| Literature DB >> 33911447 |
Ankit Kumar Sahu1, Roshan Mathew1, Praveen Aggarwal1, Jamshed Nayer1, Sanjeev Bhoi1, Swayamjeet Satapathy2, Meera Ekka1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: A systematic review and meta-analysis of available studies was performed to investigate the clinical characteristics that can predict COVID-19 disease severity.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; Clinical determinants; clinical predictors; meta-analysis; severe disease
Year: 2021 PMID: 33911447 PMCID: PMC8054797 DOI: 10.4103/jgid.jgid_136_20
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Glob Infect Dis ISSN: 0974-777X
Figure 1Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) flow diagram
Characteristics of the included studies
| Author | Publication date | Country | Sample size | Age (median, IQR) | Male (%) | Clinical characteristics included | Definition of severity | Quality of study (score out of 20)** | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Severe | Nonsevere | Severe | Nonsevere | Severe | Nonsevere | Numbers | Characteristics* | |||||
| Huang C | January 24, 2020 | China | 41 | 13 | 28 | 49 (41-61) | 49 (41-57.5) | 85 | 68 | 13 | a, b, c, d, e, g, i, n, o, p, q, t, v | Requiring ICU care | 16 |
| Wang D | February 07, 2020 | China | 138 | 36 | 102 | 66 (57-78) | 51 (37-62) | 61.1 | 52 | 20 | a, b, c, d, f, g - t, v | Requiring ICU care | 16 |
| Liu Y | February 09, 2020 | China | 12 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 43.5 | 50 | 83.3 | 11 | a, c, h, i, j, k, n, o, p, q, s | Severe and critical disease | 12 |
| Zhang J | February 18, 2020 | China | 140 | 58 | 82 | 64 (25-87) | 51.5 (26-78) | 56.9 | 46.3 | 16 | a, c, d, g, j, k, l, m, n - t | Severe and critical disease | 15 |
| Xu Y | February 21, 2020 | China | 50 | 13 | 37 | NA | NA | 54 | 59.5 | 8 | a, b, c, d, f, g, h, i | Severe and critical disease | 14 |
| Tian S | February 27, 2020 | China | 262 | 46 | 216 | 61.4 (1-94) | 44.5 (1-93) | 56.5 | 46.8 | 4 | a, c, d, i | Severe and critical disease | 16 |
| Guan W | February 28, 2020 | China | 1099 | 173 | 926 | 52 (40-65) | 45 (34-57) | 57.8 | 58.2 | 21 | a - s, v, w | Severe and critical disease | 16 |
| Liu W | February 28, 2020 | China | 78 | 11 | 67 | 66 (51-70) | 37 (32-41) | 63.6 | 47.8 | 4 | n, o, p, v | Clinical deterioration to severe or critical disease or death | 16 |
| Li K | February 29, 2020 | China | 83 | 25 | 58 | 53.7 (12.3) | 41.9 (10.6) | 60 | 50 | 12 | a, b, c, d, f, h, i, k, n, o, p, q | Severe and critical disease | 16 |
| Yudong P | March 02, 2020 | China | 112 | 16 | 96 | 57.5 (54-63) | 62 (55-67.5) | 56.25 | 45.83 | 7 | a, c, d, g, o, p, q | Critical disease | 15 |
| Young B | March 03, 2020 | Singapore | 18 | 6 | 12 | 56 (47-73) | 37 (31-56) | 33 | 58 | 5 | a, c, d, f, k | Requiring supplemental oxygen | 12 |
| Wu C | March 13, 2020 | China | 201 | 84 | 117 | 58.5 (50-69) | 48 (40-54) | 71.4 | 58.1 | 8 | a, b, c, d, g, o, p, q | Acute respiratory distress syndrome | 17 |
