Bavithra Vijayakumar1, James Tonkin1, Anand Devaraj1, Keir E J Philip1, Christopher M Orton1, Sujal R Desai1, Pallav L Shah1. 1. From the Department of Respiratory Medicine, Chelsea and Westminster NHS Foundation Trust, 369 Fulham Rd, London SW10 9NH, England (B.V., J.T., C.M.O., P.L.S.); Departments of Respiratory Medicine (B.V., J.T., K.E.J.P., C.M.O., P.L.S.) and Radiology (A.D., S.R.D.), Royal Brompton and Harefield Hospitals, London, England; National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, England (B.V., J.T., A.D., K.E.J.P., C.M.O., S.R.D., P.L.S.); and The Margaret Turner-Warwick Centre for Fibrosing Lung Disease, London, England (S.R.D.).
CT abnormalities were common after COVID-19 and linked with disease severity at
presentation, but signs of overt fibrosis were uncommon and most morphologic
abnormalities regressed over time.■ In a prospective study of adults who had been hospitalized for
COVID-19, 41 of 73 (56%) had CT abnormalities after a median of 105 days
after discharge, most commonly with ground-glass opacities (35 of 73
[48%]).■ Higher serum C-reactive protein (P = .03),
fibrinogen (P = .02), urea (P = .01),
and creatinine (P = .03) levels at admission; length of
hospital stay (P = .008); age (P =
.04); and invasive ventilation (P = .004) were
associated with CT abnormalities.■ Twenty-six of 32 participants (81%) with 1-year CT follow-up had
improvement in lung abnormalities.
Introduction
The novel coronavirus, also known as SARS-CoV-2, which causes COVID-19, was
designated a pandemic by the World Health Organization in March 2020 (1). As of September 1, 2021, there have been
more than 217 million cases and over 4.5 million deaths because of COVID-19 (2).In addition to substantial mortality, a large proportion of COVID-19 survivors
experience persistent morbidity, with symptoms including breathlessness, fatigue,
and lowered quality-of-life measures (3–5). These symptoms mirror
data from the severe acute respiratory syndrome and Middle East respiratory virus
pandemics (6–8).Breathlessness has been reported in more than half of patients after COVID-19 (3), with female patients younger than 50 years
more likely to experience this (9). However,
the underlying origin and natural history of pulmonary sequelae after COVID-19 are
unclear. One postulate is that respiratory symptoms in survivors might be
attributable to pulmonary fibrosis, as reported following other coronavirus (10,11)
and influenza (12) pandemics. In this
context, fibrosis due to acute respiratory distress syndrome (13,14) or indeed
virus-induced initiation or propagation of interstitial lung disease (15,16)
is possible.Radiologic and physiologic abnormalities in COVID-19 survivors have been described,
with ground-glass opacification and bands being common findings (17–20). Post-COVID-19 diagnoses of fibrosis have also been made but largely
in the absence of histopathologic findings and using a variety of nonstandard
radiologic descriptors such as “fibrotic strips” and “irregular
lines” with small patient cohorts recovering from severe disease (18,21)
and the majority with relatively short-term (up to 6 months) follow-up (22–25).Studies evaluating serial radiologic changes after COVID-19 are lacking. Therefore,
the aims of the present study were to critically review chest CT abnormalities in
COVID-19 survivors at up to 1-year follow-up in concert with symptoms and indexes of
functional impairment, identify associations with inpatient characteristics, and
evaluate serial radiologic findings.
Materials and Methods
Study Design and Participants
PHENOTYPE is a prospective single-center observational study assessing radiologic
and clinical recovery in COVID-19 survivors. The study has National Research
Ethics Committee approval (IRAS 284497) and is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04459351).Participants aged 18 years and older with confirmed COVID-19, as defined by a
positive reverse transcriptase– polymerase chain reaction nasopharyngeal
swab and/or serum antibody to SARS-CoV-2, who were attending a follow-up
appointment at Chelsea and Westminster Hospital, a teaching hospital in London,
England, were enrolled sequentially in the PHENOTYPE study. Written consent was
obtained from all participants. Participants who were discharged from the
hospital between March and June 2020 and assessed between June and September
2020 were eligible for inclusion.
