| Literature DB >> 34199572 |
Noemi R Simon1, Andrea S Jauslin1, Marco Rueegg1, Raphael Twerenbold2, Maurin Lampart2, Stefan Osswald2, Stefano Bassetti3, Sarah Tschudin-Sutter4,5, Martin Siegemund5,6, Christian H Nickel1, Roland Bingisser1.
Abstract
Older age and frailty are predictors of adverse outcomes in patients with COVID-19. In emergency medicine, patients do not present with the diagnosis, but with suspicion of COVID-19. The aim of this study was to assess the association of frailty and age with death or admission to intensive care in patients with suspected COVID-19. This single-centre prospective cohort study was performed in the Emergency Department of a tertiary care hospital. Patients, 65 years and older, with suspected COVID-19 presenting to the Emergency Department during the first wave of the pandemic were consecutively enrolled. All patients underwent nasopharyngeal SARS-CoV-2 PCR swab tests. Patients with a Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) > 4, were considered to be frail. Associations between age, gender, frailty, and COVID-19 status with the composite adverse outcome of 30-day-intensive-care-admission and/or 30-day-mortality were tested. In the 372 patients analysed, the median age was 77 years, 154 (41.4%) were women, 44 (11.8%) were COVID-19-positive, and 125 (33.6%) were frail. The worst outcome was seen in frail COVID-19-patients with six (66.7%) adverse outcomes. Frailty (CFS > 4) and COVID-19-positivity were associated with an adverse outcome after adjustment for age and gender (frailty: OR 5.01, CI 2.56-10.17, p < 0.001; COVID-19: OR 3.47, CI 1.48-7.89, p = 0.003). Frailty was strongly associated with adverse outcomes and outperformed age as a predictor in emergency patients with suspected COVID-19.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; age; emergency department; frailty; intensive care; mortality
Year: 2021 PMID: 34199572 PMCID: PMC8199640 DOI: 10.3390/jcm10112472
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Clin Med ISSN: 2077-0383 Impact factor: 4.241
Figure 1Inclusion procedure of patients with suspected COVID-19 who presented to the ED.
Patient characteristics: All potentially eligible patients compared to patients with missing CFS and patients analysed.
| All | Missing CFS | Analysed | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age, median (IQR) | 76.0 | (71.0; 83.0) | 71.0 | (69.0; 78.8) | 77.0 | (71.0; 83.0) |
| Female gender, n (%) | 168 | (40.6) | 14 | (33.3) | 154 | (41.4) |
| 30-day-mortality, n (%) | 37 | (8.9) | 10 | (23.8) | 27 | (7.3) |
| ESI level, n (%) | ||||||
| 1 | 18 | (4.4) | 7 | (16.7) | 11 | (3.0) |
| 2 | 210 | (50.7) | 15 | (35.7) | 195 | (52.4) |
| 3 | 164 | (39.6) | 7 | (16.7) | 157 | (42.2) |
| 4 | 6 | (1.5) | 2 | (4.8) | 4 | (1.1) |
| 5 | 0 | (0.0) | 0 | (0.0) | 0 | (0.0) |
| NA | 16 | (3.9) | 11 | (26.2) | 5 | (1.3) |
Characteristics of ED patients aged 65 years and older at time of ED presentation.
