Literature DB >> 34316169

Severe Acute Respiratory Infection Surveillance during the Initial Phase of the COVID-19 Outbreak in North India: A Comparison of COVID-19 to Other SARI Causes.

Ashok K Pannu1, Mohan Kumar1, Pranjal Singh1, Alan Shaji1, Arnab Ghosh2, Ashish Behera1, Saurabh C Sharda1, Mandeep Bhatia1, Neeraj Singla1, Deba P Dhibar1, Mini P Singh2, Navneet Sharma1, Atul Saroch1.   

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: World Health Organization proposes severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) case definition for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) surveillance; however, early differentiation between SARI etiologies remains challenging. We aimed to investigate the spectrum and outcome of SARI and compare COVID-19 to non-COVID-19 causes. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted between March 15, 2020, to August 15, 2020, at an adult medical emergency in North India. SARI was diagnosed using a "modified" case definition-febrile respiratory symptoms or radiographic evidence of pneumonia or acute respiratory distress syndrome of ≤14 days duration, along with a need for hospitalization and in the absence of an alternative etiology that fully explains the illness. COVID-19 was diagnosed with reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction testing.
RESULTS: In total, 95/212 (44.8%) cases had COVID-19. Community-acquired pneumonia (n = 57), exacerbation of chronic lung disease (n = 11), heart failure (n = 11), tropical febrile illnesses (n = 10), and influenza A (n = 5) were common non-COVID-19 causes. No between-group differences were apparent in age ≥60 years, comorbidities, oxygenation, leukocytosis, lymphopenia, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE)-II score, CURB-65 score, and ventilator requirement at 24-hour. Bilateral lung distribution and middle-lower zones involvement in radiography predicted COVID-19. The median hospital stay was longer with COVID-19 (12 versus 5 days, p = 0.000); however, mortality was similar (31.6% versus 28.2%, p = 0.593). Independent mortality predictors were higher mean APACHE II in COVID-19 and early ventilator requirement in non-COVID-19 cases.
CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 has similar severity and mortality as non-COVID-19 SARI but requires an extended hospital stay. Including radiography in the SARI definition might improve COVID-19 surveillance. HOW TO CITE THIS ARTICLE: Pannu AK, Kumar M, Singh P, Shaji A, Ghosh A, Behera A, et al. Severe Acute Respiratory Infection Surveillance during the Initial Phase of the COVID-19 Outbreak in North India: A Comparison of COVID-19 to Other SARI Causes. Indian J Crit Care Med 2021;25(7):761-767.
Copyright © 2021; Jaypee Brothers Medical Publishers (P) Ltd.

Entities:  

Keywords:  COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; Severe acute respiratory infection; Severity; Surveillance

Year:  2021        PMID: 34316169      PMCID: PMC8286388          DOI: 10.5005/jp-journals-10071-23882

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Indian J Crit Care Med        ISSN: 0972-5229


Introduction

Severe acute respiratory infection (SARI), a World Health Organization (WHO) case surveillance definition, was initially introduced for complicated flu infection in 2014.[1] It is defined as febrile respiratory illness (fever and at least one symptom of respiratory disease, e.g., cough and shortness of breath) requiring hospitalization without an alternative diagnosis that fully explains the clinical presentation.[1,2] Because of ease to use and excellent sensitivity, the definition has gained global acceptance to identify a catastrophic respiratory infection pandemic early in the course.[1-3] Many contagious and rapidly progressive viral respiratory illnesses such as severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV), middle-east respiratory syndrome coronavirus, Ebola, Nipah have been contained at the source of origin with this robust surveillance strategy. A new human coronavirus, called 2019 novel coronavirus or SARS-CoV-2 associated with severe respiratory disease, has emerged from Wuhan, China, in December 2019.[4] Within a short period of a few weeks, the infection had resulted in a pandemic with high mortality. The symptoms of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) typically include fever, cough, myalgia or fatigue, and shortness of breath.[5-8] Because this clinical spectrum is so overlapping with many respiratory or other infections, it remains challenging to achieve an early differential diagnosis of these diseases—the primary step is to prevent the spread of the virus. Therefore, WHO has proposed to use the case definition of SARI to detect a suspect COVID-19.[9] The causes of SARI are influenced by various factors, including demographic and geographic characteristics, the host's immune status, and preventive strategies (e.g., immunization), which underscore the importance of local epidemiological data. Earlier diagnosis and prediction of severity could improve patient outcomes by leading to proactive isolation and critical unit transfers, prompt treatment, and better allocation of limited resources. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the spectrum, etiology, illness severity, and outcome of patients admitted with SARI during surveillance for suspected COVID-19 cases in an adult medical emergency of North India.

