Literature DB >> 32334395

Diabetes mellitus is associated with increased mortality and severity of disease in COVID-19 pneumonia - A systematic review, meta-analysis, and meta-regression.

Ian Huang1, Michael Anthonius Lim2, Raymond Pranata3.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Diabetes Mellitus (DM) is chronic conditions with devastating multi-systemic complication and may be associated with severe form of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis in order to investigate the association between DM and poor outcome in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia.
METHODS: Systematic literature search was performed from several electronic databases on subjects that assess DM and outcome in COVID-19 pneumonia. The outcome of interest was composite poor outcome, including mortality, severe COVID-19, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), need for intensive care unit (ICU) care, and disease progression.
RESULTS: There were a total of 6452 patients from 30 studies. Meta-analysis showed that DM was associated with composite poor outcome (RR 2.38 [1.88, 3.03], p < 0.001; I2: 62%) and its subgroup which comprised of mortality (RR 2.12 [1.44, 3.11], p < 0.001; I2: 72%), severe COVID-19 (RR 2.45 [1.79, 3.35], p < 0.001; I2: 45%), ARDS (RR 4.64 [1.86, 11.58], p = 0.001; I2: 9%), and disease progression (RR 3.31 [1.08, 10.14], p = 0.04; I2: 0%). Meta-regression showed that the association with composite poor outcome was influenced by age (p = 0.003) and hypertension (p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis showed that the association was weaker in studies with median age ≥55 years-old (RR 1.92) compared to <55 years-old (RR 3.48), and in prevalence of hypertension ≥25% (RR 1.93) compared to <25% (RR 3.06). Subgroup analysis on median age <55 years-old and prevalence of hypertension <25% showed strong association (RR 3.33)
CONCLUSION: DM was associated with mortality, severe COVID-19, ARDS, and disease progression in patients with COVID-19.
Copyright © 2020 Diabetes India. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Entities:  

Keywords:  COVID-19; Coronavirus; Diabetes mellitus; Mortality; SARS-CoV-2

Mesh:

Year:  2020        PMID: 32334395      PMCID: PMC7162793          DOI: 10.1016/j.dsx.2020.04.018

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Diabetes Metab Syndr        ISSN: 1871-4021


Introduction

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been declared as a public health emergency by the World Health Organization (WHO) on January 30, 2020. At the time this paper is written, COVID-19 has inflicted more than 1.2 million people globally with overall mortality rate of 5.7% [1]. Although the majority of COVID-19 patients present with mild or no symptoms, some patients will develop severe pneumonia, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), multi-organ failure, and death. Clinical predictors may provide vital clues regarding efficient resource planning and allocation during a pandemic. (see Table 1 )
Table 1

Characteristics of the included studies.

