| Literature DB >> 33372526 |
Chi-Hoon Kim1, Tae-Min Rhee2, Kyung Woo Park2, Chan Soon Park3, Jeehoon Kang2, Jung-Kyu Han2, Han-Mo Yang2, Hyun-Jae Kang2, Bon-Kwon Koo2, Hyo-Soo Kim2.
Abstract
Background Low muscle mass has been associated with poor prognosis in certain chronic diseases, but its clinical significance in patients with coronary artery disease is unclear. We assessed the clinical significance of 2 easily measured surrogate markers of low muscle mass: the ratio of serum creatinine to serum cystatin C (Scr/Scys), and the ratio of estimated glomerular filtration rate by Scys to Scr (eGFRcys/eGFRcr). Methods and Results Patients with coronary artery disease undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention were prospectively enrolled from a single tertiary center, and Scr and Scys levels were simultaneously measured at admission. Best cut-off values for Scr/Scys and eGFRcys/eGFRcr to discriminate 3-year mortality were determined; 1.0 for men and 0.8 for women in Scr/Scys, and 1.1 for men and 1.0 for women in eGFRcys/eGFRcr. The prognostic values on 3-year mortality and the additive values of 2 markers on the predictive model were compared. In 1928 patients enrolled (mean age 65.2±9.9 years, 70.8% men), the risk of 3-year mortality increased proportionally according to the decrease of the surrogate markers. Both Scr/Scys- and eGFRcys/eGFRcr-based low muscle mass groups showed significantly higher risk of death, after adjusting for possible confounders. They also increased predictive power of the mortality prediction model. Low Scr/Scys values were associated with high mortality rate in patients who were ≥65 years, nonobese, male, had renal dysfunction at baseline, and presented with acute myocardial infarction. Conclusions Serum surrogate markers of muscle mass, Scr/Scys, and eGFRcys/eGFRcr may have clinical significance for detecting patients with coronary artery disease at high risk for long-term mortality.Entities:
Keywords: coronary artery disease; creatinine; cystatin C; muscle mass
Year: 2020 PMID: 33372526 PMCID: PMC7955465 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.120.018554
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Am Heart Assoc ISSN: 2047-9980 Impact factor: 5.501
Figure 1Study flow.
The design of study and the establishment of study population are described. CAD indicates coronary artery disease; DES, drug‐eluting stent; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; PCI, percutaneous coronary intervention; Scr, serum creatinine; Scys, serum cystatin C; and SNUH, Seoul National University Hospital.
Baseline Characteristics of Study Population According to Muscle Mass Estimated by Ratio of Serum Creatinine to Cystatin C
| Total Population (n = 1928) | Low‐MM (n = 428, 22.2%) | Normal‐MM (n = 1500, 77.8%) |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demographics and risk factors | ||||
| Men | 1365 (70.8%) | 282 (65.9%) | 1083 (72.2%) | 0.011 |
| Age (y) | 65.2±9.9 | 68.2±9.6 | 64.4±9.9 | <0.001 |
| Age ≥65 | 1086 (56.3%) | 287 (67.1%) | 799 (53.3%) | <0.001 |
| Hypertension | 1321 (68.5%) | 301 (70.3%) | 1020 (68.0%) | 0.361 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 774 (40.1%) | 195 (45.6%) | 579 (38.6%) | 0.010 |
