| Literature DB >> 34175888 |
Marie Lynn Miranda1,2, Rashida Callender3, Joally M Canales3, Elena Craft4, Katherine B Ensor5, Max Grossman6, Loren Hopkins5,7, Jocelyn Johnston6, Umair Shah8,9, Joshua Tootoo6.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Making landfall in Rockport, Texas in August 2017, Hurricane Harvey resulted in unprecedented flooding, displacing tens of thousands of people, and creating environmental hazards and exposures for many more.Entities:
Keywords: Air pollution, Climate change, Geospatial Analyses
Year: 2021 PMID: 34175888 PMCID: PMC8234769 DOI: 10.1038/s41370-021-00347-z
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Expo Sci Environ Epidemiol ISSN: 1559-0631 Impact factor: 5.563
Fig. 1Geographic distribution of TFR registrants.
Number of respondents per 20 square mile hexagons as of March 31, 2020.
Multivariable logistic regression for home flooding and health effects reported by HHR registrants (N = 18,787).
| Odds ratio estimates | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shortness of breath | Skin rash | Problem concentrating | Headaches/migraines | Runny nose/itchy eyes/dry skin | |||||||||||
| Effect | Point estimate | 95% Wald | Point estimate | 95% Wald | Point estimate | 95% Wald | Point estimate | 95% Wald | Point estimate | 95% Wald | |||||
| Confidence limits | Confidence limits | Confidence limits | Confidence limits | Confidence limits | |||||||||||
| Flood water exposure | |||||||||||||||
| Home flooded | 1.63 | 1.51 | 1.75 | 2.27 | 2.05 | 2.50 | 2.66 | 2.47 | 2.86 | 1.64 | 1.54 | 1.76 | 1.45 | 1.36 | 1.54 |
| No flooding | |||||||||||||||
| Gender | |||||||||||||||
| Male | 0.70 | 0.64 | 0.77 | 0.97 | 0.86 | 1.09 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.66 | 0.44 | 0.40 | 0.49 | 0.67 | 0.63 | 0.72 |
| Female | |||||||||||||||
| Race/ethnicity | |||||||||||||||
| NH Other | 1.79 | 1.44 | 2.21 | 1.91 | 1.47 | 2.48 | 1.25 | 1.00 | 1.56 | 1.85 | 1.51 | 2.26 | 1.32 | 1.08 | 1.60 |
| NH Asian | 0.74 | 0.52 | 1.04 | 1.28 | 0.87 | 1.88 | 0.56 | 0.40 | 0.78 | 0.65 | 0.48 | 0.88 | 0.60 | 0.47 | 0.76 |
| Hispanic | 1.00 | 0.90 | 1.11 | 1.45 | 1.27 | 1.65 | 0.98 | 0.88 | 1.08 | 1.06 | 0.97 | 1.17 | 0.81 | 0.75 | 0.89 |
| NH Black | 1.26 | 1.10 | 1.44 | 1.45 | 1.23 | 1.72 | 0.79 | 0.68 | 0.90 | 1.17 | 1.04 | 1.33 | 0.80 | 0.71 | 0.90 |
| NH White | |||||||||||||||
| Education group | |||||||||||||||
| High school graduate or less | 1.22 | 1.10 | 1.37 | 0.96 | 0.82 | 1.11 | 0.73 | 0.65 | 0.81 | 1.13 | 1.02 | 1.26 | 0.86 | 0.78 | 0.94 |
| Some college or associates | 1.42 | 1.31 | 1.54 | 1.25 | 1.12 | 1.39 | 1.04 | 0.96 | 1.12 | 1.28 | 1.18 | 1.37 | 1.18 | 1.10 | 1.26 |
| Bachelors or higher | |||||||||||||||
| Age group | |||||||||||||||
| 81+ | 3.44 | 1.79 | 6.59 | 1.01 | 0.41 | 2.48 | 0.92 | 0.50 | 1.70 | 0.32 | 0.17 | 0.64 | 1.42 | 0.89 | 2.28 |
| 61–80 | 2.63 | 1.51 | 4.58 | 1.43 | 0.71 | 2.86 | 1.08 | 0.67 | 1.75 | 0.76 | 0.49 | 1.16 | 1.22 | 0.85 | 1.74 |
| 41–60 | 2.27 | 1.31 | 3.94 | 1.66 | 0.83 | 3.30 | 1.35 | 0.84 | 2.17 | 1.39 | 0.91 | 2.12 | 1.20 | 0.84 | 1.71 |
| 21–40 | 1.70 | 0.98 | 2.96 | 1.27 | 0.63 | 2.53 | 0.99 | 0.61 | 1.59 | 1.62 | 1.06 | 2.48 | 1.25 | 0.88 | 1.79 |
| 18–20 | |||||||||||||||
| Health self-assessment | |||||||||||||||
| Excellent | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.30 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| Very Good | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.21 | 0.27 | 0.22 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.28 | 0.39 | 0.31 | 0.26 | 0.36 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.49 |
| Good | 0.28 | 0.23 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.30 | 0.44 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.48 | 0.42 | 0.36 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 0.44 | 0.61 |
| Fair | 0.51 | 0.43 | 0.60 | 0.51 | 0.42 | 0.62 | 0.59 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 0.63 | 0.53 | 0.74 | 0.71 | 0.60 | 0.84 |
| Poor | |||||||||||||||
Multivariable logistic regression for skin contact with floodwater and health effects reported by HHR registrants (N = 18828).