AuthorsStudy DesignSamplesMale (%)Overall Age (Mean/Median) (years)Hypertension (%)CAD/CVD (%)DM (%)COPD (%)Outcome
Akbari A 2020Observational Retrospective440 (13/427)56.4 (61.5 vs 56.2)487.9 (15.3 vs 7.7)5.7 (15.3 v 5.4)7.5 (30.8 vs 6.8)N/AMortality
Bai T 2020Observational Retrospective127 (36/91)63 (77.8 vs 57.1)55 (67 vs 50)28.3 (41.7 vs 23.1)2.4 (5.6 vs 1.1) (CVD)11.8 (13.9 vs 11.0)N/AMortality
Cao J 2020Observational Retrospective102 (17/85)52 (76.5 vs 47.1)54 (72 vs 53)27.5 (64.7 vs 20)4.9 (17.6 vs 2.4)10.8 (35.3 vs 5.9)9.8 (23.5 vs7.1)Mortality
Chen 2020Observational Retrospective123 (31/92)49 (71 vs 42)56 (72 vs 53)33.3 (48.4 vs 38.3)12.2 (25.8 vs 7.6)11.4 (19.4 vs 8.7)4.9 (9.7 vs 3.3)Mortality
Chen T 2020Observational Retrospective274 (113/161)62 (73 vs 55)62 (68.0 vs 51.0)34 (48 vs 24)8 (14 vs 4) (CVD)17 (21 vs 14)7 (10 vs 4) (CLD)Mortality
Fu L 2020Observational Retrospective200 (34/166)49.5 (16.2 vs 67.7)<49 (5.9 vs 28.3), 50–59 (23.5 vs 27.1), 60–69 (20.6 vs 31.3), >70 (5 vs 13.2)50.5 (21.8 vs 12.1)N/AN/A4 (50.0 vs 15.6) (CLD)Mortality
Li K 2020Observational Retrospective102 (15/87)58 (73 vs 55)57 (69 vs 55)30 (47 vs 28)4 (13 vs 2)15 (13 vs 15)2 (7 vs 1)Mortality
Luo XM 2020Observational Retrospective403 (100/303)47.9 (57 vs 44.9)56 (71 vs 49)28 (60 vs 17.5)8.9 (16 vs 6.6)14.1 (25 vs 10.6)6.9 (17 vs 3.6)Mortality
Yuan M 2020Observational Retrospective27 (10/17)45 (47 vs 40)60 (68 vs 55)19 (50 vs 0)11 (30 vs 0)22 (60 vs 0)N/AMortality
Zhou 2020Observational Retrospective191 (54/137)62 (70 vs 59)56 (69.0 vs 52.0)30.4 (48 vs 23)8 (24 vs 1)19 (31 vs 14)3 (7 vs 1)Mortality
Guan 2020Observational Retrospective1099 (173/926)58.1 (57.8 vs 38.2)47 (52.0 vs 45.0)15.0 (23.7 vs 13.4)2.5 (5.8 vs 1.8)7.4 (16.2 vs 5.7)1.1 (3.5 vs 0.6)Severe COVID-19
Hu L 2020Observational Retrospective323 (172/151)51.4 (52.9 vs 49.7)61 (65 vs 56)32.5 (38.3 vs 25.8)12.7 (19.2 vs 5.3) (CVD)14.6 (19.2 vs 9.3)1.9 (3.5 vs 0)Severe COVID-19
Li Q 2020Observational Retrospective325 (26/299)51.4 (76.9 vs 49.2)51 (65 vs 49)24 (46.2 vs 22.1)5.5 (19.2 vs 4.3)9.2 (19.2 vs 8.4)1.2 (7.7 vs 0.6)Severe COVID-19
Liu J 2020Prospective Cohort61 (17/44)50.8 (58.8 vs 47.7)40 (56 vs 41)19.7 (35.3 vs 13.6)1.6 (5.9 vs 0) (CVD)8.2 (1.6 vs 4.5)8.2 (1.6 vs 4.5)Severe COVID-19
Liu Lei 2020Observational Retrospective51 (7/44)62.7 (57.1 vs 63.7)45 (52 vs 44)7.8 (14.3 vs 6.8)N/A7.8 (57.1 vs 0)N/ASevere COVID-19
