| Literature DB >> 33635541 |
Sarah J Nyante1,2, Thad S Benefield1, Cherie M Kuzmiak1,2, Kathryn Earnhardt1, Michael Pritchard1, Louise M Henderson1,2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: To understand how health care delays may affect breast cancer detection, the authors quantified changes in breast-related preventive and diagnostic care during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.Entities:
Keywords: biopsy; coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); interrupted time series analysis; mammography; screening
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 33635541 PMCID: PMC8013451 DOI: 10.1002/cncr.33460
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancer ISSN: 0008-543X Impact factor: 6.921
Figure 1Monthly change in breast screening and diagnostic procedures after the onset of the COVID‐19 pandemic. The predicted mean numbers of examinations for (A) all mammograms, (B) screening mammograms, (C) diagnostic mammograms, and (D) breast biopsies conducted among participants at a subset of Carolina Mammography Registry imaging facilities were estimated using interrupted time series models. For each month after the onset of the pandemic (through September 30, 2020), the percentage change estimate compares the observed predicted mean with the expected predicted mean. Vertical lines within the histogram bars denote the 95% CIs for each estimated proportion.
Figure 2Trends in screening mammography, diagnostic mammography, and breast biopsy before and during the coronavirus disease 19 (COVID‐19) pandemic are illustrated. Time series plots show expected (solid red line) and observed (solid blue line) trends in (A) screening mammography, (B) diagnostic mammography, and (C) and breast biopsy between January 1, 2019 and September 30, 2020. The number of examinations is indicated on the y‐axis, and calendar time is indicated on the x‐axis. The expected number of examinations was modeled based on the preintervention trend (before March 3, 2020; denoted by the vertical line). The dotted lines around the observed number of examinations indicate 95% confidence bands.
Comparison of Characteristics Among Screening Mammography Attendees in the University of North Carolina‐Based Carolina Mammography Registry Before and After Onset of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic: January 1, 2019 Through September 30, 2020
| Characteristic | Time Period | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pre‐COVID: January 1, 2019 to March 2, 2020 | Phase 1: March 3‐29, 2020 | Phase 2: March 30 to May 21, 2020 | Phase 3: May 22 to September 30, 2020 | ||||||||
| Predicted Mean | SE | Predicted Mean | SE |
| Predicted Mean | SE |
| Predicted Mean | SE |
| |
| Age, y | 59.29 | 0.06 | 60.26 | 0.06 | <.001 | 60.27 | 0.07 | <.001 | 60.42 | 0.06 | <.001 |
| Predicted breast cancer risk, % | |||||||||||
| 5‐y | 0.27 | 3.45 × 10−3 | 0.22 | 1.16 × 10−2 | <.001 | 0.31 | 2.21 × 10−2 | .08 | 0.31 | 4.46 × 10−3 | <.001 |
| 10‐y | 1.26 | 4.52 × 10−3 | 1.19 | 1.59 × 10−2 | <.001 | 1.31 | 3.07 × 10−2 | .08 | 1.31 | 6.00 × 10−3 | <.001 |
Abbreviations: COVID‐19, coronavirus disease 2019; SE, standard error.
Predicted means and probabilities were estimated using a least squares random effects model to adjust for within‐woman clustering. For predicted breast cancer risks, a square root transformation was used before estimating the predicted mean values.
P values compare predicted means or probabilities in the pre‐COVID column with the predicted means or probabilities in the columns for phases 1 through 3.
Comparison of Characteristics Among Diagnostic Mammography Attendees in the University of North Carolina‐Based Carolina Mammography Registry Before and After Onset of the Coronavirus Disease 19 Pandemic: January 1, 2019 Through September 30, 2020
| Characteristic | Time Period | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pre‐COVID: January 1, 2019 to March 2, 2020 | Phase 1: March 3‐29, 2020 | Phase 1: March 30 to May 21, 2020 | Phase 3: May 22 to September 30, 2020 | ||||||||
| Predicted Mean | SE | Predicted Mean | SE |
| Predicted Mean | SE |
| Predicted Mean | SE |
| |
| Age, y | 57.75 | 0.13 | 58.45 | 0.13 | <.001 | 58.53 | 0.13 | <.001 | 58.76 | 0.13 | <.001 |
Abbreviations: COVID‐19, coronavirus disease 2019; SE, standard error.
Predicted means and probabilities were estimated using a least squares random effects model to adjust for within‐woman clustering.
P values compare predicted means or probabilities in the pre‐COVID column with the predicted means or probabilities in the columns for phases 1 through 3.
Comparison of Characteristics Among Patients Who Underwent Breast Biopsy in the University of North Carolina‐Based Carolina Mammography Registry Before and After Onset of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic: January 1, 2019 Through September 30, 2020
| Characteristic | Time Period | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pre‐COVID: January 1, 2019 to March 2, 2020 | Phase 1: March 3‐29, 2020 | Phase 2: March 30 to May 21, 2020 | Phase 3: May 22 to September 30, 2020 | ||||||||
| Predicted Mean | SE | Predicted Mean | SE |
| Predicted Mean | SE |
| Predicted Mean | SE |
| |
| Age, y | 56.01 | 0.35 | 56.24 | 0.36 | .006 | 56.45 | 0.36 | <.001 | 56.82 | 0.35 | <.001 |
Abbreviations: COVID‐19, coronavirus disease 2019; SE, standard error.
Predicted means and probabilities were estimated using a least squares random effects model to adjust for within‐woman clustering.
P values compare predicted means or probabilities in the pre‐COVID column with the predicted means or probabilities in the columns for phases 1 through 3.