Data Collection and Validation Tools
Acute hospital admission data were accessed using institutional electronic health
records. During clinic visits, demographic and anthropometric data, clinical
history, and blood test results were gathered, including complete blood count,
renal profile, liver profile, bone profile, C-reactive protein level,
d-dimer level, and fibrinogen level. Residual respiratory symptoms were
assessed using validated tools: the modified Medical Research Council (mMRC)
score (26) and the Leicester cough
questionnaire (27).
CT Protocol
Participants were scanned with one of two 128-section multi–detector row
CT machines (Siemens Edge or Edge plus; Siemens Healthcare). Unenhanced thoracic
high-resolution CT or, in participants with elevated d-dimer level, CT
pulmonary angiography was performed with the following parameters:
1.0–1.5-mm-thick sections, 100 kVp or 120 kVp, reference milliampere
second of 66 mAs or 105 mAs (for high-resolution CT and CT pulmonary
angiography, respectively), median volume CT dose index of 4.2 mGy (IQR,
3.1–5.6 mGy), and median dose-length product of 149 mGy ∙ cm (IQR,
106–210 mGy ∙ cm). Iohexol (350 mg of iodine per milliliter) was the
contrast material used. At the time of the first follow-up visit, the hospital
restricted lung function testing to urgent cases (eg, as part of cancer
diagnostics) because it was considered an aerosol-generating procedure. As such,
in our study, formal lung function testing was limited to participants with
abnormalities on chest CT scans and/or persistent breathlessness.Participants with an abnormal CT scan at 3 months were invited for a repeat scan
at 1 year after discharge coupled with assessment of self-reported
breathlessness and lung function testing.CT scans obtained during the participants’ inpatient stay were not used
for analysis in this study.
Image Analysis: Quantification of CT Abnormalities
All CT scans were reviewed by two thoracic radiologist observers (A.D. and
S.R.D., both with >20 years of experience) blinded to all clinical and
functional data. In consensus, observers quantified the overall extent of
opacified lung and, for the abnormally opacified lung, the proportional extents
of the following radiologic patterns: (a) ground-glass
opacification, (b) consolidation, (c) linear
or curvilinear band opacities, and (d) reticulation, all to the
nearest 5%. The presence or absence of volume loss in individual lobes was
recorded (0 = volume loss not present, 1 = volume loss present). Finally, the
presence and/or severity of traction bronchiectasis and/or bronchiolectasis was
graded semiquantitatively (0 = none, 1 = mild, 2 = moderate, and 3 = severe)
and, when present, the number of lobes affected was recorded (up to a maximum
score of 6). The lingula was scored as a separate lobe.CT scans obtained at 1 year were compared side-by-side with the 3-month follow-up
scan. For the 1-year CT scans, observers recorded whether there had been
improvement, deterioration, or stability compared with the 3-month CT scan.
Persistent abnormalities on the 1-year scan were quantified in the same manner
as for the 3-month scan (see above).
Statistical Analysis
Continuous variables are expressed as medians and IQRs or means ± SDs.
Categorical variables are reported as numbers and percentages. Comparisons
between groups were performed using the two-sample Student t
test or Mann-Whitney U test, as appropriate. Paired testing
using Wilcoxon signed rank test was used to compare changes in CT scores.
Categorical data were compared with the χ2 test. Missing data
within the Leicester cough questionnaire were accounted for by amending the
scoring formula. The Spearman rank correlation method was used.
P < .05 was considered to indicate a statistically
significant difference. All statistical analyses were performed by an author
(B.V.) using software (Graphpad Prism version 9.0 [86] for Mac, GraphPad
Software []). Bonferroni correction was used as
appropriate.
Results
Demographic Data at Hospital Admission
Eighty participants (mean age ± SD, 59 years ± 13; 53 men) were
assessed. Table 1 shows the baseline
demographic, inpatient, and follow-up characteristics. Figure 1 highlights the enrollment process. The initial
follow-up visit was conducted at a median of 97 days (IQR, 86–121 days)
after discharge. Common comorbidities included hypertension (23 participants,
29%), type II diabetes mellitus (18 participants, 23%), and asthma (11
participants, 14%). Most participants had no previous respiratory (65
participants, 81%) or cardiovascular (56 participants, 70%) comorbidity, and 42
participants (53%) were lifelong nonsmokers. The median hospital stay was 8 days
(IQR, 3–15 days), with 32 participants (40%) requiring level 2 or 3
ventilatory support in the form of mechanical ventilation or noninvasive
positive pressure ventilation, which includes continuous positive airway
pressure or bi-level positive airway pressure ventilation.
