| Literature DB >> 34069565 |
Beth Russell1, Charlotte L Moss1, Kieran Palmer2, Rushan Sylva3, Andrea D'Souza3, Harriet Wylie1, Anna Haire1, Fidelma Cahill1, Renee Steel4, Angela Hoyes5, Isabelle Wilson6, Alyson Macneil7, Belul Shifa7, Maria J Monroy-Iglesias1, Sophie Papa3,8, Sheeba Irshad3,8, Paul Ross3, James Spicer3,8, Shahram Kordasti5,8, Danielle Crawley1,3, Kamarul Zaki3, Ailsa Sita-Lumsden3, Debra Josephs1,3, Deborah Enting1,3, Angela Swampillai4, Elinor Sawyer4,8, Paul Fields5, David Wrench5, Anne Rigg3, Richard Sullivan8, Mieke Van Hemelrijck1,3, Saoirse Dolly3.
Abstract
Very few studies investigating COVID-19 in cancer patients have included cancer patients as controls. We aimed to identify factors associated with the risk of testing positive for SARS CoV2 infection in a cohort of cancer patients. We analyzed data from all cancer patients swabbed for COVID-19 between 1st March and 31st July 2020 at Guy's Cancer Centre. We conducted logistic regression analyses to identify which factors were associated with a positive COVID-19 test.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; cancer; risk factors
Year: 2021 PMID: 34069565 PMCID: PMC8161328 DOI: 10.3390/cancers13102479
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancers (Basel) ISSN: 2072-6694 Impact factor: 6.639
Figure A1Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) for the association between demographic and clinical factors and risk of COVID-19 in cancer patients (www.dagitty.net, accessed on 11 January 2021).
Overview of minimal adjustments for the associations between demographic and clinical characteristics and risk of COVID-19 or death in cancer patients (www.dagitty.net, accessed on 11 January 2021).
| Main Exposure | Minimal Sufficient Adjustment sets for Estimating the Total Effect of the Exposure Variable on COVID-19 Status/Severity |
|---|---|
| Age | None |
| Sex | None |
| Socio-Economic Status | Ethnicity, Smoking History |
| Ethnicity | None |
| Smoking History | Ethnicity, Sex |
| Cancer Type | Age, Ethnicity, Sex, Smoking History, Socio-economic status |
| Tumour stage | None |
| Treatment paradigm | Age, Cancer Type |
| Time since cancer diagnosis | Age, Ethnicity, Treatment Paradigm |
| Previous Hospital Visits | Age, Cancer type, Time since cancer diagnosis, treatment paradigm |
Demographic and cancer characteristics of COVID-19 positive and negative cancer patients.
| Variable | Total | COVID-19 Status | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Positive | Negative | |||||
|
| % |
| % |
| % | |
|
| ||||||
| Male | 969 | 45.00 | 112 | 58.90 | 857 | 43.70 |
| Female | 1183 | 55.00 | 78 | 41.10 | 1105 | 56.30 |
|
| ||||||
| <50 | 362 | 16.80 | 30 | 15.80 | 332 | 16.90 |
| 50–59 | 503 | 23.40 | 36 | 18.90 | 467 | 23.80 |
| 60–69 | 613 | 28.50 | 55 | 28.90 | 558 | 28.40 |
| 70–79 | 476 | 22.10 | 40 | 21.10 | 436 | 22.20 |
| ≥80 | 198 | 9.20 | 29 | 15.30 | 169 | 8.60 |
| Mean (SD) | 62.60 (13.30) | 63.80 (14.80) | 62.50 (13.20) | |||
|
| ||||||
