| Literature DB >> 34510106 |
Yayun Li1,2, Yu Meng1,2, Huiyan Sun1,2, Lin Ye1,2, Furong Zeng1,2,3, Xiang Chen1,2, Guangtong Deng1,2.
Abstract
Immunotherapy has revolutionized the treatment in metastatic melanoma, but alternative biomarkers that are economical, simple and reliable still need to be clarified. In this study, we aimed to comprehensively analyze the prognostic significance of baseline neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in melanoma patients with immunotherapy. We searched PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library until September 16, 2020. Hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were pooled to investigate the association of baseline NLR with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Sensitivity analysis, subgroup analyses, publication bias assessment, and the Duval and Tweedie trim-and-fill method were used to evaluate the stability of results. A total of 18 studies including 2054 patients were included in our analysis. Pooled data demonstrated that higher baseline NLR was associated with a poorer OS (HR=2.46, 95% CI=1.77, 3.43) and PFS (HR=2.38, 95% CI=1.95, 2.89) of melanoma patients receiving immunotherapy. Subgroup analysis according to immunotherapy type showed that the prognostic effects of baseline NLR existed in all the subtypes of immunotherapy, including anticytotoxic T lymphocyte-associated protein 4 therapy (OS HR=2.26, 95% CI=1.43, 3.59; PFS HR=2.68, 95% CI=1.79, 4.02), antiprogrammed cell death-1 therapy (OS HR=3.08, 95% CI=2.21, 4.27; PFS HR=2.01, 95% CI=1.64, 2.47), and combination therapy (OS HR=1.75, 95% CI=1.13, 2.72; PFS HR=3.13, 95% CI=1.63, 6.03). Conclusions were still consistent in subgroup analyses stratified by study year, region, study type, sample size, analysis of HR and cuttoff of baseline NLR. Altogether, baseline NLR is a promising prognostic biomarker for melanoma patients receiving immunotherapy.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 34510106 PMCID: PMC8654256 DOI: 10.1097/CJI.0000000000000392
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Immunother ISSN: 1524-9557 Impact factor: 4.456
FIGURE 1Flow diagram of study identification and selection.
Characteristics of Eligible Studies
| References | Region | Study Type | Cases | Age (y) | Sex (Male, %) | Cutoff | Immunotherapy Type | Variables | NOS Scores |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrucci et al | Italy | Multicenter | 187 | 60.6±40.9 | 152 (81.3) | 5 | Ipilimumab | OS | 9 |
| Khoja et al | Canada | Single-center | 183 | 56.9±48.6 | 115 (62.8) | 4 | Ipilimumab | OS | 8 |
| Zaragoza et al | France | Multicenter | 58 | 54.7±15.6 | 33 (56.9) | 4 | Ipilimumab | OS | 8 |
| Araujo et al | Brazil | Single-center | 74 | — | — | 5 | Nivolumab | OS, PFS | 7 |
| Cassidy et al | USA | Single-center | 197 | 50.0±60.6 | 125 (63) | 5 | Ipilimumab | OS | 8 |
| Chow et al | England | Multicenter | 86 | — | — | 3.1 | Ipilimumab | PFS | 8 |
| Jung et al | Korea | Multicenter | 104 | 58.0±12.0 | 51 (49) | 5 | Ipilimumab | OS, PFS | 7 |
| Capone et al | Italy | Single-center | 97 | 55.4±48.2 | 42 (43.2) | 5 | Nivolumab | OS | 8 |
| Garnier et al | France | Multicenter | 101 | 66.8±11.1 | 50 (49.5) | 5 | Nivolumab/pembrolizumab | OS | 8 |
| Minowa et al | Japan | Single-center | 21 | 65.7±45.3 | 11 (52.4) | 3.4 | PD-1 blockade | OS | 7 |
| Rosner et al | American | Single-center | 209 | 56.1±48.1 | 124 (59.3) | 4.73 | Nivolumab/ipilimumab | OS | 8 |
| Afzal et al | Lebanon | Single-center | 120 | 63.35±13.46 | 76 (63.3) | 5 | Ipilimumab/nivolumab/pembrolizumab | OS | 9 |
| Lee et al | Korea | Single-center | 152 | 54.3±45.7 | 72 (47) | 2.1 | Nivolumab/pembrolizumab | OS | 8 |
| Marconcini et al | Italian | Multicenter | 48 | — | — | 0.7 | PD-1 blockade | OS, PFS | 7 |
| Martins et al | Portugal | Multicenter | 85 | 64.24±45.7 | — | 3 | PD1 blockade | PFS | 8 |
| Tsutsumida et al | Japan | Multicenter | 61 | 64.4±32.6 | 33 (54.1) | 4 | Ipilimumab/nivolumab | OS | 8 |
| Balatoni et al | Hungary | Single-center | 47 | 55.2±43.6 | 27 (57) | 4 | Ipilimumab | OS | 7 |
| Bartlett et al | USA | Single-center | 224 | 61.0±52.2 | 147(66) | 5 | Nivolumab/pembrolizumab | OS | 8 |
Means their variables are calculated by multivariable analysis.
NOS indicates the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale; OS, overall survival; PD-1, programmed cell death-1; PFS, progression-free survival.
FIGURE 2Forest plot (A) and sensitivity analysis (B) for the pooled hazard ratio (HR) of overall survival in melanoma patients receiving immunotherapy between high and low baseline neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio. Cutoff value was defined in each included study. CI indicates confidence interval.
