Literature DB >> 34221128

The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change.

A M Vicedo-Cabrera1,2,3, N Scovronick4, F Sera3,5, D Royé6,7, R Schneider3,8,9,10, A Tobias11,12, C Astrom13, Y Guo14, Y Honda15, D M Hondula16, R Abrutzky17, S Tong18,19,20,21, M de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho22, P H Nascimento Saldiva22, E Lavigne23,24, P Matus Correa25, N Valdes Ortega25, H Kan26, S Osorio27, J Kyselý28,29, A Urban28,29, H Orru30, E Indermitte30, J J K Jaakkola31,32, N Ryti31, M Pascal33, A Schneider34, K Katsouyanni35,36, E Samoli35, F Mayvaneh37, A Entezari37, P Goodman38, A Zeka39, P Michelozzi40, F de'Donato40, M Hashizume41, B Alahmad42, M Hurtado Diaz43, C De La Cruz Valencia43, A Overcenco44, D Houthuijs45, C Ameling45, S Rao46, F Di Ruscio46, G Carrasco-Escobar47, X Seposo48, S Silva49, J Madureira50,51, I H Holobaca52, S Fratianni53, F Acquaotta53, H Kim54, W Lee54, C Iniguez7,55, B Forsberg13, M S Ragettli56,57, Y L L Guo58,59, B Y Chen59, S Li14, B Armstrong3,9, A Aleman60, A Zanobetti42, J Schwartz42, T N Dang61, D V Dung61, N Gillett62, A Haines3,8, M Mengel63, V Huber63,64, A Gasparrini3,9,65.   

Abstract

Climate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991-2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0% (range 20.5-76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change.

Entities:  

Year:  2021        PMID: 34221128      PMCID: PMC7611104          DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-01058-x

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Nat Clim Chang


  19 in total

1.  Distributed Lag Linear and Non-Linear Models in R: The Package dlnm.

Authors:  Antonio Gasparrini
Journal:  J Stat Softw       Date:  2011-07       Impact factor: 6.440

2.  Estimating economic damage from climate change in the United States.

Authors:  Solomon Hsiang; Robert Kopp; Amir Jina; James Rising; Michael Delgado; Shashank Mohan; D J Rasmussen; Robert Muir-Wood; Paul Wilson; Michael Oppenheimer; Kate Larsen; Trevor Houser
Journal:  Science       Date:  2017-06-30       Impact factor: 47.728

Review 3.  Review Article: Vulnerability to Heat-related Mortality: A Systematic Review, Meta-analysis, and Meta-regression Analysis.

Authors:  Tarik Benmarhnia; Séverine Deguen; Jay S Kaufman; Audrey Smargiassi
Journal:  Epidemiology       Date:  2015-11       Impact factor: 4.822

4.  Multivariate meta-analysis for non-linear and other multi-parameter associations.

Authors:  A Gasparrini; B Armstrong; M G Kenward
Journal:  Stat Med       Date:  2012-07-16       Impact factor: 2.373

5.  Reducing and meta-analysing estimates from distributed lag non-linear models.

Authors:  Antonio Gasparrini; Ben Armstrong
Journal:  BMC Med Res Methodol       Date:  2013-01-09       Impact factor: 4.615

6.  Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature: a multicountry observational study.

Authors:  Antonio Gasparrini; Yuming Guo; Masahiro Hashizume; Eric Lavigne; Antonella Zanobetti; Joel Schwartz; Aurelio Tobias; Shilu Tong; Joacim Rocklöv; Bertil Forsberg; Michela Leone; Manuela De Sario; Michelle L Bell; Yue-Liang Leon Guo; Chang-fu Wu; Haidong Kan; Seung-Muk Yi; Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho; Paulo Hilario Nascimento Saldiva; Yasushi Honda; Ho Kim; Ben Armstrong
Journal:  Lancet       Date:  2015-05-20       Impact factor: 79.321

Review 7.  Detecting and Attributing Health Burdens to Climate Change.