| Low | 1848 | 85.90 | 157 | 82.60 | 1691 | 86.20 |
| Medium | 36 | 1.70 | 0 | 0.00 | 36 | 1.80 |
| High | 150 | 7.00 | 19 | 10.00 | 131 | 6.70 |
| Missing | 118 | 5.50 | 14 | 7.40 | 104 | 5.30 |
|
| ||||||
| White British | 923 | 42.90 | 84 | 44.20 | 839 | 42.80 |
| White Other | 196 | 9.10 | 14 | 7.40 | 182 | 9.30 |
| Black Caribbean | 89 | 4.10 | 10 | 5.30 | 79 | 4.00 |
| Black African | 102 | 4.70 | 17 | 8.90 | 85 | 4.30 |
| Black Other | 78 | 3.60 | 15 | 7.90 | 63 | 3.20 |
| Asian | 62 | 2.90 | 7 | 3.70 | 55 | 2.80 |
| Mixed | 25 | 1.20 | 2 | 1.10 | 23 | 1.20 |
| Other | 43 | 2.00 | 4 | 2.10 | 39 | 2.00 |
| Unknown | 634 | 29.50 | 37 | 19.50 | 597 | 30.40 |
|
| ||||||
| Never | 563 | 26.20 | 66 | 34.70 | 497 | 25.30 |
| Current | 206 | 9.60 | 19 | 10.00 | 187 | 9.50 |
| Ex-smoker | 432 | 20.10 | 48 | 25.30 | 384 | 19.60 |
| Unknown | 951 | 44.20 | 57 | 30.00 | 894 | 45.60 |
|
| ||||||
| Urological | 320 | 14.90 | 41 | 21.50 | 279 | 14.20 |
| Gynaecological | 226 | 10.50 | 10 | 5.30 | 216 | 11.00 |
| Gastro-intestinal | 395 | 18.40 | 29 | 15.30 | 366 | 18.70 |
| Skin/Head & neck | 199 | 9.20 | 16 | 8.40 | 183 | 9.30 |
| Central Nervous System | 39 | 1.80 | 12 | 6.30 | 27 | 1.40 |
| Breast | 456 | 21.20 | 27 | 14.20 | 429 | 21.90 |
| Lung | 300 | 13.90 | 22 | 11.60 | 278 | 14.20 |
| Haematological | 195 | 9.10 | 33 | 17.40 | 162 | 8.30 |
| Other | 22 | 1.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 22 | 1.10 |
|
| ||||||
| I | 233 | 10.80 | 21 | 11.10 | 212 | 10.80 |
| II | 304 | 14.10 | 34 | 17.90 | 270 | 13.80 |
| III | 450 | 20.90 | 34 | 17.90 | 416 | 21.20 |
| IV | 889 | 41.30 | 76 | 40.00 | 813 | 41.40 |
| Missing | 276 | 12.80 | 25 | 13.20 | 251 | 12.80 |
|
| ||||||
| Treatment naive | 56 | 2.60 | 18 | 9.50 | 38 | 1.90 |
| Neoadjuvant | 117 | 5.40 | 10 | 5.30 | 107 | 5.50 |
| Adjuvant | 419 | 19.50 | 12 | 6.30 | 407 | 20.70 |
| Radical | 388 | 18.00 | 49 | 25.80 | 339 | 17.30 |
| Palliative | 970 | 45.10 | 78 | 41.10 | 892 | 45.50 |
| Watch and wait | 96 | 4.50 | 18 | 9.50 | 78 | 4.00 |
| Missing | 106 | 4.90 | 5 | 2.60 | 101 | 5.10 |
|
| ||||||
| 1 | 370 | 38.60 | 38 | 50.70 | 332 | 37.60 |
| 2 | 243 | 25.40 | 22 | 29.30 | 221 | 25.00 |
| 3 | 108 | 11.30 | 7 | 9.30 | 101 | 11.40 |
| >4 | 53 | 5.60 | 1 | 1.30 | 52 | 5.90 |
| Missing | 196 | 20.20 | 10 | 12.80 | 186 | 20.90 |
|
| ||||||
| Chemotherapy | 708 | 48.90 | 65 | 61.90 | 643 | 47.90 |
| Immunotherapy | 110 | 7.00 | 9 | 8.60 | 101 | 7.50 |
| Biological | 163 | 11.30 | 14 | 13.30 | 149 | 11.10 |
| Targeted Therapy | 202 | 14.00 | 6 | 5.70 | 196 | 14.60 |
| Combination Therapy | 265 | 18.30 | 11 | 10.50 | 254 | 18.90 |
|
| ||||||
| <1 year | 974 | 45.30 | 96 | 50.50 | 878 | 44.80 |
| 1–2 years | 340 | 15.80 | 23 | 12.10 | 317 | 16.20 |
| 2–5 years | 399 | 18.50 | 29 | 15.30 | 370 | 18.90 |
| ≥5 years | 323 | 15.00 | 36 | 18.90 | 287 | 14.60 |
| Missing | 116 | 5.40 | 6 | 3.20 | 110 | 5.60 |
Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for risk of COVID-19 in cancer patients.
