| Literature DB >> 33917578 |
Rosa Magallón-Botaya1,2,3, Bárbara Oliván-Blázquez1,3,4, Karen Lizzette Ramírez-Cervantes5,6,7, Fátima Méndez-López-de-la-Manzanara1, Isabel Aguilar-Palacio1,8,9, Marc Casajuana-Closas3,10, Eva Andrés-Esteban5,6.
Abstract
Background: The prognosis of older age COVID-19 patients with comorbidities is associated with a more severe course and higher fatality rates but no analysis has yet included factors related to the geographical area/municipality in which the affected patients live, so the objective of this study was to analyse the prognosis of patients with COVID-19 in terms of sex, age, comorbidities, and geographic variables.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; geographic factors; outcomes; primary health care
Year: 2021 PMID: 33917578 PMCID: PMC8038835 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18073842
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Sociodemographic data and previous comorbidities according to different prognoses.
| Sociodemographic Data | Hospital Admission | ICU Admission | Death | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | Yes |
| No | Yes |
| No | Yes |
| |
|
| 3797 (60.40%) | 2489 (39.60%) | 6034 (95.99%) | 252 (4.01%) | 5313 (84.52%) | 973 (15.48%) | |||
| Age * | 52 (39–72) | 75 (61–86) | <0.001 | 45 (60–83) | 67 (59–74) | 0.002 | 56 (43–74) | 86 (79–92) | <0.001 |
| Sex | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||||||
| Male | 1434 (37.77%) | 1304 (52.39%) | 2557 (42.38%) | 181 (71.83%) | 2237 (42.10%) | 501 (51.49%) | |||
| Female | 2363 (62.23%) | 1185 (47.61%) | 3477 (57.62%) | 71 (28.71%) | 3076 (57.90%) | 472 (48.51%) | |||
| Municipality classification | 0.002 | 0.009 | <0.001 | ||||||
| Rural | 430 (11.52%) | 302 (12.24%) | 696 (11.69%) | 36 (14.63%) | 622 (11.88%) | 110 (11.40%) | |||
| Suburban | 559 (17.93%) | 358 (14.51%) | 1003 (16.85%) | 24 (9.76%) | 803 (15.34%) | 224 (23.21%) | |||
| Urban | 2633 (70.55%) | 1807 (73.25%) | 4254 (71.46%) | 186 (75.61%) | 3809 (72.77%) | 631 (65.39%) | |||
| Municipality—hospital distance, km * | 0 (0–27.55) | 0 (0–18.70) | <0.001 | 0 (0–25.20) | 0 (0–17.70) | 0.136 | 0 (0–25.20) | 0 (0–27.70) | 0.018 |
| Drive time from municipality to hospital, min * | 0 (0–23) | 0 (0–19) | <0.001 | 0 (0–23) | 0 (0–17) | 0.127 | 0 (0–22) | 0 (0–25) | 0.015 |
* Continuous variables. Median and IQR are shown. For the remainder of the (categorical) variables, the number of subjects and percentage is shown.
Previous comorbidities.
| Hospital Admission | ICU Admission | Death | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | Yes |
| No | Yes |
| No | Yes |
| |
| Previous cardiovascular disease | 1013 (26.68%) | 1168 (46.93%) | <0.001 | 1013 (26.68%) | 1168 (46.93%) | <0.001 | 1013 (26.68%) | 1168 (46.93%) | <0.001 |
| Hypertension | 961 (25.31%) | 1290 (51.83%) | <0.001 | 2124 (35.20%) | 127 (50.40%) | <0.001 | 1612 (30.34%) | 639 (65.57%) | <0.001 |
| Dyslipidaemia | 897 (23.62%) | 1060 (42.83%) | <0.001 | 1828 (30.29%) | 135 (53.57%) | <0.001 | 1551 (29.19%) | 412 (42.34%) | <0.001 |
| Previous respiratory disease | 306 (8.06%) | 348 (13.98%) | <0.001 | 306 (8.06%) | 348 (13.98%) | <0.001 | 306 (8.06%) | 348 (13.98%) | <0.001 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 212 (5.58%) | 352 (14.14%) | <0.001 | 542 (8.98%) | 22 (8.73%) | 0.891 | 348 (6.55%) | 216 (22.20%) | <0.001 |
| Chronic liver disease | 51 (1.34%) | 64 (2.57%) | <0.001 | 104 (1.72%) | 11 (4.37%) | 0.002 | 98 (1.84%) | 17 (1.75%) | 0.835 |
| Chronic neurological disorder | 586 (15.43%) | 475 (19.08%) | <0.001 | 1027 (17.02%) | 34 (13.49%) | 0.143 | 869 (16.36%) | 192 (19.73%) | 0.010 |
