| Literature DB >> 33277489 |
Maurizio Marchi1, Dante Castellanos-Acuña2, Andreas Hamann3, Tongli Wang4, Duncan Ray5, Annette Menzel6.
Abstract
Interpolated climate data have become essential for regional or local climate change impact assessments and the development of climate change adaptation strategies. Here, we contribute an accessible, comprehensive database of interpolated climate data for Europe that includes monthly, annual, decadal, and 30-year normal climate data for the last 119 years (1901 to 2019) as well as multi-model CMIP5 climate change projections for the 21st century. The database also includes variables relevant for ecological research and infrastructure planning, comprising more than 20,000 climate grids that can be queried with a provided ClimateEU software package. In addition, 1 km and 2.5 km resolution gridded data generated by the software are available for download. The quality of ClimateEU estimates was evaluated against weather station data for a representative subset of climate variables. Dynamic environmental lapse rate algorithms employed by the software to generate scale-free climate variables for specific locations lead to improvements of 10 to 50% in accuracy compared to gridded data. We conclude with a discussion of applications and limitations of this database.Entities:
Year: 2020 PMID: 33277489 PMCID: PMC7719169 DOI: 10.1038/s41597-020-00763-0
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Data ISSN: 2052-4463 Impact factor: 6.444
Fig. 1European climate stations used for quality assessments of gridded data and historical time series from the ClimateEU software package, which carries out data overlays and environmental lapse rate adjustments for spatial downscaling.
Fig. 2Example climate grid for mean annual temperature, showing the extent of gridded climate surfaces for Europe, west of 44°E latitude at 1 km resolution in Albers equal area projection. A set of 4,800 grids are available at http://tinyurl.com/ClimateEU, comprising monthly and bioclimatic variables for historical periods and future projections.
Fig. 3Evaluation of historical estimates from ClimateEU showing the variance explained in original climate station data over time for two monthly, two seasonal, and two annual climate variables. The horizontal bars represent the R² values for the 1961–1990 normal estimates. In addition, the Mean Absolute Errors (MAE) represents another metric describing the magnitude of errors in units of °C and millimeters precipitation, i.e. the average absolute difference between ClimateEU estimates from observed station data.
Data quality assessment of the ClimateEU 1961–1990 baseline dataset with and without lapse-rate based elevation adjustments, based on mean absolute errors (MAE) between weather station data and interpolated grids.
| Variable | Without adjustment | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monthly | Seasonal | Annual | Monthly | Seasonal | Annual | |
| Tmin (°C) | 0.52 | 0.48 | 0.44 | 0.64 | 0.61 | 0.60 |
| Tmax (°C) | 0.41 | 0.37 | 0.33 | 0.53 | 0.49 | 0.46 |
| Tave (°C) | 0.36 | 0.33 | 0.26 | 0.46 | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| Prec (mm) | 5.0 | 13.0 | 44.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 44.0 |
| Tmin (°C) | 0.78 | 0.75 | 0.71 | 0.92 | 0.89 | 0.81 |
| Tmax (°C) | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.45 | 1.01 | 0.98 | 0.94 |
| Tave (°C) | 0.58 | 0.54 | 0.44 | 1.29 | 1.27 | 1.21 |
| Prec (mm) | 8.3 | 23.3 | 81.1 | 8.0 | 22.6 | 78.0 |
The statistics without adjustment refer to climate values for weather station locations directly extracted from the 1961–1990 baseline grid. In addition, the ClimateEU software can carry out lapse-rate based adjustment based on the elevation difference of the climate grid cell versus the recorded elevation of the climate station.
Data quality assessment of the ClimateEU 1961–1990 baseline dataset with and without lapse-rate based elevation adjustments, based on variance explained (R2) in climate station data by estimates from interpolated grids.
| Variable | Without adjustment | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monthly | Seasonal | Annual | Monthly | Seasonal | Annual | |
| Tmin | 0.97 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 0.96 | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| Tmax | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 0.99 |
| Tave | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 0.98 |
| Prec | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Tmin | 0.84 | 0.84 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| Tmax | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.76 | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| Tave | 0.97 | 0.97 | 0.98 | 0.86 | 0.87 | 0.86 |
| Prec | 0.84 | 0.84 | 0.87 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 0.89 |
The statistics without adjustment refer to climate values for weather station locations directly extracted from the 1961–1990 baseline grid. In addition, the ClimateEU software can carry out lapse-rate based adjustment based on the elevation difference of the climate grid cell versus the recorded elevation of the climate station.
Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of estimates from climate grids, and changes in MAE broken down by month and variable after lapse-rate adjustment with the ClimateEU software, based on the elevation difference of the climate grid cell versus the recorded climate station.
| Month | MAE without adjustment | Change in MAE due to adjustment | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tmin (°C) | Tmax (°C) | Tave (°C) | Tmin (°C) | Tmax (°C) | Tave (°C) | |
| Jan | 0.93 | 0.94 | 1.10 | −0.04 | −0.44 | −0.59 |
| Feb | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.28 | −0.05 | −0.55 | −0.78 |
| Mar | 0.84 | 1.01 | 1.39 | −0.12 | −0.71 | −0.93 |
| Apr | 0.88 | 1.05 | 1.44 | −0.20 | −0.99 | −0.97 |
| May | 0.88 | 1.04 | 1.40 | −0.18 | −0.91 | −0.98 |
| Jun | 0.92 | 1.05 | 1.41 | −0.19 | −0.87 | −0.97 |
| Jul | 0.93 | 1.04 | 1.36 | −0.16 | −0.78 | −0.93 |
| Aug | 1.01 | 1.08 | 1.37 | −0.19 | −0.79 | −0.93 |
| Sep | 1.02 | 0.99 | 1.28 | −0.14 | −0.75 | −0.83 |
| Oct | 0.95 | 1.10 | 1.26 | −0.19 | −0.75 | −0.78 |
| Nov | 0.83 | 0.89 | 1.15 | −0.11 | −0.58 | −0.67 |
| Dec | 0.86 | 0.89 | 1.07 | −0.08 | −0.48 | −0.60 |
The evaluation was restricted to stations above 1000 m as the lapse-rate adjustment is primarily expected to yield benefits in mountainous regions.
| Measurement(s) | temperature of air • volume of hydrological precipitation |
| Technology Type(s) | digital curation • computational modeling technique |
| Factor Type(s) | monthly temperature measurement • monthly precipitation measurement |
| Sample Characteristic - Environment | climate system |
| Sample Characteristic - Location | Europe |