Materials and Methods

Study Site

An isolated ward for patients with SARI presentation was established at the adult medical emergency of the Department of Internal Medicine of the PGIMER, Chandigarh. This hospital is a tertiary care academic hospital that provides healthcare to a large population of North India and has more than 50000 adult patients visits to its medical emergency annually.

Study Design

This was a hospital-based prospective cohort study.

Study Population and Period

All consecutive patients aged 18 years and above with SARI were enrolled from March 15, 2020, to August 15, 2020, i.e., from the beginning of the spread of SARS-CoV-2 through the peak of the outbreak in North India.

Case Definition

The WHO definition of SARI includes acute onset fever and at least one symptom of respiratory disease (e.g., cough and shortness of breath), along with a need for hospitalization and in the absence of an alternative etiology that fully explains the illness.[9] However, because both fever and respiratory symptoms may not be present in all suspected cases, we have modified the definition with any of fever or respiratory symptoms and radiographic evidence of pneumonia or acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) with no identified cause. The WHO case definition for influenza surveillance (2014) described acute illness as the symptom onset within the last 10 days; however, the duration was not explicitly mentioned for the COVID-19 surveillance definition of SARI (2020).[1,9] Initial published reports describing clinical features of COVID-19 demonstrated that a median [interquartile range (IQR)] duration from symptom onset to shortness of breath was 8 days (5–13), and to ARDS was 9 days (8–14).[5] Accordingly, a febrile respiratory illness of ≤14 days duration was defined as SARI for COVID-19 surveillance in this study. We excluded patients with a history of international travel or contact with a confirmed COVID-19 case in the last 14 days before illness onset. Figure 1 shows our surveillance system, enrolment process, and flow of the patients.
Fig. 1

Flowchart showing the SARI surveillance system, enrolment process, and flow of the patients

Flowchart showing the SARI surveillance system, enrolment process, and flow of the patients A confirmed case of COVID-19 was defined as a positive result on real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) assay for SARS-CoV-19 of the nasopharyngeal swab, throat swab, or endotracheal aspirate samples.

Data Collection

All consecutive patients fulfilling inclusion and exclusion criteria underwent a history taking, physical examination, and laboratory investigations, including RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2, complete blood count (hemoglobin, leukocyte count, and platelets), biochemistry (serum sodium and potassium, blood urea and creatinine, bilirubin, liver transaminases), coagulation testing, arterial blood gas analysis with lactate, and chest radiograph. Polymerase chain reaction for H1N1 and other influenza viruses (A and B) were performed by following standard recommendations.[10] Further investigations, including cultures of blood and body fluids, serological testing for tropical febrile illnesses, and thoracic computed tomography, were done according to the management of SARI. Chest radiographs (preferably a posteroanterior view) were obtained with the use of the digital radiographic system. Radiograph assessments were performed by one of the three authors (A.K.P., M.K., and A.S.) by documenting normal or abnormal, and if abnormal—lung distribution, the pattern of parenchymal lesions, and associated findings (e.g., pleural effusion). We defined the degree of disease severity at the time of admission in four ways, according to critical illness severity score [acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score (range, 0–71; with higher scores indicating greater disease severity)], organ dysfunction [sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score (range, 0–20; with higher scores indicating more severe organ dysfunction) and quick SOFA (qSOFA) score (range, 0–3; with ≥2 scores indicating severe organ dysfunction)], need of ICU admission in respiratory infections (CURB-65 score ≥2 [range, 0–5; with scores ≥2 indicating a high risk of mortality], and respiratory failure requiring invasive mechanical ventilation in first 24 hours [yes or no]), and shock requiring vasopressors in first 24 hours (yes or no).[11-14] The diagnosis and treatment of SARI patients were following standard guidelines.[10,13,15-21] COVID-19 management was modified according to the available evidence during the pandemic. Outcomes were measured as in-hospital mortality and length of hospital stay.

