| Literature DB >> 34213771 |
Roxana Knobel1, Maíra L S Takemoto2, Marcos Nakamura-Pereira3, Mariane O Menezes2, Vicente K Borges4, Leila Katz5, Melania M R Amorim5, Carla B Andreucci6.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To compare risk of death due to COVID-19 among pregnant, postpartum, and non-pregnant women of reproductive age in Brazil, using the severe acute respiratory syndrome surveillance system (SARS-SS).Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; cardiovascular disease; maternal death; obesity; postpartum; pregnancy; women of reproductive age
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34213771 PMCID: PMC9087613 DOI: 10.1002/ijgo.13811
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Gynaecol Obstet ISSN: 0020-7292 Impact factor: 4.447
Characteristics of the sample by pregnancy statusª
| Pregnant (n=2265) | Postpartum (n=630) | Non‐obstetric (n=21 910) |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years)‐median (range) | 29 (11–44) | 30 (12–44) | 36 (10–44) | <0.0001 |
| Age (years) | ||||
| <20 | 211 (9.3) | 62 (9.8) | 997 (4.6) | |
| 20–34 | 1541 (68.0) | 404 (64.1) | 8551 (39.0) | <0.0001 |
| >34 | 513 (22.6) | 164 (26.0) | 12 262 (56.4) | |
| Ethnicity | ||||
| White | 578 (25.5) | 130 (20.6) | 6612 (30.2) | <0.0001 |
| Black | 110 (4.9) | 37 (5.9) | 915 (4.2) | |
| Yellow | 20 (0.9) | 6 (1.0) | 224 (1.0) | |
| Brown/Pardo | 1040 (45.9) | 324 (51.4) | 7243 (33.1) | |
| Indigenous | 25 (1.1) | 6 (1.0) | 66 (0.3) | |
| Unknown | 492 (21.7) | 127 (20 | 6850 (31.3) | |
| SpO2 <95% at notification | 490 (21.6) | 219 (34.8) | 7762 (35.4) | <0.0001 |
| No risk factor or co‐morbidity | 1683 (74.3) | 440 (69.8) | 13 897 (63.4) | <0.0001 |
| Cancer | 5 (0.2) | 4 (0.6) | 415 (1.9) | <0.0001 |
| Cardiovascular diseases | 216 (9.5) | 95 (15.1) | 2963 (13.5) | <0.0001 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 178 (7.9) | 51 (8.1) | 1952 (8.9) | 0.20 |
| Gastrointestinal diseases | 4 (0.2) | 3 (0.5) | 55 (0.3) | 0.41 |
| Hematological diseases | 30 (1.3) | 3 (0.5) | 282 (1.3) | 0.19 |
| Immunosuppression or HIV/AIDS | 28 (1.2) | 13 (2.1) | 676 (3.1) | <0.0001 |
| Kidney diseases | 10 (0.4) | 10 (1.6) | 511 (2.3) | <0.0001 |
| Liver diseases | 5 (0.2) | 4 (0.6) | 95 (0.4) | 0.23 |
| Neurological diseases or stroke | 20 (0.9) | 4 (0.6) | 387 (1.8) | 0.0009 |
| Obesity | 92 (4.1) | 41 (6.5) | 1912 (8.7) | <0.0001 |
| Respiratory diseases (including asthma) | 104 (4.6) | 21 (3.3) | 1385 (6.3) | 0.0001 |
| Rheumatological diseases | 6 (0.3) | 3 (0.5) | 200 (0.9) | 0.003 |
| Thrombotic events or vascular diseases | 3 (0.1) | 2 (0.3) | 44 (0.2) | 0.62 |
| Thyroid diseases | 38 (1.7) | 3 (0.5) | 273 (1.2) | 0.043 |
Values are given as number (percentage) if no otherwise specified.
