Literature DB >> 34161283

Rocky Mountain subalpine forests now burning more than any time in recent millennia.

Philip E Higuera1, Bryan N Shuman2, Kyra D Wolf3.   

Abstract

The 2020 fire season punctuated a decades-long trend of increased fire activity across the western United States, nearly doubling the total area burned in the central Rocky Mountains since 1984. Understanding the causes and implications of such extreme fire seasons, particularly in subalpine forests that have historically burned infrequently, requires a long-term perspective not afforded by observational records. We place 21st century fire activity in subalpine forests in the context of climate and fire history spanning the past 2,000 y using a unique network of 20 paleofire records. Largely because of extensive burning in 2020, the 21st century fire rotation period is now 117 y, reflecting nearly double the average rate of burning over the past 2,000 y. More strikingly, contemporary rates of burning are now 22% higher than the maximum rate reconstructed over the past two millennia, during the early Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA) (770 to 870 Common Era), when Northern Hemisphere temperatures were ∼0.3 °C above the 20th century average. The 2020 fire season thus exemplifies how extreme events are demarcating newly emerging fire regimes as climate warms. With 21st century temperatures now surpassing those during the MCA, fire activity in Rocky Mountain subalpine forests is exceeding the range of variability that shaped these ecosystems for millennia.

Entities:  

Keywords:  climate change; extreme events; fire ecology; paleoecology; wildfires

Mesh:

Year:  2021        PMID: 34161283      PMCID: PMC8237630          DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2103135118

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A        ISSN: 0027-8424            Impact factor:   11.205


  14 in total

1.  Medieval warming initiated exceptionally large wildfire outbreaks in the Rocky Mountains.

Authors:  W John Calder; Dusty Parker; Cody J Stopka; Gonzalo Jiménez-Moreno; Bryan N Shuman
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2015-10-05       Impact factor: 11.205

2.  Global signatures and dynamical origins of the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly.

Authors:  Michael E Mann; Zhihua Zhang; Scott Rutherford; Raymond S Bradley; Malcolm K Hughes; Drew Shindell; Caspar Ammann; Greg Faluvegi; Fenbiao Ni
Journal:  Science       Date:  2009-11-27       Impact factor: 47.728

3.  Continued warming could transform Greater Yellowstone fire regimes by mid-21st century.

Authors:  Anthony L Westerling; Monica G Turner; Erica A H Smithwick; William H Romme; Michael G Ryan
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2011-07-25       Impact factor: 11.205

4.  Record-setting climate enabled the extraordinary 2020 fire season in the western United States.

Authors:  Philip E Higuera; John T Abatzoglou
Journal:  Glob Chang Biol       Date:  2020-10-26       Impact factor: 10.863

5.  Human exposure and sensitivity to globally extreme wildfire events.

Authors:  David M J S Bowman; Grant J Williamson; John T Abatzoglou; Crystal A Kolden; Mark A Cochrane; Alistair M S Smith
Journal:  Nat Ecol Evol       Date:  2017-02-06       Impact factor: 15.460

6.  Moisture availability limits subalpine tree establishment.

Authors:  Robert A Andrus; Brian J Harvey; Kyle C Rodman; Sarah J Hart; Thomas T Veblen
Journal:  Ecology       Date:  2018-02-22       Impact factor: 5.499

7.  Biogeochemical impacts of wildfires over four millennia in a Rocky Mountain subalpine watershed.

Authors:  Paul V Dunnette; Philip E Higuera; Kendra K McLauchlan; Kelly M Derr; Christy E Briles; Margaret H Keefe
Journal:  New Phytol       Date:  2014-05-06       Impact factor: 10.151

8.  Rocky Mountain subalpine forests now burning more than any time in recent millennia.

Authors:  Philip E Higuera; Bryan N Shuman; Kyra D Wolf
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2021-06-14       Impact factor: 11.205

9.  Human-started wildfires expand the fire niche across the United States.

Authors:  Jennifer K Balch; Bethany A Bradley; John T Abatzoglou; R Chelsea Nagy; Emily J Fusco; Adam L Mahood
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2017-02-27       Impact factor: 11.205

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  4 in total

1.  Rocky Mountain subalpine forests now burning more than any time in recent millennia.

Authors:  Philip E Higuera; Bryan N Shuman; Kyra D Wolf
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2021-06-14       Impact factor: 11.205

2.  DroughtCast: A Machine Learning Forecast of the United States Drought Monitor.

Authors:  Colin Brust; John S Kimball; Marco P Maneta; Kelsey Jencso; Rolf H Reichle
Journal:  Front Big Data       Date:  2021-12-21

3.  Growing impact of wildfire on western US water supply.

Authors:  A Park Williams; Ben Livneh; Karen A McKinnon; Winslow D Hansen; Justin S Mankin; Benjamin I Cook; Jason E Smerdon; Arianna M Varuolo-Clarke; Nels R Bjarke; Caroline S Juang; Dennis P Lettenmaier
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2022-03-08       Impact factor: 11.205

4.  NOx and O3 Trends at U.S. Non-Attainment Areas for 1995-2020: Influence of COVID-19 Reductions and Wildland Fires on Policy-Relevant Concentrations.

Authors:  Daniel A Jaffe; Matthew Ninneman; Hei Chun Chan
Journal:  J Geophys Res Atmos       Date:  2022-06-06       Impact factor: 5.217

  4 in total

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