The effectiveness of cervical screening: a population-based case-control study.

The cervical smear histories of 36 women with invasive cervical cancer were compared to those of 120 age-matched controls, drawn from local registrar's offices. Of the cases 47% were screened at least once, while for the controls this figure was 68%. The relative risk of getting invasive cervical cancer for women screened at least once compared to women who were never screened was 0.32. The most important confounding factor was age at first intercourse. Contrary to other studies however, it was found that women who were younger when having first intercourse were screened more often. After correcting the relative risk of screened vs unscreened for age at first intercourse, the relative risk became 0.22. When the length of the interval since the last smear was considered, the relative risk was 0.18 when the smear was made between 2 and 5 years earlier and 0.30 when this smear was made more than 5 years earlier. These results support the assumption that screening is effective in the prevention of invasive cancer of the uterine cervix. Even a screening interval of more than 5 years provides considerable protection.