| Literature DB >> 34112748 |
Hao-Chien Hung1, Chin-Hsin Shen2, Chen-Fang Lee1,3, Ssu-Min Cheng4, Wei-Chen Lee1,3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients with a Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score >7 on post-transplant day (POD) 7 have been reported to have a higher risk of short-term mortality after living donor liver transplant (LDLT). We sought to identify factors that were associated with early mortality in this high-risk population. MATERIAL AND METHODS A total of 102 patients with a high SOFA score (>7) on POD 7 were enrolled, of which 72 (70.6%) were assigned to the survivor group, and the other 30 (29.4%) patients were assigned to the non-survivor group according to post-transplant 3-month results. Demographics, clinical data, operative parameters, and individual SOFA component scores were collected. Independent risk factors for 3-month mortality were identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis using backward elimination procedures. RESULTS Of 102 high SOFA score patients, the 3-month mortality rate after LDLT in our study was 29.4%. Four independent risk factors were indicative for early death: graft-to-recipient weight ratio (GRWR) <0.8 (hazard ratio [HR]=3.00; 95% CI=1.05-8.09; P=0.041), longer warm ischemia time (HR=37.84; 95% CI=1.63-880.77; P=0.024), high liver component of the SOFA score, and cardiovascular component of the SOFA score (liver component: HR=10.39; 95% CI=1.77-60.89; P=0.009 and cardiovascular component: HR=13.34; 95% CI=2.22-80.12; P=0.005). CONCLUSIONS In conclusion, 3-month mortality among patients with high SOFA score on POD 7 is associated with multiple independent risk factors, including smaller GRWR, longer warm ischemia time, and higher category of liver and cardiovascular component of SOFA score. By recognizing high-risk patients earlier, the LDLT outcomes may be improved by timely intensive therapies.Entities:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34112748 PMCID: PMC8204681 DOI: 10.12659/AOT.931045
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ann Transplant ISSN: 1425-9524 Impact factor: 1.530
Demographic characteristics of 102 patients with post-transplant day 7 SOFA score >7.
| Factors | Median or number | Mean±SD | Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| General information | |||
| Recipient age, years | 54.0 | 53.3±9.5 | 28.1–68.8 |
| Recipient BMI, kg/m2 | 24.2 | 24.6±3.7 | 18.2–40.0 |
| Recipient sex, Male | 73 (71.6%) | 33.1±9.2 | 18.5–59.7 |
| Donor BMI, kg/m2 | 22.9 | 23.1±2.9 | 17.5–30.8 |
| Donor sex, Male | 47 (46.1%) | 24.9±10.5 | 8–40 |
| HBV infection | 65 (63.7%) | ||
| HCV infection | 30 (29.4%) | ||
| Alcohol use | 39 (38.2%) | ||
| HCC | 22 (21.6%) | ||
| Ascites, mL | 2825 | 4110.8±4101.3 | 0–13 500 |
| GRWR, % | 0.92 | 0.95±0.24 | 0.54–1.74 |
| Blood loss, mL | 2475 | 2962.6±229.0 | 250–14 500 |
| Cold ischemia time, minutes | 30 | 45.8±44.6 | 8–246 |
| Warm ischemia time, minutes | 36 | 37.1±9.6 | 15–64 |
| Operation time, minutes | 634 | 653.5±111.0 | 460–1219 |
| ICU stay length, days | 19 | 28.2±20.9 | 4–90 |
| SOFA on POD 7 | |||
| Cardiovascular component | 0 | 0.2±0.5 | 0–3 |
| Coagulation component | 3 | 2.9±0.7 | 0–4 |
| Respiratory component | 2 | 1.6±1.0 | 0–4 |
| Renal component | 1 | 1.3±1.2 | 0–4 |
| Liver component | 3 | 3.1±1.0 | 0–4 |
| CNS component | 0 | 0.8±1.1 | 0–4 |
| Total score | 9 | 9.8±1.9 | 8–16 |
SOFA – Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score; SD – standard deviation; BMI – body mass index; MELD – model for end-stage liver disease; HBV – hepatitis B virus; HCV – hepatitis C virus; HCC – hepatocellular carcinoma; GRWR – graft recipient weight ratio; CNS – central nervous system; ICU – Intensive Care Unit.
Figure 1Distribution of SOFA scores on POD 7 among the enrolled population (n=102) in the current study.
