| Literature DB >> 34109255 |
Ayesha Appa1, Saki Takahashi1, Isabel Rodriguez-Barraquer1, Gabriel Chamie1, Aenor Sawyer1, Elias Duarte1, Jill Hakim1, Keirstinne Turcios1, Joanna Vinden2, Owen Janson1, Aashish Manglik1, Michael J Peluso1, Steven G Deeks1, Timothy J Henrich1, Leonel Torres1, Mary Rodgers3, John Hackett3, Charles Chiu1, Diane Havlir1, Bryan Greenhouse1,4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Limited systematic surveillance for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in the early months of the US epidemic curtailed accurate appraisal of transmission intensity. Our objective was to perform case detection of an entire rural community to quantify SARS-CoV-2 transmission using polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and antibody testing.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; rural population; seroepidemiologic studies; severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2
Year: 2020 PMID: 34109255 PMCID: PMC7665736 DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofaa531
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Open Forum Infect Dis ISSN: 2328-8957 Impact factor: 3.835
Demographic, Epidemiologic, and Symptom-Related Characteristics of Participants
| Characteristics | Confirmed Bolinas Residentsa |
|---|---|
| Demographic Characteristics | |
| Age | |
| <18 | 139 (11%) |
| 18–44 | 363 (28%) |
| 45–60 | 319 (24%) |
| 60 and older | 490 (37%) |
| Sex | |
| Male | 521 (46%) |
| Female | 599 (52%) |
| Declined to state | 22 (2%) |
| Race/Ethnicity | |
| White/Caucasian | 964 (80%) |
| Black/African American | 8 (1%) |
| Hispanic/Latinx | 60 (5%) |
| Asian/Pacific Islander | 23 (2%) |
| Other or Declined | 153 (13%) |
| Income | |
| <50 000 | 295 (33%) |
| 50K–100K | 275 (30%) |
| >100K | 337 (37%) |
| Essential workersb | 182 (14%) |
| Epidemiologic and Behavioral Characteristics | |
| Estimated Number of times Participantsc Left the House per Week for | |
| Work (median, interquartile range) | 0 (0–1) |
| Food | 1 (1–2) |
| Other | 1 (0–2) |
| Endorsed mask-wearing | 984 (92%) |
| Reported travel outside Bolinas in the 2 weeks before testing | 244/346 (73%) |
| Symptom Reporting | |
| Symptoms on Day of Testing | |
| Any symptom below | 32 (2%) |
| Fever | 1 (0%) |
| Cough | 19 (1%) |
| Muscle aches | 1 (0%) |
| Severe fatigue | 4 (0%) |
| Trouble breathing | 6 (6%) |
| Loss of smell or taste | 0 (0%) |
| Symptoms in Month Before Testing | |
| Any symptom below | 350 (31%) |
| Fever | 77 (7%) |
| Cough | 214 (19%) |
| Muscle aches | 143 (13%) |
| Severe fatigue | 134 (12%) |
| Trouble breathing | 72 (6%) |
| Loss of smell or taste | 18 (2%) |
aDoes not include the following: non-Bolinas first-responders, essential workers, and family members; non-Bolinas resident volunteers; or those who registered onsite (likely Bolinas residents, essential workers, or county first responders).
bEssential workers defined as those who self-reported incoming as one of the following: food/beverage, healthcare, tradesperson, and cleaning/personal services.
cn = 1047 confirmed Bolinas residents provided responses.
Figure 1.Probability of observing 0 cases given the true number of cases (y-axis), across a range of true numbers of cases (x-axis) and the proportion of the total population that was sampled (red, green, and blue lines). For example, assuming that we had sampled the entire population (red line), the probability of observing 0 cases if there truly had been 1 case is 0.2 or 20%; the probability of observing 0 cases if there truly had been 3 cases is 0.008.
Figure 2.(A) illustrates the number of specimens that were positive and negative, by testing modality. N/A indicates samples not run on Abbott assay due to insufficient plasma volume. (B) illustrates the quantitative results of antibody tests that were run on both assays (n = 1810) with colors denoting positive results. Abbott ARCHITECT immunoglobulin (Ig)G signal to cutoff values are shown on the y-axis with enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) IgG optical density to cutoff values on the x-axis.
