| Literature DB >> 33244060 |
Mahalul Azam1, Rina Sulistiana2, Martha Ratnawati3, Arulita Ika Fibriana2, Udin Bahrudin4, Dian Widyaningrum5, Syed Mohamed Aljunid6.
Abstract
Present study aimed to estimate the incidence of recurrent SARS-CoV-2 RNA positivity after recovery from COVID-19 and to determine the factors associated with recurrent positivity. We searched the PubMed, MedRxiv, BioRxiv, the Cochrane Library, ClinicalTrials.gov, and the World Health Organization International Clinical Trials Registry for studies published to June 12, 2020. Studies were reviewed to determine the risk of bias. A random-effects model was used to pool results. Heterogeneity was assessed using I2. Fourteen studies of 2568 individuals were included. The incidence of recurrent SARS-CoV-2 positivity was 14.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] 11.44-18.19%). The pooled estimate of the interval from disease onset to recurrence was 35.4 days (95% CI 32.65-38.24 days), and from the last negative to the recurrent positive result was 9.8 days (95% CI 7.31-12.22 days). Patients with younger age and a longer initial illness were more likely to experience recurrent SARS-CoV-2 positivity, while patients with diabetes, severe disease, and a low lymphocyte count were less likely to experience. Present study concluded that the incidence of recurrent SARS-CoV-2 positivity was 14.8% suggesting further studies must be conducted to elucidate the possibility of infectious individuals with prolonged or recurrent RNA positivity.Entities:
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Year: 2020 PMID: 33244060 PMCID: PMC7691365 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-77739-y
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Figure 1PRISMA-P study selection diagram.
Study characteristics included in the meta-analysis.
| Study | Published date | City | Country | Peer-reviewed published | Study design | Funding | Number of RP | Number of population | Specimens of PCR retest | Onset to RP (days) | Negative to RP (days) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| An[ | 30/03/2020 | Shenzhen | China | Yes | Cohort | N/A | 38 | 242 | Fecal and nasopharyngeal | N/A | Range: 5–7 |
| Chen[ | 12/05/2020 | Wuhan | China | Yes | Retrospective cohort | Guanggu Branch of Hubei Province Maternity and Childcare Hospital Fund | 81 | 1067 | Oropharyngeal | Median: 50 IQR: 36.5–59.5 | Median: 9 IQR: 7–10 |
| Huang [ | 10/05/2020 | Shenzhen | China | No | Cohort | Sanming Project of Medicine in Shenzhen Bill & Melinda Gates Foundations; National Natural Science Foundation of China | 69 | 414 | Nasopharyngeal | Median: 37 (N1* = 53) Median: 41 (N2* = 13) Median: 24 (N3* = 3) | Median: 19 Range: 6–52 (N = 69) |
| Hui Zhu[ | 11/05/2020 | Zhejiang | China | Yes | Retrospective cohort | Ningbo HwaMei Key Research Fund and Key Laboratory of Diagnosis and Treatment of Digestive System Tumors of Zhejiang Province | 17 | 98 | Nasopharyngeal | Median: 21 IQR: 17–28 (Onset to negative) | Median: 4 IQR: 3–8.5 |
| Jiang[ | 17/03/2020 | Shangqiu | China | Yes | Crossectional | None | 6 | 35 | N/A | Median: 32.5 IQR: 31.25–36 | Median: 10 IQR: 9.25–10 |
| Li[ | 20/04/2020 | Zhejiang | China | Yes | Cohort | Zhejiang University special scientific research fund for COVID-19 prevention and control | 6 | 13 | Sputum (oro-/naso-pharyngeal), fecal | Median: 32.5 IQR: 30.25–39.25 | Median: 10.5 IQR: 6.25–14 |
| Ling[ | 05/05/2020 | Shanghai | China | Yes | Retrospective cohort | First-class university and first-class discipline building project of the Fudan University and the Scientific research for special subjects on 2019-NCoV of the Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center | 11 | 66 | Fecal | N/A | N/A |
| Liu[ | 29/05/2020 | Wuhan | China | Yes | Crossectional | National Key Research and Development Program of China | 11 | 150 | Oropharyngeal | Median: 38 IQR: 35–44 | N/A |
| Wong[ | 05/05/2020 | Brunei | Yes | Crossectional | None | 21 | 106 | Nasopharyngeal | Median: 32 IQR: 28.75–33.5 | Median: 14 IQR: 13.5–16 | |
| Wu[ | 22/05/2020 | Loudi | China | Yes | Crossectional | Grants No. 81902094 and 81600497 from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Dr Zhou) and grant No. 2019RS1036 from the Science and Technology Plan Project of Hunan Province (Dr P.Wu) | 10 | 60 | Fecal and nasopharyngeal | Median: 21 IQR: 16.5–22.75 | Median: 11 IQR: 6.5–17 |
| Xiao[ | 09/04/2020 | Wuhan | China | Yes | Crossectional | None | 15 | 70 | Oro-/naso-pharyngeal | N/A | N/A |
| Ye[ | 20/03/2020 | Wuhan | China | Yes | Retrospective cohort | Medical Science Advancement Program (Clinical Medicine) of Wuhan University | 5 | 55 | oropharyngeal | N/A | Median: 9 IQR: 8–15 |
| Yuan[ | 08/04/2020 | Shenzhen | China | Yes | Crossectional | Sanming Project of Medicine in Shenzhen (SZSM201512005) | 25 | 172 | Fecal and nasopharyngeal | N/A | Mean: 5.23 ± 4.13 (after discharge) |
| Zheng[ | 20/04/2020 | Whenzou | China | Yes | Cohort | N/A | 3 | 20 | Fecal and nasopharyngeal | N/A | 7 (after discharge) |
RP recurrence positive, PCR = rt-PCR reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction.
Onset to negative and Negative to RP: negative determined as last (2nd) negative.
Discharge from hospital, one day after 2nd negative.
N1*, N2*, N3*: patients with 2, 3, and 4 admission, respectively.
Figure 2A meta-analysis of the pooled estimated incidence of recurrent SARS-CoV-2 RNA positivity.
Figure 3(a) A meta-analysis of the pooled estimated interval from onset to recurrent SARS-CoV-2 RNA positivity (days) and (b) A meta-analysis of the pooled estimated interval from last negative to recurrent SARS-CoV-2 RNA positivity (days).
Figure 4A meta-analysis of the pooled estimated RR of age, sex, and BMI to recurrent SARS-CoV-2 RNA positivity.
Figure 5A meta-analysis of the pooled estimated RR of comorbidity, hypertension, and DM to recurrent SARS-CoV-2 RNA positivity.
Figure 6A meta-analysis of the pooled estimated RR of fever and clinical features to recurrent SARS-CoV-2 RNA positivity.
Figure 7A sub-group meta-analysis of severity for the pooled estimated interval from onset to last negative to recurrent SARS-CoV-2 RNA positivity.