| Literature DB >> 33918302 |
Sara C Zapico1,2, Quentin Gauthier1, Aleksandra Antevska3, Bruce R McCord1.
Abstract
Age-at-death estimation constitutes one of the key parameters for identification of human remains in forensic investigations. However, for applications in forensic anthropology, many current methods are not sufficiently accurate for adult individuals, leading to chronological age estimates erring by ±10 years. Based on recent trends in aging studies, DNA methylation has great potential as a solution to this problem. However, there are only a few studies that have been published utilizing DNA methylation to determine age from human remains. The aim of the present study was to expand the range of this work by analyzing DNA methylation in dental pulp from adult individuals. Healthy erupted third molars were extracted from individuals aged 22-70. DNA from pulp was isolated and bisulfite converted. Pyrosequencing was the chosen technique to assess DNA methylation. As noted in previous studies, we found that ELOVL2 and FHL2 CpGs played a role in age estimation. In addition, three new markers were evaluated-NPTX2, KLF14, and SCGN. A set of CpGs from these five loci was used in four different multivariate regression models, providing a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) between predicted and chronological age of 1.5-2.13 years. The findings from this research can improve age estimation, increasing the accuracy of identification in forensic anthropology.Entities:
Keywords: DNA methylation; ELOVL2; FHL2; KLF14; NPTX2; SCGN; adults; age-at-death estimation; pulp; teeth
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 33918302 PMCID: PMC8038189 DOI: 10.3390/ijms22073717
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Mol Sci ISSN: 1422-0067 Impact factor: 5.923
Correlation coefficients and significance of CpG sites identified in ELOVL2, KLF14, SCGN, NPTX2, and FHL2.
| Gene | Site | r | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ELOVL2 | CpG1 | 0.353 | 0.024 |
| CpG2 | 0.308 | 0.043 | |
| CpG3 | 0.341 | 0.028 | |
| CpG4 | 0.318 | 0.038 | |
| CpG5 | 0.240 | 0.093 | |
| CpG6 | 0.342 | 0.028 | |
| CpG7 | 0.365 | 0.020 | |
| KLF14 | CpG1 | 0.168 | 0.480 |
| CpG2 | 0.316 | 0.174 | |
| CpG3 | 0.154 | 0.518 | |
| CpG4 | 0.278 | 0.236 | |
| CpG5 | 0.267 | 0.256 | |
| CpG6 | 0.220 | 0.350 | |
| CpG7 | 0.468 | 0.037 | |
| SCGN | CpG1 | 0.313 | 0.180 |
| CpG2 | 0.344 | 0.138 | |
| CpG3 | 0.529 | 0.017 | |
| CpG4 | 0.340 | 0.142 | |
| CpG5 | −0.103 | 0.665 | |
| CpG6 | 0.268 | 0.254 | |
| CpG7 | 0.258 | 0.272 | |
| CpG8 | 0.508 | 0.022 | |
| CpG9 | 0.156 | 0.512 | |
| CpG10 | 0.291 | 0.213 | |
| NPTX2 | CpG1 | 0.280 | 0.076 |
| CpG2 | −0.105 | 0.514 | |
| CpG3 | −0.084 | 0.601 | |
| CpG4 | 0.327 | 0.037 | |
| CpG5 | 0.214 | 0.179 | |
| CpG6 | 0.022 | 0.890 | |
| CpG7 | 0.121 | 0.449 | |
| CpG8 | 0.151 | 0.346 | |
| CpG9 | 0.076 | 0.637 | |
| CpG10 | 0.136 | 0.396 | |
| CpG11 | 0.172 | 0.282 | |
| CpG12 | 0.127 | 0.428 | |
| CpG13 | 0.166 | 0.300 | |
| CpG14 | 0.136 | 0.556 | |
| FHL2 | CpG1 | −0.367 | 0.111 |
| CpG2 | −0.376 | 0.094 | |
| CpG3 | −0.251 | 0.285 | |
| CpG4 | −0.288 | 0.217 | |
| CpG5 | −0.262 | 0.264 | |
| CpG6 | −0.241 | 0.305 | |
| CpG7 | −0.088 | 0.713 | |
| CpG8 | −0.086 | 0.720 |
Prediction models for age estimation in pulp. MAE, Mean Absolute Error; LOOCV, leave-one-out cross-validation.
| Model | R | R2 | SE | MAE | MAE (LOOCV) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) = 12.763 + 4.034(ELOVL2CpG3) + 3.535(ELOVL2CpG4) − 3.040(ELOVL2CpG7) + 7.815(NPTX2CpG4) + 3.791(SCGNCpG3) + 9.122(SCGNCpG8) − 5.013(ELOVL2CpG2) − 1.643(ELOVL2CpG5) − 4.341(FHL2CpG1) + 3.571(FHL2CpG3) − 1.093(FHL2CpG4) + 3.882(FHL2CpG5) − 1.229(FHL2CpG6) − 1.662(KLF14CpG7) | 0.987 | 0.975 | 3.671 | 0.004 | 1.5474 | 2.128 |
| Age (years) = 14.710 + 3.675(ELOVL2CpG3) + 3.972(ELOVL2CpG4) − 2.978(ELOVL2CpG7) + 5.278(NPTX2CpG4) + 4.044(SCGNCpG3) + 8.378(SCGNCpG8) − 4.853(ELOVL2CpG2) − 1.875(ELOVL2CpG5) − 4.273(FHL2CpG1) + 3.547(FHL2CpG3) − 1.145(FHL2CpG4) + 3.640(FHL2CpG5) − 0.937(FHL2CpG6) | 0.986 | 0.972 | 3.505 | 0.001 | 1.711 | 1.706 |
| Age (years) = 14.349 + 4.635(ELOVL2CpG3) + 3.049(ELOVL2CpG4) − 3.681(ELOVL2CpG7) + 5.254(NPTX2CpG4) + 3.810(SCGNCpG3) + 9.503(SCGNCpG8) − 4.835(ELOVL2CpG2) − 0.982(ELOVL2CpG5) − 4.191(FHL2CpG1) + 3.778(FHL2CpG3) − 1.447(FHL2CpG4) + 2.638(FHL2CpG5) | 0.980 | 0.961 | 3.874 | 0.001 | 2.047 | 2.083 |
| Age (years) = 14.854 + 5.139(ELOVL2CpG3) + 2.249(ELOVL2CpG4) − 4.086(ELOVL2CpG7) + 6.927(NPTX2CpG4) + 3.505(SCGNCpG3) + 10.363(SCGNCpG8) − 4.983(ELOVL2CpG2) − 4.223(FHL2CpG1) + 4.075(FHL2CpG3) − 1.562(FHL2CpG4) + 2.506(FHL2CpG5) | 0.977 | 0.955 | 3.866 | 0.0001 | 2.1313 | 1.942 |
Figure 1Predicted versus chronological age, determined by each statistical model. The graphs depict the accuracy of each model to predict the age in twenty pulp samples, assessed by Pearson correlations. MAE, Mean Absolute Error.