Figure 2Kaplan-Meier plot of the 3-month survival according to high and low SOFA score on POD 7 with a cut-off value of 7. There was significant survival difference (P<0.001) between the 2 groups.
Baseline demographics and clinical characteristics of high SOFA score patients by 3-month mortality.
| Factors | Survivors, n=72 | Non-survivors, n=30 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| General information | |||
| Recipient age, year-old (>60) | 18 (25.0%) | 11 (36.7%) | 0.234 |
| Recipient sex (Male) | 52 (72.2%) | 21 (70.0%) | 0.821 |
| Recipient BMI, kg/m2 | 24.6±3.6 | 24.6±4.0 | 0.992 |
| Donor age, year-old (>45) | 5 (6.9%) | 7 (23.3%) | |
| Donor gender (Male) | 33 (45.8%) | 14 (46.7%) | 0.939 |
| Donor BMI, kg/m2 | 22.8±2.9 | 24.0±3.0 | 0.073 |
| MELD score | 25.6±10.2 | 23.1±11.2 | 0.279 |
| HBV infection | 49 (68.1%) | 16 (53.3%) | 0.159 |
| HCV infection | 22 (30.6%) | 8 (26.7%) | 0.694 |
| Alcohol use | 29 (40.3%) | 10 (33.3%) | 0.511 |
| HCC | 18 (25.0%) | 4 (13.3%) | 0.192 |
| Pre-transplant RFA history | 3 (4.3%) | 0 (0.0%) | 0.258 |
| Abdominal operation history | 13 (18.6%) | 4 (13.8%) | 0.566 |
| Child-Pugh class (B/C) | 21/46 (29.2/63.9%) | 13/15 (43.3/50%) | 0.375 |
| Ascites, mL (>3000) | 34 (47.2%) | 14 (46.7%) | 0.959 |
| Graft weight, gm | 616.9±130.0 | 550.7±171.9 | 0.064 |
| GRWR,% (<0.8) | 16 (22.2%) | 13 (43.3%) | |
| Blood loss, mL (>3000) | 26 (36.1%) | 10 (33.3%) | 0.789 |
| Cold ischemia time, minutes (>60) | 14 (19.4%) | 9 (30.0%) | 0.245 |
| Warm ischemia time, minutes (>60) | 1 (1.4%) | 3 (10.0%) | |
| OP time, minutes (>700) | 16 (22.2%) | 11 (36.7%) | 0.132 |
| SOFA on POD 7 | |||
| Total SOFA score | 9.3±1.5 | 10.8±2.2 | |
| Cardiovascular component (>0) | 4 (5.6%) | 7 (23.3%) | |
| Coagulation component (>2) | 57 (79.2%) | 25 (83.3%) | 0.629 |
| Respiratory component (>2) | 10 (13.9%) | 4 (13.3%) | 0.941 |
| Renal component (>1) | 44 (61.1%) | 23 (76.7%) | 0.132 |
| Liver component (>2) | 45 (62.5%) | 27 (90.0%) | |
| CNS component (>0) | 23 (31.9%) | 14 (46.7%) | 0.159 |
| Events | |||
| Infection | 21 (29.2%) | 15 (50.0%) | 0.045 |
| Rejection | 5 (6.9%) | 7 (23.3%) | |
| Vascular complication | 0 (0.0%) | 4 (13.3%) | |
| Cardiopulmonary-related | 2 (2.8%) | 2 (6.7%) | 0.357 |
| Bleeding | 2 (2.8%) | 2 (6.7%) | 0.357 |
| ICU stay length, days | 28.4±23.4 | 27.5±13.9 | 0.256 |
| Ventilator dependence | 19 (26.4%) | 16 (53.3%) | 0.009 |
SOFA – Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score; BMI – body mass index; MELD – model for end-stage liver disease; OP – operation; BMI – body mass index; HBV – hepatitis B virus; HCV – hepatitis C virus; HCC – hepatocellular carcinoma; RFA – radiofrequency ablation; GRWR – graft-recipient weight ratio; CNS – central nervous system. The value within parentheses indicates optimal cut-off value to predict 3-month mortality after liver transplantation.
Ventilator dependence was defined as failed weaning within 48 hours after transplant or re-intubation of endotracheal tube within 7 days after extubating.
