| Literature DB >> 33372531 |
Keon-Joo Lee1, Seong-Eun Kim1, Jun Yup Kim1, Jihoon Kang1, Beom Joon Kim1, Moon-Ku Han1, Kang-Ho Choi2, Joon-Tae Kim2, Dong-Ick Shin3, Jae-Kwan Cha4, Dae-Hyun Kim4, Dong-Eog Kim5, Wi-Sun Ryu5, Jong-Moo Park6, Kyusik Kang6, Jae Guk Kim7, Soo Joo Lee7, Mi-Sun Oh8, Kyung-Ho Yu8, Byung-Chul Lee8, Hong-Kyun Park9, Keun-Sik Hong9, Yong-Jin Cho9, Jay Chol Choi10, Sung Il Sohn11, Jeong-Ho Hong11, Moo-Seok Park12, Tai Hwan Park12, Sang-Soon Park12, Kyung Bok Lee13, Jee-Hyun Kwon14, Wook-Joo Kim14, Jun Lee15, Ji Sung Lee16, Juneyoung Lee17, Philip B Gorelick18,19, Hee-Joon Bae1.
Abstract
Background The long-term incidence of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) has not been well defined in large cohort studies of various race-ethnic groups. Methods and Results A prospective cohort of patients with AIS who were registered in a multicenter nationwide stroke registry (CRCS-K [Clinical Research Collaboration for Stroke in Korea] registry) was followed up for the occurrence of AMI through a linkage with the National Health Insurance Service claims database. The 5-year cumulative incidence and annual risk were estimated according to predefined demographic subgroups, stroke subtypes, a history of coronary heart disease (CHD), and known risk factors of CHD. A total of 11 720 patients with AIS were studied. The 5-year cumulative incidence of AMI was 2.0%. The annual risk was highest in the first year after the index event (1.1%), followed by a much lower annual risk in the second to fifth years (between 0.16% and 0.27%). Among subgroups, annual risk in the first year was highest in those with a history of CHD (4.1%) compared with those without a history of CHD (0.8%). The small-vessel occlusion subtype had a much lower incidence (0.8%) compared with large-vessel occlusion (2.2%) or cardioembolism (2.4%) subtypes. In the multivariable analysis, history of CHD (hazard ratio, 2.84; 95% CI, 2.01-3.93) was the strongest independent predictor of AMI after AIS. Conclusions The incidence of AMI after AIS in South Korea was relatively low and unexpectedly highest during the first year after stroke. CHD was the most substantial risk factor for AMI after stroke and conferred an approximate 5-fold greater risk.Entities:
Keywords: acute ischemic stroke; acute myocardial infarction; coronary heart disease; prospective cohort study; risk factors
Year: 2020 PMID: 33372531 PMCID: PMC7955456 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.120.018807
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Am Heart Assoc ISSN: 2047-9980 Impact factor: 5.501
Baseline Characteristics of the Study Subjects (N=11 720)
| Characteristics | Values |
|---|---|
| Age, mean±SD, y | 67.53±12.87 |
| Men, N (%) | 6888 (58.8) |
| Hypertension, N (%) | 7917 (67.6) |
| Diabetes mellitus, N (%) | 3834 (32.7) |
| Hyperlipidemia, N (%) | 3776 (32.2) |
| Previous stroke or TIA, N (%) | 2254 (19.2) |
| Current smoking, N (%) | 3099 (26.4) |
| Symptomatic carotid artery disease, N (%) | 1268 (10.8) |
| Atrial fibrillation, N (%) | 2450 (20.9) |
| Coronary heart disease, N (%) | 1067 (9.1) |
| Stroke subtype, N (%) | |
| Large‐artery atherosclerosis | 4322 (36.9) |
| Small‐vessel occlusion | 2070 (17.7) |
| Cardioembolism | 2506 (21.4) |
| Other determined | 254 (2.2) |
| Undetermined | 2568 (21.9) |
| Initial NIHSS, median (IQR) | 3 (1–8) |
| Discharge mRS score, median (IQR) | 2 (1–4) |
| Previous antiplatelet use, N (%) | 3295 (28.1) |
| Previous statin use, N (%) | 1690 (14.4) |
| Antiplatelet use at discharge, N (%) | 9097 (77.6) |
| Statin use at discharge, N (%) | 9652 (82.4) |
| High‐intensity statin use at discharge, N (%) | 3153 (26.9) |
| SBP, mean±SD, mm Hg | 147.26±27.29 |
| LDL cholesterol, mean±SD, mg/dL | 111.62±36.43 |
| HDL cholesterol, mean±SD, mg/dL | 44.48±12.11 |
| GFR, mean±SD, mL/min per 1.73 m2 | 102.48±46.42 |
GFR indicates glomerular filtration rate; HDL, high‐density lipoprotein; IQR, interquartile range; LDL, low‐density lipoprotein; mRS, modified Rankin Scale; NIHSS, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale; SBP, systolic blood pressure; and TIA, transient ischemic attack.
