Causal Effects of Sleep Traits on Ischemic Stroke and Its Subtypes: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

BACKGROUND: Unfavorable sleep habits have been linked with ischemic stroke in observational studies, but the causality remains unclear. The aim of this study is to investigate the potential causal role of three sleep traits, including sleep duration, insomnia, and chronotype, in ischemic stroke and its subtypes.
METHODS: We conducted two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis using single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with sleep duration, insomnia, and chronotype as instruments to estimate causal associations with ischemic stroke and its subtypes, among 34,217 ischemic stroke cases and 406,111 controls from the MEGASTROKE consortium. Inverse-variance weighted method was used as the main analyses. Alternative MR methods and sensitivity analyses were further performed.
RESULTS: We found suggestive evidence that per doubling of genetic liability for short sleep duration (odds ratio [OR], 1.27; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.58) and frequent insomnia symptoms (OR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.00-1.41) were associated with a modest increase in risk of large artery stroke (LAS) but not with small vessel stroke, cardioembolic stroke, or any ischemic stroke. The association of frequent insomnia symptoms with LAS was stronger after the exclusion of the outlier (OR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.04-1.50). No significant association was observed for chronotype with any ischemic stroke subtype. Results were overall robust to sensitivity analyses, and there was little evidence of horizontal pleiotropy.
CONCLUSION: We provided suggestive evidence for a potential causal role of short sleep duration and insomnia symptoms in LAS. Future researches are required to investigate whether improved sleep habits could help to mitigate LAS risk.

Introduction

Unfavorable sleep habits are important public health problems worldwide. In humans, much of the literature on the relationship between sleep and stroke has focused primarily on obstructive sleep apnoea.1 However, the impact of non-apnoea related sleep traits, such as sleep duration, insomnia, and chronotype (morning or evening preference), in ischemic stroke remains unclear.1 In recent years, there are numerous reported associations between unfavorable sleep habits and ischemic stroke, but the results are conflicting2–10 and might be subjected to limitations in observational studies of confounding and reverse causation. Moreover, ischemic stroke is a heterogeneous disease. Different ischemic stroke subtypes have distinct pathogenesis and pathophysiology that likely reflect differences in the importance of underlying risk factors, as well as in genetic determinants.11–13 However, less investigation has been done into the potential adverse effects of unfavorable sleep habits on stroke subtypes.

Mendelian randomization (MR) utilizes genetic variants associated with modifiable exposure (eg, sleep traits) as instruments to infer causality. Because of the random assortment of genetic variants at conception, the MR design is less susceptible to confounding and reverse causation.14 Recently, large-scale genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified genetic variants robustly associated with sleep duration, insomnia, and chronotype.15–17 Here, we applied two-sample MR to comprehensively investigate the potential causal role of three sleep traits, including sleep duration, insomnia, and chronotype, in ischemic stroke and its subtypes.

Materials and Methods

Data Source and Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms Selection

Summary-level data for genetic associations with sleep traits and ischemic stroke and its subtypes have been made publicly available online (). Participants in our MR analyses were predominantly of European ancestry. Summary statistics data for the associations of each single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) with ischemic stroke and its subtypes were derived from the GWAS meta-analysis by the MEGASTROKE consortium, including up to 34,217 ischemic stroke cases and 406,111 stroke-free controls of European ancestry. Participants were subdivided into large artery stroke (LAS) (n = 4373 cases/146,392 controls), small vessel stroke (SVS) (n = 5386 cases/192,662 controls), and cardioembolic stroke (CES) (n = 7193 cases/204,570 controls) based on the Trial of Org 10,172 in Acute Stroke Treatment criteria.11,18

The previously published SNPs associated with each of the sleep phenotype were selected as the instruments. Sleep duration was assessed by asking: “About how many hours sleep do you get in every 24h? (please include naps)” in the UK Biobank.15 Effect size estimates for SNPs associated with continuous sleep duration (number of hours sleep; n = 446,118), short sleep duration (6h or less; n = 106,192 cases/305,742 controls), and long sleep duration (9h or more; n = 34,184 cases/305,742 controls) at a genome-wide threshold of significance (p <5×10−8) were available.15

