| Literature DB >> 33236029 |
Adrian M Shields, Sian E Faustini, Marisol Perez-Toledo, Sian Jossi, Joel D Allen, Saly Al-Taei, Claire Backhouse, Lynsey Dunbar, Daniel Ebanks, Beena Emmanuel, Aduragbemi A Faniyi, Mark I Garvey, Annabel Grinbergs, Golaleh McGinnell, Joanne O'Neill, Yasunori Watanabe, Max Crispin, David C Wraith, Adam F Cunningham, Mark T Drayson, Alex G Richter.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To determine clinical and ethnodemographic correlates of serological responses against the SARS-CoV-2 spike glycoprotein following mild-to-moderate COVID-19.Entities:
Year: 2020 PMID: 33236029 PMCID: PMC7685342 DOI: 10.1101/2020.11.12.20230763
Source DB: PubMed Journal: medRxiv
Demographics of study population.
Median and interquartile ranges are provided. Age was compared using a two-tailed unpaired Mann-Whitney test. Categorical data was compared using the Chi Square test. The index of multiple deprivation scores were compared using an unpaired two-tailed T test.
| All participants, n (%) | Seropositive n (%) | Seronegative n (%) | Seroprevalence (%) | P value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 956 | 442 | 514 | 46.2% | |
|
| 41.0 (31.0–50.0) | 41.0 (32.0–50.0) | 40.0 (31.0–50.0) | - | 0.69 (MW) |
| 260 (27.2%) | 110 (24.9%) | 150 (29.2%) | 42.6% | 0.33 (ChiS) | |
| Female | 679 (71.0%) | 324 (73.3%) | 355 (69.1%) | 47.7% | |
| Not stated | 17 (1.8%) | 8 (1.8%) | 9 (1.8%) | 47.0% | |
| 691 (72.3%) | 294 (66.5%) | 397 (77.2%) | 42.5% | 0.002 (ChiS) | |
| Mixed | 22 (2.3%) | 10 (2.3%) | 12 (2.3%) | 45.5% | |
| Asian | 170 (17.8%) | 92 (20.8%) | 78 (15.2%) | 54.1% | |
| Black | 36 (3.8%) | 26 (5.9%) | 10 (1.9%) | 72.2% | |
| Other | 25 (2.6%) | 13 (2.9%) | 12 (2.3%) | 52.0% | |
| Not stated | 12 (1.3%) | 7 (1.6%) | 5 (1.0%) | 58.3% | |
|
| 780 | −0.04 (0.82) | −0.04 (0.77) | 0.99 (t-test) |
Figure 1:Serological response against the SARS-CoV-2 spike glycoprotein in healthcare workers.
(A) IgG, IgA and IgM responses in individuals demonstrating seropositivity in the combined IgGAM ELISA. (B) Venn diagram illustrating the relationship between IgG, IgA and IgM seropositivity in this cohort. (C) Optical densities (OD) of the total serum antibody response determined by the combined IgGAM assay, in individuals with different patterns of IgG, IgA and IgM isotype seropositivity. Bars represent the median of all results above the assay cutoff. * represents p<0.0001 (Kruskal-Wallis, Dunn’s post-test comparison) of each group compared to the group only detectable using the IgGAM assay (D) Seroprevalence of IgG, IgA and IgM isotypes in relation to time from symptom onset. (E) Optical densities (OD) of the total serum antibody response determined by the combined IgGAM assay in symptomatic individuals who had previously undergone PCR testing for the SARS-CoV-2. Bars represent the median of all results above the assay cutoff.
Multiple logistic regression of factors affecting seropositivity.
Seropositivity at the time of study enrolment was used as the dependent variable. Participants’ age, sex, ethnicity (white vs BAME), number of household co-occupants, the index of multiple deprivation score, whether an individual isolated because they directly experienced symptoms or isolated because a family member experienced symptoms and public transport use in the two weeks prior to isolation were used as independent variables. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) are provided. The area under the receiver operator curve of this model was 0.58, p=0.0007.
| Variable | OR (95% CI) | Z | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 1.01 (0.99–1.02) | 0.62 | 0.53 |
| Sex (Female) | 1.35 (0.93–1.98) | 1.56 | 0.12 |
| Ethnicity (BAME) | 1.90 (1.30–2.81) | 3.26 | 0.001 |
| Household co-occupants | 1.04 (0.91–1.20) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| Index of multiple deprivation score | 1.04 (0.84–1.28) | 0.33 | 0.74 |
| Primary symptoms | 1.22 (0.87–1.72) | 1.16 | 0.25 |
| Public transport | 0.91 (0.60–1.37) | 0.46 | 0.65 |
Performance characteristics of self-reported symptoms in relation to seropositivity at study enrolment.