Standard Protocol Approval

The Institutional Ethics Committee approved the study (No.: INT/IEC/2020/SPL-882). Written informed consent was waived in light of case surveillance among suspected COVID-19 patients during the pandemic with high mortality, the nature of the contagious illness, and the participant's isolation. We used anonymized patient data, and no intervention of any kind was performed. The waiver did not adversely affect the participant's rights and welfare, and, where appropriate, additional information was provided.

Statistical Analysis

All analyses were performed using Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS), version 25 for Mac. The patients were divided according to the etiology of SARI into COVID-19 and non-COVID-19. Categorical variables were summarized with frequencies and proportions and were compared with the use of the chi-square test. Continuous data were summarized with mean with standard deviation (SD) or median with IQR and compared with the use of Student's t-test or the nonparametric Mann–Whitney–Wilcoxon test. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of death. All tests of significance were two-tailed, and a p-value of 0.05 or less was considered to indicate statistical significance.

Results

In total, 212 patients who fulfilled the “modified” case definition of SARI were enrolled from adjoining geographic regions of North India, including Punjab (35.5%), Haryana (27.4%), Chandigarh (24.5%), Himachal Pradesh (6.1%), Uttar Pradesh (5.7%), Bihar (0.5%), and New Delhi (0.5%). Ninety-five (44.8%) patients had confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. Among 117 non-COVID-19 cases, community-acquired pneumonia (n = 57, 26.9%) was the most common diagnosis, next to being acute exacerbation of chronic lung disease (n = 11, 5.2%), acute decompensated heart failure (n = 11, 5.2%), tropical febrile illnesses (n = 10, 4.7%; scrub typhus, n = 4), influenza A (n = 5, 2.4%; H1N1, n = 4), tuberculosis (n = 4, 1.9%), Pneumocystis jiroveci pneumonia (n = 4, 1.9%), and Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia (n = 2, 0.9%), pyopneumothorax (n = 1), Escherichia coli urosepsis (n = 1), pulmonary thromboembolism (n = 1), amniotic fluid embolism (n = 1), malignant melanoma with lung metastasis (n = 1), acute promyelocytic leukemia (n = 1), acute-on-chronic liver failure (n = 1), and undiagnosed (n = 6, 2.8%). A rapid surge of COVID-19 cases was noted from June 2020 (Fig. 2). Out of 95 COVID-19 cases, 78 fulfilled the WHO case definition of SARI (fever with respiratory symptoms). An additional 17 (17.9%) patients were diagnosed with the inclusion of chest radiograph abnormalities (abnormal radiograph with respiratory symptoms, n = 16; abnormal radiograph with fever, n = 1). On the contrary, 105/117 non-COVID-19 cases fulfilled WHO case definition, 10 had abnormal radiograph with respiratory symptoms, and 2 had abnormal radiograph with fever.
Fig. 2