Insomnia symptoms were assessed by asking: “Do you have trouble falling asleep at night, or do you wake up in the middle of the night?” with responses of “never/rarely,” “sometimes,” “usually,” and “prefer not to answer.” Those responded “prefer not to answer” were set to missing.16 Insomnia symptoms associated SNPs were identified in the UK Biobank and were confirmed in the HUNT,19 and Partners Biobank studies from two parallel GWAS: (1) frequent insomnia symptoms (“never/rarely” versus “usually”; n = 146,410 cases/108,357 controls) and (2) any insomnia symptoms (“never/rarely” versus“sometimes”/“usually”; n = 362,171 cases/170,207 controls).16

Genetic association estimates for chronotype were taken from a GWAS meta-analysis performed in the UK Biobank and 23andMe (n = 372,765 cases/278,530 controls).17 In the 23andMe cohort, chronotype (evening or morning preference) was assessed by asking: “Are you naturally a night person or a morning person?” In the UK Biobank, participants were asked: “Do you consider yourself to be?” with one of the six possible answer: “Definitely a ‘morning’ person,” “More a ‘morning’ than ‘evening’ person,” “More an ‘evening’ than a ‘morning’ person,” “Definitely an ‘evening’ person,” “Do not know” or “Prefer not to answer”. Those answering “Definitely an ‘evening’ person” and “More an ‘evening’ than a ‘morning’ person” were defined as evening persons (controls) and those answering “Definitely a ‘morning’ person” and “More a ‘morning’ than ‘evening’ person” were defined as morning persons (cases).

For each trait, we restricted instruments to independent SNPs not in linkage disequilibrium (r < 0.1). Where SNPs for the sleep phenotype were unavailable in the outcome GWAS summary statistics, we deleted them. Thus, 27 SNPs were used to instrument short sleep duration (), 6 SNPs to instrument long sleep duration, 75 SNPs to continuous sleep duration, 56 SNPs to insomnia symptoms (), and 332 SNPs to chronotype. Ethical approval and informed consent have been obtained in the original studies.

Statistical Analyses

We used inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method as the main analyses to obtain estimates for the causal effect of sleep traits on ischemic stroke risk. This method will return an accurate estimate in the absence of horizontal pleiotropy, or when horizontal pleiotropy is balanced.14 We therefore compared IVW results with several robust MR methods for sensitivity tests. These methods include: (1) weighted median estimate (WME), which requires that at least half of the instrument variables are valid;20 (2) MR-Egger method, which allows for directional pleiotropic effects;21 (3) MR-Robust Adjusted Profile Score (MR-RAPS), which provides unbiased estimates in the presence of many weak instruments.22 We also applied MR-Pleiotropy Residual Sum and Outlier (MR-PRESSO) approach to identify and correct for potential outliers.23

Heterogeneity of individual genetic variants was estimated by Cochran’s Q statistic. In order to ensure no evidence of directional pleiotropy for the associations of sleep traits with ischemic stroke and its subtypes, MR-Egger intercept tests of deviation from the null were conducted. For further interpretation, we also produced scatterplots, forest plots, funnel plots and leave-one-out plots. Finally, Steiger tests were utilized to verify the causal direction between the exposures and outcomes.24 All results are presented per hour increment in continuous sleep duration and per doubling in the odds of dichotomous exposures (ie, short sleep duration, long sleep duration, insomnia symptoms, and chronotype) as recommended elsewhere.25 In other words, causal effect estimates (ie, odds ratio [OR] for LAS) were rescaled to be interpreted for each doubling of genetic liability for dichotomous exposures. All statistical analyses were conducted using the TwoSampleMR26 and MR-PRESSO23 packages in R version 3.5.3.

