| Literature DB >> 33962641 |
Antonio Ceriello1, Francesco Prattichizzo2.
Abstract
Several studies suggest that, together with glucose variability, the variability of other risk factors, as blood pressure, plasma lipids, heart rate, body weight, and serum uric acid, might play a role in the development of diabetes complications. Moreover, the variability of each risk factor, when contemporarily present, may have additive effects. However, the question is whether variability is causal or a marker. Evidence shows that the quality of care and the attainment of the target impact on the variability of all risk factors. On the other hand, for some of them causality may be considered. Although specific studies are still lacking, it should be useful checking the variability of a risk factor, together with its magnitude out of the normal range, in clinical practice. This can lead to an improvement of the quality of care, which, in turn, could further hesitate in an improvement of risk factors variability.Entities:
Keywords: Blood pressure variability; Body weight variability; Cardiovascular complications; Diabetes mellitus; Glucose variability; Heart rate variability; Lipids variability; Microvascular complications; Oxidative stress; Uric acid variability
Year: 2021 PMID: 33962641 PMCID: PMC8106175 DOI: 10.1186/s12933-021-01289-4
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cardiovasc Diabetol ISSN: 1475-2840 Impact factor: 9.951
Summary of the studies showing an effect of blood pressure variability on the development of complications in patients with diabetes
| Risk factor | Type of variability assessed | Short or long term variability | Metrics used | Type of study | Sample size | Significantly associated outcomes | Follow-up length | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Systolic blood pressure | Visit-to-visit | Long-term | Standard deviation | Post-hoc analysis of trial | 9114 | MACE; microvascular outomes | 2.4 years | [ |
| Post-hoc analysis of trial | 9114 | MACE, renal events, or death; | 7.6 years | [ | ||||
| Retrospective cohort study | 124105 | Newly developed CVD; all-cause mortality | 39.5 months | [ | ||||
| Retrospective cohort study | 10163 | Risk of CVD | 24 months | [ | ||||
| Prospective cohort study | 632 | MACE | 11.3 years | [ | ||||
| Post-hoc analysis of 2 trials | 2739 | Composite renal outcome | 2.6/3.4 years | [ | ||||
| Retrospective cohort study | 30851 | Composite renal outcome | 4 years | [ | ||||
| Coefficient of variation | Post-hoc analysis of 2 trials | 9383 plus 1550 | Heart failure development | 56.6 months/59.5 months | [ | |||
| Retrospective cohort study | 10163 | Risk of CVD | 24 months | [ | ||||
| Retrospective cohort study | 30851 | Composite renal outcome | 4 years | [ | ||||
| Variation independent of mean | Retrospective cohort study | 10163 | Risk of CVD | 24 months | [ | |||
| Average real variability | Retrospective cohort study | 10163 | risk of CVD | 24 months | [ | |||
| Post-hoc analysis of 2 trials | 9383 plus 1550 | Heart failure related event | 56.6 months/59.5 months | [ | ||||
| Retrospective cohort study | 30851 | Composite renal outcome | 4 years | [ | ||||
| Successive variability of measurements | Retrospective cohort study | 10163 | Risk of CVD | 24 months | [ | |||
| Diastolic blood pressure | Visit-to-visit | Long-term | Coefficient of variation AND Average real variability | Post-hoc analysis of 2 trials | 9383 plus 1550 | Heart failure development | 56.6 months/59.5 months | [ |
Summary of the studies showing an effect of lipids variability on the development of complications in patients with diabetes
| Risk factor | Type of variability assessed | Short or long term variability | Metrics used | Type of study | Sample size | Significantly associated outcomes | Follow-up length | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDL | Visit-to-visit | Long-term | Standard deviation | Observational cohort | 162 | Carotid intima-media thickness | 1 year | [ |
| Observational cohort | 5354 | Cardiovascular events | 3.2 years | [ | ||||
| Observational cohort | 1792 | Cardiovascular events | 65 months | [ | ||||
| HDL | Visit-to-visit | Long-term | Standard deviation | Observational cohort | 1792 | Cardiovascular events | 65 months | [ |
| Observational cohort | 864 | Appearance of albuminuria | 3 years | [ | ||||
| Non-HDL cholesterol | Visit-to-visit | Long-term | Standard deviation | Observational cohort | 1792 | Cardiovascular events | 65 months | [ |
| Triglycerides | Visit-to-visit | Long-term | Standard deviation | Observational cohort | 457 | Incident microalbuminuria | 6.8-years | [ |
| Post-prandial | Short-term | Coefficient of variation | Observational cohort | 168 | eGFR decline | 6.0 years | [ |
Summary of the studies showing an effect of body weight, uric acid, and heart rate variability on the development of complications in patients with diabetes
| Risk factor | Type of variability assessed | Short or long term variability | Metrics used | Type of study | Sample size | Significantly associated outcomes | Follow-up length | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Body weight | Visit-to-visit | Long-term | Average successive variability | Post-hoc analysis of 3 trials | 6408 | Composite of cardiovascular events | 3.9/4/4.9 years | [ |
| Post-hoc analysis of trial | 10251 | MACE, heart failure, death, and microvascular events | 3.5 years | [ | ||||
| Coefficient of variation | Observational cohort | 1319 | All-cause mortality in patients > 65 years | 10 years | [ | |||
| Uric acid | Visit-to-visit | Long-term | Standard deviation | Retrospective cohort study | 10163 | eGRF decline | 24 months | [ |
| Heart rate | 24-h ECG Holter, expiration/inspiration (E/I) ratio during deep breathing, acceleration index (AI) of R-R interval in response to head-up tilt | Short-term | Low frequency | Observational cohort | 61 | Intima-media thickness | 8 years | [ |
| Supine deep breathing 12-lead electrocardiograms | Short-term | Standard deviation of consecutive RR intervals | Observational cohort | 1416 | Coronary artery calcium | 6.0 ± 0.5 years | [ | |
| Coefficient of variance for 100 R–R intervals | Observational cohort | 8917 (3089 with diabetes) | Sudden cardiac death | 5.2 years | [ | |||
| 24-h ECG Holter | Short-term | Standard deviation of NN intervals | Observational cohort | 240 | All-cause mortality | 15.5 years | [ |
Fig. 1Recursive partitioning techniques (RECPAM) analysis of developing albuminuria in a cohort of 4231 patients with T2D followed up for a median of 3.4 years and with 5 subsequent measurements of risk factors [36]. The tree-growing algorithm resumes the hazard of developing albuminuria according to a multivariable Cox regression analysis. At each step, the method proceeds forward using the covariate with the highest difference in risk. The algorithm proceeds until user-defined conditions are met. Variables used to build the model were quartiles of variability in HbA1c, systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP), serum uric acid (UA), total, high-density lipoprotein (HDL), low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol and triglycerides., while additional baseline parameters were considered in the model as global variables, i.e. age, gender, duration of diabetes, smoking, hypertension, baseline HbA1c, blood pressure, UA, lipid parameters and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) values. The variable determining patient’s assignment to the subsequent group is evidenced on the branch proceeding to the following subgroup, while rectangles represent the REPCAM class. The numbers in the circles and rectangles represent the patients who develop albuminuria compared with the total number of patients in the subgroup, respectively
(Reproduced with permission from Ref. [36])
Fig. 2RECPAM analysis of developing a decrease in glomerular filtration rate (GFR). The RECPAM tree-growing algorithm models the hazard of developing GFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 using the same approach and the same variables described for Fig. 1 in the same population
(Reproduced with permission from Ref. [36])