Defining Chronic Mucus Hypersecretion Using the CAT in the SPIROMICS Cohort.

Background: Chronic cough and phlegm are frequently reported chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) symptoms. Prior research classified chronic mucus hypersecretion (CMH) based on the presence of these symptoms for ≥3 months, called chronic bronchitis (CB) if respiratory infection symptoms were present for 1-2 years (Medical Research Council [MRC] definition). We explored whether the COPD Assessment Test (CAT), a simple measure developed for routine clinical use, captures CMH populations and outcomes similarly to MRC and St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) definitions.
Methods: We identified CMH in the SPIROMICS COPD cohort using (a) MRC definitions, (b) SGRQ questions for cough and phlegm (both as most/several days a week), and (c) CAT cough and phlegm questions. We determined optimal cut-points for CAT items and described exacerbation frequencies for different CMH definitions. Moderate exacerbations required a new prescription for antibiotics/oral corticosteroids or emergency department visit; severe exacerbations required hospitalization. Results were stratified by smoking status.
Results: In a population of 1431 participants (57% male; mean FEV1% predicted 61%), 47% and 49% of evaluable participants had SGRQ- or CAT-defined CMH, respectively. A cut-point of ≥2 for cough and phlegm items defined CMH in CAT. Among SGRQ-CMH+ participants, 80% were also defined as CMH+ by the CAT. CMH+ participants were more likely to be current smokers. A higher exacerbation frequency was observed for presence of CMH+ versus CMH- in the year prior to baseline for all CMH definitions; this trend continued across 3 years of follow-up, regardless of smoking status.
Conclusion: Items from the CAT identified SGRQ-defined CMH, a frequent COPD trait that correlated with exacerbation frequency. The CAT is a short, simple questionnaire and a potentially valuable tool for telemedicine or real-world trials. CAT-based CMH is a novel approach for identifying clinically important characteristics in COPD that can be ascertained in these settings.

Introduction

Chronic cough and phlegm production are frequently reported symptoms of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Historically, these symptoms have been reported as “chronic mucus hypersecretion” (CMH), “chronic sputum production,” “mucoid cough,” or “chronic bronchitis” (CB) (with the latter term used in the presence of acute bronchitis or COPD exacerbation history). CMH or CB have been associated with declines in lung function,1–3 increased frequency of exacerbations and hospitalizations,1,3–5 and mortality.6,7 Even in the absence of fixed airflow obstruction, the presence of CMH symptoms has been associated with a variety of poor outcomes, including respiratory complications and an increased risk of death.3,8

At the Ciba Foundation Guest Symposium in 1959, CB was defined as cough with expectoration not attributable to other lung diseases.9 The British Medical Research Council (MRC) definition of CMH has its basis in the CB definition emanating out of the CIBA Symposium, with the only distinction being that it relaxes the requirement of 2 years of symptoms. CMH has been characterized using cough and phlegm items from the St. George’s Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ), which comprises items that evaluate: (1) frequency and severity of respiratory symptoms; (2) impact of symptoms on social and psychological functioning, as well as activities that induce/are limited by breathlessness.10 In a comparison of the SGRQ definition of CMH/CB versus the classic definition of CB in the COPDGene study, a greater proportion of subjects were identified with CB with the SGRQ definition compared with the classic CB definition although the groups were substantially similar, with characteristic respiratory symptoms and exacerbations, as well as worse lung function and greater airway wall thickness compared to those without CMH by either definition.10 In addition, the SGRQ definition identified more subjects at risk for future exacerbations than the classic CB definition.11

The COPD Assessment Test (CAT), another tool with increasingly widespread clinical use, is a self-completion questionnaire that contains questions relating to the impact of COPD symptoms. It is short and easy to administer, while retaining the ability to reflect disease severity, risk of future adverse outcomes, and responsiveness to intervention.12,13 The simplicity and ease of administration of the CAT make it an ideal tool for use in routine clinical practice, as well as in real-world trials and digitally enabled telemedicine. Given the frequency of CMH among COPD patients and given the association with poorer outcomes, the ability to identify the trait of CMH using the CAT would be of great pragmatic benefit. We thus sought to explore various cut-points of the cough and phlegm parameters in the CAT to find an optimal definition for CMH.

We aimed to identify and compare CMH populations using the classic MRC-CB definition, the SGRQ definition based on cough and sputum items, and to determine optimal cut-points for a novel CAT-based definition based on its cough and phlegm production items. The objective was to better understand the similarities and differences in populations defined using different instruments, given that there are well-known differences in wording and time frames related to cough and phlegm production items reflected in derived CMH algorithms. In the comparisons, participants with CMH were characterized in terms of demographic and clinical/lifestyle factors and comorbidities. We additionally characterized exacerbation frequency prior to start of study follow-up and evaluated the relationship between CMH and exacerbations occurring during study follow-up.