Ma LK 2020Observational Retrospective84 (20/64)57.1 (60 vs 56.3)48 (58 vs 46.5)14.3 (20.0 vs 12.5)6 (10 vs 4.7)11.9 (35 vs 4.7)6.0 (10.0 vs 4.7) (CLD)Severe COVID-19
Qin 2020Observational Retrospective452 (286/166)52.0 (54.2 vs 48.2)58 (61 vs 53)29.5 (36.7 vs 18.1)5.9 (8.4 vs 1.8) (CVD)16.4 (18.5 vs 13.3)2.6 (3.1 vs 1.8)Severe COVID-19
Wan 2020Observational Retrospective135 (40/135)53.3 (52.5 vs 54.7)47 (56 vs 44)9.6 (10 vs 9.4)5.2 (15 vs 1) (CVD)8.9 (22.5 vs 3.1)0.7 (2.5 vs 0) (CLD)Severe COVID-19
Wang Dan 2020Observational Retrospective143 (71/72)51 (62 vs 40.3)58 (65 vs 44)25.2 (43.7 vs 6.9)11.2 (16.9 vs 5.6)9.1 (12.7 vs 5.6)7.0 (9.9 vs 4.2)Severe COVID-19
Wang Y 2020Observational Retrospective110 (38/72)43 (63.2 vs 33.3)≤40 (53%), 41–60 (21%), >60 (36%)≤40 (7.9 vs 69.4), 41–60 (21.0 vs 18.1), >60 (71.0 vs 12.5)20.9 (39.5 v 11.1)N/A13.7 (21.0 v 9.7)5.4 (10.5 v 2.8)Severe COVID-19
Yuan B 2020Observational Retrospective417 (92/325)47.5 (53.2 vs 42.8)45 (58 vs 41)15.1 (28.3 vs 11.4)N/A7.7 (17.4 vs 4.9)1.9 (1.1 vs 2.1)Severe COVID-19
Zhang Guqin 2020Observational Retrospective221 (55/166)48.9 (63.6 vs 44.0)55 (62 vs 51)24.4 (47.3 vs 16.9)10 (23.6 vs 5.4)10 (12.7 vs 9.0)2.7 (7.3 vs 1.2)Severe COVID-19
Zhang J 2020Observational Retrospective140 (58 vs 82)50.7 (56.9 vs 46.3)<30 (1.7 vs 4.9), 30–49 (15.5 vs 34.1), 50–69 (48.3 vs 50), ≥70 (34.5 vs 11.0)30 (37.9 vs 24.4)5 (6.9 vs 3.7)12.1 (13.8 vs 11.0)1.4 (3.4 vs 0)Severe COVID-19
Liu Y 2020Observational Retrospective109 (53 vs 56)59 (52.8 vs 55.4)55 (61 vs 49)37 (21 vs 26)6.4 (5.7 vs 7.1)11 (20.8 vs 1.8)3.7 (3.8 vs 3.6)ARDS
Wu C 2020Observational Retrospective201 (84/117)63.7 (71.4 vs 58.1)51 (58.5 vs 48)19.4 (27.4 vs 13.7)4 (6 vs 2.6)10.9 (19 vs 5.1)2.5 (CLD)ARDS
Cao 2020Observational Retrospective198 (19/176)51 (89.5 vs 46.9)50.1 (63.7 vs 48.6)21.2 (31.6 vs 20.1)6.0 (26.3 vs 3.9) (CVD)7.6 (10.5 vs 7.3)N/AICU Care
Huang 2020Observational Retrospective41 (13/28)73 (85 vs 68)49.0 (49.0 vs 49.0)14.6 (15 vs 14)14.6 (23 vs 11) (CVD)19.5 (8 vs 25)2.4 (8 vs 0)ICU Care
Wang, Dawei 2020Observational Retrospective138 (36 vs 102)54.3 (61.1 vs 52.0)56 (66 vs 51)31.2 (58.3 vs 21.6)14.5 (25 vs 10.8)10.1 (22.2 vs 5.9)2.9 (8.3 vs 1.0)ICU Care
Feng 2020Observational Retrospective141 (15/126)51.1 (46.7 vs 51.6)44 (58 vs 41)14.9 (40.0 vs 11.9)2.1 (6.7 vs 1.6) (CVD)5.7 (13.3 vs 4.8)2.8 (13.3 vs 1.6)Disease Progression
Liu W 2020Observational Retrospective78 (11/67)50 (63.6 vs 47.8)38 (55 vs 37)40 (18.2 vs 9.0)N/A25 (18.2 vs 4.5)10 (9.1 vs 1.5)Disease Progression