Table 1:
Demographic Data at Admission and Follow-up Characteristics in
COVID-19 Survivors
Figure 1:
Study flowchart shows enrollment and recruitment.
Demographic Data at Admission and Follow-up Characteristics in
COVID-19 SurvivorsStudy flowchart shows enrollment and recruitment.Acute pulmonary embolism, necessitating therapeutic anticoagulation, was recorded
in seven participants (8.8%) during the acute admission. All participants with
pulmonary embolism needed mechanical ventilation (n = 4) or
positive pressure ventilation (n = 3).
Respiratory Symptoms
Persistent cough (17 of 80 participants, 21%) and breathlessness (37 of 80
participants, 46%) were the most common respiratory symptoms at the 3-month
follow-up, with a deterioration in the mMRC score in most participants reporting
breathlessness (29 of 37 participants, 78%) (Table
E1 [online]).
Blood Abnormalities
Blood results at admission and 3-month follow-up can be found in
Tables E2 and
E3 (online). Although most blood
abnormalities had resolved at follow-up, a raised C-reactive protein level (13
of 80 participants, 16%), raised fibrinogen level (seven of 76 participants,
9.2%), abnormal ferritin level (11 of 79 participants, 14%), and raised
d-dimer level (14 of 79 participants, 18%) were commonly seen.
CT Abnormalities at 3-month Follow-up
Seventy-three participants underwent a 3-month CT examination at a median of 105
days (IQR, 95–141 days) following hospital discharge. Abnormalities on
3-month CT scans were present in 41 of the 73 participants (56%) (Figs 2, 3), with a median extent of 25% (IQR, 10%–60%; 95% CI: 15,
45). Ground-glass opacification (seen in 35 of 41 participants [47.9%]; median
proportional extent, 16% [IQR, 3.5%–42%; 95% CI: 5, 35]) and linear or
curvilinear bands (27 of 41 participants [36.9%]; median proportional extent,
3.8% [IQR, 0, 12; 95% CI: 0, 8]) were the dominant abnormalities on the 3-month
CT scans. Reticulation (10 of 41 participants [14%]; median proportional extent,
0% [IQR, 0%–0.5%; 95% CI: 0, 0]) and consolidation (five of 41
participants [6.8%]; median proportional extent, 0% [IQR, 0%–0%; 95% CI:
0, 0]) were infrequently present. Nine of 41 participants (12%) had overt CT
signs considered indicative of fibrosis at follow-up, namely traction
bronchiectasis or bronchiolectasis (five participants, 6.8%) and/or volume loss
(six participants, 8.2%).
Figure 2:
Axial unenhanced CT scan in a 48-year-old man 3 months after hospital
discharge for COVID-19. Image shows predominant ground-glass opacities
and a few delicate band opacities, principally in the lower lobes. There
was no traction bronchiectasis or reticulation on any image section.
(Note that the short segment of airway captured in longitudinal section
in the right lower lobe was nondilated on sequential volumetric images
sections.)
Figure 3:
Axial unenhanced CT scan at the level of the carina in a 56-year-old man
3 months after discharge for COVID-19. Image shows multiple linear and
curvilinear bands (yellow arrows) and more limited, subtle ground-glass
opacification. There was no evidence of traction bronchiectasis. Note
the normally tapering airway (white arrows) in the anterior segment of
the left upper lobe.
Axial unenhanced CT scan in a 48-year-old man 3 months after hospital
discharge for COVID-19. Image shows predominant ground-glass opacities
and a few delicate band opacities, principally in the lower lobes. There
was no traction bronchiectasis or reticulation on any image section.
