| Literature DB >> 33931656 |
Aleksandar Sekulić1, Milan Kilibarda2, Dragutin Protić2, Branislav Bajat2.
Abstract
We produced the first daily gridded meteorological dataset at a 1-km spatial resolution across Serbia for 2000-2019, named MeteoSerbia1km. The dataset consists of five daily variables: maximum, minimum and mean temperature, mean sea-level pressure, and total precipitation. In addition to daily summaries, we produced monthly and annual summaries, and daily, monthly, and annual long-term means. Daily gridded data were interpolated using the Random Forest Spatial Interpolation methodology, based on using the nearest observations and distances to them as spatial covariates, together with environmental covariates to make a random forest model. The accuracy of the MeteoSerbia1km daily dataset was assessed using nested 5-fold leave-location-out cross-validation. All temperature variables and sea-level pressure showed high accuracy, although accuracy was lower for total precipitation, due to the discontinuity in its spatial distribution. MeteoSerbia1km was also compared with the E-OBS dataset with a coarser resolution: both datasets showed similar coarse-scale patterns for all daily meteorological variables, except for total precipitation. As a result of its high resolution, MeteoSerbia1km is suitable for further environmental analyses.Entities:
Year: 2021 PMID: 33931656 PMCID: PMC8087659 DOI: 10.1038/s41597-021-00901-2
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Data ISSN: 2052-4463 Impact factor: 6.444
Existing daily gridded meteorological datasets for Serbia (Ref. stands for reference and RS for remote sensing).
| Dataset name | Abbreviation | Ref. | Dataset type | Spatial resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer Land Surface Temperature | MODIS LST | [ | RS-based | 1 km |
| Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission/Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement | TRMM/IMERG | [ | RS-based | 0.1° (~10 km) |
| Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks | PERSIANN | [ | RS-based | 0.04° (~4 km) |
| Climate Prediction Center global temperature and precipitation | CPC | [ | station-based | 0.5° (~50 km) |
| Ensembles daily gridded observational dataset | E-OBS | [ | station-based | 0.1° (~10 km) |
| Climate of the Carpathian region (covers only the northern part of Serbia) | CarpatClim | [ | station-based | 0.1° (~10 km) |
| National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research reanalysis | NCEP/NCAR | [ | reanalysis | 2.5° (~250 km) |
| National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) - CIRES 20th Century Reanalysis | NOAA-CIRES | [ | reanalysis | 2.5° (~250 km) |
| ERA-Interim | ERA-Interim | [ | reanalysis | 80 km |
| ERA5 (hourly, but can be aggregated to a daily resolution) | ERA5 | [ | reanalysis | 0.25° (~25 km) |
Fig. 1OGIMET and AMSV station locations used for making and testing MeteoSerbia1km with DEM.
Summary of the statistics for the selected variables in OGIMET daily summaries for the period 2000–2019.
| Parameter | Tmax [°C] | Tmin [°C] | Tmean [°C] | SLP [mbar] | PRCP [mm] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minimum | −22.2 | −34.8 | −24.8 | 967.4 | 0.0 |
| 1st quartile | 9.7 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 1,012.5 | 0.0 |
| Median | 18.3 | 6.9 | 12.3 | 1,016.5 | 0.0 |
| Mean | 17.6 | 6.4 | 11.8 | 1,017.1 | 2.0 |
| 3rd quartile | 25.8 | 12.7 | 18.9 | 1,021.4 | 1.0 |
| Maximum | 45.9 | 30.8 | 35.4 | 1,077.8 | 198.0 |
Fig. 2Schematic representation of the RFSI algorithm[22].
Optimized hyperparameters for each of the daily meteorological variables.
| Variable | mtry | min.node.size | sample.fraction | n.obs | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tmax | 7 | 15 | 0.98 | 10 | 2.9 |
| Tmin | 4 | 11 | 0.93 | 9 | 2.2 |
| Tmean | 7 | 14 | 1.00 | 9 | 3.0 |
| SLP | 6 | 11 | 0.91 | 9 | 3.5 |
| PRCP classification | 3 | 2 | 0.70 | 9 | n/a |
| PRCP regression | 7 | 11 | 0.93 | 6 | 3.3 |
Fig. 3Prediction maps for all daily meteorological variables, for July 27, 2014.
MeteoSerbia1km dataset file naming convention.
| Product | File nomenclature | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Daily averages | var_{time period}_{yyyymmdd}_{proj}.tif | tmax_day_20000101_wgs84.tif |
| Monthly averages | var_{time period}_{yyyymm}_{proj}.tif | tmax_mon_200001_wgs84.tif |
| Annual averages | var_{time period}_{yyyy}_{proj}.tif | tmax_ann_2000_wgs84.tif |
| Daily LTM | var_ltm_{time period}_{mmdd}_{proj}.tif | tmax_ltm_day_0101_wgs84.tif |
| Monthly LTM | var_ltm_{time period}_{mm}_{proj}.tif | tmax_ltm_mon_01_wgs84.tif |
| Annual LTM | var_ltm_{time period}_{proj}.tif | tmax_ltm_ann_wgs84.tif |
Accuracy metrics for each meteorological variable for stations in Serbia, as assessed using the nested 5-fold LLOCV.
| Variable | R2 [%] | CCC | MAE | RMSE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tmax | 97.4 | 0.987 | 1.1 °C | 1.7°C |
| Tmin | 93.7 | 0.968 | 1.4 °C | 2.0°C |
| Tmean | 97.4 | 0.987 | 1.0 °C | 1.4°C |
| SLP | 99.1 | 0.996 | 0.5 mbar | 0.7 mbar |
| PRCP | 63.8 | 0.784 | 1.1 mm | 3.1 mm |
Confusion Matrix for the PRCP RFSI classification model from the nested 5-fold LLOCV.
| Observation | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | ||
| 0 | 108,248 (93.40%) | 11,591 (16.35%) | |
| 1 | 7,651 (6.60%) | 59,298 (83.65%) | |
Class 0 represents no precipitation, and class 1 represents precipitation occurrence.
Fig. 4Average RMSE per station for the period 2000–2019, calculated from the nested 5-fold LLOCV. The units are °C for temperature, mbar for SLP and mm for PRCP.
Fig. 5Predictions from the nested 5-fold LLOCV (red) and observations (black) for the Belgrade station for 2014.
Fig. 6Pearson correlation coefficient map between E-OBS and the daily MeteoSerbia1km datasets for Serbia.
| Measurement(s) | temperature of air • pressure • volume of hydrological precipitation |
| Technology Type(s) | weather station |
| Factor Type(s) | digital elevation model (DEM) • topographic wetness index (TWI) • Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission/Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (TRMM/IMERG) |
| Sample Characteristic - Environment | climate |
| Sample Characteristic - Location | Serbia |