Distribution of SARI cases through the five-month study period

Distribution of SARI cases through the five-month study period The mean age was 50.3 years (range, 18–93 years), and COVID-19 patients were older than non-COVID-19 patients by a mean of 6 years (p = 0.005) (Table 1). Most clinical features were similar on admission, but chest radiograph abnormality (p = 0.036), including bilateral lung distribution (p = 0.004), and involvement of both middle and lower zones (p = 0.003) were more frequent in COVID-19. No between-group differences were apparent in leukocytosis, lymphopenia, and arterial blood gas parameters, including oxygenation (ratio of the arterial partial pressure of oxygen and the fraction of inspired oxygen); however, the non-COVID-19 group had a higher mean leukocyte count (p = 0.011), lower prothrombin index (p = 0.011), and higher serum bilirubin (p = 0.001). Illness severity at admission in terms of APACHE II score, CURB-65 score, and ventilator requirement at 24 hours was similar, but non-COVID-19 patients were more likely than COVID-19 patients to have higher values of SOFA score (p = 0.000) and qSOFA score (p = 0.022), and need of vasopressor support for shock (p = 0.029) (Table 2). The median length of hospital stay was 7 days (range, 1–72 days). The duration was significantly longer in COVID-19 patients (12 days versus 5 days, p = 0.000).
Table 1

Clinical, radiological, and laboratory features of SARI patients on presentation with a comparison between COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 groups

