| Literature DB >> 33576155 |
Peiman Nazerian1, Fulvio Morello2,3, Alessio Prota1, Laura Betti1, Enrico Lupia2,3, Luc Apruzzese1, Matteo Oddi4, Federico Grosso4, Stefano Grifoni1, Emanuele Pivetta2.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Physicians' gestalt is central in the diagnostic pipeline of suspected COVID-19, due to the absence of a single tool allowing conclusive rule in or rule out. The aim of this study was to estimate the diagnostic test characteristics of physician's gestalt for COVID-19 in the emergency department (ED), based on clinical findings or on a combination of clinical findings and bedside imaging results.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; diagnosis; emergency department; gestalt; lung ultrasound chest x-ray
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 33576155 PMCID: PMC8014604 DOI: 10.1111/acem.14232
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Acad Emerg Med ISSN: 1069-6563 Impact factor: 5.221
FIGURE 1Flow diagram of the study. % values refer to N = 838 analyzed patients. CBIIG, clinical and bedside imaging–integrated gestalt; RT‐PCR, reverse transcription–polymerase chain reaction
Clinical features of study patients
|
Total ( |
COVID‐19 ( |
Alternative diagnosis ( | p‐value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demographics | ||||
| Age (years), median (IQR) | 70 (32.8) | 69 (33.1) | 70 (33) | 0.68 |
| Gender female | 418 (49.9) | 92 (47.7) | 326 (50.5) | 0.52 |
| Presenting signs/symptoms | ||||
| Fever | 395 (47.1) | 148 (76.7) | 247 (38.3) | <0.01 |
| Cough | 224 (26.7) | 82 (42.5) | 142 (22) | <0.01 |
| Pharyngodynia | 48 (5.7) | 6 (3.1) | 42 (6.5) | 0.07 |
| Dyspnea | 331 (39.5) | 94 (48.7) | 237 (36.7) | <0.01 |
| Anosmia | 19 (2.3) | 12 (6.2) | 7 (1) | <0.01 |
| Ageusia | 26 (3.1) | 16 (8.3) | 10 (1.5) | <0.01 |
| Fatigue | 114 (13.6) | 32 (16.6) | 82 (12.7) | 0.17 |
| Diarrhea | 93 (11.1) | 23 (11.9) | 70 (10.8) | 0.67 |
| Symptom duration (days), median (IQR) | 3 (6) | 4 (5) | 3 (5) | 0.01 |
| Vital signs | ||||
| Systolic blood pressure (mmHg), median (IQR) | 130 (30) | 130 (21) | 130 (30) | 1 |
| Diastolic blood pressure (mmHg), median (IQR) | 78 (15) | 75 (14) | 78 (15) | 0.01 |
| Pulse rate (beats/min) | 86 (25) | 88 (20) | 85 (27) | 0.15 |
| Temperature (°C) | 36.3 (1) | 36.6 (1.4) | 36.3 (0.7) | <0.01 |
| Respiratory rate (breaths/min) | 18 (8) | 20 (7) | 18 (4) | <0.01 |
| Need of oxygen supplementation or ventilation | 234 (27.9) | 71 (36.8) | 163 (25.3) | <0.01 |
| Clinical findings | ||||
| ECG performed, No. of pts | 760 (90.7) | 154 (79.8) | 606 (94) | <0.01 |
| ECG signs of ischemia | 30 (3.6) | 8 (4.1) | 22 (3.4) | 0.64 |
| Atrial fibrillation | 59 (7) | 13 (6.7) | 46 (7.1) | 0.84 |
| Blood gas analysis, (No. of pts) | 604 (72.1) | 172 (89.1) | 432 (67) | <0.01 |
| pH | 7.44 (0.1) | 7.46 (0.1) | 7.44 (0.1) | 0.01 |
| Horowitz (PaO2/FiO2) | 304.8 (190.5) | 195.2 (173.3) | 333.3 (153) | <0.01 |
| Lactate level | 1.1 (0.9) | 1.1 (1) | 1.1 (0.9) | 1 |
| Medical history | ||||
| Hypertension | 388 (46.3) | 90 (46.6) | 298 (45.7) | 0.96 |
| Diabetes | 137 (16.3) | 36 (18.6) | 101 (15.6) | 0.32 |
| Coronary artery disease | 121 (14.1) | 35 (18.3) | 86 (13.3) | 0.08 |
| Asthma | 34 (4.1) | 9 (4.7) | 25 (3.9) | 0.62 |
| COPD or other chronic pulmonary disease | 82 (9.8) | 18 (9.3) | 64 (9.9) | 0.8 |
| Chronic renal failure | 50 (6) | 12 (6.2) | 38 (5.9) | 0.88 |
| Active cancer | 131 (15.6) | 24 (12.4) | 107 (16.7) | 0.15 |
| Smoking habit | 69 (8.2) | 10 (5.2) | 59 (9.1) | 0.08 |
Categorical variables are presented as absolute number and percent value (in parentheses).
Abbreviation: COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; IQR, interquartile range.
Hospital admission and 30‐day mortality of enrolled patients classified by final diagnosis
|
Total ( |
COVID‐19 ( |
Alternative diagnoses ( | p‐value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hospital admission | 489 (58.3) | 160 (82.9) | 329 (51) | <.01 |
| ED mortality (index visit) | 10 (1.2) | 5 (2.5) | 5 (0.8) | .06 |
| 30‐day mortality | 72 (8.6) | 37 (19.2) | 35 (5.4) | <.01 |
Values are reported as absolute number and percent value (in parentheses).