CAD: Coronary artery disease; COVID-19: Coronavirus disease 2019; CLD: Chronic Lung/Pulmonary Disease; CVD: Cardiovascular Disease; ICU: Intensive Care Unit; N/A: Not available.

Characteristics of the included studies. CAD: Coronary artery disease; COVID-19: Coronavirus disease 2019; CLD: Chronic Lung/Pulmonary Disease; CVD: Cardiovascular Disease; ICU: Intensive Care Unit; N/A: Not available. Diabetes Mellitus (DM) is one of the most prevalent chronic conditions with devastating multi-systemic complication and was estimated to have inflicted 463 million people in 2019 [2]. It is not yet known whether people with DM are more susceptible to COVID-19, but several studies have reported the association between severe COVID-19 infection with DM [3,4]. It was postulated that the angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) may be the plausible explanation of this association [5]. In this study, we aimed to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis in order to investigate the association between DM and poor outcome in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. Our hypothesis is that DM is associated with poor outcome in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. To the best of the authors knowledge, this is the first systematic review, meta-analysis, and meta-regression that comprehensively describe the association between DM and outcome in COVID-19.

Subjects

Research articles that evaluate the association between COVID-19 and clinically validated definition of mortality, severe COVID-19, ARDS, intensive care unit (ICU care), and disease progression.

Material and methods

Eligibility criteria

We included all research articles in adult patients diagnosed with COVID-19 with information on DM and clinical grouping or outcome of the clinically validated definition of mortality, severe COVID-19, ARDS, ICU care, and disease progression. The following types of article were excluded: articles other than original research (e.g., review articles, letters, or commentaries); original research with samples below 20 or case reports and series; articles not in the English language; articles on research in pediatric populations (17 years of age or younger).

Search strategy and study selection

We performed systematic literature search from PubMed and EuropePMC with the search terms (1) “COVID-19″ OR “SARS-CoV-2″ AND “Characteristics”, (2) “COVID-19″ OR “SARS-CoV-2″ AND “Diabetes”, English, MEDLINE. Duplicate results were removed. The remaining articles were independently screened for relevance by its abstracts with two authors (MAL and IH). The full text of residual articles was assessed according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria. The search was finalized on April 8th, 2020 The study was carried out per the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guideline.

Data extraction

Data extraction was performed independently by two authors (IH and RP), we used standardized forms that include author, year, study design, age, gender, cardiovascular diseases, hypertension, DM, need for ICU care, and severe COVID-19. The outcome of interest was composite poor outcome that comprised of mortality, severe COVID-19, ARDS, need for ICU care, and disease progression. ARDS was defined as per World Health Organization (WHO) interim guidance of Severe Acute Respiratory Infection (SARI) of COVID-19, including the acute onset, chest imaging, and origin of pulmonary infiltrates, and oxygenation impairment [6]. Severe COVID-19 was defined as patients who had any of the following features at the time of, or after, admission: (1) respiratory distress (≥30 breaths per min); (2) oxygen saturation at rest ≤93%; (3) ratio of partial pressure of arterial oxygen (PaO2) to fractional concentration of oxygen inspired air (fiO2) ≤300 mmHg; or (4) critical complication (respiratory failure, septic shock, and or multiple organ dysfunction/failure) [7].

Statistical analysis

The software review Manager 5.3 (Cochrane Collaboration) and Stata version 16 were used for meta-analysis. Dichotomous variables were calculated using Mantel-Haenszel formula with random effects models regardless of heterogeneity. The effect estimate was reported as risk ratios (RRs) along with its 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for dichotomous variables, respectively. P-value was two-tailed, and the statistical significance set at ≤0.05. Random effects meta-regression was performed using restricted-maximum likelihood for pre-specified variables including age, gender, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, and COPD. Subgroup analysis was performed for each component of composite poor outcome. To assess the small-study effect, we performed regression-based Harbord’s test for dichotomous outcome. Begg’s funnel-plot analysis was performed to qualitatively assess the risk of publication bias.

Results

Study selection and characteristics

Initial search yields 298 records, and 281 records remained after the removal of duplicates. 238 records were excluded after screening the title/abstracts. After evaluating 43 full-text for eligibility, 13 full-text articles were excluded because: no outcome of interest: severe, mortality, ARDS, disease progression. 30 studies were included in the qualitative synthesis and meta-analysis [Fig. 1 ] [3,[8], [9], [10], [11], [12], [13], [14], [15], [16], [17], [18], [19], [20], [21], [22], [23], [24], [25], [26], [27], [28], [29], [30], [31], [32], [33], [34], [35], [36]]. There were a total of 6452 patients from 30 studies.
Fig. 1

Prisma flowchart.

Prisma flowchart.