ParametersTotal (n = 212)COVID-19 (n = 95)Non-COVID-19 (n = 117)p-value
Age (years), mean ± SD   50.3 ± 15.9   53.7 ± 13.4   47.6 ± 17.20.005
Age ≥60 years, n (%)    70 (33.0%)    36 (37.9%)    34 (29.1 %)0.119
Male gender, n (%)    126 (59.4%)    62 (65.3%)    64 (54.7%)0.119
Medical comorbidities, n (%)
     None    66 (31.1%)    26 (27.4%)    40 (34.2%)0.286
     Diabetes mellitus    40 (18.9%)    20 (21.1 %)    20 (17.1 %)0.464
     Hypertension or coronary artery disease    24 (11.3%)    15 (15.8%)     9 (7.7%)0.064
     Chronic kidney disease    14 (6.6%)     6 (6.3%)     8 (6.8%)0.879
     Chronic lung disease    13 (6.1%)     3 (3.2%)    10 (8.5%)0.104
     Others*    38 (17.9)    18 (18.9)    20 (1 7.1 %)0.704
≥2 comorbidities    17 (8.0%)     7 (7.4%)    10 (8.5%)0.753
Duration of illness (days), median (IQR)   5.0 (3.0-7.0)   5.0 (3.0-7.0)   5.0 (3.0-7.0)0.657
Chief complaints, n (%)
     Shortness of breath    201 (94.8%)    90 (94.7%)    111 (94.9%)0.965
     Fever  179 (84.4%)    77 (81.1 %)    102 (87.2%)0.221
     Cough    125 (59.0%)    55 (57.9%)    70 (59.8%)0.776
     Sore throat    23 (10.8%)    10 (10.5%)    13 (11.1 %)0.892
     Altered mental status    15 (7.5%)     6 (6.3%)     9 (7.7%)0.697
     Myalgia or headache    19 (9.0%)     7 (7.4%)    12 (10.3%)0.464
     Diarrhea, abdominal pain or vomiting    24 (11.3%)     9 (9.5%)    15 (12.8%)0.444
Oxygen saturation <94%, n (%)    194 (91.5%)    83 (87.4%)    111 (94.9%)0.051
Respiratory rate (per min), mean ± SD   26.5 ± 5.1   25.9 ± 4.4   27.0 ± 5.60.119
Pulse rate (per min), mean ± SD  105.2 ± 17.0  102.4 ± 14.6  107.4 ± 18.50.031
Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg), mean ± SD  118.8 ± 21.6  121.2 ± 20.4   116.8 ± 22.50.146
Diastolic blood pressure (mm Hg), mean ± SD   73.9 ± 14.1   75.2 ± 10.7   72.8 ± 16.40.229
Score on Glasgow coma scale <15, n (%)    26 (12.3%)     8 (8.4%)    18 (15.4%)0.124
Chest radiography, n (%)      (n = 197)      (n = 90)      (n = 107)
Abnormal   179 (90.9%)    86 (95.6%)    93 (86.9%)0.036
Bilateral lung distribution    152 (77.2%)    80 (93.0%)    72 (77.4%)0.004
Predominant zone involvement
     Upper     4 (2.1 %)     1 (1.1 %)     3 (2.8%)0.420
     Middle    20 (10.3%)     8 (9.2%)    12 (11.2%)0.645
     Lower    38 (19.6%)    16 (1 8.4%)    22 (20.6%)0.705
     Middle and Lower    61 (31.4%)    37 (42.5%)    24 (22.4%)0.003
     Diffuse    59 (30.4)    22 (25.3%)    37 (34.6%)0.162
Predominant parenchymal lesions
     Multifocal alveolar opacities    74 (42.8%)    30 (38.0%)    44 (46.8%)0.242
     Reticulonodular infiltrates    72 (41.6%)    35 (44.3%)    37 (39.4%)0.511
     Lobar consolidation    20 (11.6%)    10 (12.7%)    10 (1 0.6%)0.679
     Cavitation     6 (3.5%)     4 (5.1%)     2 (2.1%)0.293
Pleural effusion    20 (10.2%)     5 (5.6%)    15 (14.0%)0.079
Total leukocyte counts (per μL), median (IQR)    9700 (7200–13,500)    8800 (6400–12,400)10,450 (7925–14,225)0.011
Leukocytosis (>11,000 per μL), n (%)    77 (36.3%)    29 (30.5%)    48 (41.0%)0.103
Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, median (IQR)   7.3 (3.9–12.6)   7.6 (3.7–1 2.9)   7.3 (4.1–12.4)0.713
Lymphopenia (<1500 per μL), n (%)    137 (68.8%)    68 (71.6%)    69 (59.0%)0.100
Platelets (per μL), median (IQR)189,000 (107,000–259,000)194,000 (147,000–271,000)178,500 (88,250–258,250)0.121
Prothrombin index (%), median (IQR)   88.0 (77.0–97.0)   91.0 (84.2–99.0)   82.0 (73.0–93.5)0.000
Serum sodium (mEq/L), mean ± SD   136.1 ± 7.0   136.2 ± 5.3   136.0 ± 8.10.869
Blood urea (mg/dL), median (IQR)    47.5 (29.0–79.7)    43.5 (29.0–72.7)    51.0 (30.0–91.7)0.197
Serum creatinine (mg/dL), median (IQR)     1.0 (0.7–1.8)     0.9 (0.7–1.4)     1.2 (0.7–2.6)0.099
Serum bilirubin (mg/dL), median (IQR)     0.6 (0.4–1.0)     0.5 (0.3–0.7)     0.7 (0.4–1.3)0.001
Aspartate transaminase (U/L), median (IQR)    46.0 (28.0–75.0)    52.5 (32.7–66.7)    41.0 (26.0–86.0)0.171
Alanine transaminase (U/L), median (IQR)    40.0 (19.5–68.5)    42.5 (21.7–69.7)    36.0 (19.0–63.0)0.262
Blood pH, mean ± SD    7.37 ± 0.11    7.37 ± 0.12    7.38 ± 0.110.705
PO2: FiO2 ratio (mmHg), mean ± SD   227.9 ± 105.9   232.4 ± 110.8   224.9 ± 102.90.661
Lactate (mmol/L), median (IQR)     2.0 (1.5–2.8)     2.0 (1.3–2.7)     2.1 (1.6–2.9)0.167

Others include chronic hematological disorder (8), morbid obesity (body mass index ≥40 kg/m2) (n = 6), malignancy (n = 6), postrenal transplantation (n = 5), chronic immunosuppressive use (n = 5), pregnancy (n = 4), liver cirrhosis (n = 3), and human immunodeficiency virus (n = 1); FiO2, fraction of inspired oxygen; PaO2, arterial partial pressure of oxygen

