| Literature DB >> 34525746 |
Omar M Abdeldayem1, Areeg M Dabbish2, Mahmoud M Habashy3, Mohamed K Mostafa4, Mohamed Elhefnawy5, Lobna Amin6, Eslam G Al-Sakkari7, Ahmed Ragab8, Eldon R Rene3.
Abstract
A viral outbreak is a global challenge that affects public health and safety. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been spreading globally, affecting millions of people worldwide, and led to significant loss of lives and deterioration of the global economy. The current adverse effects caused by the COVID-19 pandemic demands finding new detection methods for future viral outbreaks. The environment's transmission pathways include and are not limited to air, surface water, and wastewater environments. The wastewater surveillance, known as wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE), can potentially monitor viral outbreaks and provide a complementary clinical testing method. Another investigated outbreak surveillance technique that has not been yet implemented in a sufficient number of studies is the surveillance of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) in the air. Artificial intelligence (AI) and its related machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) technologies are currently emerging techniques for detecting viral outbreaks using global data. To date, there are no reports that illustrate the potential of using WBE with AI to detect viral outbreaks. This study investigates the transmission pathways of SARS-CoV-2 in the environment and provides current updates on the surveillance of viral outbreaks using WBE, viral air sampling, and AI. It also proposes a novel framework based on an ensemble of ML and DL algorithms to provide a beneficial supportive tool for decision-makers. The framework exploits available data from reliable sources to discover meaningful insights and knowledge that allows researchers and practitioners to build efficient methods and protocols that accurately monitor and detect viral outbreaks. The proposed framework could provide early detection of viruses, forecast risk maps and vulnerable areas, and estimate the number of infected citizens. CrownEntities:
Keywords: Artificial intelligence; Artificial neural networks; COVID-19; Deep learning; Machine learning; Reinforcement Learning; SARS-CoV-2; Viral air surveillance; Wastewater based-epidemiology
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34525746 PMCID: PMC8379898 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.149834
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Total Environ ISSN: 0048-9697 Impact factor: 7.963
Fig. 1Transmission pathways of SARS-CoV-2 in the environment.
Fig. 2Sample preparation and analysis process for the SARS-CoV-2's RNA in wastewater.
A summary of the commonly used methods for viral detection in wastewater.
| Method | Sensitivity | Time required | LOD | Specificity | Advantages | Disadvantages | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RT-PCR | 89-95% | 2 h | 10 copies/μL | 93% | Highly sensitive towards specific organisms | Requires expensive instruments Requires the knowledge of the detected organisms Requires concentration of samples Highly susceptible to contamination by inhibitors Have low limit of detection Cannot differentiate between dead and alive organisms Interference of humic acids Relatively slow detection time | ( |
| NASBA | Up to 95% | 60-90 mins | 1 copy/reaction | 98.9% | Highly sensitive and specificity Simple procedure Relatively fast Sample contamination resistance | Expensive kits Few available essays for environmental sampling False positive has higher chances over false negative | ( |
| Biosensors | Up to 96.7% | 15 mins | 0.22 pM | Up to 100% | Affordable cost High sensitivity Rapid real time detection Simple procedure Portability Requires small samples | Antibody binding is influenced by environmental parameters such as pH, temperature, etc. Binding of antibody-antigen can be influenced by reagents, solvents, or radiation Transcription regulation is a complex process | ( |
| Flow cytometry (FCM) | NA | 15-45 mins | NA | NA | Rapid detection High throughput High accuracy Ease of use | Requires fresh samples Only detect alive cells | ( |
| ELISA | 20-80% | 2 h | 1 ng/mL | >98% | Affordable costs Relatively simple procedure | Low specificity Concentration of sample is required Time consuming Low limit of detection | ( |
| PFGE | NA | 24-26 h | NA | NA | Very sensitive to genetic differences High throughput | Too sensitive to differentiate between sources A prior database is required Time consuming | ( |
Viral detection and quantification in wastewater and sludge by various countries.
