a range of willingness to pay thresholds. QALY, quality-adjusted life year; USD, United States dollar; WTP, willingness to pay