Table 2

Illness severity at presentation and outcomes of SARI patients with a comparison between COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 groups

ParametersTotal (n = 212)COVID-19 (n = 95)Non-COVID-19 (n = 117)p-value
APACHE II score, mean ± SD14.0 ± 6.813.5 ± 7.314.3 ± 6.40.483
SOFA score, mean ± SD 4.4 ± 2.6 3.5 ± 2.3 4.9 ± 2.70.000
qSOFA score ≥2, n (%) 59 (27.8%) 19 (20.0%) 40 (34.2%)0.022
CURB-65 score ≥2, n (%) 75 (35.5%) 28 (29.8%) 47 (40.9%)0.097
Need of invasive mechanical ventilation at 24 hr, n (%) 39 (18.4%) 14 (14.7%) 25 (21.4%)0.215
Need of vasopressor support at 24 hr, n (%) 19 (9.0%)  4 (4.2%) 15 (12.8%)0.029
In-hospital mortality, n (%) 63 (28.9%) 30 (31.6%) 33 (28.2%)0.593
Hospital stay (days), median (IQR) 7.0 (3.0–13.0)12.0 (7.0–17.0) 5.0 (1.0–8.5)0.000
Clinical, radiological, and laboratory features of SARI patients on presentation with a comparison between COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 groups Others include chronic hematological disorder (8), morbid obesity (body mass index ≥40 kg/m2) (n = 6), malignancy (n = 6), postrenal transplantation (n = 5), chronic immunosuppressive use (n = 5), pregnancy (n = 4), liver cirrhosis (n = 3), and human immunodeficiency virus (n = 1); FiO2, fraction of inspired oxygen; PaO2, arterial partial pressure of oxygen Illness severity at presentation and outcomes of SARI patients with a comparison between COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 groups The case fatality rate was 28.9%, with no statistical difference between COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 patients (31.6% versus 28.2%, p = 0.593) (Table 2). Univariate analysis showed that the risk of death in COVID-19 patients was increased among those who had a higher pulse rate (p = 0.047), higher respiratory rate (p = 0.000), leukocytosis (p = 0.014), increased neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (p = 0.047), elevated blood urea (p = 0.000), high APACHE II score (p = 0.000), high SOFA score (p = 0.004), qSOFA score ≥2 (p = 0.050), CURB-65 score ≥2 (p = 0.000), and the need of invasive ventilation within 24 hours (p = 0.000). However, in multivariate analysis, high APACHE II score was the only predictor of death (p = 0.028) (Table 3). For non-COVID-19 patients, the factors predicted mortality on univariate analysis were a higher pulse rate (p = 0.028), higher respiratory rate (p = 0.000), increased neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (p = 0.005), high APACHE II score (p = 0.017), high SOFA score (p = 0.010), qSOFA score ≥2 (p = 0.027), CURB-65 score ≥2 (p = 0.000), the need of invasive ventilation (p = 0.000), and the need of vasopressors (p = 0.002). Among these, only the requirement of invasive ventilation was found to be the independent predictor of death on the multivariant regression analysis (p = 0.038) (Table 3).
Table 3

Multivariate logistic regression analysis for predictors of mortality in COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 groups