| Variable | COVID-19 Positive | COVID-19 Negative | OR * | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| ||||
| Female | 78 (41) | 1105 (56) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| Male | 112 (59) | 857 (44) | 1.85 | (1.37–2.51) |
|
| ||||
| ≤60 | 66 (35) | 799 (41) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| >60 | 124 (65) | 1163 (59) | 1.29 | (0.94–1.76) |
|
| ||||
| Low | 157 (83) | 1691 (86) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| Middle/High | 19 (0) | 167 (9) | 1.58 | (0.94–2.66) |
|
| ||||
| White | 98 (52) | 1021 (52) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| Black | 42 (22) | 227 (12) | 1.93 | (1.31–2.84) |
| Asian | 7 (4) | 55 (3) | 1.33 | (0.59–2.99) |
| Other | 6 (3) | 62 (3) | 1.01 | (0.43–2.39) |
|
| ||||
| Never | 66 (35) | 497 (25) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| Ever | 67 (35) | 571 (29) | 0.91 | (0.61–1.37) |
| Cancer Type | ||||
| Solid | 157 (83) | 1778 (91) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| Haematological | 33 (17) | 162 (8) | 2.29 | (1.45–3.62) |
|
| ||||
| I-III | 43 (23) | 1103 (56) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| IV | 17 (9) | 302 (15) | 1.44 | (0.81–2.57) |
|
| ||||
| No active treatment | 18 (0) | 78 (4) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| Radical/Curative | 71 (37) | 853 (43) | 0.37 | (0.20–0.66) |
| Palliative | 78 (41) | 892 (45) | 0.39 | (0.22–0.70) |
|
| ||||
| <1 year | 96 (51) | 878 (45) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| 1–2 years | 23 (12) | 317 (16) | 0.70 | (0.42–1.16) |
| 2–5 years | 29 (15) | 370 (19) | 0.73 | (0.45–1.18) |
| ≥5 years | 36 (19) | 287 (15) | 1.11 | (0.70–1.76) |
* Adjusted models according to DAG in Appendix A.
Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for risk of mild/moderate and severe COVID-19 in cancer patients.
| Variable | COVID-19 Negative | Mild/Moderate COVID-19 | Risk of Mild/Moderate | Severe COVID-19 | Risk of Severe COVID-19 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR * | 95% CI | OR * | 95% CI | ||||
|
| |||||||
| Female | 1105 (56) | 66 (44) | 1.00 | Ref. | 12 (29) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| Male | 857 (44) | 83 (56) | 1.62 | (1.16–2.27) | 29 (71) | 3.12 | (1.58–6.14) |
|
| |||||||
| ≤60 | 799 (41) | 54 (36) | 1.00 | Ref. | 12 (29) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| >60 | 1163 (59) | 95 (64) | 1.21 | (0.86–1.71) | 29 (71) | 1.66 | (0.84–3.27) |
|
| |||||||
| Low | 1691 (86) | 124 (83) | 1.00 | Ref. | 33 (80) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| Middle/High | 167 (9) | 16 (11) | 1.64 | (0.93–2.88) | 3 (7) | 1.38 | (0.40–4.76) |
|
| |||||||
| White | 1021 (52) | 73 (49) | 1.00 | Ref. | 25 (61) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| Black | 227 (12) | 35 (23) | 2.16 | (1.41–3.31) | 7 (17) | 1.26 | (0.54–2.95) |
| Asian | 55 (3) | 3 (2) | 0.76 | (0.23–2.50) | 4 (10) | 2.97 | (1.00–8.83) |
| Other | 62 (3) | 4 (3) | 0.90 | (0.32–2.55) | 2 (5) | 1.32 | (0.31–5.69) |
|
| |||||||
| Never | 497 (25) | 53 (36) | 1.00 | Ref. | 13 (32) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| Ever | 571 (29) | 51 (34) | 0.91 | (0.58–1.42) | 16 (39) | 0.90 | (0.38–2.10) |
|
| |||||||
| Solid | 1778 (91) | 126 (85) | 1.00 | Ref. | 31 (76) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| Haematological | 162 (8) | 23 (15) | 2.30 | (1.38–3.83) | 10 (24) | 2.43 | (1.00–5.90) |
|
| |||||||
| I-III | 1103 (56) | 37 (25) | 1.00 | Ref. | 6 (15) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| IV | 302 (15) | 15 (10) | 1.48 | (0.80–2.73) | 2 (5) | 1.22 | (0.24–6.06) |
|
| |||||||
| No active treatment | 78 (4) | 15 (10) | 1.00 | Ref. | 3 (7) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| Radical/Curative | 853 (43) | 58 (39) | 0.37 | (0.20–0.69) | 13 (32) | 0.37 | (0.10–1.38) |
| Palliative | 892 (45) | 59 (40) | 0.36 | (0.19–0.66) | 19 (46) | 0.56 | (0.16–1.95) |
|
| |||||||
| <1 year | 878 (45) | 83 (56) | 1.00 | Ref. | 13 (32) | 1.00 | Ref. |
| 1–2 years | 317 (16) | 18 (12) | 0.63 | (0.36–1.11) | 5 (12) | 1.27 | (0.41–3.90) |
| 2–5 years | 370 (19) | 20 (13) | 0.59 | (0.34–1.02) | 9 (22) | 1.69 | (0.62–4.59) |
| ≥5 years | 287 (15) | 24 (16) | 0.87 | (0.51–1.46) | 12 (29) | 2.89 | (1.12–7.50) |
* Adjusted models according to DAG in the Appendix A.