| Literature DB >> 34165602 |
Mario Silva1,2, Michele Maddalo3, Eleonora Leoni1, Sara Giuliotti4, Gianluca Milanese5, Caterina Ghetti3, Elisabetta Biasini6, Massimo De Filippo1,4, Gabriele Missale1,6, Nicola Sverzellati1,2.
Abstract
PURPOSE: To test radiomics for prognostication of intrahepatic mass-forming cholangiocarcinoma (IMCC) and to develop a comprehensive risk model.Entities:
Keywords: Interobserver Variability; Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma; Multidetector Computed Tomography; Radiomics; Survival
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34165602 PMCID: PMC8435517 DOI: 10.1007/s00261-021-03183-9
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Abdom Radiol (NY)
Fig. 1The flowchart summarizes the multistep process for selection of radiomic features (RF) and building of radiomic signature (RSign)
Demographics, clinical data, morphological CT descriptors, RF are reported
| Population characteristics | |
|---|---|
| Gender (male) | |
| Male | 43 (55) |
| Female | 35 (45) |
| Age (years) | 61 [68–74] |
| Death | 62 (79) |
| Overall survival | 262 [73–957] |
| Survivors at 1 year | 32 (41) |
| Radiology | |
| Satellite hepatic lesion | 38 (49) |
| Metastatic lymph node | 54 (69) |
| Distant metastasis | 25 (32) |
| Grading | |
| G1 | 1 (1) |
| G2 | 29 (37) |
| G3 | 48 (62) |
| Treatment | |
| Surgical resectiona | 31 (40) |
| Chemotherapya | 25 (32) |
| Radiofrequency ablation | 11 (14) |
Categorical data are reported as absolute number and relative distribution (percentage in round bracket). Continuous data are reported as median (median, first and third quartiles in square brackets). RF are reported for each of the two readers (R1 and R2), the ranking position is reported for each reader using round brackets
aThree patients undergoing surgery were also administered adjuvant chemotherapy
bSelected in the final model RSign
Fig. 2Kaplan–Meier plots estimate overall survival for low and high-risk groups, based on RSign* for each reader
Multivariate Cox proportional regression in the whole patient cohort, and selected variables for Model 2
| R1 | R2 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hazard ratio (95% CI) | Hazard ratio (95% CI) | |||
| RSign | 1.53 (1.24–1.88) | 1.28 (1.07–1.52) | ||
| Age | 1.04 (1.01–1.07) | 1.03 (1.00–1.06) | ||
| Gender (male) | 1.58 (0.84–2.98) | 0.16 | 1.05 (0.59–1.89) | 0.86 |
| Grading | 1.42 (0.83–2.44) | 0.20 | 1.38 (0.81–2.34) | 0.24 |
| Satellite lesions | 1.70 (0.91–3.16) | 0.09 | 2.36 (1.32–4.23) | |
| Metastatic lymph nodes | 1.22 (0.66–2.25) | 0.54 | 1.23 (0.66–2.27) | 0.51 |
| Distant metastasis | 2.02 (1.07–3.84) | 1.46 (0.78–2.74) | 0.23 | |
| RSign | 1.36 (1.13–1.62) | < 0.001 | 1.24 (1.04–1.47) | 0.02 |
| Satellite lesions | 2.10 (1.17–3.82) | 0.01 | 2.53 (1.43–4.47) | 0.001 |
| Distant metastasis | 1.76 (0.97–3.20) | 0.06 | 1.34 (0.76–2.38) | 0.31 |
Bold is used when a statistically significant p value is encountered (< 0.05)
*Selected by univariate Cox regression
Fig. 3ROC curves of Model 1 and Model 2 with respective AUC and AIC, for each reader. Model 1 included satellite lesion and distant metastasis. Model 2 included satellite lesion, distant metastasis, and RSign*
Fig. 4Chromatic representation of four examples with variable classification by either Model 1 or Model 2. Survival probability is reported in left column for Model 1 and right column for Model 2: the survival probability of each model is rendered by chromatic scale of the on tumor segmentation ROI (see chromatic legend in bottom box of the figure). The middle column details the outcome (alive or dead) of each case at 1 year since CT and the RSign value by reader 1. Example 1—large IMCC consistently classified with likelihood of 1-year survival > 0.75 by both Model 1 and Model 2 (RSign < 0.39), alive at 1 year. Example 2—small IMCC classified with likelihood of survival < 0.5 by Model 1 and likelihood of survival > 0.5 by Model 2 (RSign < 0.39), alive at 1 year. Example 3—large IMCC classified with high likelihood of survival > 0.75 by Model 1 and likelihood of survival < 0.5 by Model 2 (RSign > 0.39), dead at 1 year. Example 4—small IMCC classified with mid-low likelihood of survival < 0.5 by Model 1 and likelihood of survival < 0.25 by Model 2 (RSign > 0.39), dead at 1 year. Of note, example 2 and example 3 showed inconsistent risk stratification between Model 1 and Model 2. In these two cases, the inclusion of RSign (Model 2) improved the stratification of 1-year survival
Fig. 5Kaplan–Meier plots estimate overall survival for low and high-risk groups, based on RSign* for each reader, in the selected population of resected IMCC
Multivariate Cox proportional regression for the subpopulation of patients treated by surgery
| R1 | R2 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hazard Ratio (95% CI) | Hazard Ratio (95% CI) | |||
| Rsign | 1.81 (1.10–2.99) | 1.22 (0.91–1.63) | 0.19 | |
| Age | 1.07 (0.98–1.16) | 0.12 | 1.06 (0.98–1.14) | 0.15 |
| Gender (male) | 6.10 (1.29–28.98) | 1.89 (0.60–5.89) | 0.28 | |
| Grading | 0.91 (0.29–2.87) | 0.87 | 1.10 (0.33–3.64) | 0.87 |
| Satellite lesions | 0.86 (0.24–3.10) | 0.82 | 1.55 (0.46–5.26) | 0.48 |
| Metastatic lymph nodes | 0.50 (0.15–1.64) | 0.26 | 0.59 (0.18–1.87) | 0.37 |
| Distant metastasis | 0.00 (0.00–Inf) | 0.998 | 0.00 (0.00–Inf) | 0.999 |
Bold is used when a statistically significant p value is encountered (< 0.05)