| Literature DB >> 33751026 |
Lauren A Paul1, Nick Daneman1,2,3,4,5,6, Kevin A Brown1,3,7, James Johnson8, Trevor van Ingen6, Eugene Joh1, Sarah E Wilson1,3,7, Sarah A Buchan1,3,7.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Within-household transmission of SARS-CoV-2 infection has been identified as one of the main sources of spread of COVID-19 after lockdown restrictions and self-isolation guidelines are implemented. Secondary attack rates among household contacts are estimated to be five to ten times higher than among non-household contacts, but it is unclear which individuals are more prone to transmit infection within their households.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; household; transmission
Year: 2021 PMID: 33751026 PMCID: PMC7989533 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciab186
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Clin Infect Dis ISSN: 1058-4838 Impact factor: 9.079
Adjusted Odds Ratios and 95% Confidence Intervals for the Associations Between Index Case Characteristics and Odds of Household Transmission
| Any Household Transmission | Household Transmission to Older Adults (Aged ≥60 Years) | |
|---|---|---|
| Individual-level characteristics | ||
| Gender | ||
| Female | Ref | Ref |
| Male | 1.28 (1.18–1.38) | 1.19 (1.02–1.38) |
| Age group | ||
| <10 years | .87 (.57–1.34) | .18 (.02–1.27) |
| 10–19 years | 1.20 (.97–1.49) | .65 (.37–1.17) |
| 20–29 years | .78 (.69–.89) | .60 (.45–.80) |
| 30–39 years | .80 (.71–.91) | .72 (.55–.94) |
| 40–49 years | .90 (.80–1.02) | .66 (.50–.86) |
| 50–59 years | Ref | Ref |
| 60–69 years | .93 (.81–1.06) | 2.15 (1.72–2.69) |
| 70–79 years | .78 (.64–.95) | 2.67 (2.04–3.49) |
| ≥80 years | .58 (.45–.76) | 2.07 (1.49–2.88) |
| High risk (≥60 years, immunocompromised, cardiovascular, COPD) | ||
| No | Ref | Ref |
| Yes | 1.14 (.97–1.34) | 1.17 (.84–1.64) |
| Outbreak-associateda | ||
| No | Ref | Ref |
| Yes | .61 (.55–.68) | .49 (.39–.61) |
| Healthcare worker | ||
| No | Ref | Ref |
| Yes | .56 (.50–.62) | .47 (.37–.59) |
| Month reported | ||
| January | 7.91 (.46–136.45) | Insufficient data |
| February | 2.55 (.67–9.77) | 4.25 (.86–20.95) |
| March | 1.09 (.95–1.26) | 1.48 (1.18–1.86) |
| April | Ref | Ref |
| May | 1.25 (1.13–1.38) | 1.12 (.93–1.36) |
| June | 1.14 (1.01–1.28) | .90 (.70–1.14) |
| July | 1.04 (.90–1.21) | .85 (.62–1.16) |
| Region | ||
| Toronto | Ref | Ref |
| Central East | 1.04 (.94–1.15) | 1.22 (1.01–1.47) |
| Central West | .91 (.79–1.04) | .87 (.66–1.15) |
| Eastern | 1.08 (.92–1.26) | 1.02 (.75–1.39) |
| Northern | 1.28 (.87–1.89) | 1.30 (.65–2.61) |
| South West | .84 (.71–.99) | .77 (.55–1.08) |
| Neighborhood-level characteristicsb | ||
| Age group | ||
| 0–14 years | .89 (.78–1.02) | .69 (.53–.89) |
| 15–64 years | .93 (.84–1.02) | .84 (.70–1.01) |
| ≥65 years | 1.12 (1.02–1.22) | 1.34 (1.14–1.58) |
| Male | .89 (.68–1.16) | .95 (.58–1.56) |
| Recent immigrants | 1.35 (1.21–1.51) | 1.13 (.92–1.41) |
| Non-White, non-Indigenous | 1.05 (1.03–1.08) | 1.04 (.99–1.09) |
| Non-White, non-Indigenous groups | ||
| Black | 1.05 (1.00–1.11) | .93 (.83–1.04) |
| East/Southeast Asian | 1.02 (.98–1.06) | 1.04 (.98–1.10) |
| Latin American | 1.41 (1.19–1.66) | 1.18 (.84–1.65) |
| Middle Eastern | 1.06 (.96–1.17) | .83 (.67–1.02) |
| South Asian | 1.04 (1.00–1.08) | 1.09 (1.02–1.16) |
| Below low-income cutoff | 1.06 (1.00–1.13) | .94 (.83–1.06) |
| Labor force participation | .89 (.83–.95) | .87 (.77–.99) |
| Less than high school education | 1.08 (1.02–1.15) | 1.02 (.91–1.15) |
| Unsuitable housingc | 1.19 (1.11–1.27) | 1.02 (.89–1.17) |
| Households with multiple persons per roomc | 1.25 (1.13–1.38) | 1.10 (.90–1.34) |
| Multifamily householdsc | 1.10 (.92–1.31) | 1.63 (1.17–2.26) |
| Average family sizec | 1.88 (1.70–2.09) | 1.82 (1.50–2.21) |
| Households living in apartments with ≥5 floors | 1.02 (1.00–1.04) | 1.00 (.97–1.04) |
| Households living in apartments with <5 floors | 1.00 (.96–1.04) | .93 (.86–1.01) |
| Community typec | ||
| Large urban | Ref | Ref |
| Medium/small | .93 (.78–1.10) | .90 (.65–1.25) |
| Rural | .97 (.79–1.18) | 1.05 (.72–1.53) |
| Remote | .73 (.53–1.01) | 1.07 (.64–1.79) |
Estimates were adjusted for age group, gender, month reported, health region, and average family size.