Bedside imaging test results
| COVID‐19 | Alternative diagnosis | Sensitivity % (95% CI) | Specificity % (95% CI) | AUC % (95% CI) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LUS | 464 (%) | 146 (%) | 318 (%) | — | — | — |
| Unilateral interstitial syndrome | 197 (42.5) | 106 (72.6) | 91 (28.6) | 72.6 (64.6–79.7.1) | 71.4 (66.1–76.3) | 71.8 (67.4–75.8) |
| Bilateral interstitial syndrome | 151 (32.5) | 97 (66.4) | 54 (17) | 66.4 (58.2–74) | 83 (78.4–87) | 77.8 (73.7–81.5) |
| Unilateral consolidation(s) | 87 (18.8) | 55 (37.7) | 32 (10.1) | 37.7 (29.8–46.1) | 89.9 (86.1–93) | 73.5 (69.2–77.5) |
| Bilateral consolidations | 57 (12.3) | 39 (26.7) | 18 (5.1) | 26.7 (19.7–34.7) | 94.3 (91.2–96.6) | 73.1 (68.8–77.1) |
| Unilateral pleural effusion | 156 (33.6) | 85 (58.2) | 71 (22.3) | 58.2 (48.8–66.3) | 77.7 (72.7–82.1) | 71.6 (67.2–75.6) |
| Bilateral pleural effusion | 52 (11.2) | 8 (5.5) | 44 (13.8) | 5.5 (2.4–10.5) | 86.2 (81.9–89.8) | 60.8 (56.2–65.2) |
| Any LUS sign present | 371 (80) | 131 (89.7) | 240 (75.5) | 89.7 (83.6–94.1) | 24.5 (19.9–29.6) | 45 (45.4–49.7) |
| CXR | 733 (%) | 187 (%) | 546 (%) | — | — | — |
| Monolateral consolidation(s) or ground glass opacity | 93 (12.7) | 41 (21.9) | 52 (9.5) | 21.9 (16.2–28.6) | 90.5 (87.7–92.8) | 73 (69.6–76.2) |
| Bilateral consolidations or ground glass opacity | 199 (27.1) | 77 (41.2) | 122 (22.3) | 41.2 (34.1–48.6) | 77.7 (73.9–81.1) | 68.3 (64.9–71.7) |
| Any CXR sign present | 290 (39.6) | 117 (62.6) | 173 (31.7) | 62.6 (55.2–69.5) | 68.3 (64.2–72.2) | 66.9 (63.3–70.3) |
Abbreviation: LUS, lung ultrasound.
Diagnostic test characteristics associated with the diagnostic pipeline flow for suspected COVID‐19
| Clinical and imaging informed assessment | RT‐PCR informed assessment | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CG ( | Bedside imaging | CBIIG ( | RT‐PCR | RT‐PCR + CG ( | RT‐PCR + CBIIG ( | |
| True positive | 160 | 161 | 171 | 168 | 185 | 184 |
| False positive | 138 | 300 | 45 | 0 | 138 | 45 |
| True negative | 507 | 246 | 501 | 645 | 507 | 501 |
| False negative | 33 | 26 | 16 | 25 | 8 | 3 |
| AUC, % (95% CI) | 80.8 (77.7–83.9) | 65.6 (62.3–68.8) | 91.6 (89.3–93.9) | 93.5 (91.1–95.9) | 87.2 (85.1–89.4) | 95.1 (93.6–96.5) |
| Sensitivity, % (95% CI) | 82.9 (76.8–87.9) | 86.1 (80.3–90.7) | 91.4 (86.5–95) | 87 (81.5–91.4) | 95.9 (92–98.2) | 98.4 (95.4–99.7) |
| Specificity, % (95% CI) | 78.6 (75.2–81.7) | 45.1 (40.8–49.3) | 91.8 (89.1–93.9) | 100 | 78.6 (75.2–81.7) | 91.8 (89.1–93.9) |
| PPV, % (95% CI) | 53.7 (47.8–59.5) | 34.9 (30.6–39.5) | 79.2 (73.1–84.4) | 100 | 57.3 (51.7–62.7) | 80.3 (74.6–85.3) |
| NPV, % (95% CI) | 93.9 (91.5–95.8) | 90.4 (86.3–93.7) | 96.9 (95–98.2) | 96.3 (94.5–97.6) | 98.4 (97–99.3) | 99.4 (98.3–99.9) |
| LR+ (95% CI) | 3.87 (3.3–4.55) | 1.6 (1.42–1.72) | 11.1 (8.36–14.7) | — | 4.48 (3.85–5.21) | 11.9 (9.02.15.8) |
| LR– (95% CI) | 0.22 (0.16–0.30) | 0.31 (0.21–0.45) | 0.09 (0.06–0.15) | 0.13 (0.09–019) | 0.05 (0.03–0.10) | 0.02 (0.01–0.05) |
CBIIG, clinical and bedside imaging–integrated gestalt; CG, clinical gestalt; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value.
Diagnostic criterion: any LUS or CXR sign present.
Performed on the first nasopharyngeal swab obtained in the ED.
FIGURE 2Fagan's nomogram showing the effect of RT‐PCR plus CG, and RT‐PCR plus CBIIG, on the posttest probability of COVID‐19. CBIIG, clinical and bedside imaging–integrated gestalt; CG, clinical gestalt; LR–, negative likelihood ratio; RT‐PCR, reverse transcription–polymerase chain reaction