| Symptom | Number of participants experiencing symptom (n) | Participants experiencing symptoms (%) | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | Positive predictive value (%) | Negative predictive value (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 676 | 73.1 | 53.8 | 71.1 | 83.5 | 36.2 |
|
| 563 | 61.3 | 53.5 | 62.9 | 69.5 | 46.1 |
|
| 553 | 59.8 | 56.6 | 65.4 | 71.6 | 49.4 |
|
| 480 | 52.1 | 58.3 | 64.7 | 64.2 | 58.8 |
|
| 425 | 46.0 | 44.5 | 50.9 | 43.5 | 51.8 |
|
| 387 | 41.3 | 55.0 | 59.1 | 48.6 | 65.1 |
|
| 306 | 33.6 | 82.0 | 70.4 | 58.4 | 88.6 |
|
| 217 | 23.5 | 57.6 | 55.8 | 28.6 | 81.1 |
| 752 | 78.6 | 54.3 | 83.3 | 92.3 | 33.1 |
Figure 2:Self-reported symptoms in relation to seropositivity in healthcare workers:
(A) Self-reported symptoms in relation to seropositivity in healthcare workers. Numbers above bars represent the percentage of participants experiencing symptom. (B) Number of self-reported symptoms in relation to seropositivity in healthcare workers; data was compared using Chi-square test (Chi Square = 114.8, df =8, p<0.0001).
Figure 3:Relationship between age (A) and body mass index (B) and the magnitude of the IgG response against the SARS-CoV-2 spike glycoprotein.
Dotted red line represents assay cut-off.
Linear regression models of variables affects the magnitude of the antibody response against the SARS-CoV-2 spike glycoprotein.
The IgG, IgA and IgM ratios were used as dependent variables and participants’ age, sex, ethnicity, body mass index, time from symptom onset, the index of multiple deprivation score, whether an individual isolated because they directly experienced symptoms or isolated because a family member experienced symptoms and public transport use in the two weeks prior to isolation were used as independent variables. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) are provided. For continuous variables, the OR represents the increase in immunoglobulin ratio associated with each unit increase in that variable. For categorical variables, the OR represents the increase in immunoglobulin ratio associated the variable in parenthesis.
| Variable | OR (95% CI) | t | P-value | Variable | OR (95% CI) | t | P-value | Variable | OR (95% CI) | t | P-value | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 0.03 (0.01–0.05) | 2.89 | 0.0043 | Age | 0.01 (−0.01–0.03) | 1.21 | 0.26 | Age | 0.00 (−0.01–0.02) | 0.03 | 0.97 | ||
| Sex (Female) | −0.02 (−0.51–0.48) | 0.07 | 0.95 | Sex (Female) | 0.17 (−0.27–0.60) | 0.78 | 0.45 | Sex (Female) | 0.14 (−0.19–0.48) | 0.84 | 0.40 | ||
| Ethnicity (BAME) | 0.98 (0.49–1.47) | 3.95 | 0.0001 | Ethnicity (BAME) | −0.05 (−0.46–0.35) | 0.25 | 0.80 | Ethnicity (BAME) | 0.42 (0.09–0.76) | 2.53 | 0.02 | ||
| BMI | 0.07 (0.03–0.11) | 3.62 | 0.0004 | BMI | −0.02 (−0.05–0.01) | 1.42 | 0.15 | BMI | 0.00 (−0.03–0.04) | 0.22 | 0.83 | ||
| Time from symptom onset | −0.01 (−0.03–0.01) | 1.27 | 0.22 | Time fron symptom onset | −0.02 (−0.04–0.01) | 2.76 | 0.007 | Time from symptom onset | −0.01 (−0.02–0.01) | 1.00 | 0.32 | ||
| Index of multiple deprivation | 0.16 (−0.13–0.45) | 1.09 | 0.28 | Index of multiple deprivation | −0.10 (−0.36–0.16 | 0.78 | 0.44 | Index of multiple deprivation | −0.17 (−0.41–0.07) | 1.43 | 0.32 | ||
| Primaiy symptoms | 0.19 (−0.03–0.66) | 0.78 | 0.44 | Primary symptoms | 0.27 (−0.14–0.67) | 1.31 | 0.19 | Primary symptoms | 0.25 (−0.16–0.65) | 1.24 | 0.22 |
Figure 4:COVID-19 risk in healthcare workers:
(A) Timing of isolation events in study participants, seroconversion rates and UHBFT COVID-19 positive inpatients from February to May 2020. (B) Hospital departments and job roles (C) of participants who self-isolated because they directly experienced symptoms following the arrival for the first COVID-19 inpatient at UHBFT. (D) Number of potential days lost due to isolation events in individuals who did not have a PCR test and were found to be seronegative at study enrolment.