Literature DB >> 33380902

Simulating forest resilience: A review.

Katharina Albrich1,2, Werner Rammer1,2, Monica G Turner3, Zak Ratajczak3, Kristin H Braziunas3, Winslow D Hansen4, Rupert Seidl1,2.   

Abstract

AIM: Simulation models are important tools for quantifying the resilience (i.e., persistence under changed environmental conditions) of forest ecosystems to global change. We synthesized the modelling literature on forest resilience, summarizing common models and applications in resilience research, and scrutinizing the implementation of important resilience mechanisms in these models. Models applied to assess resilience are highly diverse, and our goal was to assess how well they account for important resilience mechanisms identified in experimental and empirical research. LOCATION: Global. TIME PERIOD: 1994 to 2019. MAJOR TAXA STUDIED: Trees.
METHODS: We reviewed the forest resilience literature using online databases, selecting 119 simulation modelling studies for further analysis. We identified a set of resilience mechanisms from the general resilience literature and analysed models for their representation of these mechanisms. Analyses were grouped by investigated drivers (resilience to what) and responses (resilience of what), as well as by the type of model being used.
RESULTS: Models used to study forest resilience varied widely, from analytical approaches to complex landscape simulators. The most commonly addressed questions were associated with resilience of forest cover to fire. Important resilience mechanisms pertaining to regeneration, soil processes, and disturbance legacies were explicitly simulated in only 34 to 46% of the model applications. MAIN
CONCLUSIONS: We found a large gap between processes identified as underpinning forest resilience in the theoretical and empirical literature, and those represented in models used to assess forest resilience. Contemporary forest models developed for other goals may be poorly suited for studying forest resilience during an era of accelerating change. Our results highlight the need for a new wave of model development to enhance understanding of and management for resilient forests.
© 2020 The Authors. Global Ecology and Biogeography published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Entities:  

Keywords:  ecosystem modelling; literature review; model development; process‐based modelling; resilience processes; simulation model

Year:  2020        PMID: 33380902      PMCID: PMC7756463          DOI: 10.1111/geb.13197

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Glob Ecol Biogeogr        ISSN: 1466-822X            Impact factor:   6.909


  33 in total

1.  Estimating the risk of Amazonian forest dieback.

Authors:  Anja Rammig; Tim Jupp; Kirsten Thonicke; Britta Tietjen; Jens Heinke; Sebastian Ostberg; Wolfgang Lucht; Wolfgang Cramer; Peter Cox
Journal:  New Phytol       Date:  2010-06-09       Impact factor: 10.151

Review 2.  Forest health and global change.

Authors:  S Trumbore; P Brando; H Hartmann
Journal:  Science       Date:  2015-08-21       Impact factor: 47.728

Review 3.  Pattern-oriented modeling of agent-based complex systems: lessons from ecology.

Authors:  Volker Grimm; Eloy Revilla; Uta Berger; Florian Jeltsch; Wolf M Mooij; Steven F Railsback; Hans-Hermann Thulke; Jacob Weiner; Thorsten Wiegand; Donald L DeAngelis
Journal:  Science       Date:  2005-11-11       Impact factor: 47.728

4.  A climate-change risk analysis for world ecosystems.

Authors:  Marko Scholze; Wolfgang Knorr; Nigel W Arnell; I Colin Prentice
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2006-08-21       Impact factor: 11.205

5.  Climate change and forests of the future: managing in the face of uncertainty.

Authors:  Constance I Millar; Nathan L Stephenson; Scott L Stephens
Journal:  Ecol Appl       Date:  2007-12       Impact factor: 4.657

6.  Verification, validation, and confirmation of numerical models in the Earth sciences.

Authors:  N Oreskes; K Shrader-Frechette; K Belitz
Journal:  Science       Date:  1994-02-04       Impact factor: 47.728

Review 7.  Evaluating theories of drought-induced vegetation mortality using a multimodel-experiment framework.

Authors:  Nate G McDowell; Rosie A Fisher; Chonggang Xu; J C Domec; Teemu Hölttä; D Scott Mackay; John S Sperry; Amanda Boutz; Lee Dickman; Nathan Gehres; Jean Marc Limousin; Alison Macalady; Jordi Martínez-Vilalta; Maurizio Mencuccini; Jennifer A Plaut; Jérôme Ogée; Robert E Pangle; Daniel P Rasse; Michael G Ryan; Sanna Sevanto; Richard H Waring; A Park Williams; Enrico A Yepez; William T Pockman
Journal:  New Phytol       Date:  2013-09-05       Impact factor: 10.151

8.  How to measure ecosystem stability? An evaluation of the reliability of stability metrics based on remote sensing time series across the major global ecosystems.

Authors:  Wanda De Keersmaecker; Stef Lhermitte; Olivier Honnay; Jamshid Farifteh; Ben Somers; Pol Coppin
Journal:  Glob Chang Biol       Date:  2014-04-26       Impact factor: 10.863

9.  It takes a few to tango: changing climate and fire regimes can cause regeneration failure of two subalpine conifers.

Authors:  Winslow D Hansen; Kristin H Braziunas; Werner Rammer; Rupert Seidl; Monica G Turner
Journal:  Ecology       Date:  2018-03-25       Impact factor: 6.431

10.  Assessing the resilience of Norway spruce forests through a model-based reanalysis of thinning trials.

Authors:  Rupert Seidl; Friedrich Vigl; Günter Rössler; Markus Neumann; Werner Rammer
Journal:  For Ecol Manage       Date:  2017-03-15       Impact factor: 3.558

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  5 in total

1.  Post-disturbance reorganization of forest ecosystems in a changing world.

Authors:  Rupert Seidl; Monica G Turner
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2022-07-05       Impact factor: 12.779

Review 2.  Tackling unresolved questions in forest ecology: The past and future role of simulation models.

Authors:  Isabelle Maréchaux; Fanny Langerwisch; Andreas Huth; Harald Bugmann; Xavier Morin; Christopher P O Reyer; Rupert Seidl; Alessio Collalti; Mateus Dantas de Paula; Rico Fischer; Martin Gutsch; Manfred J Lexer; Heike Lischke; Anja Rammig; Edna Rödig; Boris Sakschewski; Franziska Taubert; Kirsten Thonicke; Giorgio Vacchiano; Friedrich J Bohn
Journal:  Ecol Evol       Date:  2021-03-30       Impact factor: 3.167

3.  Satellite data reveal differential responses of Swiss forests to unprecedented 2018 drought.

Authors:  Joan Sturm; Maria J Santos; Bernhard Schmid; Alexander Damm
Journal:  Glob Chang Biol       Date:  2022-03-07       Impact factor: 13.211

4.  Managing for the unexpected: Building resilient forest landscapes to cope with global change.

Authors:  Marco Mina; Christian Messier; Matthew J Duveneck; Marie-Josée Fortin; Núria Aquilué
Journal:  Glob Chang Biol       Date:  2022-04-25       Impact factor: 13.211

5.  Forest disturbances and climate constrain carbon allocation dynamics in trees.

Authors:  Guillermo Gea-Izquierdo; Mariola Sánchez-González
Journal:  Glob Chang Biol       Date:  2022-04-13       Impact factor: 13.211

  5 in total

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