| All | COVID-19 | COVID-19 | N | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age, median (IQR) | 77.0 | (71.0; 83.0) | 77.0 | (71.0; 83.0) | 77.0 | (72.0; 85.0) | 0.760 | 372 |
| Female gender, n (%) | 154 | (41.4) | 133 | (40.5) | 21 | (47.7) | 0.456 | 372 |
| Frailty (CFS > 4), n (%) | 125 | (33.6) | 116 | (35.4) | 9 | (20.5) | 0.072 | 372 |
| Dyspnoea, n (%) | 167 | (44.9) | 151 | (46.0) | 16 | (36.4) | 0.294 | 372 |
| Confusion, n (%) | 63 | (16.9) | 56 | (17.1) | 7 | (15.9) | 1.000 | 372 |
| Weakness, n (%) | 113 | (30.4) | 106 | (32.3) | 7 | (15.9) | 0.041 | 372 |
| Abnormal Fatigue, n (%) | 152 | (40.9) | 133 | (40.5) | 19 | (43.2) | 0.865 | 372 |
| ESI level, n (%) | 0.012 | 367 | ||||||
| 1 | 11 | (3.0) | 8 | (2.5) | 3 | (7.0) | ||
| 2 | 195 | (53.1) | 182 | (56.2) | 13 | (30.2) | ||
| 3 | 157 | (42.8) | 130 | (40.1) | 27 | (62.8) | ||
| 4 | 4 | (1.1) | 4 | (1.2) | 0 | (0.0) | ||
| 5 | 0 | (0.0) | 0 | (0.0) | 0 | (0.0) | ||
| Temperature, (°C), median (IQR) | 37.1 | (36.6; 38.1) | 37.1 | (36.5; 38.1) | 37.2 | (36.8; 38.0) | 0.687 | 354 |
| Respiratory rate (brpm), median (IQR) | 20.0 | (16.0; 24.0) | 20.0 | (16.0; 24.0) | 20.0 | (16.0; 25.0) | 0.776 | 358 |
| Oxygen saturation (%), median (IQR) | 96.0 | (94.0; 97.0) | 96.0 | (94.0; 97.0) | 95.0 | (94.0; 96.5) | 0.093 | 361 |
| Heart rate (bpm), median (IQR) | 86.0 | (74.0; 100.0) | 86.5 | (73.0; 101.0) | 83.0 | (75.5; 97.0) | 0.450 | 361 |
| Systolic BP (mmHg), median (IQR) | 138.0 | (120.0; 159.0) | 140.0 | (121.0; 160.0) | 131.0 | (119.0; 151.0) | 0.119 | 356 |
| Diastolic BP (mmHg), median (IQR) | 78.0 | (67.0; 86.0) | 79.5 | (68.0; 86.0) | 71.0 | (64.8; 81.2) | 0.153 | 350 |
| NEWS, median (IQR) | 3.0 | (1.0; 5.0) | 3.0 | (1.0; 5.0) | 3.0 | (2.0; 5.0) | 0.747 | 354 |
| Initial disposition, n (%) | 0.175 | 372 | ||||||
| Outpatient | 94 | (25.3) | 86 | (26.2) | 8 | (18.2) | ||
| Medical ward | 256 | (68.8) | 225 | (68.6) | 31 | (70.5) | ||
| ICU | 22 | (5.9) | 17 | (5.2) | 5 | (11.4) | ||
| 30-day-ICU-admission, n (%) | 27 | (7.3) | 20 | (6.1) | 7 | (15.9) | 0.029 | 372 |
| Mechanical ventilation, n (%) | 7 | (1.9) | 4 | (1.2) | 3 | (6.8) | 0.038 | 372 |
| 30-day-mortality, n (%) | 27 | (7.3) | 21 | (6.4) | 6 | (13.6) | 0.103 | 372 |
| Composite outcome, n (%) | 51 | (13.7) | 40 | (12.2) | 11 | (25.0) | 0.037 | 372 |
The table comprises all patients analysed, patients with subsequent negative SARS-CoV-2 PCR swab tests and patients with subsequent positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR swab tests. ED = emergency department; SARS-CoV-2 = severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; PCR = polymerase chain reaction; IQR = interquartile range (25th–75th percentile); n = number; CFS = Clinical Frailty Scale; ESI = emergency severity index, bpm = beats per minute, BP = blood pressure; mmHg = millimetres of mercury, NEWS = national early warning score; and ICU = intensive care unit.
Figure A1Distribution of CFS-levels in COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 patients.
