| Literature DB >> 34157182 |
Abstract
AIM: An urgent need to define clinical and laboratory parameters to predict progression to the severe and lethal forms of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). To investigate the direct/total bilirubin ratio (D/TBil), as a novel parameter, to predict the poor survival of COVID-19 Pneumonia.Entities:
Mesh:
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Year: 2021 PMID: 34157182 PMCID: PMC8420207 DOI: 10.1111/ijcp.14557
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Clin Pract ISSN: 1368-5031 Impact factor: 3.149
Demographic data, presence of comorbidities and outcomes of survivor and deceased groups
| All Patients | Survivor | Deceased |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| n:537 | n:436 (%81.2) | n:101 (%18.8) | ||
| Age median (min‐max) | 54 (18‐97) | 50 (18‐97) | 72 (30‐92) | <.001 |
| Sex, n (%) |
.048 | |||
| Female | 248 (%46.2) | 210 (%48.2) | 38 (%37.6) | |
| Male | 289 (%53.8) | 226 (%51.8) | 63 (%62.4) | |
| Hospitalisation, n (%) | <.001 | |||
| Medical floor | 332 (%61.8) | 332 (%76.1) | 0 (0.0) | |
| ICU | 89 (%16.6) | 40 (%9.2) | 49 (%48.5) | |
| Transfer from medical floor to ICU | 116 (%21.6) | 64 (%14.7) | 52 (%51.5) | |
| Underlying comorbidities, n (%) | ||||
| Hypertension | 155 (%28.9) | 92 (%21.1) | 63 (%62.4) | <.001 |
| Diabetes | 93 (%17.3) | 65 (%14.9) | 28 (%27.7) | .003 |
| COPD‐asthma | 65 (%12.1) | 48 (%11) | 17 (%16.8) | .13 |
| Coronary artery disease/heart failure | 59 (%11) | 42 (%9.6) | 17 (%16.8) | .056 |
| Length of hospital stay days | 11.18 (1‐90) | 10.5 (4‐42) | 14.1 (1‐90) | .073 |
| Median (min‐max) |
COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; ICU, intensive care unit. Categorical variables shown as n (%), Median (min, max) shown for variables with non‐normal distributions, Min: minimum, Max: maximum.
Laboratory parameters of patients on admission ED
| Survivor | Deceased | Total | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | Min. | Max. | Median | Min. | Max. |
| Median | Min. | Max. | |
| Wbc (4 * 103 ‐ 10 * 103/mm3) (*103) | 7.6 | 1 | 42.7 | 9.9 | 1.1 | 57.1 |
| 8 | 1 | 57.1 |
| Neu (2 * 103 ‐ 7 * 103/mm3) (*103) | 5.5 | 0.3 | 28.9 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 41.3 |
| 5.9 | 0.3 | 41.3 |
| Lym (0.8 * 103 ‐ 4 * 103/mm3) (*103) | 1.5 | 0.1 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 46 |
| 1.6 | 0.1 | 46 |
| Nlr | 4.2 | 0.4 | 27.8 | 8,2 | 0,3 | 34.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 34.1 |
| Plt (150 * 103‐450 * 103/mm3) (*103) | 227.1 | 71 | 671 | 213.9 | 48 | 684 | .052 | 224.4 | 48 | 684 |
| Plr | 173.6 | 22.6 | 936.4 | 243 | 5 | 1385.7 |
| 187.7 | 5 | 1385.7 |
| Haemoglobin (11‐16 gr/dL) | 13.5 | 1.8 | 18.5 | 12.9 | 6.4 | 19.2 | . | 13.4 | 1.8 | 19.2 |
| Haematocrit (37%‐54%) | 41.9 | 17 | 55 | 39.8 | 3.8 | 61.6 | . | 41.5 | 3.8 | 61.6 |
| Calcium (8.8‐10.6 mg/dL) | 8.7 | 7.5 | 10.8 | 8.6 | 6.4 | 10.9 | .092 | 8.6 | 6.4 | 10.9 |
| Albümin (34‐48 g/L) | 41.6 | 22 | 54 | 33.6 | 7 | 51 |
| 40 | 7 | 54 |
| ALT (0‐41 U/L) | 30.7 | 6 | 442 | 38.2 | 7 | 473 | .516 | 32.2 | 6 | 473 |
| AST (0‐40 U/L) | 35.3 | 4 | 1441 | 59.4 | 8 | 1129 |
| 40.2 | 4 | 1441 |
| C‐reactive protein (0‐5 mg/L) | 51.1 | 0,3 | 350 | 126.4 | 2 | 297 |
| 66.2 | 0.3 | 350 |
| Direkt Bilirubin (0‐0.3mg/dL) | 0.23 | 0 | 1.9 | 0.39 | 0.1 | 3.6 |
| 0.26 | 0 | 3.6 |
| Direct/total bilirubin | 0.39 | 0.05 | 0.83 | 0.56 | 0.2 | 1 |
| 0.43 | 0.05 | 1 |
| Chlorine (98‐107 mmol/L) | 103.2 | 79 | 114 | 103.9 | 91 | 146 | .680 | 103.3 | 79 | 146 |
| Kreatinin (0.72‐1.25 mg/dL) | 0.95 | 0.23 | 9.99 | 1.5 | 0.58 | 12.82 |
| 1 | 0.23 | 12.82 |
| LDH (135‐225 U/L) | 285.3 | 14 | 1544 | 406.3 | 159 | 1327 |
| 309.3 | 14 | 1544 |
| K (3.5‐5.1 mmol/L) | 4 | 2.93 | 6.74 | 4.2 | 2.99 | 6.62 | .103 | 4.1 | 2.93 | 6.74 |
| Sodium (134‐146 mEq/L) | 137 | 127 | 150 | 136.5 | 125 | 175 | . | 136.9 | 125 | 175 |
| Urea (16‐48mg/dL) | 31.2 | 9 | 247 | 66.9 | 13 | 223 |
| 38.4 | 9 | 247 |
| D‐Dimer (0‐243 ng/mL) | 364.2 | 35 | 4195 | 1438.1 | 93 | 43 993 |
| 565,1 | 35 | 43 993 |
| Troponin (0‐0.16 ng/mL) | 0.13 | 0.03 | 5.4 | 0.33 | 0.01 | 14.19 |
| 0.17 | 0.01 | 14.19 |
Bold P values was considered statistically significant (P < 0.05).