| Immunosuppression/previous transplantation | 71 (1.87%) | 118 (4.74%) | <0.001 | 174 (2.88%) | 15 (5.95%) | 0.005 | 143 (2.69%) | 46 (4.73%) | 0.001 |
| Chronic haematological disease (including leukaemia, lymphoma, myeloma) | 1205 (31.74%) | 1185 (47.61%) | <0.001 | 2263 (37.50%) | 127 (50.40%) | <0.001 | 1828 (34.41%) | 562 (57.76%) | <0.001 |
| Neoplasia | 258 (6.79%) | 369 (14.83%) | <0.001 | 596 (9.88%) | 31 (12.30%) | 0.208 | 436 (8.21%) | 191 (19.63%) | <0.001 |
| HIV and other immunodeficiencies | 25 (0.66%) | 28 (1.12%) | 0.048 | 50 (0.83%) | 3 (1.19%) | 0.538 | 40 (0.75%) | 13 (1.34%) | 0.067 |
| Obesity | 321 (8.45%) | 366 (14.70%) | <0.001 | 629 (10.42%) | 58 (23.02%) | <0.001 | 574 (10.80%) | 113 (11.61%) | 0.457 |
| Malnutrition | 549 (14.46%) | 522 (20.97%) | <0.001 | 1022 (16.94%) | 49 (19.44%) | 0.300 | 819 (15.42%) | 252 (25.90%) | <0.001 |
| Diabetes | 319 (8.40%) | 496 (19.93%) | <0.001 | 758 (12.56%) | 57 (22.62%) | <0.001 | 569 (10.71%) | 246 (25.28%) | <0.001 |
| Mental illness | 784 (20.65%) | 694 (27.88%) | <0.001 | 1433 (23.75%) | 45 (17.86%) | 0.031 | 1163 (21.89%) | 315 (32.37%) | <0.001 |
| Dementia | 311 (8.19%) | 365 (14.66%) | <0.001 | 673 (11.15%) | 3 (1.19%) | <0.001 | 381 (7.17%) | 295 (30.32%) | <0.001 |
| Dermatological disease | 1355 (35.69%) | 1063 (42.71%) | <0.001 | 2317 (38.40%) | 101 (40.08%) | 0.591 | 1982 (37.30%) | 436 (44.81%) | <0.001 |
| Rheumatological disease | 478 (12.59%) | 554 (22.26%) | <0.001 | 998 (16.54%) | 34 (13.49%) | 0.201 | 769 (14.47%) | 263 (27.03%) | <0.001 |
Figure 1Hospital admission by size of residence, Kaplan–Meier survival.
Figure 2ICU admission by size of residence, Kaplan–Meier survival.
Figure 3Overall survival by size of residence, Kaplan–Meier survival.
Multivariate Cox models.
| Variables | Hospital Admission | ICU Admission | Death | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR |
| 95% CI | HR |
| 95% CI | HR |
| 95% CI | |||||
| Age | 1.03 | <0.001 | 1.02 | 1.03 | 1.08 | <0.001 | 1.07 | 1.09 | |||||
| Sex | |||||||||||||
| Male | Ref | Ref | Ref | ||||||||||
| Female | 0.59 | <0.001 | 0.54 | 0.64 | 0.28 | <0.001 | 0.21 | 0.38 | 0.54 | <0.001 | 0.47 | 0.62 | |
| Area | |||||||||||||
| Rural | Ref | Ref | Ref | ||||||||||
| Suburban | 0.77 | 0.002 | 0.65 | 0.91 | 0.50 | 0.011 | 0.29 | 0.85 | 1.31 | 0.022 | 1.04 | 1.66 | |
| Urban | 1.14 | 0.054 | 1.00 | 1.30 | 1.02 | 0.930 | 0.71 | 1.46 | 1.23 | 0.047 | 1.00 | 1.51 | |
| Municipality—hospital distance | 0.99 | 0.001 | 0.98 | 0.99 | |||||||||
| Comorbidities | |||||||||||||
| Previous cardiovascular disease | 1.14 | 0.006 | 1.04 | 1.26 | 1.18 | 0.018 | 1.03 | 1.35 | |||||
| Hypertension | 1.12 | 0.034 | 1.01 | 1.24 | 1.43 | 0.010 | 1.09 | 1.89 | |||||
| Dyslipidaemia | 1.35 | <0.001 | 1.23 | 1.47 | 2.18 | 0.000 | 1.66 | 2.86 | |||||
| Previous respiratory disease | 1.14 | 0.040 | 1.01 | 1.29 | |||||||||
| Chronic neurological disorder | 1.14 | 0.021 | 1.02 | 1.27 | |||||||||
| Ulcerative disease/immunosuppression/previous transplant | 1.40 | 0.001 | 1.15 | 1.71 | |||||||||
| Chronic haematological disease (including leukaemia, lymphoma, myeloma) | 1.08 | 0.098 | 0.99 | 1.18 | 1.33 | 0.038 | 1.02 | 1.74 | 1.20 | 0.007 | 1.05 | 1.37 | |
| Neoplasia | 1.12 | 0.049 | 1.00 | 1.27 | |||||||||
| Obesity | 1.29 | <0.001 | 1.14 | 1.46 | 2.04 | <0.001 | 1.49 | 2.78 | |||||
| Diabetes | 1.15 | 0.017 | 1.02 | 1.28 | 1.20 | 0.018 | 1.03 | 1.39 | |||||
| Dementia | 0.86 | 0.024 | 0.75 | 0.98 | 0.10 | <0.001 | 0.03 | 0.31 | 1.38 | <0.001 | 1.20 | 1.59 | |
| Dermatological disease | 1.08 | 0.085 | 0.99 | 1.18 | |||||||||
Ref is the category used as a reference in the analysis.