(Note that the short segment of airway captured in longitudinal section
in the right lower lobe was nondilated on sequential volumetric images
sections.)Axial unenhanced CT scan at the level of the carina in a 56-year-old man
3 months after discharge for COVID-19. Image shows multiple linear and
curvilinear bands (yellow arrows) and more limited, subtle ground-glass
opacification. There was no evidence of traction bronchiectasis. Note
the normally tapering airway (white arrows) in the anterior segment of
the left upper lobe.The median age of the nine participants with CT features of fibrosis was 59 years
(IQR, 56–67 years). The median length of hospital stay for these
participants was 22 days (IQR, 5–50 days); eight of the nine participants
(89%) were men, and participants had the following comorbidities: type II
diabetes mellitus (six of nine participants, 67%), hypertension (five of nine
participants, 55%), ischemic heart disease and hypercholesterolemia (two of nine
participants for each, 22%), and asthma (one of nine participants, 11%). In
addition, three of nine participants (33%) required positive pressure
ventilation, five (55%) required mechanical ventilation, and one (11%) required
oxygen therapy alone (Table 2).
Table 2:
Demographic Characteristics of Participants with Fibrosis at
3-month Follow-up Chest CT
Demographic Characteristics of Participants with Fibrosis at
3-month Follow-up Chest CTOn the basis of the overall CT extent of abnormal lung, participants were divided
into three severity groups, as follows: mild (<30% abnormal lung),
moderate (30% to <60%), and extensive (≥60%). In the 41
participants with persistent CT abnormalities at follow-up, 21 (51%) were in the
mild group, seven (17%) in the moderate group, and 13 (32%) in the extensive
group.
Relationship between Abnormalities at 3-month CT and Respiratory
Symptoms
We found no evidence of a difference in participant-reported breathlessness
between those with and without CT abnormalities (21 of 41 participants with an
abnormal CT scan vs 15 of 32 with a normal CT scan; P = .71) or
when comparing among the mild, moderate, and extensive CT severity groups (10 of
21 participants with mild severity, three of seven with moderate severity, and
eight of 13 with extensive severity; P = .66). Similarly, a
change in mMRC was not linked to the presence or absence of CT abnormalities (16
of 41 participants with an abnormal CT scan vs 13 of 32 with a normal CT scan;
P = .89) or their extent (seven of 21 participants with
mild severity, two of seven with moderate severity, and six of 13 with severe;
P = .41).
Relationship between Abnormalities at 3-month CT, Respiratory Support, and
Blood Profile at Admission
The relationships between CT abnormalities and (a) levels of
respiratory support required and (b) blood parameters at
admission are shown in Table 3 and
Figures 4 and
E1 (online), respectively. Abnormalities on
3-month CT scans were related to length of hospital stay (mean, 17 days ±
17 vs 7.4 days ± 7.1; P = .008), age (mean, 62 years
± 10 vs 57 years ± 12; P = .04), and admission
blood markers (C-reactive protein, fibrinogen, urea, and creatinine levels). The
proportion of participants with an abnormal CT scan at follow-up was higher in
participants requiring mechanical ventilation (odds ratio: 7.8; 95% CI: 1.7,
36.1; P = .004) and in those requiring mechanical ventilation
or positive pressure ventilation (odds ratio: 4.1; 95% CI: 1.5, 10.7;
P = .006). Table 4
shows the demographic characteristics, admission data, and blood abnormalities
in greater detail.
Table 3:
Intergroup Comparisons of Participants according to Level of
Respiratory Support and Presence or Absence of Abnormalities, GGO,
or Bands on 3-month Follow-up Chest CT Scans
Figure 4:
Scatterplots show relationship between admission blood parameters
(A) C-reactive protein level, (B)
fibrinogen level, (C) urea level, and (D)
creatinine level in participants with and without CT changes at 3-month
follow-up. Comparisons were made using the two-sample Student
t test and Mann-Whitney U test.
Medians and IQRs are shown. * = P ≤ .05,
** = P ≤ .01.
Table 4:
Demographic Characteristics, Acute Admission Data, and Admission
Blood Results of Participants with Abnormal versus Normal CT Scans
at 3-month Follow-up
Intergroup Comparisons of Participants according to Level of
Respiratory Support and Presence or Absence of Abnormalities, GGO,
or Bands on 3-month Follow-up Chest CT ScansScatterplots show relationship between admission blood parameters
(A) C-reactive protein level, (B)
fibrinogen level, (C) urea level, and (D)
creatinine level in participants with and without CT changes at 3-month
follow-up. Comparisons were made using the two-sample Student
t test and Mann-Whitney U test.
