| Literature DB >> 33380453 |
Keno Juechems1,2, Jan Balaguer1, Bernhard Spitzer3, Christopher Summerfield1.
Abstract
When making economic choices, such as those between goods or gambles, humans act as if their internal representation of the value and probability of a prospect is distorted away from its true value. These distortions give rise to decisions which apparently fail to maximize reward, and preferences that reverse without reason. Why would humans have evolved to encode value and probability in a distorted fashion, in the face of selective pressure for reward-maximizing choices? Here, we show that under the simple assumption that humans make decisions with finite computational precision--in other words, that decisions are irreducibly corrupted by noise--the distortions of value and probability displayed by humans are approximately optimal in that they maximize reward and minimize uncertainty. In two empirical studies, we manipulate factors that change the reward-maximizing form of distortion, and find that in each case, humans adapt optimally to the manipulation. This work suggests an answer to the longstanding question of why humans make "irrational" economic choices.Entities:
Keywords: computational precision; prospect theory; uncertainty; utility
Year: 2021 PMID: 33380453 PMCID: PMC7812798 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2002232118
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ISSN: 0027-8424 Impact factor: 11.205