| Literature DB >> 33708864 |
Keshu Hu1,2, Jia Yuan1,2, Bei Tang1,2, Feng Zhang1,2, Shenxin Lu1,2, Rongxin Chen1,2, Lan Zhang1,2, Zhenggang Ren1,2, Xin Yin1,2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Combined therapy of transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) with sorafenib is used for a large number of patients with intermediate-stage or advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but its implementation is limited by the evaluation of pre-treatment liver function reserve. This study aimed to validate the performance of the albumin-bilirubin index (ALBI) and platelet-albumin-bilirubin index (PALBI) in predicting survival benefits in patients with HCC and Child-Pugh grade A receiving TACE combined with sorafenib treatment.Entities:
Keywords: Liver function; platelet-albumin-bilirubin index (PALBI); prognosis; sorafenib; transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE)
Year: 2021 PMID: 33708864 PMCID: PMC7940911 DOI: 10.21037/atm-20-3118
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ann Transl Med ISSN: 2305-5839
Figure 1The two combination modalities of sorafenib used for the patients enrolled. TACE, transcatheter arterial chemoembolization.
The baseline characteristics of the patients
| Variables | Patients (N=418) |
|---|---|
| Age (years), mean ± SD [range] | 54.8±11.8 [24–90] |
| Gender, n (%) | |
| Male | 370 (88.5) |
| Female | 48 (11.5) |
| HBV infection, n (%) | |
| No | 64 (15.3) |
| Yes | 354 (84.7) |
| Tumor thrombus, n (%) | |
| No | 227 (54.3) |
| Yes | 191 (45.7) |
| Extrahepatic metastasis, n (%) | |
| No | 228 (54.5) |
| Yes | 190 (45.5) |
| Lymph node invasion, n (%) | |
| No | 368 (88.0) |
| Yes | 50 (12.0) |
| BCLC stage, n (%) | |
| B | 106 (25.4) |
| C | 312 (74.6) |
| Serum AFP level, n (%) | |
| ≤200 ng/mL | 186 (45.7) |
| >200 ng/mL | 221 (54.3) |
| Serum albumin level (g/L), mean ± SD | 38.7±4.5 |
| Serum bilirubin level (μmol/L), median [range] | 13.4 [4–50.3] |
| Blood platelet count (1,000/μL), median [range] | 117 [23–462] |
| ALBI grade, n (%) | |
| 1 | 195 (46.7) |
| 2 | 223 (53.3) |
| 3 | 0 (0) |
| PALBI grade, n (%) | |
| 1 | 246 (58.9) |
| 2 | 148 (35.4) |
| 3 | 24 (5.7) |
| Major size of tumor (cm), median [range] | 5.6 [0.5–20] |
| Number of tumors, n (%) | |
| Single | 100 (23.9) |
| Multiple | 318 (76.1) |
| Total TACE times, median [range] | 4 [1–17] |
| Pre-sorafenib | 2 [0–14] |
| Post-sorafenib | 1 [0–11] |
| Combination model, n (%) | |
| Initial TACE + sorafenib group | 77 (18.4) |
| Subsequent TACE+ sorafenib group | 341 (81.6) |
SD, standard deviation; HBV, hepatitis B virus; BCLC, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage; AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; ALBI, albumin-bilirubin index; PALBI, platelet-albumin-bilirubin index; TACE, transcatheter arterial chemoembolization.
The overall survival of the patients
| Subgroups | Median survival time | Survival rate (%) | P value | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 months | 1 year | 3 years | |||
| ALBI grade | <0.001 | ||||
| 1 | 24 [21–31] | 88.0 | 75.5 | 33.9 | |
| 2 | 12 [10–16] | 73.4 | 49.2 | 27.0 | |
| 3 | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
| PALBI grade | <0.001 | ||||
| 1 | 23 [19–29] | 84.4 | 69.4 | 34.3 | |
| 2 | 16 [11–20] | 77.6 | 55.9 | 28.4 | |
| 3 | 7 [4–8] | 52.8 | 5.4 | 0.0 | |
CI, confidence interval; ALBI, albumin-bilirubin index; PALBI, platelet-albumin-bilirubin index; NA, not applicable.
Figure 2The survival curves by PALBI and ALBI grades. *, statistically significant (P<0.05, or P<0.017 within PALBI grade). PALBI, platelet-albumin-bilirubin index; ALBI, albumin-bilirubin index.