Alt, alanine aminotransferase; Ast, aspartate aminotransferase; K, potassium; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; Lym, Lymphocyte; Neu, neutrophil; NLR, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; PLR, platelet lymphocyte ratio; Plt, platelet; WBC, white blood cell.
Binary logistic regression analysis results and model analysis summary
| B |
| OR | 95% CI for | EXP(B) | −2 Log likelihood | Cox & Snell R Square | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower | Upper | |||||||
| Step 1 | D/TBil | 3.059 | <.001 | 21.3 | 12.298 | 36.89 | 343.63 | 0.249 |
| Constant | −1.179 | <.001 | 0.308 | |||||
| Step 2 | Age | 0.073 | <.001 | 1.076 | 1.054 | 1.098 | ||
| D/TBil | 2.665 | <.001 | 14.363 | 7.802 | 26.445 | 276.267 | 0.343 | |
| Constant | −5.703 | <.001 | 0.003 | |||||
| Step 3 | Gender | 1.074 | .002 | 2.926 | 1.503 | 5.694 | ||
| Age | 0.08 | <.001 | 1.083 | 1.059 | 1.107 | 265.496 | 0.357 | |
| D/TBil | 2.766 | <.001 | 15.897 | 8.416 | 30.025 | |||
| Constant | −6.23 | <.001 | 0.002 | |||||
| Step 4 | Gender | 1.329 | <.001 | 3.779 | 1.867 | 7.647 | ||
| Age | 0.071 | <.001 | 1.073 | 1.049 | 1.098 | |||
| D/TBil | 2.785 | <.001 | 16.206 | 8.408 | 31.236 | 254.926 | 0.37 | |
| HT | 1.117 | <.001 | 3.054 | 1.545 | 6.039 | |||
| Constant | −5.603 | <.001 | 0.004 | |||||
| Step 5 | Gender | 1.341 | <.001 | 3.823 | 1.863 | 7.847 | ||
| Age | 0.066 | <.001 | 1.068 | 1.044 | 1.093 | |||
| D/TBil | 2.685 | <.001 | 14.662 | 7.521 | 28.584 | .248.22 | 0.378 | |
| NLR | 0.896 | <.001 | 2.451 | 1.231 | 4.88 | |||
| HT | 1.176 | <.001 | 3.241 | 1.615 | 6.501 | |||
| Constant | −5.428 | <.001 | 0.004 | |||||
D/TBil, direct/total bilirubin; HT, hypertension; NLR, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio.
ROC analyse for D/TBil and NLR
| Cut‐off | Sensitivity | Specificity | LR+ | LR− | Area | 95% Confidence interval |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D/TBil | 0.4647 | 81.8 | 72.7 | 2.99 | 0.25 | 0.858 | 0.817‐0.9 | <.001 |
| 0.5030 | 75.8 | 85.8 | 5.32 | 0.28 | ||||
| 0.6111 | 36.4 | 95.9 | 8.80 | 0.66 | ||||
| 0.7054 | 9.1 | 99.1 | 9.90 | 0.91 | ||||
| NLR | 1.795 | 94.1 | 14.7 | 1.10 | 0.40 | 0.729 | 0.67‐0.789 | <.001 |
| 4.032 | 68.3 | 65.8 | 1.99 | 0.48 | ||||
| 5.44 | 56.4 | 79.8 | 2.79 | 0.54 | ||||
| 15.0 | 19.8 | 97.2 | 7.07 | 0.82 |
The comparison of D/TBil ratio with age‐standardised for COVID‐19 survival
| Age | Deceased | Survivor | OR (CI) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >50 | D/TBil | >0.5 | n | 65 | 38 | |
| % | 63.1 | 36.9 | ||||
| <0.5 | n | 24 | 166 | |||
| % | 12.6 | 87.4 | ||||
| Total | n | 89 | 204 | 11.83 (6.58‐21.25) | ||
| % | 30.4 | 69.6 | ||||
| <50 | D/TBil | >0.5 | n | 6 | 22 | |
| % | 21.4 | 78.6 | ||||
| <0.5 | n | 0 | 208 | |||
| % | 0 | 100 | ||||
| Total | n | 6 | 230 | |||
| % | 2.5 | 97.5 | ||||
| Total | D/TBil | >0.5 | n | 71 | 60 | |
| % | 54.2 | 45.8 | ||||
| <0.5 | n | 24 | 374 | |||
| % | 6 | 94 | ||||
| Total | n | 95 | 434 | 18.40 (10.77‐31.55) | ||
| % | 18 | 82 | ||||