| Literature DB >> 34080790 |
Hai Hu1, Weili Kong2, Ni Yao3, Yanru Qiu4, Rong Yao1.
Abstract
AIM: To explore the factors affecting mortality in patients with COVID-19 and to verify the predictive value of the three rapid scoring scales MEWS, RAPS and REMS.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; Rapid Scoring Scales; prediction; prognosis; risk factors
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34080790 PMCID: PMC8242648 DOI: 10.1002/nop2.934
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Nurs Open ISSN: 2054-1058
Difference between alive group and death group
| Variable | Alive( | Death( |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Female | 35 (87.5%) | 5 (12.5%) |
|
| Male | 24 (61.54%) | 15 (38.46%) | |
| Age | 56.52 ± 16.97 | 75.05 ± 12.94 |
|
| Heart rate | 83.60 ± 15.01 | 87.47 ± 13.56 | 0.248 |
| Breathe | 19.83 ± 2.068 | 23.21 ± 5.381 |
|
| Systolic pressure | 130.40 ± 19.68 | 143.30 ± 24.85 |
|
| Diastolic pressure | 80.40 ± 10.75 | 83.95 ± 14.12 | 0.347 |
| Temperature | 36.59 ± 0.45 | 36.71 ± 0.72 | 0.388 |
| oxygen saturation | 96.40 ± 2.57 | 86.53 ± 12.46 |
|
| While cell count | 5.54 ± 1.91 | 11.57 ± 9.79 |
|
| Lymphocyte count | 27.56 ± 11.8 | 8.86 ± 9.48 |
|
| MEWS | 1.48 ± 0.87 | 2.37 ± 1.53 |
|
| RAPS | 0.80 ± 1.31 | 1.58 ± 1.71 |
|
| REMS | 3.90 ± 2.98 | 7.90 ± 2.81 |
|
| Combined score | 6.18 ± 4.47 | 11.85 ± 5.13 |
|
Abbreviations: Combined Score: the combined score of MEWS, RAPs, and REMS; MEWS, Modified Early Warning Score; RAPS, Rapid Acute Physiology Score; REMS, Rapid Emergency Medicine Score.
p‐values were calculated by using Wilcoxon rank sum test for continuous variables, and Fisher's exact test for categorical variables.
Survival‐related factors based on the survival outcomes
| Variables | UVA | MVA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted HR (95% CI) |
| Adjusted HR (95% CI) |
| |
| Age | 1.081 (1.09–1.124) |
| 1.043 (0.99–1.093) |
|
| Sex | ||||
| F | Reference | Reference | ||
| M | 0.278 (0.01–0.78) |
| 1.18 (0.33–4.20) | 0.8 |
| Respiration frequency | 1.236 (1.125–1.359) |
| 1.17 (1.02–1.34) |
|
| Oxygen saturation level | 0.804 (0.794–0.864) |
| 0.879 (0.802–0.964) |
|
| Lymphocyte count | 0.89 (0.847–0.936) |
| 0.94 (0.885–0.999) |
|
| Chronic disease | ||||
| No | Reference | Reference | ||
| Yes | 2.94 (1.15–7.53) |
| 0.341 (0.103–1.125) | 0.07 |
CIs are presented as lower limit–upper limit ranges. Abbreviations: UVA, univariate analysis; MVA, multivariable analysis; HR, hazard ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval.
FIGURE 1Kaplan–Meier survival estimates according to a. sex and b. chronic disease status
The binary logistic regression analysis of MEWS, RAPS, and REMS scores
| Variable | B |
| Wald |
| OR | OR 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lower limit | upper limit | ||||||
| MEWS | 0.732 | 0.37 | 3.916 |
| 2.079 | 1.007 | 4.291 |
| RAPS | −1.002 | 0.401 | 6.263 |
| 0.367 | 0.167 | 0.805 |
| REMS | 0.768 | 0.227 | 11.444 |
| 2.156 | 1.382 | 3.365 |
The AUCs and statistical parameters of the three scoring scales and combining predictors
| Parameter | MEWS | RAPS | REMS | Combining predictors |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUC | 0.705 | 0.641 | 0.841 | 0.878 |
|
|
| 0.065 |
|
|
| Cut‐off value | 1.5 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 6.27 |
| Youden index (max) | 0.384 | 0.249 | 0.627 | 0.609 |
| Sensitivity | 0.68 | 0.32 | 0.9 | 0.84 |
| Specificity | 0.7 | 0.933 | 0.73 | 0.77 |
| +LLR | 2.28 | 4.72 | 3.35 | 3.61 |
| −LLR | 0.45 | 0.73 | 0.14 | 0.21 |
AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; MEWS, Modified Early Warning Score; RAPS, Rapid Acute Physiology Score; REMS, Rapid Emergency Medicine Score.
FIGURE 2The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for the Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS), Rapid Acute Physiology Score (RAPS), Rapid Emergency Medicine Score (REMS) and Combining predictors.
Comparisons between the AUCs of the MEWS, RAPS, REMS and combining predictors
|
| Difference between areas |
| 95% CI |
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAPS vs. MEWS | 0.0636 | 0.068 | −0.0698 to 0.197 | 0.934 | 0.350 |
| MEWS vs. REMS | 0.136 | 0.067 | 0.00381 to 0.268 | 2.016 |
|
| RAPS vs. REMS | 0.2 | 0.059 | 0.0825 to 0.317 | 3.342 |
|
| REMS vs. combining predictor | 0.0545 | 0.056 | −0.0734 to 0.187 | 0.965 | 0.401 |
AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; MEWS, Modified Early Warning Score; RAPS, Rapid Acute Physiology Score; REMS, Rapid Emergency Medicine Score; SE, standard error; CI, confidence interval.
Comparisons between the NRI and IDI of the MEWS, RAPS, REMS and combining predictors
| Value | 95% CI Lower | 95% CI Upper |
| ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAPS vs. MEWS | NRI | 0.371 | −0.178 | 0.604 |
|
| IDI | 0.092 | −0.011 | 0.164 |
| |
| MEWS vs. REMS | NRI | 0.227 | −0.114 | 0.632 | 0.12 |
| IDI | 0.09 | −0.078 | 0.286 |
| |
| RAPS vs. REMS | NRI | 0.432 | 0.043 | 0.713 |
|
| IDI | 0.182 | 0.024 | 0.347 |
| |
| REMS vs. combining predictor | NRI | 0.25 | −0.082 | 0.575 | 0.113 |
| IDI | 0.02 | −0.094 | 0.119 | 0.598 |
NRI, Net Reclassification Improvement; IDI, Integrated Discrimination Improvement; MEWS, Modified Early Warning Score; RAPS, Rapid Acute Physiology Score; REMS, Rapid Emergency Medicine Score; CI, confidence interval