Univariable and multivariable analyses
| Prognostic factors | Univariable | Multivariable | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unadjusted HR (95% CI) | P value | Adjusted HR (95% CI) | P value | Partial adjusted HR (95% CI) | P value | ||
| Age, years (>50 | 0.72 (0.58–0.90) | 0.004* | 0.64 (0.50–0.81) | <0.001* | 0.72 (0.58–0.92) | 0.007* | |
| Gender (female | 1.22 (0.89–1.68) | 0.217 | NA | – | – | – | |
| HBV infection (yes | 1.21 (0.88–1.65) | 0.238 | NA | – | – | – | |
| Major tumor size (>5 | 1.64 (1.30–2.08) | <0.001* | 1.17 (0.90–1.53) | 0.249 | NA | – | |
| Number of tumors (multiple | 0.68 (0.53–0.88) | 0.003* | 0.76 (0.57–1.01) | 0.058 | 0.79 (0.61–1.03) | 0.086 | |
| BCLC stage (BCLC-C | 1.76 (1.35–2.28) | <0.001* | 1.18 (0.86–1.62) | 0.296 | 1.41 (1.06–1.87) | 0.019* | |
| Lymph node invasion (yes | 0.76 (0.50–1.15) | 0.191 | NA | – | – | – | |
| Tumor thrombus (yes | 1.27 (1.02–1.59) | 0.032* | NA | – | – | – | |
| Extrahepatic metastasis (yes | 1.75 (1.40–2.19) | <0.001* | NA | – | – | – | |
| Combination model (initial TACE + sorafenib | 1.33 (0.97–1.81) | 0.076 | 1.49 (1.05–2.12) | 0.027* | 1.30 (0.95–1.80) | 0.105 | |
| Hand-foot syndrome (yes | 0.40 (0.29–0.55) | <0.001* | 0.43 (0.31–0.61) | <0.001* | 0.48 (0.35–0.66) | <0.001* | |
| Serum AFP level, ng/mL (>200 | 2.45 (1.94–3.10) | <0.001* | 2.16 (1.66–2.80) | <0.001* | 2.10 (1.66–2.68) | <0.001* | |
| ALBI grade (2 | 1.50 (1.20–1.87) | <0.001* | 1.36 (1.02–1.81) | 0.035* | 1.39 (1.11–1.74)† | 0.004* | |
| PALBI grade | |||||||
| 2 | 1.17 (0.93–1.48) | 0.187 | 0.98 (0.72–1.32) | 0.878 | 1.18 (0.92–1.51) | 0.183 | |
| 3 | 4.79 (2.98–7.71) | <0.001* | 2.88 (1.65–5.04) | <0.001* | 3.72 (2.28–6.06) | <0.001* | |
*, statistically significant (P<0.05); †, the partial adjusted HR of ALBI grade was calculated separately with PALBI due to their collinearity. HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; HBV, hepatitis B virus; BCLC, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage; TACE, transcatheter arterial chemoembolization; AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; ALBI, albumin-bilirubin index; PALBI, platelet-albumin-bilirubin index; NA, not applicable.
The AUROC of ALBI score (grade), PALBI score (grade) and Child-Pugh score
| Classification criteria | AUROC at (95% CI) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 year | 1 year | 1.5 years | |
| ALBI score | 0.628 (0.566–0.690) | 0.668 (0.615–0.721) | 0.634 (0.580–0.687) |
| ALBI grade | 0.593 (0.539–0.648) | 0.628 (0.581–0.674) | 0.585 (0.537–0.633) |
| PALBI score | 0.627 (0.561–0.692) | 0.658 (0.605–0.711) | 0.649 (0.596–0.701) |
| PALBI grade | 0.588 (0.528–0.648) | 0.625 (0.577–0.672) | 0.598 (0.552–0.644) |
| Child-Pugh score | 0.578 (0.524–0.632) | 0.611 (0.568–0.653) | 0.578 (0.537–0.619) |
AUROC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; CI, confidence interval; ALBI, albumin-bilirubin index; PALBI, platelet-albumin-bilirubin index.
Figure 3The ROC of Child-Pugh score, ALBI grade, PALBI grade, ALBI score, and PALBI score after 0.5 (A), 1 (B), and 1.5 (C) years. ALBI, Albumin-bilirubin index; PALBI, platelet-albumin-bilirubin index; ROC, receiver operating characteristic curve.
Figure 4The calibration curves of ALBI grade, PALBI grade, and Child-Pugh score after 0.5 (A), 1 (B), and 1.5 (C) years. The survival could not be estimated for PALBI grade 3 with BCLC-B due to patient number (n=1) nor for PALBI grade 3 with BCLC-C after 1.5 years due to survival (overall survival range, 1–18 months). ALBI, albumin-bilirubin index; BCLC, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage; CPS, Child-Pugh score; PALBI, platelet-albumin-bilirubin index.
The median overall survival by ALBI or PALBI grade in different subgroups
| mOS (months) (95% CI) | BCLC-B group | BCLC-C group | Initial TACE + sorafenib group | Subsequent TACE + sorafenib group | Low AFP group | High AFP group |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALBI grade 1 | 47 [24–64] | 20 [17–27] | 18 [11–31] | 25 [22–35] | 35 [27–51] | 19 [16–22] |
| ALBI grade 2 | 17 [14–37] | 11 [9–14] | 10 [5–16] | 14 [11–18] | 28 [17–36] | 9 [7–10] |
| P value (grade 2 | 0.002* | 0.058 | 0.139 | <0.001* | 0.080 | 0.011* |
| PALBI grade 1 | 35 [23–47] | 19[16–23] | 18 [12–31] | 23 [20–30] | 35 [26–44] | 17 [15–20] |
| PALBI grade 2 | 17 [12–37] | 14 [10–20] | 12 [5–30] | 17 [12–23] | 30 [20–62] | 10 [7–12] |
| PALBI grade 3 | NA | 7 [4–8] | 4 [1–NA] | 8 [4–9] | 7 [2–NA] | 5 [2–8] |
| P value (grade 2 | 0.238 | 0.740 | 0.361 | 0.286 | 0.856 | 0.035* |
| P value (grade 3 | 0.001* | <0.001* | 0.003* | <0.001* | <0.001* | <0.001* |
The P values in the table were calculated, referring to the Cox hazard model. *, statistically significant (P<0.05). ALBI, albumin-bilirubin index; PALBI, platelet-albumin-bilirubin index; mOS, median overall survival; CI, confidence interval; BCLC, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage; TACE, transcatheter arterial chemoembolization; AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; NA, not applicable.