| Literature DB >> 34494396 |
Mansour Bahardoust1,2, Mohammad Ali Abyazi1, Sayed Ali Emami3, Parmida Ghadimi4, Mehrdad Khodabandeh5, Farhad Mahmoudi6, Ramin Hosseinzadeh1, Mohammad Heiat1, Shahram Agah7.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Pancreatic cancer (PC) is among the deadliest cancers of the gastrointestinal tract worldwide and a growing global health concern. AIM: This study was aimed to evaluate the survival rate and prognostic factors of survival in patients with PC.Entities:
Keywords: Iran; Kaplan-Meier; pancreatic cancer; prognostic factors; survival rate
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34494396 PMCID: PMC9351653 DOI: 10.1002/cnr2.1547
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancer Rep (Hoboken) ISSN: 2573-8348
Distribution of demographic, laboratory, pathological and tumor characteristics
| Variables | Frequency (%) |
|---|---|
| Demographic data | |
| Age (mean ± SD) | 61.6 ± 30.3 |
| Sex | |
|
Male | 306 (55%) |
|
Female | 250 (45%) |
| Mean follow‐up (months) | 12.7 ± 11.3 |
| Median survival (months) | 12.4 ± 6.6 |
| BMI (kg/m2) | 20.16 ± 5.4 |
| Family history(positive) | 11 (3.9%) |
| Alcohol consumption (positive) | 104 (18.7%) |
| Comorbidity (positive) | 338 (60.7%) |
| Smoker(history) | 92 (16.5%) |
| Laboratory data | |
| Hemoglobin (g/dl) | 13.52 ± 5.6 |
| Platelet count × 103 (g/dl) | 146.6 ± 32.5 |
| Blood transfusions | |
|
≤2 units | 202 (36.3%) |
|
>2 units | 216 (38.8%) |
|
None | 138 (24.9%) |
| Differentiation | |
|
Poor | 224 (40.3%) |
|
Moderate | 286 (51.4%) |
|
Well | 56 (8.3%) |
| Tumor characters | |
| Tumor stage | |
|
I | 54 (9.7%) |
|
II | 254 (45.7%) |
|
III | 194 (34.9%) |
|
IV | 54 (9.7%) |
| Tumor size (cm) | |
|
≤2.5 | 172 (30.9%) |
|
>2.5 | 384 (69.1%) |
| Metastasis presence | |
|
Negative | 306 (55%) |
|
Positive | 188 (33.8%) |
|
A known | 62 (11.2%) |
| Number of involved lymph node | |
|
≤2 | 184 (33.1%) |
|
>2 | 372 (66.9%) |
| Treatment type | |
|
Surgery | 196 (35.3%) |
|
Chemotherapy | 126 (22.7%) |
|
Radiotherapy | 38 (6.8%) |
|
Surgery and chemotherapy | 140 (25.2%) |
|
Unknown | 56 (10%) |
FIGURE 1Kaplan–Meier curve, survival rate
FIGURE 2Five‐year survival rate (Kaplan–Meier) of patients with pancreatic cancer based on the age, BMI and histology characteristics of patients
Predictors of 5‐year survival rate using the method Kaplan–Meier and log‐rank test
| Variable | Median survival (month) | Log‐rank Test |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (year) |
<60 | 16.1 ± 2.6 | 5.033 | 0.024 |
|
≥60 | 10.5 ± 1.4 | |||
| Sex |
male | 13.7 ± 1.38 | 0.52 | 0.44 |
|
female | 14.8 ± 1.83 | |||
| BMI (kg/m2) |
<18 | 7.5 ± 2.78 | 25.37 | 0.001 |
|
18–25 | 14.7 ± 1.3 | |||
|
25> | 19.4 ± 0.89 | |||
| Family history |
Negative | 14.5 ± 1.89 | 1.25 | 0.78 |
|
Positive | 13.8 ± 2.1 | |||
|
Unknown | 14.3 ± 2.65 | |||
| Blood transfusions |
≤2 units | 14.3 ± 1.92 | 1.65 | 0.16 |
|
>2 units | 13.1 ± 2.9 | |||
|
None | 14.9 ± 1.2 | |||
| Platelet count × 103 (g/dl) |
≤150 >150 |
13.2 ± 2.6 14.8 ± 2.1 | 2.84 | 0.11 |
| Differentiation |
Poor | 8.9 ± 2.88 | 29.54 | 0.001 |
|
Moderate | 15.4 ± 2.1 | |||
|
Well | 22 ± 0.56 | |||
| Tumor stage |
I | 31.2 ± 3.57 | 68.64 | 0.001 |
|
II | 19.1 ± 1.35 | |||
|
III | 6.4 ± 2.45 | |||
|
IV | 3.2 ± 0.87 | |||
| Tumor size (cm) |
≤2.5 | 24.4 ± 3.56 | 52.89 | 0.001 |
|
>2.5 | 9.9 ± 2.78 | |||
| Metastasis presence |
Negative | 19.6 ± 3.25 | 67.5 | 0.001 |
|
Positive | 7.6 ± 1.02 | |||
|
A known | 11.8 ± 1.31 | |||
| Number of involved lymph node |
≤2 | 23.3 | 96.5 | 0.001 |
|
>2 | 10.1 | |||
| LNR |
0 | 33.5 ± 4.2 | 48.6 | 0.001 |
|
<0.2 | 18.6 ± 3.2 | |||
|
0.2–0.4 | 8.8 ± 2.1 | |||
|
>0.4 | 4.2 ± 1.2 | |||
| Treatment type |
Surgery | 15.1 ± 3.14 | 88.65 | 0.022 |
|
Chemotherapy | 12.7 ± 1.56 | |||
|
Radiotherapy | 4.9 ± 0.78 | |||
|
Surgery and chemotherapy | 17.3 ± 3.68 | |||
|
Unknown | 13.4 ± 1.56 | |||
Abbreviation: LNR, lymph node ratio.