| Gao Y | March 17, 2020 | China | 43 | 15 | 28 | 45.2 (7.68) | 43 (14) | 60 | 60.7 | 5 | n, o, p, q, u | Not clear | 14 |
| Chow N (CDC US) | March 31, 2020 | US | 1494 | 457 | 1037 | NA | NA | NA | NA | 7 | n, o, q, r, s, t, w | Requiring ICU care | 15 |
| Ihle-hansen H | April 10, 2020 | Norway | 42 | 9 | 33 | 71.8 | 66.8 | NA | NA | 3 | a, c, d | Requiring ICU care | 17 |
| Colaneri M | April 23, 2020 | Italy | 44 | 17 | 27 | NA | NA | 76.5 | 55.6 | 10 | a, c, d, g, k, n-q, v | Requirement for highflow oxygen | 17 |
| Hong K | April 24, 2020 | South Korea | 98 | 13 | 85 | NA | NA | 46.2 | 37.6 | 12 | a-d, h, n-r, t, v | Requiring ICU care | 16 |
| Aggarwal S | April 29, 2020 | US | 16 | 8 | 8 | 67 (38-70) | 68.5 (41-95) | 63 | 88 | 18 | a, b, d, f-k, x, n-s, u, v | Critical disease | 14 |
| Zhao X | April 29, 2020 | China | 91 | 30 | 61 | NA | NA | 46.7 | 57.4 | 6 | n-q, s, v | Not clear | 15 |
| Lagi F | April 30, 2020 | Italy | 84 | 16 | 68 | 67 (58-71) | 62 (50-72) | 87.5 | 60.3 | 17 | a-d, f, h-k, n-t, v | Requiring ICU care | 18 |
| Itelman E | May 01, 2020 | Israel | 162 | 26 | 136 | NA | NA | 80.8 | 51.9 | 5 | n-q, s | Requiring ICU care | 17 |
| Ferguson J | May 14, 2020 | US | 72 | 21 | 51 | 57.6 (42.2-70.1) | 61.7 (46.6-72.9) | 61.9 | 49 | 19 | a-d, f-k, x, n-s, u, w | Requiring ICU care | 19 |
*Clinical characteristics: Clinical symptoms - a: Cough, b: Expectoration, c: Fever, d: Dyspnea, e: Hemoptysis, f-: Sore throat, g: Fatigue, h: Myalgia, i: Headache, j: Nausea or vomiting, k: Diarrhea, l-abdominal pain, m: Anorexia; n: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, o: Diabetes, p: Hypertension, q: Cardiovascular diseases, r: Cerebrovascular accidents, s: Chronic kidney disease, t: Chronic liver disease, u: Obesity, v: Malignancy, w: Immunodeficiency, x: Anosmia. ^Severe disease (any of the following conditions): I, respiratory distress, RR ≥30 breaths/min; II, oxygen saturation ≤93% at rest; III, PaO2/FiO2 ≤300 mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa); AND critical disease (any of the following conditions): I, respiratory failure and a requirement for mechanical ventilation; II, shock; III, concomitant failure of other organs and requirement for ICU monitoring and treatment[2], **Scores for each study in AXIS tool. RR: Respiratory rate, PaO2/FiO2: Partial pressure of oxygen/fraction of inspired oxygen, ICU: Intensive care unit, AXIS: Appraisal tool for Cross-Sectional Studies, IQR: Interquartile range, NA: Not available
Summary of meta-analyses for each of the clinical symptoms and comorbidities that are associated with severe COVID-19 infection
| Clinical characteristics | Odds ratio | Lower CL | Upper CL | Number of studies | Total patients included in meta-analysis | Prevalence of characteristics in severe disease ( | Prevalence of characteristics in mild disease ( | Publication bias (Egger’s | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demographic characteristics | |||||||||