Other determined cause was defined as rare causes of ischemic stroke with diverse entities (details in study by Ko et al ).
Undetermined cause was defined as follows: (1) not being classified as large‐artery atherosclerosis, small‐vessel disease, or cardioembolism and no cardioembolic source despite comprehensive workups; (2) no workup for stroke cause; or (3) coexistence of >1 stroke cause.
According to the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Guideline on Treatment of Blood Cholesterol (2013) (≥50% reduction in LDL cholesterol).
Cumulative Incidences of AMI After AIS for All Subgroups
| Variable | Cumulative Incidence, % (95% CI) |
| ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 y | 2 y | 3 y | 4 y | 5 y | ||
| Total all patients | 1.07 (0.89–1.27) | 1.29 (1.10–1.51) | 1.56 (1.35–1.80) | 1.81 (1.58–2.07) | 1.97 (1.72–2.26) | |
| Aged ≤70 y | 0.85 (0.65–1.11) | 1.05 (0.82–1.33) | 1.26 (1.00–1.56) | 1.42 (1.15–1.75) | 1.61 (1.30–1.98) | 0.0022 |
| Aged >70 y | 1.31 (1.03–1.63) | 1.56 (1.26–1.91) | 1.90 (1.57–2.29) | 2.25 (1.87–2.67) | 2.38 (1.98–2.83) | |
| Women | 1.08 (0.81–1.40) | 1.24 (0.96–1.59) | 1.47 (1.16–1.84) | 1.67 (1.33–2.07) | 1.85 (1.47–2.29) | 0.41 |
| Men | 1.06 (0.84–1.32) | 1.32 (1.07–1.61) | 1.63 (1.35–1.95) | 1.91 (1.60–2.26) | 2.06 (1.73–2.44) | |
| No history of hypertension | 0.58 (0.38–0.86) | 0.71 (0.48–1.02) | 0.89 (0.63–1.23) | 1.06 (0.76–1.43) | 1.23 (0.89–1.67) | <0.001 |
| History of hypertension | 1.30 (1.07–1.57) | 1.57 (1.31–1.86) | 1.88 (1.60–2.20) | 2.17 (1.86–2.52) | 2.33 (2.00–2.70) | |
| No history of diabetes mellitus | 0.82 (0.64–1.04) | 0.95 (0.76–1.18) | 1.18 (0.96–1.44) | 1.40 (1.16–1.69) | 1.51 (1.24–1.82) | <0.001 |
| History of diabetes mellitus | 1.56 (1.21–2.00) | 1.98 (1.58–2.46) | 2.35 (1.90–2.86) | 2.65 (2.17–3.20) | 2.65 (2.17–3.20) | |
| No history of CHD | 0.76 (0.61–0.94) | 1.00 (0.82–1.20) | 1.24 (1.04–1.46) | 1.46 (1.24–1.71) | 1.64 (1.39–1.92) | <0.001 |
| History of CHD | 4.12 (3.05–5.44) | 4.22 (3.13–5.54) | 4.78 (3.61–6.18) | 5.32 (4.07–6.79) | 5.32 (4.07–6.79) | |
| Stroke subtype | 0.001 | |||||
| Large‐artery atherosclerosis | 0.97 (0.71–1.30) | 1.13 (0.85–1.49) | 1.46 (1.13–1.85) | 1.82 (1.45–2.26) | 2.18 (1.73–2.71) | |
| Small‐vessel occlusion | 0.29 (9.12–0.61) | 0.53 (0.29–0.93) | 0.73 (0.43–1.17) | 0.84 (0.51–1.32) | 0.84 (0.51–1.32) | |
| Cardioembolism | 1.56 (1.13–2.10) | 1.84 (1.36–2.42) | 2.08 (1.57–2.69) | 2.31 (1.77–2.97) | 2.38 (1.82–3.04) | |
| Other determined | 0.79 (0.16–2.62) | 0.79 (0.16–2.62) | 1.18 (0.33–3.20) | 1.18 (0.33–3.20) | 1.18 (0.33–3.20) | |