| .Country | Sample source | Sample type | Sampling pretreatment | Concentration method | Sample volume (mL) | Concentration (copies/L) | Recovery (%) | Positive percentage | Detection technique | Sampled virus | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | Raw sewage | Composite | Centrifugation pH adjustment | Ultrafiltration Electronegative membrane | 100 | 0-120 | NA | 22% | RT–qPCR | SARS-CoV-2 | ( |
| Canada | Primary sludge | Composite | Settled at 4°C for an hour | Precipitated with polyethylene glycol Centrifugation | 250 | 1.7 × 103 -3.8 × 105 | 9.3 ± 4.9% | 90% | RT-qPCR | SARS-CoV-2 | ( |
| Chile | Raw sewage | Grab | NA | Ultracentrifugation Phosphate buffered saline pH 7.4 | 36 | 4.4 × 103-2.3 × 107 | 47% | 81% | RT-qPCR | polyomavirus JC | ( |
| Czech Republic | Raw sewage | Composite | Storage at 5oC | Flocculation Beef extract solution Centrifugation | 500 | NA | 35.5±13% | 11-27% | RT-PCR | SARS-CoV-2 | ( |
| Ecuador | River water | Grab | 1 N HCl Storage at 4oC | Skimmed Milk Flocculation method | 2000 | 2.07 × 105- | NA | 100% | RT-qPCR | SARS-CoV-2 | ( |
| Egypt | Raw sewage | Grab | NA | Viradel protocol Filtration Organic flocculation | 5000 | 3.9 × 104 to 3.3 × 108 | NA | 94% | RT-PCR | Pepper mild mottle virus | ( |
| Egypt | Raw sewage | Grab | NA | Viradel protocol Filtration Organic flocculation | 5000 | 1.5 × 104 and 1.5 × 107 | NA | 94% | RT-qPCR | Adenovirus | ( |
| France | Raw sewage | Composite | NA | Centrifugation | 11 | 5 × 104 - 3 × 106 | NA | 100% | RT-qPCR | SARS-CoV-2 | ( |
| Germany | Raw sewage | Composite | Centrifugation | Ultrafiltration Centrifugation | 45 | 3 × 103 - 2 × 104 | NA | 100% | RT-qPCR | SARS-CoV-2 | ( |
| India | Raw sewage | Composite | Filtration Centrifugation | PEG precipitation | 50 | 3.5 × 102 | 57% | 0-100% | RT-PCR | SARS-CoV-2 | ( |
| Italy | Raw sewage | Composite | Viral inactivation treatment at 56°C | Two-phase (PEG-dextran) separation method Centrifugation | 250 | 2.4 × 104 - 5.6 × 104 | 2.04 ± 0.70% | 45-65% | RT-qPCR | SARS-CoV-2 | ( |
| Italy | Raw sewage | Composite | PEG-dextran | Filtration | 250 | NA | NA | 100% | RT-PCR | SARS-CoV-2 | ( |
| Japan | Raw sewage | Grab | NA | PEG-dextran precipitation Centrifugation | 100 | 1.2 × 104 -3.5 × 104 | 45% | 47% | RT-qPCR | SARS-CoV-2 | ( |
| Netherlands | Raw sewage | Composite | Centrifugation | Ultrafiltration | 250 | 7.9 × 105 - 2.2× 106 | 73±13% | NA | RT-qPCR | SARS-CoV-2 | ( |
| Spain | Raw sewage | Grab | Centrifugation | Adsorption precipitation | 200 | 0-5× 105 | NA | 11% | RT-PCR | SARS-CoV-2 | ( |
| Spain | Raw sewage | Composite | Centrifugation | Ultrafiltration PEG-dextran precipitation | 100 | NA | NA | 100% | RT-qPCR | SARS-CoV-2 | ( |
| UAE | Raw sewage | Composite | Thermal deactivation | Ultrafiltration Centrifugation | 250 | 2.86 × 102 -2.90 × 104 | NA | 85% | RT-qPCR | SARS-CoV-2 | ( |
| USA | Primary sewage sludge | Composite | Storage at -80oC | RNeasey PowerSoil Total RNA Kit | 40 | 1.7 × 106 - 4.6 × 108 | NA | 20-60% | RT–qPCR | SARS-CoV-2 | ( |
| USA | Raw sewage | Composite and grab | Centrifugation | Ultrafiltration Electronegative membrane | 1000 | 0-7.5 × 103 | 54-56% | 29% (2/7) | RT-PCR | SARS-CoV-2 | ( |
Summary of the commonly used air samplers for corona viruses sampling.