Results

Sleep Duration

As reflected in Figure 1, we found evidence of a suggestive adverse causal effect of short sleep duration on LAS in the main analysis (IVW OR, 1.27 for LAS per doubling of genetic liability for short sleep duration; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01–1.58; p = 0.038; ). The association of short sleep duration with LAS was consistent in complementary analysis using the MR-RAPS method (OR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.03–1.66; p = 0.026). Results from WME and MR-Egger analysis yielded a similar pattern of effects, although with broader CIs due to the lower statistical power. The forest plot, funnel plot, and leave-one-out plot did not reveal individual SNP driving the overall association of short sleep duration with LAS (). However, the main MR analyses and sensitivity analyses showed no significant association of genetically determined short sleep duration with SVS, CES, and any ischemic stroke (Figure 1). Accordingly, no obvious heterogeneity was observed for the short sleep duration associated with SNPs (Table 1). MR-Egger intercept tests were consistent with the null, indicating no evidence of directional pleiotropy (all p for intercept ≥ 0.480; Table 1). Furthermore, Steiger tests showed no evidence that ischemic stroke and its subtypes contributed to short sleep duration ().

Figure 1

MR estimates of short sleep duration with ischemic stroke and its subtypes from the main analysis (IVW) and sensitivity analysis (MR.RAPS, WME, and MR-Egger). Data is displayed as OR and 95% CI per doubling of genetic liability for short sleep duration.

Table 1

Heterogeneity Tests and MR-Egger Intercept of Short Sleep Duration and Frequent Insomnia Symptoms Causally Linked to Ischemic Stroke and Its Subtypes

Exposure and Outcome	Cochran’s Q	p valuea	Intercept	p valueb
Short sleep duration
Large artery stroke	26.47	0.438	−0.011	0.618
Small vessel stroke	24.19	0.508	0.015	0.480
Cardioembolic stroke	32.20	0.152	−0.008	0.705
Any ischemic stroke	18.15	0.836	−0.002	0.813
Frequent insomnia symptoms
Large artery stroke	76.02	0.032	−4.74×10−3	0.692
Small vessel stroke	68.84	0.099	0.004	0.736
Cardioembolic stroke	52.84	0.558	−2.60×10−4	0.974
Any ischemic stroke	74.34	0.042	0.004	0.445

Notes: ap value for heterogeneity tests; bp value for MR-Egger intercept.

Abbreviation: MR, Mendelian randomization.

Little evidence for causal effects of long sleep duration and continuous sleep on any ischemic stroke subtype was observed (all p > 0.05; ). Similarly, the Cochran’s Q statistic and the MR-Egger intercept indicated no notable heterogeneity and directional pleiotropy ( 6 and ).

Insomnia Symptoms

Findings of the association of short sleep duration with LAS risk were supported using genetic variants associated with frequent insomnia symptoms, with some evidence of a possible adverse effect of frequent insomnia symptoms on LAS (IVW OR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.00–1.41, per doubling of genetic liability for frequent insomnia symptoms; p = 0.047; Figure 2). The association was still existed and even stronger after the exclusion of the outlier in NAB2 (rs324017) detected by the MR-PRESSO (OR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.04–1.50; p = 0.023; ). Results for frequent insomnia symptoms and LAS were broadly consistent in sensitivity analyses using the alternative MR methods, although with less-precise estimates. Likewise, the association persisted when using the SNPs associated with any insomnia symptoms (). Conversely, there was no clear evidence to suggest a causal effect of insomnia symptoms on SVS, CES, and any ischemic stroke.

Figure 2

MR estimates of frequent insomnia symptoms with ischemic stroke and its subtypes from the IVW analysis and sensitivity analysis (MR.RAPS, WME, MR-Egger and MR-PRESSO). For MR-PRESSO, outcomes of the outlier-corrected analysis are presented if outliers were detected, otherwise, MR-PRESSO results are not presented. Data is displayed as OR and 95% CI per doubling of genetic liability for frequent insomnia symptoms.

MR-Egger intercept tests suggested no horizontal pleiotropy (all p for intercept ≥ 0.445). For frequent insomnia symptoms, there was moderate heterogeneity for LAS (Q = 76.02, p = 0.032; Table 1), but the heterogeneity was eliminated when the outlier SNP rs324017 was pruned (Q = 61.11, p = 0.236; ). Furthermore, Steiger tests showed no evidence that ischemic stroke and its subtypes contributed to insomnia symptoms ().

Chronotype

A genetically predicted per doubling of genetic liability for morning preference was not associated with any ischemic stroke subtype (). The lack of association remained in sensitivity analyses. There was no evidence of directional pleiotropy from any of the MR-Egger intercept (), but substantial heterogeneity was observed ().