Groups of final diagnoses of all 328 patients with suspected COVID-19 and subsequent negative SARS-CoV-2-PCR swab test.
|
| (%) | |
|---|---|---|
| Post-COVID-19 | 1 | (0.3) |
| Acute infection (non-SARS-CoV-2) | 149 | (45.4) |
| Pulmonary disease (non-infectious) | 23 | (7.0) |
| Cardiovascular disease | 73 | (22.3) |
| Neurologic disease | 13 | (4.0) |
| Psychiatric disease | 8 | (2.4) |
| Pain | 14 | (4.3) |
| Fall, trauma, rhabdomyolysis | 10 | (3.1) |
| Frailty syndrome | 2 | (0.6) |
| Electrolyte disorder | 2 | (0.6) |
| Other | 33 | (10.1) |
Figure 2Adverse outcomes by frailty status: Graphical description of adverse outcomes (30-day-mortality or 30-day-ICU-admission) based on Cox regression with frailty status as strata, adjusted for age and gender. Frailty-levels were collapsed to “frail” (CFS 5–9) and “non-frail” (CFS1–4). To improve readability, the graph was cropped to 0.5 on the y axis. (p < 0.001, p-value based on logistic regression).
Odds ratios for the respective outcomes.
| Composite (30-Day-ICU-Admission or 30-Day-Mortality) | 30-Day-Mortality | 30-Day-ICU-Admission | Mechanical Ventilation | Admission to Medical Ward | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR | CI | P | OR | CI | P | OR | CI | P | OR | CI | P | OR | CI | P | |
| Age, y | 0.99 | 0.95–1.03 | 0.529 | 1.02 | 0.96–1.08 | 0.560 | 0.98 | 0.93–1.03 | 0.467 | 0.95 | 0.84–1.05 | 0.331 | 1.05 | 1.02–1.09 | 0.002 |
| Female gender | 1.21 | 0.64–2.27 | 0.554 | 1.28 | 0.55–2.98 | 0.568 | 1.17 | 0.51–2.64 | 0.711 | 0.95 | 0.18–4.55 | 0.947 | 0.62 | 0.38–1.01 | 0.055 |
| Frailty | 5.01 | 2.56–10.17 | <0.001 | 6.92 | 2.75–19.54 | <0.001 | 2.37 | 1.00–5.67 | 0.049 | 2.49 | 0.43–13.32 | 0.278 | 3.59 | 2.03–6.64 | <0.001 |
| COVID-19 positivity | 3.47 | 1.48–7.89 | 0.003 | 3.54 | 1.14–10.16 | 0.021 | 3.41 | 1.24–8.63 | 0.012 | 7.10 | 1.31–35.4 | 0.015 | 1.32 | 0.65–2.79 | 0.457 |
The table comprises the odds ratios for the composite outcome (30-day-mortality or 30-day-ICU-admission), odds ratios for 30-day-mortality, for 30-day-ICU-admission, for mechanical ventilation, and for admission to a medical ward. The models were calculated for the CFS-category “frail” (CFS > 4) and for COVID-19-positivity with age and female gender as covariables. Non-frail-patients (CFS ≤ 4) and COVID-19-negative-patients were reference categories. OR = odds ratio; CI = 95% confidence interval; ICU = intensive care unit; and CFS = Clinical Frailty Scale.
Figure 3Adverse outcomes by frailty and swab status: Graphical description of adverse outcomes (composite outcome of 30-day-mortality or 30-day-ICU-admission), based on a Cox regression with combined groups of COVID-19 and CFS-status as strata, adjusted for age and gender, within the first 30 days after ED-admission for all patients in each subgroup (COVID-19-positive and frail, COVID-19-negative and frail, COVID-19-positive and non-frail, and COVID-19-negative and non-frail; n = 372). Frailty-levels were collapsed to “frail” (CFS 5–9) and “non-frail” (CFS1–4). (p < 0.001, p-value based on logistic regression).