Materials and Methods

Study Population

Data on COPD participants from the Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcomes Measures in COPD Study (SPIROMICS) were used. SPIROMICS is a multicenter longitudinal study funded by the National Health Lung and Blood Institute (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01969344) that was designed to identify different COPD subpopulations and to validate intermediate outcome measures.14 SPIROMICS recruited participants aged 40–80 years between November 2010 and July 2015 who were either healthy never-smokers or current/former smokers with at least a 20 pack-year smoking history, with and without airflow obstruction (defined as post-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 second [FEV1]/forced vital capacity [FVC] <0.7). The SPIROMICS protocol was approved by the institutional review boards (IRBs) of all participating institutions and all participants gave written informed consent, including how their data and samples were to be stored, used, and shared. Details on the study design and baseline characteristics of the SPIROMICS cohort have been described previously.14 The focus of the present study was only on participants with COPD (strata III and IV in the SPIROMICS cohort) with available data and who provided informed consent for their data to be shared with outside investigators. IRB approval was not required for the present study. Data were provided from the SPIROMICS Genomics and Informatics Center as well as the Publications and Steering Committees thorough formalized processes and policies.

Definitions to Identify CB and CMH

CMH was identified using four separate definitions in the SPIROMICS baseline COPD cohort (Table 1). We assessed CMH in all participants with available data; however, not all participants had complete questionnaire data and therefore could not be characterized for one or more of the definitions.

Table 1

Questions for Determination of Various Definitions of CMH

Definition	Description
MRC-CMH	Cough on most days for ≥3 consecutive months or more during the year AND phlegm from chest on most days for ≥3 consecutive months or more during the year
MRC-CB	Cough on most days for ≥3 consecutive months or more during the year AND phlegm from chest on most days for ≥3 consecutive months or more during the year, with these symptoms for ≥2 consecutive years
SGRQ- CMH	Cough for most days or several days a week (option 1 or 2 for the “I cough” question) AND phlegm for most days or several days a week (option 1 or 2 for the “I bring up phlegm [sputum]” question)
CAT-CMH	Multiple permutations of cut-points of 2 or 3 for cough and phlegm questions were explored to determine optimal CAT-CMH definition. Scores spanned 0 to 5, from “I never cough” to “I cough all the time” and from “I have no phlegm in my chest at all” to “My chest is full of phlegm”

Abbreviations: CAT, COPD Assessment Test; CB, chronic bronchitis; CMH, chronic mucus hypersecretion; MRC, Medical Research Council; SGRQ, St. George’s Respiratory Questionnaire.

MRC-CB was defined at baseline as per the MRC convention (answering “yes” to questions on whether cough and phlegm production symptoms were experienced over ≥3 months lasting for ≥2 years) using a modified American Thoracic Society – Division of Lung Diseases (ATS-DLD) questionnaire.15 MRC-CMH was defined as symptoms of cough and phlegm over ≥3 months using responses of “yes” to both “Do you usually cough on most days for 3 consecutive months or more during the year?” and “Do you usually bring up phlegm on most days for 3 consecutive months or more during the year?”

SGRQ-CMH was defined from the SGRQ-C, a 40-item questionnaire that is a shorter, disease-specific version of the SGRQ questionnaire and that does not have a defined recall period.16 SGRQ-CMH was present if participants selected the options of “cough for most days a week” or “several days a week” and also selected the options of phlegm/sputum production “most days a week” or “several days a week”.10 These options correspond to the most severe ratings of frequency of symptoms.

CAT-CMH was defined using the CAT, a short 8-item questionnaire developed to assess the impact of COPD on health status.12 Patients score their symptoms on a 0–5 scale, with anchor statements for each item. For cough and phlegm, these span the range from “I never cough” to “I cough all the time” and “I have no phlegm in my chest at all” to “My chest is full of phlegm.” There is no time frame for symptom recall period. We explored definitions using cut-points of 2 or 3 on one of the parameters, as well as all possible combinations of 2 and 3 scores on combined parameters collected at baseline. The final definition of CAT-CMH based on CAT cut-points for cough and phlegm was then selected based on measures of sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) using SGRQ-CMH and MRC-CMH as “gold standards.”

Data Analysis

Data analysis was performed using SAS 9.4 software (SAS Institute, Cary, NC). To understand the distributions of the CAT and SGRQ items used to derive the CMH definitions, histograms and descriptive statistics for CAT cough and sputum questions and SGRQ cough and sputum questions were generated. To better understand the concordance between the various definitions of CMH, cross-tabulations of participants meeting the definitions were generated. We calculated sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and Cohen’s kappa for multiple potential cut-points for the CAT-based definitions versus SGRQ items and the CAT-based definitions versus the MRC-CMH definition.