FIGURE 3Survival rate (Kaplan–Meier) of patients with pancreatic cancer based on the tumor characteristics
FIGURE 4Five‐year survival rate (Kaplan–Meier) of patients with pancreatic cancer based on the lymph node ratio and type of treatment received
Univariate analysis to identify variables associated with overall survival
| Variable | HR | 95% CI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Age; ≥60 vs. < 60 | 1.308 | 1.026_1.66 | 0.03 |
| Sex; male vs. female | 1.09 | 0.86_1.39 | 0.468 |
| BMI (kg/m2) | |||
|
18–25 | Reference | ||
|
<18 | 1.96 | 1.19_2.72 | 0.001 |
|
25> | 0.81 | 0.59_1.04 | 0.075 |
| Family history; Positive vs. negative | 1.05 | 0.86_1.38 | 0.66 |
| Blood transfusions; >2 vs. ≤2 units | 1.09 | 1.01_1.22 | 0.048 |
| Platelet count; >150 vs. ≤150 × 103 (g/dl) | 0.89 | 0.78_0.99 | 0.038 |
| Differentiation | |||
|
Poor | Reference | ||
|
Moderate | 0.51 | 0.23_0.78 | 0.001 |
|
Well | 0.21 | 0.11_0.32 | 0.001 |
| Tumor stage | |||
|
I | Reference | ||
|
II | 1.64 | 1.23_2.06 | 0.001 |
|
III | 4.84 | 3.34_6.35 | 0.001 |
|
IV |
8.64 | 6.22_10.87 | 0.001 |
| Tumor size; >2.5 vs. ≤2.5 (cm) | 4.93 | 3.49_6.98 | 0.001 |
| Metastasis; presence vs. absence | 2.12 | 1.65_2.74 | 0.001 |
| Number of involved lymph node; >2 vs. ≤2 | 1.72 | 1.51_1.96 | 0.012 |
| LNR | |||
|
0 | Reference | ||
|
<0.2 | 1.8 | 1.54_2.01 | 0.001 |
|
0.2–0.4 | 3.8 | 2.34_5.27 | 0.023 |
|
>0.4 | 7.9 | 5.34_1.047 | 0.038 |
| Treatment type | |||
|
Surgery | Reference | ||
|
Chemotherapy | 1.2 | 1.01_1.42 | 0.032 |
|
Radiotherapy | 3.5 | 2.24_4.75 | 0.001 |
|
Surgery and chemotherapy | 0.86 | 0.75_0.97 | 0.024 |
Abbreviation: LNR, lymph node ratio.
Independent variables predictive of survival by multivariate analysis
| Variable | HR | 95% CI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Age; ≥60 vs. <60 | 1.25 | 1.03–1.49 | 0.031 |
| BMI; <18 or >25 vs. 18–25 (kg/m2) | 1.56 | 1.13–2.14 | 0.011 |
| Differentiation; Poor vs. moderate/well | 2.12 | 1.75–2.49 | 0.001 |
| Tumor stage; I vs. II/III/IV | 0.38 | 0.27–0.49 | 0.001 |
| Tumor size;>2.5 vs. ≤2.5 (cm) | 4.61 | 3.30–6.78 | 0.001 |
| Metastasis; presence vs. absence | 1.97 | 1.49–2.60 | 0.001 |
| Number of involved lymph node; >2 vs. ≤2 | 1.52 | 1.31–1.77 | 0.001 |
| LNR; <0.2 vs. 0.2–0.4/>0.4 | 0.56 | 0.36–0.77 | 0.013 |
| Treatment; adjuvant therapy with surgery plus chemotherapy vs. other approaches | 0.44 | 0.28–0.61 | 0.001 |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; HR, hazards ratio; LNR, lymph node ratio.