| Odds ratio estimates | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shortness of breath | Skin rash | Problem concentrating | Headaches/migraines | Runny nose/itchy eyes/dry skin | |||||||||||
| Effect | Point estimate | 95% Wald | Point estimate | 95% Wald | Point estimate | 95% Wald | Point estimate | 95% Wald | Point estimate | 95% Wald | |||||
| Confidence limits | Confidence limits | Confidence limits | Confidence limits | Confidence limits | |||||||||||
| Flood water exposure | |||||||||||||||
| Skin contact with flood water | 1.82 | 1.69 | 1.97 | 3.54 | 3.12 | 4.00 | 2.54 | 2.35 | 2.75 | 1.76 | 1.64 | 1.89 | 1.73 | 1.62 | 1.83 |
| No contact with flood water | |||||||||||||||
| Gender | |||||||||||||||
| Male | 0.66 | 0.60 | 0.72 | 0.86 | 0.76 | 0.97 | 0.55 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.42 | 0.38 | 0.46 | 0.63 | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| Female | |||||||||||||||
| Race/ethnicity | |||||||||||||||
| NH Other | 1.74 | 1.40 | 2.15 | 1.83 | 1.41 | 2.38 | 1.20 | 0.97 | 1.49 | 1.81 | 1.47 | 2.21 | 1.29 | 1.06 | 1.57 |
| NH Asian | 0.80 | 0.57 | 1.13 | 1.49 | 1.01 | 2.19 | 0.65 | 0.46 | 0.91 | 0.71 | 0.52 | 0.96 | 0.65 | 0.51 | 0.82 |
| Hispanic | 1.03 | 0.93 | 1.15 | 1.54 | 1.35 | 1.76 | 1.05 | 0.95 | 1.16 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.21 | 0.84 | 0.77 | 0.91 |
| NH Black | 1.39 | 1.22 | 1.58 | 1.73 | 1.46 | 2.05 | 0.92 | 0.80 | 1.06 | 1.29 | 1.14 | 1.46 | 0.87 | 0.78 | 0.98 |
| NH White | |||||||||||||||
| Education group | |||||||||||||||
| High school graduate or less | 1.22 | 1.10 | 1.36 | 0.95 | 0.81 | 1.10 | 0.77 | 0.69 | 0.86 | 1.14 | 1.03 | 1.27 | 0.84 | 0.77 | 0.93 |
| Some college or associates | 1.41 | 1.31 | 1.53 | 1.23 | 1.10 | 1.37 | 1.05 | 0.97 | 1.14 | 1.27 | 1.18 | 1.37 | 1.16 | 1.09 | 1.24 |
| Bachelors or higher | |||||||||||||||
| Age group | |||||||||||||||
| 81+ | 4.45 | 2.32 | 8.53 | 1.53 | 0.62 | 3.77 | 1.50 | 0.82 | 2.76 | 0.40 | 0.21 | 0.79 | 1.77 | 1.10 | 2.85 |
| 61–80 | 3.01 | 1.73 | 5.23 | 1.77 | 0.88 | 3.55 | 1.41 | 0.88 | 2.27 | 0.83 | 0.55 | 1.27 | 1.37 | 0.96 | 1.97 |
| 41–60 | 2.44 | 1.41 | 4.23 | 1.85 | 0.92 | 3.68 | 1.60 | 1.00 | 2.56 | 1.44 | 0.95 | 2.18 | 1.27 | 0.89 | 1.82 |
| 21–40 | 1.80 | 1.03 | 3.12 | 1.36 | 0.68 | 2.73 | 1.12 | 0.70 | 1.81 | 1.65 | 1.09 | 2.51 | 1.33 | 0.93 | 1.89 |
| 18–20 | |||||||||||||||
| Health self-assessment | |||||||||||||||
| Excellent | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 0.18 | 0.30 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 0.29 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| Very Good | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.21 | 0.26 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 0.38 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.35 | 0.41 | 0.34 | 0.48 |
| Good | 0.27 | 0.23 | 0.31 | 0.34 | 0.29 | 0.42 | 0.39 | 0.33 | 0.46 | 0.40 | 0.34 | 0.47 | 0.51 | 0.43 | 0.60 |
| Fair | 0.50 | 0.42 | 0.59 | 0.49 | 0.40 | 0.60 | 0.57 | 0.48 | 0.67 | 0.60 | 0.51 | 0.72 | 0.70 | 0.59 | 0.83 |
| Poor | |||||||||||||||
Fig. 224-h rainfall by watershed and grouped by region in Harris county.
Purple vertical lines represent the 2018 Harris County Flood Control District standards for each region. Individual vertical lines represent 24-h observed rainfall event, with blue indicating the event is below the design level and red indicating it is above. Only 24-h rainfall events greater than 1 inch are plotted.
Fig. 3Trend in modeled 100 year return level in inches.
Each time series represents the modeled 100 year 24 hour rainfall event return level based on a 40 year-temporal sliding window with the generalized Pareto peak over threshold model fit to each gage with at least an 80 year record in the region. A map of all monitors in the region is available in Fagnant et al. [31]. The horizontal line represents the stationary 100 year 24 hour return rainfall design level for the region.