| Literature DB >> 33288835 |
Marcela Sampaio Lima1,2, Hianga Fayssa Fernandes Siqueira3,4, Alex Rodrigues Moura3,5, Evânia Curvelo Hora3, Hugo Leite de Farias Brito6, Adriane Dórea Marques3, Érika de Abreu Costa Brito3,6, Rosana Cipolotti3,6, Carlos Anselmo Lima3,5,7,8.
Abstract
Emerging economy countries in epidemiological transition have been especially challenged in the fight against cancer. This was an ecological study that aimed to describe the temporal trend of cancer mortality in a Brazilian northeastern state with a medium Human Development Index using official Brazilian mortality data from 1980 to 2018. We calculated the mortality crude rate (CR) and age-standardized rate (ASR) based on official population counts and estimates. The Joinpoint Regression Program, National Cancer Institute, USA, was used to calculate time trends of cancer mortality. There were 34,214 deaths from cancer, excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer, in Sergipe. The overall cancer mortality ASR was 70.1 and 57.9 per 100,000 men and women, respectively. For the last five years, the leading causes of cancer deaths were prostate (21.3), trachea, bronchus and lung (11.7), stomach (6.5), oral cavity (5.4) and liver and intrahepatic bile ducts (5.1) in males and breast (13.8), trachea, bronchus and lung (6.6), cervix (6.4), colon/rectum (5.8) and central nervous system (3.6) in females. In addition, there was a significant reduction in deaths from ill-defined causes in the series. Our results show that although there has been an increase in cancer mortality rates associated with Western lifestyles, such as prostate, breast and colon/rectum, high rates of cancer related to poverty and infections, such as stomach and cervix, still persist in Sergipe.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 33288835 PMCID: PMC7721732 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-78381-4
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Distribution of the number of cancer deaths (N) by the main sites, with respective age-standardized mortality rates (ASR) per 100,000 men and women and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) in Sergipe, 1980–2018.
| Sites | Male | Female | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | ASR | 95% CI | N | ASR | 95% CI | |
| Oral cavity | 878 | 3.8 | 3.51; 4.01 | 299 | 1.0 | 0.89; 1.11 |
| Esophagus | 709 | 3.0 | 2.82; 3.26 | 210 | 0.7 | 0.61; 0.81 |
| Stomach | 1339 | 5.7 | 5.37; 5.98 | 786 | 2.6 | 2.45; 2.82 |
| Colon and rectum | 698 | 2.9 | 2.71; 3.14 | 992 | 3.3 | 3.12; 3.54 |
| Liver and intrahepatic bile ducts | 965 | 4.1 | 3.82; 4.33 | 881 | 3.0 | 2.81; 3.21 |
| Larynx | 613 | 2.7 | 2.45; 2.88 | 93 | 0.3 | 0.26; 0.40 |
| Trachea, bronchus and lung | 2232 | 9.7 | 9.28; 10.08 | 1442 | 5.0 | 4.75; 5.26 |
| Melanoma skin cancer | 115 | 0.5 | 0.38; 0.55 | 94 | 0.3 | 0.24; 0.37 |
| Prostate | 3354 | 13.5 | 13.07; 13.98 | – | – | – |
| Breast | – | – | – | 2773 | 9.5 | 9.13; 9.84 |
| Cervix | – | – | – | 1925 | 6.6 | 6.26; 6.84 |
| Corpus uteri | – | – | – | 163 | 0.6 | 0.49; 0.67 |
| Ovary | – | – | – | 643 | 2.2 | 2.04; 2.38 |
| Bladder | 406 | 1.7 | 1.54; 1.87 | 158 | 0.5 | 0.44; 0.60 |
| Central nervous system | 723 | 2.7 | 2.49; 2.89 | 749 | 2.5 | 2.29; 2.65 |
| Thyroid | 47 | 0.2 | 0.14; 0.25 | 103 | 0.4 | 0.29; 0.43 |
| Hodgkin’s lymphoma | 90 | 0.3 | 0.24; 0.37 | 49 | 0.2 | 0.11; 0.20 |
| Non-Hodgkin lymphoma | 453 | 1.7 | 1.54; 1.85 | 329 | 1.1 | 0.95; 1.18 |
| Leukemias | 748 | 2.5 | 2.35; 2.71 | 655 | 2.0 | 1.86; 2.17 |
| Other sites | 3715 | 15.2 | 14.69; 15.67 | 4785 | 16.2 | 15.70; 16.62 |
| Subtotal | 17,085 | 70.1 | 69.06; 71.17 | 17,129 | 57.9 | 57.01; 58.75 |
| Nonmelanoma skin cancer | 237 | 1.0 | 0.83; 1.07 | 221 | 0.7 | 0.57; 0.74 |
| Total | 17,322 | 71.1 | 70.01; 72.13 | 17,350 | 58.5 | 57.66; 59.41 |
Joinpoint analysis of cancer mortality for age-standardized rates for all ages and specific for age groups for both sexes. Sergipe, 1980–2018.