ParametersCOVID-19 (n = 95)Non-COVID-19 (n = 117)
Died (n = 30)Survived (n = 65)p-valueDied (n = 33)Survived (n = 84)p-value
Respiratory rate (per min), mean ± SD 28.1 ± 4.4 24.8 ± 3.90.803 30.3 ± 6.5 25.7 ± 4.50.470
Pulse rate (per min), mean ± SD106.6 ± 13.8100.3 ± 14.70.337113.6 ± 19.8105.1 ± 17.60.172
Leukocytosis (≥11,000/μL), n (%)  15 (47.9%)  14 (22.2%)0.593  13 (41.9%)  35 (41.2%)a
Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, median (IQR) 10.7 (5.3–15.0)  6.2 (3.6–10.2)0.708 10.0 (6.8–15.0)  6.0 (3.6-10.1)0.066
Blood urea (mg/dL), median (IQR) 65.5 (45.0–116.5) 40.5 (28.0–66.0)0.487 60.0 (43.0–108.0) 48.0 (28.0–85.0)a
APACHE II score, mean ± SD 18.4 ± 6.2 11.2 ± 6.70.028 16.9 ± 5.1 13.4 ± 6.60.636
SOFA score, mean ± SD  4.7 ± 3.0  2.9 ± 1.70.960  6.1 ± 2.0  4.5 ± 2.70.867
qSOFA score ≥2, n (%)  10 (31.2%)   9 (14.3%)0.414  16 (50.0%)  24 (28.2%)0.253
CURB-65 score ≥2, n (%)  18 (58.1%)  10 (15.9 %)0.093  21 (67.7%)  26 (30.9%)0.645
Need of invasive ventilation, n (%)  12 (37.5%)   2 (3.2%)0.200  19 (59.4%)   6 (7.1%)0.038
Need of vasopressor support, n (%)   4 (12.5%)   0   9 (2.8%)   6 (7.1%)0.743

Not included in multivariate analysis as univariant analysis did not show a statistical difference

Multivariate logistic regression analysis for predictors of mortality in COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 groups Not included in multivariate analysis as univariant analysis did not show a statistical difference

Discussion

Our study represents a model of enhanced surveillance strategy at a medical emergency during the initial phase of a respiratory infection outbreak. This report of 212 cases from North India is unique in its description of comparison between COVID-19 patients and other non-COVID-19 diseases (infectious and noninfectious), both diagnosed as SARI at presentation using a “modified” case definition and had similar clinical characteristics and illness severity. Abnormal chest radiograph with bilateral distribution or both middle and lower zones involvement favored COVID-19 diagnosis. Mortality was high in both groups, but COVID-19 required prolonged hospitalization. A high prevalence of medical comorbidities, particularly diabetes and cardiovascular conditions, was documented in SARI patients. Difficulty breathing was the most common presenting symptom, and the absence of fever was not infrequent, more so with COVID-19. Expanding WHO's case definition of SARI to include radiographic abnormalities was appropriate in our study. It detected approximately 18% additional COVID-19 patients as well as predicted a COVID-19 diagnosis that could enable early isolation. COVID-19 patients less commonly reported abdominal symptoms, headache, myalgia, and altered sensorium; however, because this cohort represents the more severe end of COVID-19, we cannot describe the full spectrum of the disease.[5-8,22-24] Non-COVID-19 causes like community-acquired pneumonia, acute decompensation or exacerbation of underlying chronic cardiorespiratory conditions, endemic infections such as scrub typhus or tuberculosis, sepsis from nonrespiratory infections, posed considerable diagnostic confusion. To differentiate COVID-19 from its counterpart early, coexisting conditions, clinical features, oxygenation, and early ventilator requirement did not help. However, COVID-19 patients had more prominent radiographic abnormalities. Finding the bilaterally distributed lesions with middle and lower zones’ involvement might serve as an alert to initiate COVID-19 management, i.e., isolation, dexamethasone, anticoagulation, or remdesivir in a patient admitted with SARI in the medical emergency.[25,26] Computed tomography has higher sensitivity and less interobserver variability than radiography; however, cost, radiation, and no wide-availability limit its screening role. Non-COVID-19 patients had a higher mean of SOFA, qSOFA ≥2 in more than one-third, and shock requiring pressor support; therefore, they were more likely to have sepsis or sepsis-like syndrome with multiorgan dysfunction on admission.[13] Both groups had about 30% in-hospital mortality. After multivariable adjustment, mortality was associated with a higher APACHE II score in the COVID-19 group and a ventilator requirement at 24 hours in the non-COVID-19 group. Despite similar illness severity and case fatality, COVID-19 patients required a median hospital stay of more than double than non-COVID-19 patients. The rising global threat of reducing inpatient bed capacity due to the extended hospital stay of COVID-19 patients would be a significant concern in low- and middle-income countries, which emphasizes the need for healthcare reform to provide balanced and appropriate critical care services (e.g., ICU bed or ventilator) to both COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 patients.[27-29]