Diabetes and outcome

This meta-analysis showed that DM was associated with composite poor outcome (RR 2.38 [1.88, 3.03], p < 0.001; I2: 62%, p < 0.001) [Fig. 2 ]. Subgroup analysis showed that DM was associated with mortality (RR 2.12 [1.44, 3.11], p < 0.001; I2: 72%, p < 0.001), severe COVID-19 (RR 2.45 [1.79, 3.35], p < 0.001; I2: 45%, p = 0.04), ARDS (RR 4.64 [1.86, 11.58], p = 0.001; I2: 9%, p = 0.29), and disease progression (RR 3.31 [1.08, 10.14], p = 0.04; I2: 0%, p = 0.75). DM was not associated with increased need for ICU care (RR 1.47 [0.38, 5.67], p = 0.57; I2: 63%, p = 0.07).
Fig. 2

Diabetes Mellitus and Poor Outcome. Forest-plot shows that diabetes mellitus was associated with increased composite poor outcome and its subgroup which comprises of mortality, severe COVID-19, ARDS, need for ICU care, and disease progression in patients with COVID-19. ARDS: Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome, COVID-19: Coronavirus Disease 2019, ICU: Intensive Care Unit.

Diabetes Mellitus and Poor Outcome. Forest-plot shows that diabetes mellitus was associated with increased composite poor outcome and its subgroup which comprises of mortality, severe COVID-19, ARDS, need for ICU care, and disease progression in patients with COVID-19. ARDS: Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome, COVID-19: Coronavirus Disease 2019, ICU: Intensive Care Unit.

Meta-regression

Meta-regression showed that the association between DM and composite poor outcome was affected by age (p = 0.003) [Fig. 3 A] and hypertension (p < 0.001) [Fig. 3B], but not gender (p = 0.895), cardiovascular diseases (p = 0.5) [Fig. 3C], and COPD (p = 0.47). Multivariable meta-regression by including two covariates in single analysis showed age (p = 0.334) and hypertension (p = 0.107) effect is probably dependent on each other.
Fig. 3

Bubble-plot for Meta-regression. Meta-regression analysis showed that the association between diabetes mellitus and composite poor outcome was affected by age [A] and hypertension [B], but not by cardiovascular diseases [C].

Bubble-plot for Meta-regression. Meta-regression analysis showed that the association between diabetes mellitus and composite poor outcome was affected by age [A] and hypertension [B], but not by cardiovascular diseases [C].

Subgroup analysis

Subgroup analysis for studies with median age ≥55 years-old (RR 1.92 [1.56, 2.37], p < 0.001; I2: 10%, p = 0.35) showed a lower RR for composite poor outcome compared to <55 years-old (RR 3.48 [2.55, 4.77], p < 0.001; I2: 21%, p = 0.22). Subgroup analysis for studies with prevalence of hypertension ≥25% (RR 1.93 [1.48, 2.52], p < 0.001; I2: 58%, p < 0.003) showed a lower RR for composite poor outcome compared to prevalence of hypertension <25% (RR 3.06 [2.19, 4.26], p < 0.001; I2: 33%, p = 0.10). Subgroup analysis for studies with median age <55 years-old and prevalence of hypertension <25% showed association with poor outcome (RR 3.33 [2.35, 4.73], p < 0.001; I2: 28%, p = 0.17).

Publication bias

The funnel-plot analysis showed a qualitatively symmetrical inverted funnel-plot for the association between DM and composite poor outcome [Fig. 4 A]. Regression-based Harbord’s test showed indication of small-study effects for DM and composite poor outcome (p = 0.004) [Fig. 4B].
Fig. 4

Publication Bias Analysis. The Begg’s funnel-plot analysis showed a qualitatively symmetrical inverted funnel-plot for the association between diabetes mellitus and composite poor outcome [A]. Regression-based Harbord’s test showed indication of small-study effects for hypertension and composite poor outcome.

Publication Bias Analysis. The Begg’s funnel-plot analysis showed a qualitatively symmetrical inverted funnel-plot for the association between diabetes mellitus and composite poor outcome [A]. Regression-based Harbord’s test showed indication of small-study effects for hypertension and composite poor outcome.