| Age groups | JP | APC | 95% CI | AAPC | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 2 | (1980–2000) 2.44a | 1.15; 3.74 | 2.98a | 1.55; 4.42 |
| – | (2000–2005) 11.87a | 1.91; 22.80 | |||
| – | (2005–2018) 0.56 | − 0.60; 1.74 | |||
| 0–19 | 1 | (1980–2000) 5.70a | 3.11; 8.35 | 2.79a | 1.17; 4.43 |
| – | (2000–2018) − 0.35 | − 2.44; 1.78 | |||
| 20–44 | 0 | (1980–2018) 1.31a | 0.53; 2.10 | 1.31a | 0.53; 2.10 |
| 45–64 | 1 | (1980–2009) 3.63a | 2.78; 4.49 | 2.31a | 1.43; 3.21 |
| – | (2009–2018) − 1.82 | − 4.48; 0.91 | |||
| 65+ | 2 | (1980–1998) 2.48a | 0.91; 4.06 | 4.29a | 3.08; 5.51 |
| – | (1998–2005) 12.54a | 7.13; 18.21 | |||
| – | (2005–2018) 2.56a | 1.51; 3.62 | |||
| All | 2 | (1980–1987) − 2.41 | − 7.82; 3.31 | 1.73a | 0.55; 2.93 |
| – | (1987–2006) 4.26a | 3.24; 5.30 | |||
| – | (2006–2018) 0.26 | − 0.89; 1.42 | |||
| 0–19 | 2 | (1980–1988) − 14.41a | − 21.48; − 6.70 | 1.28 | − 3.31; 6.09 |
| – | (1988–1992) 46.66 | − 2.72; 121.09 | |||
| – | (1992–2018) − 0.01 | − 1.02; 1.01 | |||
| 20–44 | 4 | (1980–1990) − 3.32 | − 7.58; 1.13 | 2.24 | − 3.91; 8.79 |
| – | (1990–1993) 22.53 | − 27.45; 106.93 | |||
| – | (1993–1997) − 11.93 | − 29.67; 10.28 | |||
| – | (1997–2000) 21.58 | − 21.34; 87.90 | |||
| – | (2000–2018) 0.25 | − 0.76; 1.28 | |||
| 45–64 | 2 | (1980–1990) − 0.68 | − 4.39; 3.18 | 2.13a | 0.57; 3.71 |
| – | (1990–2006) 4.47a | 2.92; 6.06 | |||
| – | (2006–2018) 0.57 | − 1.91; 0.78 | |||
| 65+ | 2 | (1980–2000) 1.94a | 0.76; 3.12 | 2.56a | 1.65; 3.48 |
| – | (2000–2005) 10.81a | 1.81; 20.61 | |||
| – | (2005–2018) 1.01 | − 0.04; 2.08 | |||
| Total | 2 | (1980–2002) − 4.22a | − 4.85; − 3.59 | − 7.07a | − 8.04; − 6.09 |
| – | (2002–2006) − 34.85a | − 47.65; − 18.93 | |||
| – | (2006–2018) 0.81 | − 2.69; 4.44 | |||
JP number of join points, APC annual percent change, AAPC average annual percent change, CI Confidence interval.
aAPC/AAPC statistically significant.
Figure 1Time trends of cancer mortality for age-standardized rates (ASR) for all ages and sites in both sexes (A), for specific age groups in males (B) and in females (C) and for ill-defined causes of death (D).