Authors:  Kristie L Ebi; Nicholas H Ogden; Jan C Semenza; Alistair Woodward
Journal:  Environ Health Perspect       Date:  2017-08-07       Impact factor: 9.031

8.  Hands-on Tutorial on a Modeling Framework for Projections of Climate Change Impacts on Health.

Authors:  Ana M Vicedo-Cabrera; Francesco Sera; Antonio Gasparrini
Journal:  Epidemiology       Date:  2019-05       Impact factor: 4.822

9.  A multi-country analysis on potential adaptive mechanisms to cold and heat in a changing climate.

Authors:  Ana M Vicedo-Cabrera; Francesco Sera; Yuming Guo; Yeonseung Chung; Katherine Arbuthnott; Shilu Tong; Aurelio Tobias; Eric Lavigne; Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho; Paulo Hilario Nascimento Saldiva; Patrick G Goodman; Ariana Zeka; Masahiro Hashizume; Yasushi Honda; Ho Kim; Martina S Ragettli; Martin Röösli; Antonella Zanobetti; Joel Schwartz; Ben Armstrong; Antonio Gasparrini
Journal:  Environ Int       Date:  2017-12-20       Impact factor: 9.621

10.  Modeling exposure-lag-response associations with distributed lag non-linear models.

Authors:  Antonio Gasparrini
Journal:  Stat Med       Date:  2013-09-12       Impact factor: 2.373

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  29 in total

1.  Estimating the cause-specific relative risks of non-optimal temperature on daily mortality: a two-part modelling approach applied to the Global Burden of Disease Study.

Authors:  Katrin G Burkart; Michael Brauer; Aleksandr Y Aravkin; William W Godwin; Simon I Hay; Jaiwei He; Vincent C Iannucci; Samantha L Larson; Stephen S Lim; Jiangmei Liu; Christopher J L Murray; Peng Zheng; Maigeng Zhou; Jeffrey D Stanaway
Journal:  Lancet       Date:  2021-08-21       Impact factor: 79.321

Review 2.  Classic and exertional heatstroke.

Authors:  Abderrezak Bouchama; Bisher Abuyassin; Cynthia Lehe; Orlando Laitano; Ollie Jay; Francis G O'Connor; Lisa R Leon
Journal:  Nat Rev Dis Primers       Date:  2022-02-03       Impact factor: 52.329

3.  Estimating heat-related mortality in near real time for national heatwave plans.

Authors:  Y T Eunice Lo; Dann M Mitchell; Ross Thompson; Emer O'Connell; Antonio Gasparrini
Journal:  Environ Res Lett       Date:  2022-02-03       Impact factor: 6.947

4.  Associations between Weather, Air Quality and Moderate Extreme Cancer-Related Mortality Events in Augsburg, Southern Germany.

Authors:  Patrick Olschewski; Irena Kaspar-Ott; Stephanie Koller; Gerhard Schenkirsch; Martin Trepel; Elke Hertig
Journal:  Int J Environ Res Public Health       Date:  2021-11-09       Impact factor: 3.390

Review 5.  Climate Change and Infections on the Move in North America.

Authors:  Naomi Hauser; Kathryn C Conlon; Angel Desai; Leda N Kobziar
Journal:  Infect Drug Resist       Date:  2021-12-30       Impact factor: 4.003

6.  Future heat adaptation and exposure among urban populations and why a prospering economy alone won't save us.

Authors:  Luís Costa; Boris F Prahl; Linda Krummenauer; Jürgen P Kropp
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2021-10-13       Impact factor: 4.379

7.  Estimates of country level temperature-related mortality damage functions.

Authors:  R Daniel Bressler; Frances C Moore; Kevin Rennert; David Anthoff
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2021-10-13       Impact factor: 4.379

8.  A Low-Cost, Easy-to-Assemble Device to Prevent Infant Hyperthermia under Conditions of High Thermal Stress.

Authors:  Ramon Farré; Miguel A Rodríguez-Lázaro; Anh Tuan Dinh-Xuan; Martí Pons-Odena; Daniel Navajas; David Gozal
Journal:  Int J Environ Res Public Health       Date:  2021-12-19       Impact factor: 3.390

9.  Comparison of weather station and climate reanalysis data for modelling temperature-related mortality.

Authors:  Malcolm N Mistry; Rochelle Schneider; Pierre Masselot; Dominic Royé; Ben Armstrong; Jan Kyselý; Hans Orru; Francesco Sera; Shilu Tong; Éric Lavigne; Aleš Urban; Joana Madureira; David García-León; Dolores Ibarreta; Juan-Carlos Ciscar; Luc Feyen; Evan de Schrijver; Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho; Mathilde Pascal; Aurelio Tobias; Yuming Guo; Ana M Vicedo-Cabrera; Antonio Gasparrini
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2022-03-25       Impact factor: 4.996

10.  Science Policy to Advance a Climate Change and Health Research Agenda in the United States.

Authors:  Jaime Madrigano; Regina A Shih; Maxwell Izenberg; Jordan R Fischbach; Benjamin L Preston
Journal:  Int J Environ Res Public Health       Date:  2021-07-25       Impact factor: 3.390

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