| History of MI | 168 (8.7%) | 47 (11.0%) | 121 (8.1%) | 0.059 |
| Previous revascularization | 395 (20.5%) | 88 (20.6%) | 307 (20.5%) | 0.966 |
| History of cerebrovascular accident | 189 (9.8%) | 46 (10.7%) | 143 (9.5%) | 0.456 |
| Dyslipidemia or statin user | 1431 (74.2%) | 305 (71.3%) | 1126 (75.1%) | 0.112 |
| Current smoker | 419 (21.7%) | 107 (25.0%) | 312 (20.8%) | 0.063 |
| Presented as acute MI | 160 (8.3%) | 36 (8.4%) | 124 (8.3%) | 0.924 |
| Left ventricular ejection fraction (%) | 59.3±9.3 | 58.3±11.1 | 59.7±8.7 | 0.029 |
| Angiographic and procedural characteristics | ||||
| Extent of coronary artery disease | 0.479 | |||
| 1‐VD | 600 (31.1%) | 123 (28.7%) | 477 (31.8%) | … |
| 2‐VD | 671 (34.8%) | 155 (36.2%) | 516 (34.4%) | … |
| 3‐VD | 657 (34.1%) | 150 (35.0%) | 507 (33.8%) | … |
| LM disease | 201 (10.4%) | 38 (8.9%) | 163 (10.9%) | 0.235 |
| Multiple target lesions | 561 (29.1%) | 140 (32.7%) | 421 (28.7%) | 0.062 |
| Intervention for type B2/C lesion | 1647 (85.4%) | 357 (83.4%) | 1290 (86.0%) | 0.181 |
| Intervention for in‐stent restenosis | 105 (5.4%) | 34 (7.9%) | 71 (4.7%) | 0.010 |
| Intervention for bifurcation lesion | 1180 (61.2%) | 273 (63.8%) | 907 (60.5%) | 0.214 |
| Side branch treatment | 261 (13.5%) | 57 (13.3%) | 204 (13.6%) | 0.880 |
| Procedural success | 1922 (99.7%) | 425 (99.3%) | 1497 (99.8%) | 0.101 |
| Medications at discharge | ||||
| Aspirin | 1916 (99.4%) | 422 (98.6%) | 1494 (99.6%) | 0.020 |
| Clopidogrel | 1906 (98.9%) | 423 (98.8%) | 1483 (98.9%) | 0.952 |
| DAPT | 1899 (98.5%) | 420 (98.1%) | 1479 (98.6%) | 0.482 |
| β‐blockers | 1019 (52.9%) | 224 (52.3%) | 795 (53.0%) | 0.808 |
| ACE inhibitors | 246 (12.8%) | 63 (14.7%) | 183 (12.2%) | 0.168 |
| ARBs | 743 (38.5%) | 152 (35.5%) | 591 (39.4%) | 0.145 |
| Statins | 1716 (89.0%) | 364 (85.0%) | 1352 (90.1%) | 0.003 |
| CCBs | 669 (34.7%) | 142 (33.2%) | 527 (35.1%) | 0.453 |
| Body habitus, Scr, Scys, and eGFR | ||||
| Body weight, kg | 66.0±10.3 | 63.8±9.7 | 66.7±10.4 | <0.001 |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 24.9±2.9 | 24.6±3.1 | 25.0±2.9 | 0.010 |
| Scr, mg/dL | 1.11±1.11 | 0.88±0.64 | 1.18±1.20 | <0.001 |
| Scys, mg/dL | 1.00±0.81 | 1.10±0.81 | 0.98±0.81 | 0.004 |
| eGFR, mL/min per 1.73 m2 | ||||
| by Scr‐based CKD‐EPI equation | 78.7±23.0 | 86.7±21.1 | 76.4±23.0 | <0.001 |
| by Scys‐based CKD‐EPI equation | 89.8±26.7 | 79.3±25.3 | 92.8±26.3 | <0.001 |
| Baseline renal dysfunction | ||||
| eGFR <60 by Scr‐based CKD‐EPI equation | 347 (18.0%) | 42 (9.8%) | 305 (20.3%) | <0.001 |
| eGFR <60 by Scys‐based CKD‐EPI equation | 259 (13.4%) | 87 (20.3%) | 172 (11.5%) | <0.001 |
| Scr/Scys | 1.10±0.26 | 0.81±0.14 | 1.19±0.22 | <0.001 |
| eGFRcys/eGFRcr | 1.16±0.23 | 0.90±0.15 | 1.23±0.19 | <0.001 |
Values are described as numbers (%) or mean±SD.
ACE indicates angiotensin‐converting enzyme; ARB, angiotensin II receptor blocker; BMI, body mass index; CCBs, calcium channel blockers; CKD, chronic kidney disease; EPI, Epidemiology Collaboration; DAPT, dual antiplatelet therapy; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; LM, left main; Low‐MM, low muscle mass; MI, myocardial infarction; Scr, serum creatinine; Scys, serum cystatin C; and VD, vessel disease.
Figure 2Association of low muscle mass with 3‐year risk of all‐cause death.