Discussion

We applied two-sample MR approach to make inference about the potential causal effects of three sleep phenotypes on ischemic stroke and subtypes risk. Our MR analyses demonstrated that genetic liability to short sleep duration and insomnia symptoms were potential, yet to be confirmed, causally associated with an increased risk of LAS, but not SVS, CES, or any ischemic stroke. These results were overall robust to sensitivity analyses. However, no significant causal link was observed between chronotype (morning preference) and any ischemic stroke subtype. Collectively, our study highlights sleep as a potentially modifiable risk factor of LAS.

Previous observational studies reporting the relevance of sleep and ischemic stroke have yielded inconsistent results. Short sleep duration was found to be an independent risk factor of stroke events in hypertensive patients.2 Another cohort of 11,367 Japanese population also showed a higher risk of stroke in men who sleep less than 6 hours a day.4 Similarly, in a multiethnic sample of US adults, insufficient rest or sleep was independently related to stroke.27 However, race disparity existed in the REGARDS study, which reported short sleep duration among black men associated with decreased risk of stroke.5 In contrast, a recent systematic review including eight selected studies reported a significant positive association between long sleep duration and the ischemic stroke incidence or ischemic stroke death.1 What’s more, several epidemiological studies suggested an U-shaped relationship between sleep duration and stroke, indicating that both short and long sleep duration conveyed adverse effects on stroke.6,7,28,29 Compared with studies on association of sleep duration with risk of stroke, associations between insomnia or chronotype and risk of stroke have been less investigated. While some observational works have found a higher risk of stroke in insomniacs,1,8,9 another study has reported no significant difference of stroke risk in insomniacs compared with noninsomniacs.10 However, most of these discordant studies were limited by the susceptibility to bias due to various confounders and not considering specific etiological subtypes of ischemic stroke.

Our MR study provides some evidence for a possible causal relationship of short sleep duration with LAS risk, which is in line with a previous MR study showing greater genetic predisposition to short sleep duration was associated with incident myocardial infarction and coronary artery disease, two etiologically related outcomes for LAS.30 Similarly, a previous MR research reported the relevance of frequent insomnia symptoms in prevalent coronary artery disease.16 Consistent with our results, a recent MR study using 244 insomnia-associated SNPs, which selected instrumental SNPs in GWAS different from ours, also found a causal association between genetic liability to insomnia and risk of LAS, but not SVS or CES.31 The exact mechanisms underlying the associations of short sleep duration and insomnia with LAS risk are unclear. Epidemiological evidence suggests that short sleep duration and insomnia are related to LAS-related risk factors, including hypertension, diabetes, obesity, and dyslipidemia.32–34 Furthermore, previous research reported that short sleep duration and insomnia might increase oxidative stress, sympathetic nervous system activity, and systemic inflammation, which could trigger the stroke events.2,31,35 Additionally, short sleep duration is also reported being an independent risk factor for atrial fibrillation,36 but we did not find a positive causal relationship between short sleep duration and CES, probably due to the relatively small sample size.

One strength of our study is the MR design, which minimizes potential confounding and reverse causality by using genetic instruments for sleep traits. Another strength is the possibility to investigate the associations of sleep phenotypes with ischemic stroke subtypes. One limitation of this study is that SNP effect estimates were largely obtained from the UK Biobank, which might induce selection bias due to low response rates.37 Another limitation related to the use of self-reported rather than objective measures to identify genetic variants. However, all of these measures have been validated by accelerometer-derived estimates.15–17 And the lack of polysomnographic examination of the participants makes it hard to exclude secondary causes and sleep apnea that commonly present in stroke patients. Additionally, generalizability of our analyses is limited because participants were restricted to predominantly of European ancestry to minimize population stratification. Finally, potential pleiotropy might remain. Nonetheless, we conducted a series of sensitivity analyses and outliers detection to explore and account for pleiotropy. The associations of genetic liability to short sleep duration and insomnia symptoms with LAS were overall robust to alternative MR methods and no directional pleiotropy was observed.

Conclusions

In summary, this study provided suggestive evidence that genetic liability to short sleep duration and insomnia symptoms may be related to a modest increased risk of LAS. Future researches are required to investigate whether improved sleep habits could help to mitigate LAS risk.