| Literature DB >> 34335035 |
Bart Thaci1, Randy Yee2, Kee Kim1, Amir Vokshoor2,3,4, J Patrick Johnson5, Jared Ament2,3,4,5.
Abstract
STUDYEntities:
Keywords: anterior cervical discectomy and fusion; cervical spondylosis; cost analysis; cost-effectiveness; decision analysis; i-factor; spine allograft; spine fusion
Year: 2021 PMID: 34335035 PMCID: PMC8318088 DOI: 10.2147/CEOR.S318589
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Clinicoecon Outcomes Res ISSN: 1178-6981
Figure 1Markov model depicts patient’s health and work status at each follow-up period. Each node represents transition to health states associated with different costs and utility scores.
Probability of Complications Depending on Preoperative Health Care Status
| Parameters | Period | Value | Source | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mild | < 0 (Initial State) | 1% | RCT | |
| Moderate | < 0 (Initial State) | 7% | ||
| Severe | < 0 (Initial State) | 24% | ||
| Crippled | < 0 (Initial State) | 40% | ||
| Bedbound | < 0 (Initial State) | 29% | ||
| RCT | ||||
| None | All Time | 0.834 | 0.844 | |
| Minor | All Time | 0.145 | 0.137 | |
| Major | All Time | 0.021 | 0.019 | |
| RCT & recommended action for each recorded complication | ||||
| Minor to Conservative Care | >1 (Postop +) | 0.920 | 0.942 | |
| Major to Conservative Care | >1 (Postop +) | 0.198 | 0.269 | |
| Minor to Surgery | >1 (Postop +) | 0.080 | 0.058 | |
| Major to Surgery | >1 (Postop +) | 0.802 | 0.731 | |
| RCT | ||||
| Revision | 9M - 1YR | 0.016 | - | |
| 1YR - 18M | 0.007 | - | ||
| 18M - 2YR | 0.016 | 0.010 | ||
| 2YR - 2YR + | 0.009 | 0.010 | ||
| Removal | 9M - 1YR | - | - | |
| 1YR - 18M | 0.007 | - | ||
| 18M - 2YR | - | - | ||
| 2YR - 2YR + | 0.014 | 0.020 | ||
| Reoperation | 9M - 1YR | - | - | |
| 1YR - 18M | - | - | ||
| 18M - 2YR | - | 0.010 | ||
| 2YR - 2YR + | 0.007 | - | ||
| Supplemental Fixation | 9M - 1YR | - | 0.010 | |
| 1YR - 18M | - | - | ||
| 18M - 2YR | - | 0.020 | ||
| 2YR - 2YR + | 0.014 | 0.010 | ||
| Other | 9M - 1YR | 0.008 | 0.010 | |
| 1YR - 18M | - | - | ||
| 18M - 2YR | 0.031 | 0.020 | ||
| 2YR - 2YR + | 0.012 | 0.020 | ||
Direct Surgical Costs
| 1 Ancillary Procedure | DRG/CPT | Medicare | Private |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRI Cervical Spine | 72,141 | $224.16 | $1,101.00 |
| CT Cervical Spine | 72,125 | $188.68 | $191.00 |
| Epidural steroid injection | 62,320 | $102.71 | $117.00 |
| Physical therapy | 97,110 | $81.01 | $227.00 |
| Office Visit | 99,214 | $51.90 | $109.00 |
| Facility fee | DRG 473 | $13,102.90 | $21,350.00 |
| Outpatient Fee | APC 5115 | $9,912.69 | $16,151.84 |
| Neck spine fusion below c2 | 22,551 | $1,789.70 | $1,951.00 |
| Device | 22,854 | $352.46 | $546.00 |
| Insert spine fixation device | 22,845 | $768.71 | $2,760.00 |
| Structural allografts | 20,931 | $117.49 | $125.00 |
| Fluoroscopy | 77,003 | $99.83 | $204.00 |
| i-Factor | 1cc; 2.5cc; 5cc | $575; $1226; $2090 | |
| Facility fee | DRG 472 | $18,263.96 | $29,759.48 |
| 471 | $34,294.86 | $55,880.39 | |
| Exploration of Spinal Fusion | 22,830 | $851.24 | $433.00 |
| Removal Spine Fixation Device | 22,855 | $1,160.10 | $1,890.28 |
| Neck spine fusion below c2 | 22,551 | $1,789.70 | $1,951.00 |
| Device | 22,854 | $352.46 | $546.00 |
| Insert spine fixation device | 22,845 | $768.71 | $2,760.00 |