We assessed the distribution of the following variables by the CMH definitions: age, sex, body mass index (BMI), self-reported smoking status at baseline, number of pack-years, post-bronchodilator FEV1% predicted, global initiative for chronic obstructive lung disease (GOLD) grade of airflow limitation (I–IV), GOLD A–D classification based on the 2017 GOLD guidelines,17 SGRQ total score, CAT total score, history of previous exacerbations, and exacerbations during follow-up (Years 1, 2, and 3). Exacerbations were defined as: (1) moderate exacerbations requiring a new prescription for antibiotics or oral corticosteroids, or an emergency department visit, or (2) severe exacerbations requiring hospitalization.

Baseline characteristic tables were generated to describe demographics, medical history, pulmonary function, respiratory and disease-related symptoms for all definitions of CMH. For each of the three definitions of CMH and MRC-CB, exacerbation history during the 12 months prior to baseline and exacerbations during the first, second and third year of follow up were quantified. Exacerbations were examined separately for (1) ≥1 moderate exacerbation, (2) ≥1 severe exacerbation, and (3) ≥1 severe and ≥2 moderate exacerbations. Analyses were further stratified by smoking status (current vs former). Although the purpose of the present study was to present descriptive data and visual trends only and is in line with recent trends that move away from reliance on p-values,18,19 simple chi-square tests were performed to compare CMH+ and CMH− history of exacerbations at baseline.

No imputation was performed for patients with missing data. To allow comparisons between the populations of patients with missing SGRQ or CAT scores, the assumption that SGRQ and/or CAT score were missing at random was assessed. This was achieved by ensuring that similar results were obtained when calculating descriptive statistics using the overall population and the populations of patients with missing SGRQ or CAT scores.

Results

There were 1431 participants in the initial pool of eligible participants. Some participants were missing assessment data needed to characterize CMH from one or more of the MRC questions, SGRQ items or CAT items; thus, the number of eligible participants with available data differed across definitions. The number of eligible participants with available questionnaire data was slightly higher for CAT (n=1407) compared with SGRQ (n=1361) and substantially higher compared with MRC-CMH (n=1044) (Table 2). The proportion of CMH+ identified was similar for SGRQ and CAT (using a threshold of ≥2 for both cough and phlegm items), with proportions of 47% and 49%, respectively. A substantially smaller proportion of CMH+ was observed using the MRC-CB definitions or a CAT-based definition that used a threshold of ≥3 for both cough and phlegm items. The MRC-CMH definition identified an intermediate number of participants with CMH.

Table 2

Frequency of CMH by Multiple Definitions

CMH Definition	N	n CMH+	n CMH−
MRC-CMH	1044	398 (38%)	646 (62%)
MRC-CB	1386	326 (24%)	1064 (76%)
SGRQ-CMH	1361	639 (47%)	722 (53%)
CAT-CMH: Cough Q and Phlegm Q both ≥3	1407	348 (25%)	1059 (75%)
CAT-CMH: Cough Q and Phlegm Q both ≥2	1407	686 (49%)	721 (51%)

Abbreviations: CAT, COPD Assessment Test; CB, chronic bronchitis; CMH, chronic mucus hypersecretion; SGRQ, MRC, Medical Research Council; St. George’s Respiratory Questionnaire.

CAT-Based Definition of CMH

In the evaluation of multiple different CAT thresholds for the CMH definition using SGRQ and MRC as the “gold standards,” a combination of cut-points of ≥2 for the cough question and ≥2 for the phlegm production question in the CAT appeared to provide the best balance across measures of sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV (Table 3). This threshold in the CAT was also the optimal selection based on Cohen’s kappa, which attempts to account for trade-offs between sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV. Cohen’s kappa was 0.56 and 0.58 against MRC-CMH and SGRQ-CMH, respectively, suggesting moderate to good agreement.20 Thus, a threshold of ≥2 for both questions in the identification of CMH was chosen as the most pragmatic cut-off for the CAT-based definition in further descriptions.