Case fatality rate by characteristics of the total sample
| Cure (n=21 676) | Death (n=3129) |
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | |||
| <20 | 1135 (89.4) | 135 (10.6) | <0.0001 |
| 20–34 | 9486 (90.4) | 1010 (9.6) | |
| >34 | 11 055 (84.8) | 1984 (15.2) | |
| Ethnicity | |||
| White | 6581 (89.9) | 739 (10.1) | <0.0001 |
| Black | 885 (83.3) | 177 (16.7) | |
| Asiatic | 212 (84.8) | 38 (15.2) | |
| Brown/Pardo | 7472 (84.1) | 1365 (15.9) | |
| Indigenous | 81 (83.5) | 1365 (15.9) | |
| Unknown | 6675 (89.4) | 794 (10.6) | |
| Pregnancy status | |||
| Pregnant | 2114 (93.3) | 151 (16.7) | <0.0001 |
| Postpartum | 510 (81.0) | 120 (19.0) | |
| Non‐obstetric | 19 052 (87.0) | 2858 (13.0) | |
| SpO2 <95% at notification | |||
| Yes | 12 338 (83.9) | 2373 (16.1) | <0.0001 |
| No | 9338 (92.5) | 756 (7.5) | |
| Any risk factor or co‐morbidity | |||
| Yes | 6760 (76.9) | 2025 (23.1) | <0.0001 |
| No | 14916 (93.1) | 1104 (6.9) | |
| Cancer | |||
| Yes | 198 (46.7) | 226 (53.3) | <0.0001 |
| No | 21478 (88.1) | 2903 (11.9) | |
| Cardiovascular diseases | |||
| Yes | 2537 (77.5) | 737 (22.5) | <0.0001 |
| No | 19139 (88.9) | 2392 (11.1) | |
| Diabetes mellitus | |||
| Yes | 1558 (71.4) | 623 (28.6) | <0.0001 |
| No | 20118 (88.9) | 2506 (11.1) | |
| Gastrointestinal diseases | |||
| Yes | 51 (82.3) | 11 (17.7) | 0.2234 |
| No | 21625 (87.4) | 3118 (12.6) | |
| Hematological diseases | |||
| Yes | 244 (77.5) | 72 (22.5) | <0.0001 |
| No | 21 432 (87.5) | 3058 (12.5) | |
| Immunosuppression or HIV/AIDS | |||
| Yes | 462 (64.4.) | 255 (35.6) | <0.0001 |
| No | 21214 (88.1) | 2874 (11.9) | |
| Kidney diseases | |||
| Yes | 325 (61.2) | 206 (38.8) | <0.0001 |
| No | 21 351 (88.0) | 2923 (12.0) | |
| Liver diseases | |||
| Yes | 74 (71.2) | 30 (28.8) | <0.0001 |
| No | 21 602 (87.5) | 3099 (12.5) | |
| Neurological diseases or stroke | |||
| Yes | 276 (67.2) | 135 (32.8) | <0.0001 |
| No | 21400 (87.7) | 2994 (12.3) | |
| Obesity | |||
| Yes | 1487 (72.7) | 558 (27.3) | <0.0001 |
| No | 20 189 (88.7) | 2571 (11.3) | |
| Respiratory diseases (including asthma) | |||
| Yes | 1256 (83.2) | 254 (16.8) | <0.0001 |
| No | 20 420 (87.7) | 2875 (12.3) | |
| Rheumatological diseases | |||
| Yes | 137 (65.6) | 72 (34.4) | <0.0001 |
| No | 21 539 (87.6) | 3057 (12.4) | |
| Thrombotic events or vascular diseases | |||
| Yes | 39 (79.6) | 10 (20.4) | 0.1000 |
| No | 21 637 (87.4) | 3119 (12.6) | |
| Thyroid diseases | |||
| Yes | 284 (90.4) | 30 (9.6) | 0.1002 |
| No | 21 392 (87.3) | 3099 (12.7) | |
Values are given as number (percentage) or median (range).