| Structural allografts | 20,931 | $117.49 | $125.00 |
| Fluoroscopy | 77,003 | $99.83 | $204.00 |
Base Case Results with Medicare and Private Rates (Both Perspectives)
| Time Horizon | i-Factor | Control | ∆Cost b | ∆QALYc | ICER d, $ per QALY | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost a | QALY | Cost | QALY | |||||
| Health systems | 90 Day | $32,283.00 | 0.1999 | $32,203.00 | 0.1939 | $80.00 | 0.006 | $13,333.33 |
| 1 Year | $46,029.00 | 0.7789 | $46,997.00 | 0.7584 | -$968.00 | 0.0205 | Dominant | |
| 2 Year (Base Case) | $55,706.00 | 1.424 | $57,389.00 | 1.3856 | -$1,683.00 | 0.0384 | Dominant | |
| 6 Year (Extrapolated) | $74,678.00 | 2.6458 | $77,805.00 | 2.5641 | -$3,127.00 | 0.0817 | Dominant | |
| 10 Year (Extrapolated) | $128,475.00 | 5.7838 | $135,861.00 | 5.5599 | -$7,386.00 | 0.2239 | Dominant | |
| Societal | 90 Day | $35,374.00 | 0.1999 | $35,423.00 | 0.1939 | -$49.00 | 0.006 | Dominant |
| 1 Year | $57,970.00 | 0.7789 | $58,819.00 | 0.7584 | -$849.00 | 0.0205 | Dominant | |
| 2 Year (Base Case) | $78,646.00 | 1.424 | $80,307.00 | 1.3856 | -$1,661.00 | 0.0384 | Dominant | |
| 6 Year (Extrapolated) | $117,494.00 | 2.6458 | $120,959.00 | 2.5641 | -$3,465.00 | 0.0817 | Dominant | |
| 10 Year (Extrapolated) | $222,178.00 | 5.7838 | $230,822.00 | 5.5599 | -$8,644.00 | 0.2239 | Dominant | |
Notes: aIncludes P-15 cost in the initial surgery. b∆Cost = P-15 cost - Control cost. c∆QALY = P-15 QALY - Control QALY. dICER = ∆Cost/∆QALY; “Dominant” indicates that i-Factor costs less while yielding a higher QALY.
Scenario Sensitivity Analyses: Cost-Effectiveness of P-15 vs Control in Alternative Scenarios
| Cost, per Patient (i-Factor) | QALY, per Patient | ∆Costa | ∆QALYb | ICERc | NMBd | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% Inpatient (Base Case) | $55,706.00 | 1.424 | -$1,683.00 | 0.0384 | -$43,828.13 | $3,603.00 | |
| 50/50 Inpat/Outpat | $51,567.00 | 1.424 | -$1,683.00 | 0.0384 | -$43,828.13 | $3,603.00 | |
| 100% Outpatient | $47,428.00 | 1.424 | -$1,683.00 | 0.0384 | -$43,828.13 | $3,603.00 | |
| 100% Inpatient | $42,644.00 | 1.424 | -$1,128.00 | 0.0384 | -$29,375.00 | $3,048.00 | |
| 50/50 Inpat/Outpat | $39,594.00 | 1.424 | -$1,128.00 | 0.0384 | -$29,375.00 | $3,048.00 | |
| 100% Outpatient | $36,543.00 | 1.424 | -$1,128.00 | 0.0384 | -$29,375.00 | $3,048.00 | |
| 100% Inpatient | $68,767.00 | 1.424 | -$2,239.00 | 0.0384 | -$58,307.29 | $4,159.00 | |
| 50/50 Inpat/Outpat | $63,540.00 | 1.424 | -$2,239.00 | 0.0384 | -$58,307.29 | $4,159.00 | |
| 100% Outpatient | $58,312.00 | 1.424 | -$2,239.00 | 0.0384 | -$58,307.29 | $4,159.00 | |
Notes: a∆Cost = i-Factor cost - Control Cost. b∆QALY = i-Factor QALY - Control QALY. cICER = ∆Cost/∆QALY; “Dominant” indicates that i-Factor costs less while yielding a higher QALY. dNMB = ∆QALY *WTP threshold ($100,000) - ∆Cost. Same value as top line values in the section.
Figure 2(A) Cost-effectiveness scatter plot representing 5,000 simulated iteration of input parameter variations. The resultant difference in increments of cost vs effectiveness is illustrated. Simulation points below the WTP line indicate cost-effectiveness. (B) Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves created based on the sensitivity analysis scatter plot. Percentages of iterations achieving cost-effectiveness are plotted for either group based on willingness-to-pay thresholds.