Medians and IQRs are shown. * = P ≤ .05,
** = P ≤ .01.Demographic Characteristics, Acute Admission Data, and Admission
Blood Results of Participants with Abnormal versus Normal CT Scans
at 3-month Follow-upWe found no evidence of differences in the time interval (days) between discharge
and CT in those with CT abnormalities versus those without (mean, 117 days
± 34 for participants with abnormal CT scans vs 135 days ± 49 for
those with normal CT scans; P = .22) and no correlation between
percentage parenchymal involvement and time after admission (r
= 0.02, P = .84) or time after discharge (r =
–0.16, P = .18).
Pulmonary Function Tests and Relationship with Abnormalities on 3-month CT
Scans
Pulmonary function testing was performed in 39 of 73 participants undergoing CT
imaging (52%), with one participant excluded due to poor technique. The median
interval between CT and pulmonary function testing (all performed as
outpatients) was 60 days (IQR, 37–87 days). CT scans were abnormal in 28
of the 38 participants (74%) undergoing pulmonary function testing.
Table
E4 (online) shows a summary of the lung
function test results.Reduced gas transfer (transfer factor of the lung for carbon monoxide
[Tlco]) was the most common lung function abnormality in
participants with an abnormal CT scan (10 of 28 participants, 36%). In
participants with extensive CT abnormalities (ie, ≥60% abnormality),
disease extent at CT showed negative correlation with percent predicted forced
expiratory volume in 1 second (r = –0.74,
P = .01), forced vital capacity (r =
–0.80, P = .004), and total lung capacity
(r = –0.78, P = .006) and positive
correlation with carbon monoxide transfer coefficient (r =
0.62, P = .05). There was no correlation between CT extent and
percent predicted Tlco (r = 0.27, P =
.41) (Fig
E2 [online]). Figure E3 (online) shows the relationship
between the number of lobes affected in those with features of traction
bronchiectasis at CT (n = 5) and percent predicted
Tlco (r = –0.95, P =
.17).
CT Abnormalities at 1-year Follow-up and Relationship with Symptoms and/or
Functional Indexes
Of 41 participants with an abnormal finding on 3-month CT chest scans, 33 (80%)
underwent repeat CT imaging between March 2 and May 7, 2021, at a median of 364
days (range, 360–366 days) after discharge. Tables 1 and E5 (online) and
Figure E4 (online) show the cohort
undergoing repeat imaging; CT scans from one participant treated with
corticosteroid after discharge were excluded. Follow-up CT scans at 1 year were
normal in five of the 32 participants (16%) and stable in six (19%), with no
change in the overall extent of abnormalities (median residual overall extent,
7.5%; IQR, 5%–17.5%; 95% CI: 5, 25), ground-glass opacification (median
residual overall extent, 5%; IQR, 0–10.8; 95% CI: 0, 25), and bands
(median residual overall extent, 2.5%; IQR, 0%–6%; 95% CI: 0, 9). In 21
of the 32 participants (66%) there was improvement with a median reduction in
extent of 17.5% (IQR, 10%–40%; 95% CI: 10, 35) in overall extent, 11.5%
(IQR, 1.9%–39.8%; 95% CI: 4, 35) in ground-glass opacification, and 0.5%
(IQR, 0%–2.5%; 95% CI: 0, 2) in bands. Figures 5 and 6 show serial
CT changes in two participants.
Figure 5:
Paired axial unenhanced CT scans in an 83-year-old woman at
(A) 3 months and (B) 1 year after hospital
discharge for COVID-19. Images show significant (albeit incomplete) and
progressive resolution of ground-glass opacification and band opacities
in the lower lobes at 1-year follow-up.
Figure 6:
Paired axial unenhanced CT scans in a 59-year-old man at (A)
3 months and (B) 1 year after hospital discharge for
COVID-19. Images show widespread residual bilateral ground-glass
opacification, a few band opacities, and, importantly, evidence of
traction bronchiectasis in the middle and left lower lobes (arrow in
A) at 3 months. There is a reduction in the extent of
ground-glass opacification and bands but with persistent traction
brochiectasis (arrows in B) at 1-year follow-up.
