| Literature DB >> 33786027 |
Rajat Giri1, Ashish Kumar2, Monika Saini2, Rakesh Kumar Sharma1.
Abstract
The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has been identified as a pandemic and affected almost whole world. Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the causative agent of this disease, is infecting Indian population since the last week of January 2020. The data were collected from January 30, 2020, to May 23, 2020, to analyze basic trend of COVID-19 cases in India targeting hotspot regions. To find the linear relationship between variables, that is, age, total positive cases, population, and population density data have been statistically analyzed. COVID-19 caused more than 5000 deaths till May 2020 in India. SARS-CoV-2 spread to several Indian cities with more than 100,000 positive cases. Total number of COVID-19 cases and total recovered cases followed the exponential distribution, while number of deaths showed linear behavior. Nearly 50% of the youth, that is, 20-40 years of age had been found to recover from the infection. As a lockdown cannot be a permanent solution, it is important to understand the nature of virus and learn "living with the virus" while minimizing its spreading at the same time.Entities:
Keywords: COVID‐19; India; SARS‐CoV‐2; hotspot regions; recovery
Year: 2021 PMID: 33786027 PMCID: PMC7994984 DOI: 10.1002/pa.2651
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Public Aff ISSN: 1472-3891
FIGURE 1 Portalsof entry (nose, mouth, eye) for SARS‐CoV‐2 and development of infection at different infection sites, that is, nasal cavity, pharynx, lungs, olfactory bulb, cerebrospinal fluid, gastrointestinal tract, heart, and circulatory system
FIGURE 2(a) Trend of COVID‐19 cases in India; (b) age versus COVID‐19 patient's recovery (%)
FIGURE 3(a) Age versus COVID‐19 cases (%); (b) age versus COVID‐19 death (%)
FIGURE 4Comparative analyses of most burdened states
FIGURE 5Comparative analyses of red zones
Recovery and death rate of COVID‐19 patients in red zone areas
| Hot spot zone | Recovery rate (%) | Death rate (%) | Diabetic prevalence (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delhi | 49.00688 | 1.798561 | 18.3 |
| Jaipur | 66.89459 | 4.387464 | 20 |
| Mumbai | 22.14318 | 3.293195 | 25 |
| Ahmedabad | 38.63614 | 6.689331 | 7.33 |
| Indore | 47.0849 | 3.784521 | 21.5 |
| Kasaragod | 86.19048 | 0 | 16 |
| Nashik | 71.85822 | 4.940924 | 10.3 |
| Pune | 42.62203 | 4.806434 | 9.1 |
| Chennai | 40.53027 | 0.750375 | 12 |
Coefficient of correlation between age, total positive cases, population, and population density
| Variable‐I | Variable‐II | Coefficient of correlation |
|---|---|---|
| Total COVID‐19 tests | Population | 0.4347 |
| Total COVID‐19 tests | COVID‐19 positive | 0.7411 |
| Age | No. of deaths | 0.2404 |
| Age | No. of recovered patients | −0.3698 |
| Confirmed no. of case in red zone | Population density of red zone | 0.707 |
Testing the effect of demographic variables on COVID‐19 patient status (sample size = 423, level of significance = 0.05, two tailed hypothesis)
| Patient status | Demographic variable |
|
| Decision |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Death | Gender | 1.967 | <0.000 | Reject H0 |
| Death | Age | 1.9675 | <0.000 | Reject H0 |
| Recovered | Gender | 2.01 | <0.000 | Reject H0 |
| Recovered | Age | 1.982 | <0.000 | Reject H0 |
Testing the association of geographical location with COVID‐19 patient status change in red zone areas (sample size = 15,513, level of significance = 0.05)
| Value |
|
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Chi‐square | 173.131 | 5 | <0.000 |
| No of valid cases | 15,513 |