| Undetermined | 1.40 (1.00–1.92) | 1.67 (1.23–2.23) | 1.95 (1.47–2.54) | 2.15 (1.63–2.77) | 2.23 (1.69–2.88) | |
| No symptomatic carotid artery disease | 0.98 (0.80–1.18) | 1.21 (1.01–1.43) | 1.47 (1.26–1.72) | 1.70 (1.46–1.97) | 1.84 (1.58–2.13) | 0.007 |
| Symptomatic carotid artery disease | 1.81 (1.18–2.67) | 1.97 (1.31–2.85) | 2.29 (1.57–3.22) | 2.73 (1.93–3.75) | 3.06 (2.16–4.20) | |
| No history of atrial fibrillation | 0.90 (0.72–1.10) | 1.11 (0.91–1.34) | 1.37 (1.15‐1.62) | 1.64 (1.39‐1.92) | 1.83 (1.55‐2.14) | 0.01 |
| History of atrial fibrillation | 1.71 (1.26‐2.29) | 1.96 (1.47‐2.57) | 2.29 (1.75‐2.94) | 2.47 (1.90‐3.14) | 2.53 (1.96‐3.22) | |
AIS indicates acute ischemic stroke; AMI, acute myocardial infarction; and CHD, coronary heart disease.
P values determined with the Grey test.
Figure 1Cumulative incidence of acute myocardial infarction after ischemic stroke among subgroups.
A, History of coronary artery disease. B, Stroke subtype. C, Symptomatic carotid artery disease. D, Atrial fibrillation. CE, cardioembolism; LAA, large artery atherosclerosis; SVO, small vessel occlusion.
Figure 2Annual risk of acute myocardial infarction after index stroke event.
A, History of coronary artery disease. B, Stroke subtype. C, Symptomatic carotid artery disease. D, Atrial fibrillation.
Predictors of AMI Up to 5 Years After AIS
| Variable | Hazard Ratio (95% CI) |
|
|---|---|---|
| Aged >70 y | 1.33 (0.995‐1.78) | 0.054 |
| Male sex | 1.16 (0.85‐1.58) | 0.36 |
| Hypertension | 1.50 (1.05‐2.14) | 0.03 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 1.72 (1.31‐2.26) | <.001 |
| Previous stroke or TIA | 1.41 (1.03‐1.93) | 0.06 |
| Coronary heart disease | 2.84 (2.01‐3.93) | <.001 |
| Current smoker | 1.07 (0.75‐1.53) | 0.69 |
| Stroke subtype | 0.015 | |
| Large‐artery atherosclerosis | 2.03 (1.20‐3.44) | |
| Small‐vessel occlusion | Reference | |
| Cardioembolism | 2.60 (1.44‐4.70) | |
| Other determined | 1.76 (0.51‐6.04) | |
| Undetermined | 2.55 (1.47‐4.41) | |
| Antiplatelet use at discharge | 1.15 (0.79‐1.68) | 0.45 |
| Statin use at discharge | 1.20 (0.82‐1.75) | 0.35 |
| LDL‐C ≥100 mg/dL | 1.18 (0.88‐1.58) | 0.27 |
| HDL‐C <40 mg/dL | 1.23 (0.94‐1.61) | 0.13 |
| SBP ≥140 mm Hg | 0.81 (0.62‐1.06) | 0.13 |
| GFR <60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 | 1.21 (0.85‐1.70) | 0.29 |
AIS indicates acute ischemic stroke; AMI, acute myocardial infarction; GFR, glomerular filtration rate; HDL‐C, high‐density lipoprotein cholesterol; LDL‐C, low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol; SBP, systolic blood pressure; and TIA, transient ischemic attach.
Subdistribution hazard model by Fine and Grey.