Discussion

This comprehensive meta-analysis of 30 studies showed that DM was associated with poor outcome that comprises of mortality, severe COVID-19, ARDS, and disease progression in patients with COVID-19. This association was influenced by age and hypertension. Further analysis based on meta-regression showed that magnitude of risk linked to DM as a single factor was greater in studies with younger and non-hypertensive patients, which is yet to be addressed by the existing literature. Meta-regression showed that the association between DM and poor outcome was influenced by age and hypertension. Age and prevalence of hypertension was inversely proportional with the effect of DM on poor outcome. In other words, the effect estimate of DM was less in older and hypertensive patients. Subgroup analysis further demonstrates the vast difference in RR. Meta-regression also showed that age and prevalence of hypertension seemed to be dependent on one another, this is further demonstrated by subgroup analysis showing that the RR for age <55 years-old, prevalence of hypertension <25%, and both of them combined varies only slightly. The association between DM (as a single risk factor) with composite poor outcome in COVID-19 was greater in younger people and without hypertension. The presence of older age and hypertension may attenuate the association of DM with composite poor outcome. Hence, the total risk is expected to be higher in older patients with HT, but the magnitude of DM as a single risk factor is greater in younger people without hypertension. It is not yet known whether people with DM are more susceptible to COVID-19, but several studies have reported a greater risk of severe COVID-19 in diabetic patients [3,4]. Diabetic individuals have a greater risk of respiratory infections due to compromised immune system, especially the innate immunity [5,37]. Even transient hyperglycaemia may temporarily affect innate immune responses to infection [38]. It was hypothesized that ACE2 may be the key pathfinder of COVID-19 severity in diabetic individuals [5]. ACE2 is a type 1 integral membrane glycoprotein expressed in the epithelial cells of cardiovascular, pulmonary, renal, brain and intestinal tissue, it acts by breaking down angiotensin II into angiotensin 1–7 [37,39,40]. This enzyme acts by counteracting the inflammatory actions of angiotensin II, lowering the concentration of pro-inflammatory cytokine interleukin (IL)-6, increasing the anti-inflammatory, and increasing the antioxidant action of angiotensin 1-7, escalating the levels of surfactant protein D and promoting vasodilation [41]. The novel coronavirus responsible for COVID-19 is expected to act similarly to Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS-CoV). Both utilize ACE2 to bind and gain entry to the host pneumocytes [39]. Viral surface spike (S) protein of COVID-19 binds to ACE2 after spike protein activation by transmembrane protease serine 2 (TMPRSS2) [40]. Routine use of ACEI and ARB as a medication for chronic conditions upregulates ACE2 expression [5,37], thereby facilitating entry of SARS-CoV-2 into the pneumocytes and consequently cause severe and fatal infection [42]. Among other diabetic medications, the use of liraglutide and pioglitazone have also been found to be related with increased ACE2 regulation in animal studies [42,43]. The interconnection between ACE2, renin-angiotensin system (RAS) signalling, aging, DM, hypertension, and severity of COVID-19 may not be as simple as it may seem. As we discussed previously, our meta-regression analysis showed that the association between DM and poor outcome was interdependent with age and hypertension. One of the possible rationale behind this finding is the use of medications, particularly ACEI or ARB in the hypertensive individuals. The risks and benefits associated with ACEI/ARB use in COVID-19 patients remains controversial [44], a specific type of ARB has been shown to ameliorate lung injury related to SARS-CoV infection in animal model [45]. It is unfortunate that all of the included studies in this systematic review did not provide report on diabetic or hypertensive medications. Furthermore, the link between those specific variables could be in line with the hypothesis of AlGhatrif et al. [46] Older hypertensive individuals have lower ACE2 levels but a higher RAS signalling, this difference is further expressed in COVID-19 patients in which ACE2 developed into a critically low levels and RAS signalling is exaggerated even more. Such disturbance result in a potentially decreased susceptibility to the disease, but a greater severity. In contrast, younger people without hypertension have higher ACE2 levels and lower RAS signalling, which transforms into a modestly low ACE2 levels and modestly increased RAS signalling due to COVID-19 infection. This results in a possibly increased susceptibility to the disease, but a lesser severity. Our meta-regression result may support the aforementioned hypothesis. The use of ACEI/ARB is expected in patients with both DM and HTN; and we observe that the age and HTN were in parallel, studies with older subjects having higher prevalence of hypertension. Hence, the clinical significance of DM in the older patients may be attenuated by the risk of hypertension and ACEI/ARB use (which was hypothesized to increase severity in older patients). Dysfunctional pro-inflammatory cytokine responses in diabetic patients might also be the underlying cause of severe COVID-19 [37,47,48]. Diabetic patients have been shown to have an elevated pro-inflammatory cytokine level, in particular IL-1, IL-6 and tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α [48]. Different markers, including C-reactive protein, fibrinogen and D-dimer were also found to be elevated in diabetic patients who contracted COVID-19 [47]. Thus, this condition may further exaggerate the cytokine storms in COVID-19 leading to a more severe disease [37,48,49].