Paired axial unenhanced CT scans in an 83-year-old woman at
(A) 3 months and (B) 1 year after hospital
discharge for COVID-19. Images show significant (albeit incomplete) and
progressive resolution of ground-glass opacification and band opacities
in the lower lobes at 1-year follow-up.Paired axial unenhanced CT scans in a 59-year-old man at (A)
3 months and (B) 1 year after hospital discharge for
COVID-19. Images show widespread residual bilateral ground-glass
opacification, a few band opacities, and, importantly, evidence of
traction bronchiectasis in the middle and left lower lobes (arrow in
A) at 3 months. There is a reduction in the extent of
ground-glass opacification and bands but with persistent traction
brochiectasis (arrows in B) at 1-year follow-up.Persistent breathlessness was reported by six of the 32 participants (19%) at 1
year, with five (16%) reporting breathlessness at the time of the 3-month chest
CT examination, which resolved at 1 year, despite no radiologic improvement.
There were no reports of breathlessness in participants with a normal CT scan at
1 year. Lung function testing was feasible in 26 of the 32 participants (81%) at
a median of 365 days (IQR, 362–376 days) after discharge
(Table
E6 [online]). There was no correlation
between the residual overall CT extent at 1 year and lung function parameters
(Fig
E5 [online]).We found evidence of statistically significant improvements in the overall CT
extent of abnormality and the extent of ground-glass opacification but not bands
at 1-year follow-up when compared with the CT scan at 3 months. As compared with
band opacities, the reduction in extent of ground-glass opacification was more
striking and there was a positive correlation between improvement in overall CT
scores and both the ground-glass component (r = 0.88,
P < .001) and bands (r = 0.74,
P = .001) (Figs 7,
E6 [online]). There was no evidence of
progressive disease at sequential imaging.
Figure 7:
Graphs compare changes in CT scores at 3 months (CT 1) and 1 year (CT 2)
with specific changes in (A) overall CT abnormality,
(B) ground-glass (GG) opacification, and
(C) bands. Comparison was performed with the paired
Wilcoxon signed-rank test. ns = not significant.
**** = P ≤
.0001.
Graphs compare changes in CT scores at 3 months (CT 1) and 1 year (CT 2)
with specific changes in (A) overall CT abnormality,
(B) ground-glass (GG) opacification, and
(C) bands. Comparison was performed with the paired
Wilcoxon signed-rank test. ns = not significant.
**** = P ≤
.0001.
Discussion
Our prospective study of COVID-19 survivors discharged from the hospital was
performed to better understand the clinical, physiologic, and radiologic recovery
with time. Our study has shown that, in addition to symptoms, persistent physiologic
and radiologic abnormalities are common at 3-month follow-up. Radiologic
abnormalities were present in 41 of 73 participants (56%) at 3-month follow-up, with
the most common findings being ground-glass opacification (35 of 73 participants,
48%) and bands (27 of 43 participants, 37%). Morphologic abnormalities on CT scans
were not linked to dyspnea (P = .71) or a change in modified
Medical Research Council score (P = .89), but in those with the
most extensive abnormalities, there was functional restriction. Moreover, CT
abnormalities were associated with more intensive ventilatory requirements
(P = .004) and serum inflammatory markers (C-reactive protein
level [P = .03], fibrinogen level [P = .02]),
suggesting that disease severity and a more severe “inflammatory
state” in the acute phase is associated with persistent CT abnormalities at
follow-up, mirroring reports in SARS-CoV-1 survivors (28). Importantly, convincing CT features of interstitial
fibrosis (ie, traction bronchiectasis and/or bronchiolectasis and volume loss) were
only present in a minority of our cohort (nine of 73 participants, 12%) (21). At 1-year follow-up CT, we found fewer CT
abnormalities (median improvement, 17.5% decrease in CT extent [IQR,
10%–40%]). None of the study participants showed progression of CT findings
at 1-year follow-up.Our findings are in line with recent reports (3,17) where persistent clinical,
functional, and radiologic abnormalities were seen up to 3 months after hospital
discharge. The improvement in radiologic features with time accords with data from
SARS-CoV-1, in which the prevalence of parenchymal abnormalities also decreased with
time (6,29–30). Our findings align
with those in the most recent study by Wu et al (31), who prospectively followed-up 83 nonventilated patients for up to 1
year and found progressive improvement in the majority but a few with residual
functional impairment and persistent radiologic abnormalities. The improvement in
both ground-glass opacification and bands in our study is an important finding that