FIGURE 1Outcomes by pregnancy status (p<0.0001 for all outcomes). Abbreviation: ICU, intensive care unit
FIGURE 2Case fatality rate by pregnancy and risk factor status (p<0.0001). Abbreviation: RF, risk factor
Multivariate logistic regression model for risk of death (total sample and by pregnancy status)
| Variables | OR | 95% CI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Total sample | |||
| Age <20 years | 0.7219 | 0.5925–0.8795 | 0.001 |
| Age 20–34 years | 0.6952 | 0.6371–0.7587 | <0.0001 |
| White ethnicity | 0.5473 | 0.4958–0.6042 | <0.0001 |
| Missing data on ethnicity | 0.6291 | 0.5714–0.6927 | <0.0001 |
| Postpartum | 1.8976 | 1.5309–2.3520 | <0.0001 |
| Pregnant | 0.6228 | 0.5219–0.7432 | <0.0001 |
| Cancer | 8.0501 | 6.5145–9.9477 | <0.0001 |
| Cardiovascular disease | 1.4049 | 1.2633–1.5623 | <0.0001 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 2.4003 | 2.1414–2.6905 | <0.0001 |
| Hematological diseases | 1.5051 | 1.1121–2.0371 | 0.008 |
| Immunosuppression or HIV/AIDS | 2.3134 | 1.9229–2.7832 | <0.0001 |
| Kidney disease | 3.1040 | 2.5485–3.7805 | <0.0001 |
| Neurological diseases or previous history of stroke | 3.3343 | 2.6542–4.1886 | <0.0001 |
| Obesity | 2.6691 | 2.3802–2.9932 | <0.0001 |
| Respiratory diseases (including asthma) | 1.3286 | 1.1423–1.5452 | 0.0002 |
| Rheumatological disease | 2.8978 | 2.1084–3.9828 | <0.0001 |
| Thyroid diseases | 0.6422 | 0.4315–0.9559 | 0.029 |
| Pregnant | |||
| Cancer | 9.9449 | 1.6234–60.9239 | 0.0130 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 1.8535 | 1.1314–3.0363 | 0.0143 |
| Obesity | 3.9556 | 2.3067–6.7834 | <0.0001 |
| Rheumatology diseases | 7.5902 | 1.3614–42.3179 | 0.0208 |
| Postpartum | |||
| Age ≥35 years | 2.0015 | 1.2884–3.1095 | 0.0020 |
| Ethnicity unknown | 0.3861 | 0.2066–0.7215 | 0.0029 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 2.5800 | 1.3727–4.8492 | 0.0032 |
| Non‐obstetric | |||
| Age <20 years | 0.7588 | 0.6137–0.9382 | 0.0108 |
| Age 20–34 years | 0.6842 | 0.6240–0.7501 | <0.0001 |
| White ethnicity | 0.5234 | 0.4708–0.5819 | <0.0001 |
| Black ethnicity | 0.8057 | 0.6619–0.9809 | 0.0314 |
| Unknown ethnicity | 0.6141 | 0.5543–0.6803 | <0.0001 |
| Cancer | 8.2414 | 6.6489–10.2153 | <0.0001 |
| Cardiovascular diseases | 1.4018 | 1.2539–1.5670 | <0.0001 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 2.4518 | 2.1754–2.7634 | <0.0001 |
| Hematological diseases | 1.4387 | 1.0476–1.9758 | 0.0246 |
| Immunosuppression or HIV | 2.4009 | 1.9859–2.9026 | <0.0001 |
| Kidney diseases | 3.1538 | 2.5782–3.8578 | <0.0001 |
| Liver diseases | 1.6594 | 1.0003–2.7526 | 0.0498 |
| Neurological diseases or stroke | 3.5902 | 2.8453–4.5301 | <0.0001 |
| Obesity | 2.7185 | 2.4140–3.0615 | <0.0001 |
| Respiratory diseases (including asthma) | 1.3546 | 1.1590–1.5832 | 0.0001 |
| Rheumatology diseases | 2.8050 | 2.0228–3.8896 | <0.0001 |
| Thyroid diseases | 0.5376 | 0.3452–0.8373 | 0.006 |
Abbreviations: AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; ROC, receiver operating characteristic.
Total sample: 87.5% correctly classified using stepwise multiple logistic regression method. AUC 0.732 (95% CI 0.727–0.738).
Pregnant: 93.4% correctly classified using stepwise multiple logistic regression method. AUC 0.578 (95% CI 0.558–0.599).
Postpartum: 81.3% correctly classified using stepwise multiple logistic regression method. AUC 0.636 (95% CI 0.597–0.674).
Non‐obstetric: 87.2% correctly classified using stepwise multiple logistic regression method. AUC 0.736 (95% CI 0.730–0.742).