The association of surrogate markers of muscle mass with estimated 3‐year mortality risk is presented. The comparison of 3‐year mortality between Low‐MM and Normal‐MM groups defined by the best cut‐off values of (A) Scr/Scys and (B) eGFRcys/eGFRcr is shown. eGFR indicates estimated glomerular filtration rate; Low‐MM, low muscle mass; Scr, serum creatinine; and Scys, serum cystatin C.
Risk of 3‐Year All‐Cause Death According to Surrogate Markers of L‐MM
| Low‐MM Group | Normal‐MM Group | Unadjusted HR (95% CI) |
| MV‐Adjusted HR (95% CI) |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| By Scr/Scys | … | … | … | … | ||
| Per 0.1 decrease (Continuous variable) | … | … | 1.22 (1.13–1.33) | <0.001 | 1.25 (1.14–1.38) | <0.001 |
| Low‐MM (Men <1.0, Women <0.8) | 11.9% (51/428) | 3.4% (51/1500) | 3.67 (2.49–5.41) | <0.001 | 2.84 (1.91–4.22) | <0.001 |
| By eGFRcys/eGFRcr | … | … | … | … | ||
| Per 0.1 decrease (Continuous variable) | … | … | 1.38 (1.27–1.52) | <0.001 | 1.26 (1.16–1.37) | <0.001 |
| Low‐MM (Men <1.1, Women <1.0) | 11.1% (67/601) | 2.6% (35/1327) | 4.41 (2.93–6.64) | <0.001 | 3.78 (2.49–5.73) | <0.001 |
The covariates included in the multivariate analysis were age, sex, body mass index, left ventricular ejection fraction, presentation with acute myocardial infarction, presence of left main coronary artery disease, and chronic kidney disease ≥stage 3.
eGFR indicates estimated glomerular filtration rate; HR, hazard ratio; Low‐MM, low muscle mass; MV, multivariate; Scr, serum creatinine; and Scys, serum cystatin C.
Additive Discriminative and Predictive Value of Low‐MM Group on Mortality Prediction Model
| Harrell’s C‐Index | Category‐Free NRI |
| IDI |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reference model | 0.776 (0.728–0.825) | Reference | … | Reference | … |
| + Scr/Scys‐based Low‐MM group | 0.803 (0.757–0.848) | 0.266 (0.132–0.364) | <0.001 | 0.035 (0.011–0.072) | <0.001 |
| + eGFRcys/eGFRcr‐based Low‐MM group | 0.804 (0.758–0.851) | 0.342 (0.230–0.443) | <0.001 | 0.042 (0.017–0.078) | <0.001 |
eGFR indicates estimated glomerular filtration rate; IDI, integrated discrimination improvement; Low‐MM, low muscle mass; NRI, net reclassification improvement; Scr, serum creatinine; and Scys, serum cystatin C.
Reclassification of Predicted 3‐Year Mortality Risk by the Addition of Low‐MM Group on Reference Model
| Predicted Risk (reference model) | Reference Model + Scr/Scys‐Based Low‐MM Group | Reclassified as | Net % Correctly Reclassified | Category‐Based NRI (95% CI) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <5% | 5% to <10% | 10% to <15% | 15% to <20% | 20 to <25% | ≥25% | Increased Risk | Decreased Risk | |||
| 3‐y mortality (+) | 21.3% (1.7–35.4) | |||||||||
| <5% | 19 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 41.2% | 23.5% | 17.6% | |
| 5% to <10% | 8 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | ||||
| 10% to <15% | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | ||||
| 15% to <20% | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 20% to <25% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | ||||
| ≥25% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | ||||
| 3‐y mortality (−) | ||||||||||
| <5% | 1102 | 148 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14.5% | 18.2% | 3.7% | |
| 5% to <10% | 200 | 97 | 50 | 20 | 7 | 0 | ||||
| 10% to <15% | 1 | 81 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 8 | ||||
| 15% to <20% | 0 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 20% to <25% | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 5 | ||||
| ≥25% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 16 | ||||
eGFR indicates estimated glomerular filtration rate; Low‐MM, low muscle mass; and NRI, net reclassification improvement.
Figure 3Subgroup analysis.
The adjusted risk of 3‐year mortality by Scr/Scys‐based Low‐MM group was calculated according to various exploratory subgroups. AMI indicates acute myocardial infarction; BMI, body mass index; DM, diabetes mellitus; HR, hazard ratio; and Low‐MM, low muscle mass.