Modeled Prevalence, Sensitivity, Specificity, and Positive Predictive Value Based on Independent and Conjoined Antibody Testing Results
| Test Characteristics | Estimate and 95% CrI |
|---|---|
| Prevalence | |
| Using Abbott only | 0.29% (0.01%–0.78%) |
| Using ELISA only | 0.23% (0.01%–0.62%) |
| Using Abbott and ELISA | 0.16% (0.02%–0.46%) |
| Sensitivity | |
| Abbott assay (independent) | 99.61% (97.98%–99.99%) |
| ELISA assay (independent) | 96.25% (89.36%–99.51%) |
| Abbott assay, using both | 99.60% (98.00%–99.99%) |
| ELISA assay, using both | 96.23% (89.45%–99.52%) |
| Specificity | |
| Abbott assay (independent) | 99.68% (99.37%–99.88%) |
| ELISA assay (independent) | 99.88% (99.58%–100%) |
| Abbott assay, using both | 99.61% (99.32%–99.82%) |
| ELISA assay, using both | 99.83% (99.56%–99.97%) |
| Positive Predictive Value | |
| Abbott + (independent) | 44.19% (3.25%–83.06%) |
| ELISA + (independent) | 63.32% (5.46%–98.64%) |
| Abbott + and ELISA + | 99.11% (95.75%–99.94%) |
| Abbott + and ELISA – | 1.67% (0.07%–7.47%) |
| Abbott – and ELISA + | 0.56% (0%–3.48%) |
Abbreviations: CrI, credible interval; ELISA, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay.
Demographic, Epidemiologic, and Symptom-Related Characteristics of Participants
| Confirmed Bolinas Residentsa | |
|---|---|
| Demographic Characteristics | |
| Age | |
| <18 | 139 (11%) |
| 18–44 | 363 (28%) |
| 45–60 | 319 (24%) |
| 60 and older | 490 (37%) |
| Sex | |
| Male | 521 (46%) |
| Female | 599 (52%) |
| Declined to state | 22 (2%) |
| Race/Ethnicity | |
| White/Caucasian | 964 (80%) |
| Black/African American | 8 (1%) |
| Hispanic/Latinx | 60 (5%) |
| Asian/Pacific Islander | 23 (2%) |
| Other or Declined | 153 (13%) |
| Income | |
| <50 000 | 295 (33%) |
| 50K–100K | 275 (30%) |
| >100K | 337 (37%) |
| Essential workersb | 182 (14%) |
| Epidemiologic and Behavioral Characteristics | |
| Estimated Number of times Participantsc Left the House per Week for | |
| Work (median, interquartile range) | 0 (0–1) |
| Food | 1 (1–2) |
| Other | 1 (0–2) |
| Endorsed mask-wearing | 984 (92%) |
| Reported travel outside Bolinas in the 2 weeks before testing | 244/346 (73%) |
| Symptom Reporting | |
| Symptoms on Day of Testing | |
| Any symptom below | 32 (2%) |
| Fever | 1 (0%) |
| Cough | 19 (1%) |
| Muscle aches | 1 (0%) |
| Severe fatigue | 4 (0%) |
| Trouble breathing | 6 (6%) |
| Loss of smell or taste | 0 (0%) |
| Symptoms in Month Before Testing | |
| Any symptom below | 350 (31%) |
| Fever | 77 (7%) |
| Cough | 214 (19%) |
| Muscle aches | 143 (13%) |
| Severe fatigue | 134 (12%) |
| Trouble breathing | 72 (6%) |
| Loss of smell or taste | 18 (2%) |
aDoes not include the following: non-Bolinas first-responders, essential workers, and family members; non-Bolinas resident volunteers; or those who registered onsite (likely Bolinas residents, essential workers, or county first responders).
bEssential workers defined as those who self-reported incoming as one of the following: food/beverage, healthcare, tradesperson, and cleaning/personal services.
cn = 1047 confirmed Bolinas residents provided responses.