| Sampler | Target virus | Sampling time | Sampling flow rate (sampling volume) | Limitations | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filter: MD-8 airscan sampler | MERS-CoV | 20 min | L/min (1000 L) | Dehydration of viruses during sampling Possibility of inactivation of some fraction of the collected viruses during the extraction process of the filters May require high volume sample pumps | ( |
| Filter: MD-8 airscan sampling device (Sartorius) and sterile gelatin filters | MERS-CoV | 20 min | 50 L/min (1000 L) | ( | |
| Filter: High-efficiency particulate air (HEPA) filters installed in the pipeline connecting sampler and vacuum pump | SARS coronaviruses | 4 h | 4 L/min (960 L) | ( | |
| Filter: PTFE membrane filter with a pore size of 0.3 μm in a closed-face, 3-piece disposable plastic cassette attached to a personal sample pump | SARS coronaviruses | 10.5 – 13 h | 2 L/min (1260–1560 L) | ( | |
| Filter: MD-8 airscan sampler | SARS-CoV-2 | 15 min | 100 L/min (1500 L) | ( | |
| Filter: Sterilized gelatin filters with pore size 3 μm placed in styrene filter cassette | SARS-CoV-2 | 1 h | 5 L/min (300 L) | Desiccation of viruses may occur in case of sampling at low relative humidity Dissolution of gelatin filters may occur in case of sampling at high relative humidity and high sampling volume | ( |
| Impinger: attached to a personal sample pump with average flow | SARS-CoV-2 | 1 h | 1 L/min (60 L) | The limited flow rate capacity Antifoam is required to overcome production of foam in the culture medium | ( |
| Impactor: High-resolution slit-sampler system | SARS coronaviruses | 18 min | 30 L/min (540 L) | Limit the smallest cut-off size to 0.2–0.3 μm | ( |
| Cyclone: SASS 2300 wetted wall cyclone sampler | SARS-CoV-2 | 30 min | min (9000 L) | Degradation of viral RNA may occur during the collection | ( |
| Cyclone Bioaerosol Sampler | SARS-CoV-2 | 4 h | 3.5 L/min (840 L) | ( | |
| Cyclone and filter: Cyclone sampler and 37-mm filter cassettes and 0.3-μm polytetrafluoroethylene filters | SARS-CoV-2 | 4 h | 100 L/min (400 L) | ( |
Fig. 3SARS-CoV-2 air survaillence, sampling, and identification.
Summary of the commonly used techniques for viral detection in air.
| Method | Mechanism of detection | Time required* | Advantages | Disadvantages | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RT-qPCR | Nucleic acid amplification | 2 h | Sensitivity Accuracy Detects thousands of viral copies in 1 mL liquid aerosol Simultaneous diagnosis of multiple respiratory agents | Time consuming Requires viral enrichment to reach limit of detection | ( |
| RT-LAMP | Nucleic acid amplification | 20 min | Rapid results High sensitivity High accuracy Detects 12 of viral copies per reaction Greater amplification products yield Less sensitive to the presence of contaminants in the sample | Alteration in the sample PH affects the assay performance | ( |
| TEM | Viral morphological examination | Few min | Effective in confirmation of viral identity | Requires large sample volume | ( |
| CRISPR-Cas | Nucleic acid identification –gene editing | 40 min | High sensitivity High specificity Short detection time | Susceptible for false results if a mutation took place in the target sequence | ( |
| Biosensors | Measuring biological response | 15 min | Detect low viral concentrations in the sample Different viral bio-recognition molecules are accessible for use (viral genome, spike protein, antibody | High cost and long processing time are required for target and biological matrix preparation | ( |
Fig. 4Computational modeling strategies for viral outbreak management.
A summary of different computation methods used for SARS-CoV-2 forecasting.
| Studied location | Forecasting Method | Input | Validation/Error method | Results | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil | Support vector regression (SVR) | Dataset of confirmed cases of COVID-19 | Cross validation | Error for SVR 1 day: 0.87-3.51% 2 days: 1.02-5.63% 3 days: 0.95-6.90% | ( |
| Canada | Deep learning long short-term memory (LSTM) | Number of confirmed cases Number of fatalities and recovered patient | Cross validation | Accuracy: Short term: 93.45% Long term: 92.67% Outbreak end was estimated to be on June 2020 | ( |
| China | Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system using enhanced flower pollination method | World Health Organization (WHO) official data of the outbreak of the COVID-19 | Holdout | High performance in predicting confirmed cases R2=0.97 | ( |
| India | Long short-term memory (LSTM) Memory optimized by Grey Wolf Optimizer deep learning approach | Google trends European Centre for Disease prevention and Control (ECDC) data | Akaike information criterion | Reduction in Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) values for forecasting results to the extent of about 98.00% | ( |
| Italy | Auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) Forecasting package | COVID-19 infected patient data from Italian ministry of health | Mean absolute prediction parameter | 93.75% of accuracy for registered case models 84.40% of accuracy for recovered case models | ( |
| Italy | Variational autoencoder (VAE) deep learning | Daily confirmed and recovered cases collected from six countries | Holdout | Error per country Italy: 5.90% Spain: 2.19% France: 1.88% China: 0.13% Australia: 0.24% USA: 2.04% | ( |
| Mexico | Decision tree algorithim | Epidemiology dataset by Secretariat of Health in Mexico | Cross validation | Accuracy: 94.99% | ( |
| Ukraine | Polynomial regression | Daily incidence of coronavirus infection Population size Viral propagation speed | Holdout | Accuracy: 97.60% | ( |
| 24 Countries and 24 States | Artificial neural network (ANN) | Dataset provided by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University | Handout | Average accuracy of 87.70% | ( |
| 12 countries | Support vector regression (SVR) | Dataset provided by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University | Cross validation | Ability to capture nonlinear patterns from the data Gaussian Kernel provided best in-sample performance and also provided worst out-of-sample prediction | ( |
Fig. 5Proposed framework for viral outbreak detection and decision making.