Maomao Cao1, He Li1, Dianqin Sun1, Lin Lei2, Jiansong Ren1, Jufang Shi1, Ni Li1, Ji Peng2, Wanqing Chen1. 1. Office for Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, China. 2. Department of Cancer Prevention and Control, Shenzhen Center for Chronic Disease Control, Shenzhen 518020, China.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: This study aimed at evaluating the efficacy of the questionnaire-based prediction model in an independent prospective cohort. METHODS: A cluster-randomized controlled trial was conducted in Changsha, Harbin, Luoshan, and Sheyang in eastern China in 2015-2017. A total of 182 villages/communities were regarded as clusters, and allocated to screening arm or control arm randomly. Face-to-face interview through a questionnaire interview, including of relevant risk factors of gastric cancer, was administered for each subject. Participants were further classified into high-risk or low-risk groups based on their exposure to risk factors. All participants were followed up until December 31, 2019. Cumulative incidence rates from gastric cancer between high-risk and low-risk groups were calculated and compared using the log-rank test. Cox proportional hazard regression models were applied to estimate hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI). RESULTS: Totally, 89,914 residents were recruited with a mean follow-up of 3.47 years. And 42,015 (46.73%) individuals were classified into high-risk group and 47,899 (53.27%) subjects were categorized into low-risk group. Gastric cancer was diagnosed in 131 participants, of which 91 were in high-risk group. Compared with the low-risk participants, high-risk individuals were more likely to develop gastric cancer (adjusted HR=2.15, 95% CI, 1.23-3.76). The sensitivity of the questionnaire-based model was estimated at 61.82% (95% CI, 47.71-74.28) in a general population. CONCLUSIONS: Our questionnaire-based model is effective at identifying high-risk individuals for gastric cancer.
OBJECTIVE: This study aimed at evaluating the efficacy of the questionnaire-based prediction model in an independent prospective cohort. METHODS: A cluster-randomized controlled trial was conducted in Changsha, Harbin, Luoshan, and Sheyang in eastern China in 2015-2017. A total of 182 villages/communities were regarded as clusters, and allocated to screening arm or control arm randomly. Face-to-face interview through a questionnaire interview, including of relevant risk factors of gastric cancer, was administered for each subject. Participants were further classified into high-risk or low-risk groups based on their exposure to risk factors. All participants were followed up until December 31, 2019. Cumulative incidence rates from gastric cancer between high-risk and low-risk groups were calculated and compared using the log-rank test. Cox proportional hazard regression models were applied to estimate hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI). RESULTS: Totally, 89,914 residents were recruited with a mean follow-up of 3.47 years. And 42,015 (46.73%) individuals were classified into high-risk group and 47,899 (53.27%) subjects were categorized into low-risk group. Gastric cancer was diagnosed in 131 participants, of which 91 were in high-risk group. Compared with the low-risk participants, high-risk individuals were more likely to develop gastric cancer (adjusted HR=2.15, 95% CI, 1.23-3.76). The sensitivity of the questionnaire-based model was estimated at 61.82% (95% CI, 47.71-74.28) in a general population. CONCLUSIONS: Our questionnaire-based model is effective at identifying high-risk individuals for gastric cancer.