Limitations

Our study's major limitations are single-center small population size and a lack of detailed data regarding mechanical ventilation beyond the initial 24 hours and other major complications during hospitalization. We did not evaluate the possible causes of the prolonged hospitalization in COVID-19 patients, such as institutional isolation or discharge policies or a requirement of prolonged mechanical ventilation or oxygen supplementation because of nonresolving lung parenchymal disease, pulmonary thromboembolism, and/or lack of evidence-based treatment at the beginning of the pandemic. Certain potential markers associated with COVID-19 severity, such as D-dimer, C-reactive protein, serum ferritin, interleukin-6 levels, cardiac biomarkers, viral load, were not measured in all patients.[30,31]

Conclusion

The study contributes information to understanding the early triaging of patients with severe acute lower respiratory illness during the pandemic. Illness severity and mortality were high and comparable between COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 cases with SARI presentation; however, hospital stay was far more extended with a greater occupancy of the inpatient beds in the former. Including chest radiography into the WHO SARI definition might improve a COVID-19 surveillance model in a hospital setting.

Acknowledgments

The authors thank Mrs. Sunaina Verma for her help with statistics.

Author Contributions

A.K.P.—conceived the idea, patient management, collected patient data, wrote the first draft, and revised the manuscript. M.K., P.S., A.S., A.G., and A.B.—patient management and collected patient data. S.C.S., M.B., N.S., D.P.D., M.P.S., and N.S.— patient management. A.S.—patient management, collected patient data, and revised the manuscript.

Orcid

Ashok K Pannu https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4476-3478 Mohan Kumar https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4426-9610 Pranjal Singh https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9792-9163 Alan Shaji https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8027-6952 Arnab Ghosh https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9628-6052 Ashish Behera https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1750-2352 Saurabh C Sharda https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7039-0276 Mandeep Bhatia https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6286-1231 Neeraj Singla https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7983-1637 Deba P Dhibar https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0201-0160 Mini P Singh https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6263-1850 Navneet Sharma https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5707-9686 Atul Saroch https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9723-6500
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Journal:  Thorax       Date:  2009-10       Impact factor: 9.139

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Journal:  Circulation       Date:  2017-04-28       Impact factor: 29.690

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Journal:  Crit Care Med       Date:  1985-10       Impact factor: 7.598

Review 4.  Severe Covid-19.

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Journal:  JAMA Netw Open       Date:  2020-06-01

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Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  2020-02-28       Impact factor: 91.245

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Journal:  Nat Med       Date:  2020-05-11       Impact factor: 53.440

9.  Infectious Diseases Society of America Guidelines on the Treatment and Management of Patients with COVID-19.

Authors:  Adarsh Bhimraj; Rebecca L Morgan; Amy Hirsch Shumaker; Valery Lavergne; Lindsey Baden; Vincent Chi-Chung Cheng; Kathryn M Edwards; Rajesh Gandhi; William J Muller; John C O'Horo; Shmuel Shoham; M Hassan Murad; Reem A Mustafa; Shahnaz Sultan; Yngve Falck-Ytter
Journal:  Clin Infect Dis       Date:  2020-04-27       Impact factor: 9.079

10.  COVID-19 length of hospital stay: a systematic review and data synthesis.

Authors:  Eleanor M Rees; Emily S Nightingale; Yalda Jafari; Naomi R Waterlow; Samuel Clifford; Carl A B Pearson; Cmmid Working Group; Thibaut Jombart; Simon R Procter; Gwenan M Knight
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