| Literature DB >> 34377017 |
Haizhou Qiu1, Chang Liu1, Min Huang1, Shu Shen1, Wentao Wang1.
Abstract
PURPOSE: The prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) patients after surgical resection remains poor. Effective prognostic biomarkers are expected to stratify ICC patients and optimize their treatment strategies. To investigate the prognostic value of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), aspartate aminotransferase to lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI), and their combination (CAC) in predicting long-term outcomes in ICC patients after hepatectomy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: ICC patients underwent initial hepatectomy for curative purpose from January 2009 to September 2017 were reviewed retrospectively. Area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) was used to distinguish the identification effectiveness of three different measures. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards regression were used to assess the value of preoperative CAC grade in predicting overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS).Entities:
Keywords: aspartate aminotransferase to lymphocyte ratio; carbohydrate antigen 19-9; hepatectomy; intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma; long-term outcomes; prognostic predictor
Year: 2021 PMID: 34377017 PMCID: PMC8349206 DOI: 10.2147/CMAR.S320380
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancer Manag Res ISSN: 1179-1322 Impact factor: 3.989
Figure 1The flow-chart of patient selection.
Baseline Characteristics of 530 ICC Patients Who Underwent Hepatectomy
| Variables | All Patients (n=530) | Derivation Cohort (n=265) | Validation Cohort (n=265) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age, <60/≥60 | 289/241 | 150/115 | 139/126 | 0.383 |
| Gender, male/female | 256/274 | 124/141 | 132/133 | 0.543 |
| HBsAg, ± | 153/377 | 78/187 | 75/190 | 0.774 |
| Hepatolithiasis, ± | 89/441 | 48/217 | 41/224 | 0.486 |
| White blood count, median (IQR) | 6.46 (5.28–7.72) | 6.34 (5.18–7.72) | 6.62 (5.41–7.75) | 0.671 |
| Neutrophils, median (IQR) | 4.52 (3.22–5.38) | 4.12 (3.13–5.36) | 5.41 (4.12–6.63) | 0.321 |
| Hemoglobin, median (IQR) | 134 (125–137) | 132 (127–138) | 130 (123–136) | 0.712 |
| GGT, median (IQR) | 69 (33–145) | 72 (30–167) | 67 (36–125) | 0.823 |
| Tumor size, <5/≥5 | 226/304 | 118/147 | 108/177 | 0.506 |
| Tumor number, single/multiple | 373/157 | 194/71 | 179/86 | 0.183 |
| Differentiation, well/moderate-poor | 22/508 | 11/254 | 11/254 | 1.000 |
| MVI, ± | 54/476 | 28/237 | 26/239 | 0.886 |
| Node invasion, ± | 129/401 | 61/204 | 68/197 | 0.544 |
| Perineural invasion, ± | 80/450 | 33/232 | 47/218 | 0.114 |
| Cirrhosis, ± | 148/382 | 76/189 | 72/193 | 0.772 |
| TNM stage, I–II/III | 157/373 | 88/177 | 69/196 | 0.087 |
| CA19-9, <22/≥22 | 150/380 | 78/187 | 72/193 | 0.630 |
| ALRI grade, low/high | 175/355 | 92/173 | 83/182 | 0.460 |
| CAC grade, 1/2/3 | 64/197/269 | 35/100/130 | 29/97/139 | 0.385 |
Abbreviations: ICC, intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma; GGT, gamma glutamyl transferase; MVI, microvascular invasion; CA19-9, carbohydrate antigen 19-9; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis; ALRI, aspartate aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio; CAC, combine ALRI and CA19-9; IQR, interquartile range.
Correlation Between CAC Grade and Clinicopathological Characteristics in the Derivation Cohort
| Variables | CAC Grade | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (n=35) | 2 (n=100) | 3 (n=130) | ||
| Age, <60/≥60 | 19/16 | 60/40 | 71/59 | 0.697 |
| Gender, male/female | 16/19 | 44/56 | 64/66 | 0.745 |
| HBsAg, ± | 9/26 | 29/71 | 40/90 | 0.870 |
| Hepatolithiasis, ± | 7/28 | 19/81 | 22/108 | 0.884 |
| White blood count, median (IQR) | 132 (124–138) | 133 (129–135) | 135 (125–141) | 0.873 |
| Neutrophils, median (IQR) | 3.96 (3.14–5.09) | 3.96 (2.92–5.06) | 4.29 (3.37–5.88) | 0.421 |
| Hemoglobin, median (IQR) | 6.35 (5.46–7.58) | 6.34 (4.95–7.29) | 6.15 (5.18–8.03) | 0.526 |
| GGT, median (IQR) | 68 (25–126) | 59 (26–116) | 52 (36–152) | 0.723 |
| Tumor size, <5/≥5 | 22/13 | 50/50 | 56/74 | 0.001 |
| Tumor number, single/multiple | 31/4 | 82/18 | 81/49 | 0.001 |
| Differentiation, well/moderate-poor | 3/32 | 4/96 | 4/126 | 0.364 |
| MVI, ± | 2/33 | 13/87 | 13/117 | 0.467 |
| Node invasion, ± | 6/29 | 16/84 | 39/91 | 0.033 |
| Perineural invasion, ± | 2/33 | 10/90 | 21/109 | 0.165 |
| Cirrhosis, ± | 9/26 | 31/69 | 36/94 | 0.806 |
| TNM stage, I–II/III | 17/18 | 33/67 | 38/92 | 0.015 |
Abbreviations: ICC, intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma; GGT, gamma glutamyl transferase; MVI, microvascular invasion; CA19-9, carbohydrate antigen 19-9; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis; ALRI, aspartate aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio; CAC, combine ALRI and CA19-9; IQR, interquartile range.