Number of cases of the leading causes of cancer deaths (N), with respective age-standardized mortality rates (ASR) per 100,000 men and women and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) in Sergipe, 2014–2018.
| Male | Female | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sites | N | ASR | 95% CI | Sites | N | ASR | 95% CI |
| Prostate | 971 | 21.3 | 19.97; 22.65 | Breast | 853 | 13.8 | 12.90; 14.76 |
| Lung/Tr/Br | 529 | 11.7 | 10.67; 12.66 | Lung/Tr/Br | 396 | 6.6 | 5.92; 7.21 |
| Stomach | 304 | 6.5 | 5.80; 7.27 | Cervix | 391 | 6.4 | 5.73; 6.99 |
| Oral cavity | 261 | 5.4 | 4.78; 6.10 | Colon/rectum | 356 | 5.8 | 5.17; 6.37 |
| Liver/IHBD | 236 | 5.1 | 4.49; 5.80 | CNS | 211 | 3.6 | 3.15; 4.13 |
| Totala | 4552 | 97.2 | 94.42; 100.07 | Totala | 4408 | 72.0 | 69.91; 74.17 |
ASR age-standardized rate (world population), CI Confidence interval, Br bronchus, Tr trachea, CNS Central nervous system, IHBD Intrahepatic bile ducts.
aAll cancer deaths, except NMSC.
Joinpoint analysis of cancer mortality by the main sites for age-standardized rates for both sexes. Sergipe, 1980–2018.
| Sites | JP | APC | 95% CI | AAPC | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prostate | 1 | (1980–2010) 6.82a | 5.40; 8.25 | 5.32a | 3.87; 6.80 |
| – | (2010–2018) − 0.09 | − 4.66; 4.69 | |||
| Lung/trachea/bronchus | 2 | (1980–1998) 1.55 | − 0.42; 3.57 | 1.72a | 0.11; 3.35 |
| – | (1998–2005) 8.47a | 1.37; 16.08 | |||
| – | (2005–2018) − 1.53 | − 3.16; 0.13 | |||
| Stomach | 2 | (1980–2001) − 1.08 | − 2.89; 0.76 | 0.74 | − 2.25; 3.83 |
| – | (2001–2005) 19.07 | − 9.37; 56.42 | |||
| – | (2005–2018) − 1.43 | − 3.57; 0.75 | |||
| Oral cavity | 4 | (1980–1988) − 14.85a | − 26.35; − 1.55 | 1.79 | − 5.17; 9.25 |
| – | (1988–1993) 36.90 | − 4.90; 97.07 | |||
| – | (1993–1999) − 14.29 | − 31.03; 6.52 | |||
| – | (1999–2004) 30.90a | 2.20; 67.66 | |||
| – | (2004–2018) − 0.24 | − 2.33; 1,90 | |||
| Liver/IHBD | 0 | (1980–2018) 2.26a | 1.46; 3.07 | 2.26a | 1.46; 3.07 |
| Breast | 0 | (1980–2018) 3.55a | 3.01; 4.09 | 3.55a | 3.01; 4.09 |
| Lung/trachea/bronchus | 0 | (1980–2018) 2.80a | 2.14; 3.48 | 2.80a | 2.14; 3.48 |
| Cervix | 0 | (1980–2018) − 0.01 | − 0.76; 0.74 | − 0.01 | − 0.76; 0.74 |
| Colon/rectum | 1 | (1980–2015) 4.02a | 3.08; 4.98 | 4.85a | 3.25; 6.48 |
| – | (2015–2018) 15.00 | − 3.22; 36.65 | |||
| CNS | 1 | (1980–2006) 7.31a | 5.02; 9.65 | 5.04a | 3.31; 6.80 |
| – | (2006–2018) 0.28 | − 2.51; 3.14 | |||
JP number of join points, APC annual percent change, AAPC average annual percent change, CI Confidence interval, CNS central nervous system, IHBD intrahepatic bile ducts.
aAPC/AAPC statistically significant.
Figure 2Time trends of cancer mortality for age-standardized rates (ASR) for the main sites in males (A) and females (B).