Subgroup Analysis of OS
| Subgroup | Cases | Effect Model | HR | Lower CI Limit | Upper CI Limit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Study year | |||||
| Before 2018 | 8 | Random | 2.58 | 1.55 | 4.29 |
| Fixed | 1.06 | 1.03 | 1.1 | ||
| 2018 and beyond | 10 | Random | 2.32 | 1.86 | 2.88 |
| Fixed | 2.3 | 1.87 | 2.84 | ||
| Region | |||||
| Europe | 8 | Random | 2.55 | 2.03 | 3.22 |
| Fixed | 2.55 | 2.03 | 3.22 | ||
| America | 5 | Random | 1.99 | 1.2 | 3.29 |
| Fixed | 1.06 | 1.02 | 1.09 | ||
| Asia | 5 | Random | 2.99 | 1.39 | 6.41 |
| Fixed | 3.3 | 2.14 | 5.1 | ||
| Study type | |||||
| Single-center | 10 | Random | 2.16 | 1.42 | 3.29 |
| Fixed | 1.07 | 1.03 | 1.1 | ||
| Multicenter | 8 | Random | 2.8 | 2.06 | 3.81 |
| Fixed | 2.75 | 2.15 | 3.52 | ||
| Cases | |||||
| <100 | 10 | Random | 2.59 | 2.02 | 3.31 |
| Fixed | 2.52 | 2.04 | 3.1 | ||
| ≥100 | 8 | Random | 2.2 | 1.37 | 3.54 |
| Fixed | 1.06 | 1.03 | 1.1 | ||
| Analysis of HR | |||||
| Univariate | 5 | Random | 4.05 | 2.32 | 7.07 |
| Fixed | 3.81 | 2.58 | 5.61 | ||
| Multivariate | 13 | Random | 2.13 | 1.51 | 2.99 |
| Fixed | 1.08 | 1.04 | 1.11 | ||
| Cutoff of NLR | |||||
| <5 | 8 | Random | 2.15 | 1.31 | 3.52 |
| Fixed | 1.05 | 1.02 | 1.09 | ||
| 5 | 10 | Random | 2.65 | 2.01 | 3.49 |
| Fixed | 2.43 | 2.05 | 2.88 | ||
| Immunotherapy type | |||||
| Anti-CTLA4 | 8 | Random | 2.26 | 1.43 | 3.59 |
| Fixed | 1.06 | 1.03 | 1.1 | ||
| Anti-PD1 | 7 | Random | 3.08 | 2.21 | 4.27 |
| Fixed | 2.8 | 2.19 | 3.58 | ||
| Combination | 3 | Random | 1.75 | 1.13 | 2.72 |
| Fixed | 1.75 | 1.13 | 2.72 | ||
CI indicates confidence interval; CTLA4, cytotoxic T lymphocyte-associated protein 4; HR, hazard ratio; NLR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; OS, overall survival; PD-1, programmed cell death-1.
FIGURE 3Forest plot (A) and sensitivity analysis (B) for the pooled hazard ratio (HR) of progression-free survival in melanoma patients receiving immunotherapy between high and low baseline neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio. Cutoff value was defined in each included study. CI indicates confidence interval.
Subgroup Analysis of PFS
| Subgroup | Cases | Effect Model | HR | Lower CI Limit | Upper CI Limit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Study year | |||||
| Before 2018 | 5 | Random | 2.72 | 1.92 | 3.85 |
| Fixed | 2.48 | 2.02 | 3.04 | ||
| 2018 and beyond | 7 | Random | 2.03 | 1.65 | 2.49 |
| Fixed | 2.03 | 1.65 | 2.49 | ||
| Region | |||||
| Europe | 5 | Random | 2.49 | 1.92 | 3.25 |
| Fixed | 2.49 | 1.92 | 3.25 | ||
| America | 3 | Random | 1.88 | 1.49 | 2.37 |
| Fixed | 1.87 | 1.51 | 2.31 | ||
| Asia | 4 | Random | 2.96 | 1.74 | 5.05 |
| Fixed | 2.76 | 2.06 | 3.71 | ||
| Study type | |||||
| Single-center | 6 | Random | 1.91 | 1.6 | 2.29 |
| Fixed | 1.91 | 1.6 | 2.29 | ||
| Multicenter | 6 | Random | 3 | 2.35 | 3.83 |
| Fixed | 3 | 2.35 | 3.83 | ||
| Cases | |||||
| <100 | 8 | Random | 2.26 | 1.87 | 2.74 |
| Fixed | 2.26 | 1.87 | 2.74 | ||
| ≥100 | 4 | Random | 2.55 | 1.55 | 4.22 |
| Fixed | 2.21 | 1.77 | 2.76 | ||
| Analysis of HR | |||||
| Univariate | 3 | Random | 3.97 | 2.74 | 5.76 |
| Fixed | 3.97 | 2.74 | 5.76 | ||
| Multivariate | 9 | Random | 2.02 | 1.73 | 2.36 |
| Fixed | 2.02 | 1.73 | 2.36 | ||
| Cutoff of NLR | |||||
| <5 | 5 | Random | 2.32 | 1.79 | 3.01 |
| Fixed | 2.32 | 1.79 | 3.01 | ||
| 5 | 7 | Random | 2.44 | 1.82 | 3.27 |
| Fixed | 2.21 | 1.85 | 2.62 | ||
| Immunotherapy type | |||||
| Anti-CTLA4 | 4 | Random | 2.68 | 1.79 | 4.02 |
| Fixed | 2.43 | 1.96 | 3.01 | ||
| Anti-PD1 | 6 | Random | 2.01 | 1.64 | 2.47 |
| Fixed | 2.01 | 1.64 | 2.47 | ||
| Combination | 2 | Random | 3.13 | 1.63 | 6.03 |
| Fixed | 3.13 | 1.63 | 6.03 | ||
CI indicates confidence interval; CTLA4, cytotoxic T lymphocyte-associated protein 4; HR, hazard ratio; NLR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; PD-1, programmed cell death-1; PFS, progression-free survival.