Figure 3Distributions of SOFA score on POD 7 for the survivor group (n=72; A) and the non-survivor group (n=30; B). The case numbers decreased as the SOFA score increased in the survivor group but was dispersed in the non-survivor group.
Uni-/multivariate analyses of clinical characteristics on the 3-month mortality in high POD 7 SOFA score patients by logistic regression.
| Univariate | Multivariate | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | |||
| Donor age (>45-year-old) | 4.08 | 1.18–14.11 | 0.026 | |||
| Liver component score (>2) | 5.40 | 1.494–19.513 | 0.010 | 10.39 | 1.77–60.89 | |
| Cardiovascular component (>0) | 5.17 | 1.387–19.297 | 0.014 | 13.34 | 2.22–80.12 | |
| Warm ischemia time (>60 minutes) | 7.89 | 0.786–79.171 | 0.079 | 37.84 | 1.63–880.77 | |
| GRWR (<0.8%) | 2.68 | 1.076–6.657 | 0.034 | 3.00 | 1.05–8.59 | |
POD – post-transplant day; HR – hazard ratio; CI – confidence interval; SOFA – Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score; GRWR – graft-to-recipient weight ratio. Only significant results were listed.
Figure 4Kaplan-Meier plot of post-transplant 3-month survival according to the number of independent risks. The more risks the patients carried, the higher mortality rates they would have.
Causes of death among non-survivors according to numbers of independent risks contained.
| Non-survivors, n=30 (100.0%) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk no. | |||||
| Causes | 0 risk | 1 risk | 2 risks | 3 risks | Total |
| Infection | 1 (3.3%) | 8 (26.7%) | 5 (16.7%) | 1 (3.3%) | 15 (50.0%) |
| Rejection | 0 (0.0%) | 1 (6.7%) | 4 (13.3%) | 2 (6.7%) | 7 (23.3%) |
| Vascular complication | 0 (0.0%) | 0 (0.0%) | 4 (13.3%) | 0 (0.0%) | 4 (13.3%) |
| Cardiopulmonary-related | 0 (0.0%) | 1 (3.3%) | 1 (3.3%) | 0 (0.0%) | 2 (6.7%) |
| Bleeding | 1 (3.3%) | 0 (0.0%) | 1 (3.3%) | 0 (0.0%) | 2 (6.7%) |
| Total | 2 (6.7%) | 10 (33.3%) | 15 (50.0%) | 3 (10.0%) | 30 (100.0%) |
| SOFA score on POD 7 | |||||
| SOFA score, mean±SD | 10.0±2.8 | 11.5±2.6 | 10.6±2.1 | 10.0±1.0 | 10.8±2.2 |
| SOFA score, min. to max. | 8–12 | 8–16 | 8–14 | 9–11 | 8–16 |
POD – post-operative day; SD – standard deviation; min – minimum; max – maximum.
Included 3 insufficient portal inflow and 1 hepatic venous outflow obstruction;
included 1 acute myocardial infarction and 1 pulmonary embolism;
both were massive gastric variceal bleeding.
The sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score and its components.
| SOFA score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PaO2/FiO2 | >400 | >300–≤400 | >200–≤300 | >100–≤200, use of ventilator | ≤100, use of ventilator |
| Platelets, ×103/mm3 | >150 | >100–≤150 | >50–≤100 | >20–≤50 | ≤20 |
| Bilirubin, mg/dL | <1.2 | ≥1.2–<2.0 | ≥2.0–<6.0 | ≥6.0–<12.0 | ≥12 |
| Hypotension, or catecholamine doses, μg/kg/min for at least one hour | MAP ≥70 mm Hg | MAP <70 mm Hg | Dopamine ≤5, or use of dobutamine | Dopamine >5, or epinephrine or norepinephrine ≤0.1 | Dopamine >15, or epinephrine or norepinephrine >0.1 |
| Glasgow Coma Score | 15 | 13–14 | 10–12 | 6–9 | <6 |
| Creatinine, mg/dL, or urine output | <1.2 | ≥1.2–<2.0 | ≥2.0–<3.5 | ≥3.5–<5.0, or <500 mL/day | ≥5.0, or <200 mL/day |
SOFA – Sequential Organ Failure Assessment; CNS – central nervous system; FiO2 – fractional inspired oxygen; MAP – mean arterial pressure; PaO2 – arterial oxygen tension.