Abbreviations: COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; Ref, reference.
aCases associated with a public health declared outbreak outside the home.
bOdds ratios for neighborhood-level characteristics are reported per 10% increase, except for average family size and community type.
cDefined in the Supplementary Definitions.
Figure 1.Flow diagram of study cohort. Abbreviation: COVID-19, coronavirus disease 2019.
Characteristics of Index Cases of Households With No Household Transmission Compared With Index Cases of Households With Household Transmission
| Index Cases With No Household Transmission (n = 18 159) | Index Cases With Household Transmission (n = 3067) | |
|---|---|---|
| Gender, n (%) | ||
| Female | 9890 (54.5) | 1464 (47.7) |
| Male | 8214 (45.2) | 1595 (52.0) |
| Age, median [IQR], years | 45 [31, 58] | 46 [31, 57] |
| Age group, n (%) | ||
| <10 years | 164 (0.9) | 26 (0.8) |
| 10–19 years | 536 (3.0) | 127 (4.1) |
| 20–29 years | 3387 (18.7) | 523 (17.1) |
| 30–39 years | 3169 (17.5) | 481 (15.7) |
| 40–49 years | 3256 (17.9) | 571 (18.6) |
| 50–59 years | 3711 (20.4) | 726 (23.7) |
| 60–69 years | 2271 (12.5) | 404 (13.2) |
| 70–79 years | 972 (5.4) | 138 (4.5) |
| ≥80 years | 692 (3.8) | 70 (2.3) |
| High risk (≥60 years, immunocompromised, cardiovascular, COPD), n (%) | 5066 (27.9) | 844 (27.5) |
| Outbreak-associated,a n (%) | 4901 (27.0) | 540 (17.6) |
| Healthcare worker, n (%) | 4916 (27.1) | 517 (16.9) |
| Month reported, n (%) | ||
| January | 1 (0.0) | 1 (0.0) |
| February | 8 (0.0) | 3 (0.1) |
| March | 2009 (11.1) | 312 (10.2) |
| April | 6374 (35.1) | 945 (30.8) |
| May | 4978 (27.4) | 989 (32.2) |
| June | 2931 (16.1) | 528 (17.2) |
| July | 1858 (10.2) | 289 (9.4) |
| Region, n (%) | ||
| Toronto | 6292 (34.6) | 1025 (33.4) |
| Central East | 5891 (32.4) | 1236 (40.3) |
| Central West | 2445 (13.5) | 343 (11.2) |
| Eastern | 1569 (8.6) | 231 (7.5) |
| Northern | 199 (1.1) | 32 (1.0) |
| South West | 1763 (9.7) | 200 (6.5) |
| Testing delay,b median [IQR], days | 2 [0, 6] | 4 [2, 8] |
| Testing delay distribution,b n (%) | ||
| No symptomsc | 2883 (16.2) | 131 (4.3) |
| <0 daysd | 963 (5.4) | 60 (2.0) |
| 0 days | 1745 (9.8) | 164 (5.4) |
| 1 day | 1955 (11.0) | 349 (11.5) |
| 2 days | 1958 (11.0) | 341 (11.2) |
| 3 days | 1560 (8.8) | 327 (10.8) |
| 4 days | 1230 (6.9) | 276 (9.1) |
| ≥5 days | 5529 (31.0) | 1390 (45.8) |
| Reporting delay, median [IQR], days | 2 [1, 3] | 2 [1, 3] |
| Reporting delay distribution, n (%) | ||
| <0 days | 312 (1.7) | 43 (1.4) |
| 0 days | 1165 (6.4) | 200 (6.5) |
| 1 day | 5931 (32.8) | 1038 (34.0) |
| 2 days | 5276 (29.2) | 926 (30.3) |
| 3 days | 2414 (13.4) | 390 (12.8) |
| 4 days | 1010 (5.6) | 188 (6.2) |
| ≥5 days | 1966 (10.9) | 271 (8.9) |
| Data entry delay, median [IQR], days | 0 [0, 1] | 0 [0, 1] |
| Data entry delay distribution, n (%) | ||
| <0 days | 1065 (5.9) | 173 (5.6) |
| 0 days | 11 050 (60.9) | 1852 (60.4) |
| 1 day | 3699 (20.4) | 696 (22.7) |
| 2 days | 824 (4.5) | 132 (4.3) |
| 3 days | 457 (2.5) | 80 (2.6) |
| 4 days | 286 (1.6) | 32 (1.0) |
| ≥5 days | 778 (4.3) | 102 (3.3) |
Abbreviations: COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; COVID-19, coronavirus disease 2019; IQR, interquartile range.
aCases associated with a public health declared outbreak outside the home.
b269 cases were excluded who had COVID-19 symptoms flagged in provincial reportable disease systems but were missing symptom-onset date.
cCases with no symptoms were defined as cases who were missing symptom-onset date (thus, specimen collection date was used) and did not have any COVID-19 symptoms flagged in provincial reportable disease systems.
dCases with a testing delay of <0 days were those who were tested prior to the onset of their symptoms.
Figure 2.Adjusted ORs and 95% CIs for the associations between index case delay metrics and odds of household transmission. A total of 269 cases were excluded from the testing delay models that had COVID-19 symptoms flagged in provincial reportable disease systems but were missing symptom-onset date. Cases with no symptoms were defined as cases who were missing symptom-onset date (thus, specimen collection date was used) and did not have any COVID-19 symptoms flagged in provincial reportable disease systems. Cases with a testing delay of <0 days were those who were tested prior to the onset of their symptoms. Horizontal dashed line at OR = 1 indicates no association. Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; COVID-19, coronavirus disease 2019; No symp, no symptoms; OR, odds ratio.