Analysis of driving factors on China's industrial solid waste generation: Insights from critical supply chains.

Industrial solid waste (ISW) poses a huge potential threat to human health and the environment. To prevent pollution at its source, it is necessary to analyze the socioeconomic drivers and identify the key supply chains that cause changes in ISW generation. In this study, based on monetary input-output tables (MIOTs) in China from 2011 to 2015, structural decomposition analysis (SDA) was used to study the influence of socioeconomic drivers on common industrial solid waste (CISW) and hazardous waste (HW) generation. Structural path decomposition (SPD) was used to further trace the effects of drivers at the supply chain level and obtain more meaningful results for policy formulation. Economic expansion was found to play the most crucial role in the increase in total ISW generation while the reduction of generation intensity effectively slowed the growth trend. From the final demand perspective, fixed capital formation contributed the most to ISW generation growth, accounting for 65.05% of the total final demand effect. Construction was the primary trigger. For CISW, the supply chain with the greatest overall influence was "metal ore mining industry → fixed capital formation" (including intermediate consumption of metal smelting, general and special machinery, and construction), reflecting how fixed capital formation indirectly affected the metal ore mining industry. The supply chain with the greatest influence on HW generation was "paper industry → exports." Based on the findings, corresponding policy adjustments are proposed.