| Male gender | 1.36 | 1.08 | 1.70 | 20 | 2844 | - | - | 13.4 | 0.16 |
| Clinical characteristics | |||||||||
| Cough | 1.24 | 0.98 | 1.56 | 17 | 2512 | 392/560 | 1242/1952 | 5.0 | 0.26 |
| Expectoration | 1.15 | 0.73 | 1.82 | 9 | 1866 | 132/394 | 454/1472 | 47.8 | 0.65 |
| Fever | 1.48 | 1.19 | 1.85 | 17 | 2512 | 369/560 | 1055/1952 | 0.0 | 0.03 |
| Dyspnea | 3.94 | 2.55 | 6.07 | 16 | 2500 | 251/554 | 339/1946 | 56.1 | 0.12 |
| Hemoptysis | 3.35 | 1.05 | 10.74 | 2 | 1140 | 5/186 | 7/954 | 0.0 | NA |
| Sore throat | 1.39 | 0.77 | 2.49 | 8 | 1560 | 47/298 | 168/1262 | 29.6 | 0.79 |
| Fatigue | 1.22 | 0.83 | 1.81 | 10 | 1913 | 196/439 | 607/1474 | 41.6 | 0.23 |
| Myalgia | 1.25 | 0.87 | 1.79 | 9 | 1652 | 73/311 | 249/1341 | 8.0 | 0.34 |
| Headache | 1.15 | 0.80 | 1.64 | 9 | 1857 | 44/357 | 174/1500 | 0.0 | 0.89 |
| Nausea/vomiting | 0.68 | 0.30 | 1.51 | 7 | 1561 | 29/318 | 104/1243 | 55.6 | 0.31 |
| Diarrhea | 1.43 | 0.93 | 2.21 | 10 | 1706 | 36/366 | 88/1340 | 0.0 | 0.74 |
| Abdominal pain | 6.58 | 1.56 | 27.67 | 2 | 278 | 9/94 | 2/184 | 0.0 | NA |
| Anorexia | 2.54 | 0.74 | 8.70 | 2 | 278 | 32/94 | 40/184 | 72.3 | NA |
| Anosmia | 0.61 | 0.11 | 3.48 | 2 | 88 | 2/29 | 5/59 | 0.0 | NA |
| Comorbid illness | |||||||||
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 2.92 | 1.70 | 5.02 | 16 | 3695 | 124/925 | 177/2770 | 23.3 | <0.01 |
| Diabetes | 2.29 | 1.56 | 3.39 | 18 | 4008 | 258/1025 | 413/2983 | 50.5 | 0.08 |
| Obesity | 2.84 | 1.19 | 6.77 | 3 | 131 | 18/44 | 18/87 | 0.0 | 0.43 |
| Hypertension | 1.72 | 1.23 | 2.42 | 17 | 2514 | 182/568 | 412/1946 | 41.6 | 0.41 |
| Cardiovascular disease | 1.61 | 1.31 | 1.98 | 16 | 3839 | 199/984 | 372/2855 | 0.0 | 0.01 |
| Cerebrovascular accidents | 1.68 | 0.73 | 3.84 | 8 | 3141 | 21/782 | 44/2359 | 32.1 | 0.45 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 1.46 | 1.06 | 2.02 | 10 | 3308 | 70/831 | 112/2477 | 0.0 | 0.16 |
| Chronic liver disease | 1.55 | 0.75 | 3.18 | 6 | 1995 | 12/593 | 20/1402 | 0.0 | 0.90 |
| Malignancy | 2.38 | 1.25 | 4.52 | 9 | 1689 | 19/317 | 29/1372 | 0.0 | 0.81 |
| Immunocompromised state | 1.46 | 0.98 | 2.17 | 3 | 2665 | 42/651 | 70/2014 | 0.0 | 0.33 |
CL: Confidence limits, n: Number of patients with the clinical determinant among patients with severe disease, N: Total number of patients with severe disease, n’: Number of patients with the clinical determinant among patients with mild disease, N’: Total number of patients with severe disease, I2: Heterogeneity statistics, Egger’s P<0.05: Publication bias present
Figure 2Summary of pooled odds ratio for each of the presenting clinical features and comorbidities. OR – pooled odds ratio, LCL – lower confidence limit of OR, UCL – upper confidence limit of OR, COPD – chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, CVD – cardiovascular diseases, CVA – cerebrovascular accidents, CLD – chronic liver disease, CKD – chronic kidney disease