challenges the assumption that bands reflect established fibrosis. In addition, our
finding of fibrosis in only nine of the 73 participants (12%) at 3-month follow-up
is important to stress given the recent tendency in the literature to readily
ascribe a label of “post-COVID interstitial lung disease” or
“COVID-related fibrosis” on the basis of CT findings alone (21).Lung fibrosis is known to complicate diffuse alveolar damage or acute respiratory
distress syndrome. Indeed, a fibroproliferation phase of variable severity is part
of the natural history of diffuse alveolar damage (14,32,33). Furthermore, fibrosis in patients with acute respiratory
distress syndrome may be iatrogenic, caused by barotrauma (34); therefore, some of the features seen at CT after COVID-19
may be a consequence of mechanical ventilation or associated lung injury, rather
than due to COVID-19. Recent data suggest that the prevalence of fibrosis after
COVID-19 ranges from 39% to 67% (18,21,35,36). However, the reliance
almost wholly on CT features (without histopathologic corroboration) and vague
terminology is problematic. Nonspecific radiology terms (eg, fibrotic bands or
stripes) and the amalgamation of different radiologic signs—including
parenchymal bands, traction bronchiectasis, and honeycombing—under a generic
“fibrotic group” warrants scrutiny. Finally, interobserver variability
for interpreting nonspecific signs such as “irregular interfaces” adds
a further challenge, which is seldom highlighted in earlier studies (37).In our study, the dominant CT patterns at follow-up were ground-glass opacification
and linear or curvilinear bands. Ground-glass opacification at CT indicates a region
of lung from which air has been partially displaced (38). Accordingly, ground-glass opacification may be a manifestation of
an interstitial lung disease, airspace abnormality, or some combination of the two
(39). In COVID-19 survivors, we postulate
that ground-glass opacities (in the absence of traction bronchiectasis) represent
resolving diffuse alveolar damage or acute respiratory distress syndrome, in which
there is substantial histopathologic heterogeneity (40). Therefore, making a diagnosis of established lung fibrosis on the
basis of ground-glass opacification alone may overestimate the prevalence of
fibrosis (33). The view that all bands denote
fibrosis is also presumptuous: other pathologic processes, for instance subsegmental
atelectasis (34) and organizing pneumonia
(41) (incidentally, a frequent pathologic finding in COVID-related acute respiratory
distress syndrome) (37), may manifest in this
way on CT scans. One of the strengths of our study is that in contrast with earlier
studies, we have restricted our CT evaluation to accepted radiologic terms (39). We have also captured the spectrum of
disease severities requiring hospital admission, rather than restricting our cohort
to participants requiring level 2 or 3 ventilatory support—a subgroup more
likely to have significant sequelae and over-represented in the current literature
(18,21).Our study has limitations. First, the absence of histopathologic confirmation is a
limitation of our study, making inferences based on surrogate CT signs mandatory.
Second, our study includes a relatively small numbers of study participants.
Therefore, it is also possible that some relationships between variables were not
identified due to underpowering, particularly in relation to subgroup analyses
(18,21). Third, we had a limited proportion of participants with full lung
function results. Fourth, breathlessness was assessed using participant-reported
symptoms and the mMRC score. The latter score has a limited range of options and can
be difficult to interpret. Furthermore, calculating premorbid mMRC is prone to
recall bias. Especially in this cohort, difficulty differentiating between
breathlessness and fatigue, weight gain between visits, and deconditioning call into
question the validity and cause of patient-reported breathlessness, which may
explain the lack of association between patient-reported breathlessness and
persistent radiologic findings. Finally, multiple hypotheses testing means that
P < .05 might not necessarily be statistically
significant.In summary, this study has shown that patient symptoms, abnormalities on CT scans,
and changes in lung function are relatively common after COVID-19 and may persist
well up to 12 months after discharge. In 81% of study participants (26 of 32),
radiologic abnormalities regressed further between the 3-month and 12-month CT scan.
Data from larger cohorts undergoing longer follow-up are likely to further clarify
these results.
Authors: D S Hui; G M Joynt; K T Wong; C D Gomersall; T S Li; G Antonio; F W Ko; M C Chan; D P Chan; M W Tong; T H Rainer; A T Ahuja; C S Cockram; J J Y Sung Journal: Thorax Date: 2005-05 Impact factor: 9.139
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