Implications for clinical practice

DM was shown to be associated with poor outcome in patients with COVID-19 and was influenced by age and hypertension. The association was stronger in younger patients and should alert physician even though the patient only presented with one comorbidity. This indicates that DM is a potential prognostic marker that should be explored in triage. We encourage researchers to include DM in studies investigating prognostic model for patients with COVID-19. Moreover, this finding adds the needs of further studies concerning the use of ACEI/ARB in COVID-19.

Limitations

Data on diabetic/hypertensive medications were lacking in the included studies, hence, cannot be analysed. Since ACEI/ARB is often used in DM, it may have influence on prognosis. Most of the articles included in this meta-analysis were preprints; nevertheless the authors have made exhaustive efforts to ensure that only sound studies were included. Most of the reports were from China, hence, the samples might overlap across the reports. The included studies were retrospective in design.

Conclusion

DM was associated with mortality, severe COVID-19, ARDS, and disease progression in patients with COVID-19. The association was weaker in the older and hypertensive patients.

Funding

None.

Data availability

The data used to support the findings of this study are included within the article.

Funding statement

None.

Declaration of competing interest

None.
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8.  COVID-19: consider cytokine storm syndromes and immunosuppression.

Authors:  Puja Mehta; Daniel F McAuley; Michael Brown; Emilie Sanchez; Rachel S Tattersall; Jessica J Manson
Journal:  Lancet       Date:  2020-03-16       Impact factor: 79.321

9.  Covid-19 and diabetes mellitus: unveiling the interaction of two pandemics.

Authors:  Ernesto Maddaloni; Raffaella Buzzetti
Journal:  Diabetes Metab Res Rev       Date:  2020-03-31       Impact factor: 4.876

10.  Analysis of factors associated with disease outcomes in hospitalized patients with 2019 novel coronavirus disease.

Authors:  Wei Liu; Zhao-Wu Tao; Lei Wang; Ming-Li Yuan; Kui Liu; Ling Zhou; Shuang Wei; Yan Deng; Jing Liu; Hui-Guo Liu; Ming Yang; Yi Hu
Journal:  Chin Med J (Engl)       Date:  2020-05-05       Impact factor: 2.628

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  254 in total

1.  Diabetes and mortality in patients with COVID-19: Are we missing the link?

Authors:  Alessandro Sticchi; Alberto Cereda; Marco Toselli; Antonio Esposito; Anna Palmisano; Davide Vignale; Valeria Nicoletti; Riccardo Leone; Chiara Gnasso; Alberto Monello; Arif A Khokhar; Alessandra Laricchia; Andrea Biagi; Piergiorgio Turchio; Marcello Petrini; Guglielmo Gallone; Francesco De Cobelli; Francesco Ponticelli; Gianni Casella; Gianmarco Iannopollo; Tommaso Nannini; Carlo Tacchetti; Antonio Colombo; Francesco Giannini
Journal:  Anatol J Cardiol       Date:  2021-06       Impact factor: 1.596

2.  Effectiveness of early treatment of lopinavir-ritonavir in patients with severe COVID-19: a case series.

Authors:  Pan Luo; Jian-Ling Zheng; Yi Liu; Lin Qiu; Xiu-Lan Liu; Hui-Ying Xue; Dong Liu; Juan Li
Journal:  Clin Med (Lond)       Date:  2020-12-18       Impact factor: 2.659

Review 3.  Died with or Died of? Development and Testing of a SARS CoV-2 Significance Score to Assess the Role of COVID-19 in the Deaths of Affected Patients.

Authors:  Arianna Giorgetti; Vasco Orazietti; Francesco Paolo Busardò; Filippo Pirani; Raffaele Giorgetti
Journal:  Diagnostics (Basel)       Date:  2021-01-28

4.  Prevalence and impact of diabetes in patients with COVID-19 in China.

Authors:  Min Du; Yu-Xin Lin; Wen-Xin Yan; Li-Yuan Tao; Min Liu; Jue Liu
Journal:  World J Diabetes       Date:  2020-10-15

Review 5.  Response to the Novel Corona Virus (COVID-19) Pandemic Across Africa: Successes, Challenges, and Implications for the Future.