Figure 2Kaplan-Meier curves for DFS and OS stratified by ALRI (A and D), CA19-9 (B and E), and CAC grade (C and F) in the derivation cohort.
Figure 3Kaplan-Meier curves for DFS and OS stratified by ALRI (A and D), CA19-9 (B and E), and CAC grade (C and F) in the validation cohort.
Cox Regression Analysis for OS of ICC Patients in the Derivation Cohort
| Variables | Univariate | Multivariate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | |||
| Age, ≥60/<60 | 0.999 | 0.986–1.013 | 0.884 | |||
| Gender, female/male | 0.931 | 0.696–1.245 | 0.631 | |||
| HBsAg, ± | 1.283 | 0.945–1.744 | 0.111 | 1.286 | 0.908–1.822 | 0.157 |
| Hepatolithiasis, ± | 1.211 | 0.850–1.725 | 0.289 | |||
| White blood count | 1.163 | 0.895–1.222 | 0341 | |||
| Neutrophils | 1.160 | 0.982–1.224 | 0.524 | |||
| Hemoglobin | 0.926 | 0.782–1.182 | 0.762 | |||
| GGT | 1.042 | 0.982–1.052 | 0.425 | |||
| Tumor size, ≥5/<5 | 1.403 | 1.048–1.877 | 0.023 | 1.246 | 0.918–1.691 | 0.158 |
| Tumor number, multiple/single | 1.718 | 1.258–2.346 | 0.001 | 1.717 | 1.240–2.376 | 0.001 |
| Differentiation, moderate-poor/well | 7.248 | 1.797–29.235 | 0.005 | 4.859 | 1.177–19.981 | 0.029 |
| MVI, ± | 1.621 | 1.044–2.517 | 0.032 | 1.257 | 0.796–1.987 | 0.327 |
| Node invasion, ± | 2.524 | 1.835–3.472 | <0.001 | 2.087 | 1.464–2.973 | <0.001 |
| Perineural invasion, ± | 1.643 | 1.075–2.511 | 0.022 | 1.672 | 1.046–2.671 | 0.032 |
| Cirrhosis, ± | 0.767 | 0.563–1.046 | 0.094 | 0.724 | 0.511–1.025 | 0.069 |
| TNM stage, III/I–II | 1.378 | 1.007–1.887 | 0.045 | 1.059 | 0.747–1.503 | 0.747 |
| CA19-9, ≥22/<22 | 2.083 | 1.463–2.967 | <0.001 | |||
| ALRI grade, high/low | 1.894 | 1.371–2.617 | <0.001 | |||
| CAC grade | 1.868 | 1.485–2.350 | <0.001 | 1.716 | 1.355–2.172 | <0.001 |
Abbreviations: ICC, intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma; GGT, gamma glutamyl transferase; MVI, microvascular invasion; CA19-9, carbohydrate antigen 19-9; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis; ALRI, aspartate aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio; CAC, combine ALRI and CA19-9; OS, overall survival.
Cox Regression Analysis for DFS of ICC Patients in the Derivation Cohort
| Variables | Univariate | Multivariate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | |||
| Age, ≥60/<60 | 0.998 | 0.985–1.011 | 0.777 | |||
| Gender, female/male | 0.976 | 0.739–1.290 | 0.865 | |||
| HBsAg, ± | 1.359 | 1.012–1.826 | 0.042 | 1.367 | 0.978–1.912 | 0.067 |
| Hepatolithiasis, ± | 1.042 | 0.735–1.479 | 0.816 | |||
| White blood count | 1.151 | 0.964–1.213 | 0.721 | |||
| Neutrophils | 1.145 | 0.965–1.210 | 0.311 | |||
| Hemoglobin | 0.972 | 0.912–1.124 | 0.572 | |||
| GGT | 1.021 | 0.972–1.176 | 0.325 | |||
| Tumor size, ≥5/<5 | 1.390 | 1.052–1.837 | 0.021 | 1.212 | 0.906–1.621 | 0.195 |
| Tumor number, multiple/single | 1.961 | 1.453–2.646 | <0.001 | 1.802 | 1.314–2.472 | <0.001 |
| Differentiation, moderate-poor/well | 5.858 | 1.870–18.354 | 0.002 | 4.523 | 1.314–14.505 | 0.011 |
| MVI, ± | 1.735 | 1.138–2.644 | 0.010 | 1.331 | 0.937–1.891 | 0.111 |
| Node invasion, ± | 1.821 | 1.331–2.490 | <0.001 | 1.246 | 0.794–1.955 | 0.339 |
| Perineural invasion, ± | 1.702 | 1.140–2.543 | 0.009 | 2.036 | 1.302–3.183 | 0.002 |
| Cirrhosis, ± | 0.800 | 0.593–1.080 | 0.145 | 0.781 | 0.557–1.095 | 0.152 |
| TNM stage, III/I–II | 1.320 | 0.979–1.781 | 0.069 | 1.059 | 0.759–1.476 | 0.736 |
| CA19-9, ≥22/<22 | 1.520 | 1.104–2.092 | 0.010 | |||
| ALRI grade, high/low | 1.836 | 1.356–2.485 | <0.001 | |||
| CAC grade | 1.587 | 1.288–1.956 | <0.001 | 1.499 | 1.209–1.858 | <0.001 |
Abbreviations: ICC, intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma; GGT, gamma glutamyl transferase; MVI, microvascular invasion; CA19-9, carbohydrate antigen 19–9; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis; ALRI, aspartate aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio; CAC, combine ALRI and CA19-9; DFS, disease-free survival.
Figure 4Comparison of AUCs of ALRI, CA19-9 and CAC grade in predicting OS (A) and DFS (B) in the derivation cohort.