Authors:  Olayinka O Ogunleye; Debashis Basu; Debjani Mueller; Jacqueline Sneddon; R Andrew Seaton; Adesola F Yinka-Ogunleye; Joshua Wamboga; Nenad Miljković; Julius C Mwita; Godfrey Mutashambara Rwegerera; Amos Massele; Okwen Patrick; Loveline Lum Niba; Melaine Nsaikila; Wafaa M Rashed; Mohamed Ali Hussein; Rehab Hegazy; Adefolarin A Amu; Baffour Boaten Boahen-Boaten; Zinhle Matsebula; Prudence Gwebu; Bongani Chirigo; Nongabisa Mkhabela; Tenelisiwe Dlamini; Siphiwe Sithole; Sandile Malaza; Sikhumbuzo Dlamini; Daniel Afriyie; George Awuku Asare; Seth Kwabena Amponsah; Israel Sefah; Margaret Oluka; Anastasia N Guantai; Sylvia A Opanga; Tebello Violet Sarele; Refeletse Keabetsoe Mafisa; Ibrahim Chikowe; Felix Khuluza; Dan Kibuule; Francis Kalemeera; Mwangana Mubita; Joseph Fadare; Laurien Sibomana; Gwendoline Malegwale Ramokgopa; Carmen Whyte; Tshegofatso Maimela; Johannes Hugo; Johanna C Meyer; Natalie Schellack; Enos M Rampamba; Adel Visser; Abubakr Alfadl; Elfatih M Malik; Oliver Ombeva Malande; Aubrey C Kalungia; Chiluba Mwila; Trust Zaranyika; Blessmore Vimbai Chaibva; Ioana D Olaru; Nyasha Masuka; Janney Wale; Lenias Hwenda; Regina Kamoga; Ruaraidh Hill; Corrado Barbui; Tomasz Bochenek; Amanj Kurdi; Stephen Campbell; Antony P Martin; Thuy Nguyen Thi Phuong; Binh Nguyen Thanh; Brian Godman
Journal:  Front Pharmacol       Date:  2020-09-11       Impact factor: 5.810

6.  Hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and cerebrovascular disease predispose to a more severe outcome of COVID-19.

Authors:  Kamleshun Ramphul; Petras Lohana; Yogeshwaree Ramphul; Yun Park; Stephanie Mejias; Balkiranjit Kaur Dhillon; Shaheen Sombans; Renuka Verma
Journal:  Arch Med Sci Atheroscler Dis       Date:  2021-04-12

7.  COVID-19 and cardiovascular complications - preliminary results of the LATE-COVID study.

Authors:  Joanna Lewek; Izabela Jatczak-Pawlik; Marek Maciejewski; Piotr Jankowski; Maciej Banach
Journal:  Arch Med Sci       Date:  2021-03-18       Impact factor: 3.318

8.  COVID-19 in People With Schizophrenia: Potential Mechanisms Linking Schizophrenia to Poor Prognosis.

Authors:  Mohapradeep Mohan; Benjamin Ian Perry; Ponnusamy Saravanan; Swaran Preet Singh
Journal:  Front Psychiatry       Date:  2021-05-17       Impact factor: 4.157

Review 9.  Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus in the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic: Oxidative Stress as a Major Pathophysiological Mechanism Linked to Adverse Clinical Outcomes.

Authors:  Aikaterini Kountouri; Emmanouil Korakas; Ignatios Ikonomidis; Athanasios Raptis; Nikolaos Tentolouris; George Dimitriadis; Vaia Lambadiari
Journal:  Antioxidants (Basel)       Date:  2021-05-09

10.  Acuity level of care as a predictor of case fatality and prolonged hospital stay in patients with COVID-19: a hospital-based observational follow-up study from Pakistan.

Authors:  Aysha Almas; Zain Mushtaq; Jette Moller
Journal:  BMJ Open       Date:  2021-05-28       Impact factor: 2.692

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