Table 3

Evaluation of Different CAT Cut-Points Using SGRQ-CMH and MRC-CMH as Gold Standard

CAT vs MRC-CMH	Sensitivity	Specificity	PPV	NPV	Kappa
Cough Q and Phlegm Q both ≥3	59%	90%	78%	78%	0.51
Cough Q and Phlegm Q both ≥2	87%	72%	66%	90%	0.56
Cough Q ≥2 and Phlegm Q ≥3	67%	87%	77%	81%	0.55
Cough Q ≥3 and Phlegm Q ≥2	70%	85%	74%	82%	0.55
Only Cough Q ≥3	73%	82%	71%	83%	0.54
Only Phlegm Q ≥3	68%	85%	74%	81%	0.54
Only Cough Q ≥2	93%	57%	57%	93%	0.44
Only Phlegm Q ≥2	90%	64%	60%	91%	0.49
CAT vs SGRQ-CMH	Sensitivity	Specificity	PPV	NPV	Kappa
Cough Q and Phlegm Q both ≥3	49%	95%	90%	68%	0.45
Cough Q and Phlegm Q both ≥2	80%	78%	77%	82%	0.58
Cough Q ≥2 and Phlegm Q ≥3	56%	92%	85%	70%	0.48
Cough Q ≥3 and Phlegm Q ≥2	60%	91%	86%	72%	0.52
Only Cough Q ≥3	63%	86%	80%	73%	0.50
Only Phlegm Q ≥3	57%	90%	83%	70%	0.48
Only Cough Q ≥2	88%	59%	65%	85%	0.46
Only Phlegm Q ≥2	85%	69%	71%	84%	0.53

Abbreviations: CAT, COPD Assessment Test; CMH, chronic mucus hypersecretion; MRC, Medical Research Council; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value; SGRQ, St. George’s Respiratory Questionnaire.

Demographics and Clinical Characteristics

In the overall study population, 57.4% were male with a mean FEV1% predicted of 60.8% (Table 4). There were no appreciable differences in distribution of age, sex, and GOLD grade of airflow limitation in CMH+ versus CMH− participants identified by the CAT or SGRQ (Table 4). Smokers were more likely to be CMH+, while most of the CMH− participants were ex-smokers, regardless of the instrument used.

Table 4

Demographics and Clinical Characteristics of CMH+ and CMH− Participants, Based on SGRQ and CAT Definitions at Baseline

Characteristics, n (%)	Entire Cohort N=1431	SGRQ		CAT
		CMH+ N=639	CMH− N=722	CMH+ N=686	CMH− N=721
Age, years
40–49	36 (2.5%)	17 (2.7%)	18 (2.5%)	22 (3.2%)	13 (1.8%)
50–59	322 (22.5%)	190 (29.7%)	120 (16.6%)	195 (28.4%)	116 (16.1%)
60–69	587 (41.0%)	244 (38.2%)	313 (43.4%)	260 (37.9%)	323 (44.8%)
70–79	486 (34.0%)	188 (29.4%)	271 (37.5%)	209 (30.5%)	269 (37.3%)
Sex
Male	822 (57.4%)	383 (59.9%)	403 (55.8%)	384 (56.0%)	428 (59.4%)
Female	609 (42.6%)	256 (40.1%)	319 (44.2%)	302 (44.0%)	293 (40.6%)
Tobacco history
Current smoker	484 (34.4%)	321 (51.0%)	138 (19.4%)	333 (49.5%)	140 (19.7%)
Ex-smoker	924 (65.6%)	308 (49.0%)	574 (80.6%)	340 (50.5%)	572 (80.3%)
Smoking number pack-years (mean, SD)	53.9 (43.4)	53.5 (26.5)	54.3 (55.3)	55.5 (55.3)	52.3 (28.2)
FEV1% predicted (mean, SD)	60.8 (23.0)	58.1 (21.1)	62.8 (24.2)	57.8 (21.0)	63.8 (24.2)
GOLD grade of airflow limitation
Grade 1	306 (21.4%)	100 (15.6%)	187 (25.9%)	103 (15.0%)	199 (27.6%)
Grade 2	640 (44.7%)	314 (49.1%)	292 (40.4%)	337 (49.1%)	296 (41.1%)
Grade 3	338 (23.6%)	155 (24.3%)	173 (24.0%)	174 (25.4%)	155 (21.5%)
Grade 4	147 (10.3%)	70 (11.0%)	70 (9.7%)	72 (10.5%)	71 (9.8%)
GOLD 2017 Grade
A	325 (24.9%)	75 (12.7%)	232 (35.0%)	45 (7.0%)	280 (42.0%)
B	728 (55.7%)	386 (65.4%)	319 (48.1%)	438 (68.4%)	290 (43.5%)
C	22 (1.7%)	5 (0.8%)	16 (2.4%)	2 (0.3%)	20 (3.0%)
D	231 (17.7%)	124 (21.0%)	96 (14.5%)	155 (24.2%)	76 (11.4%)
BMI
<18.5	35 (2.5%)	24 (3.8%)	11 (1.6%)	21 (3.1%)	13 (1.9%)
18.5 to <25	457 (32.7%)	192 (30.8%)	238 (33.8%)	226 (33.5%)	223 (31.9%)
25 to <30	479 (34.3%)	208 (33.3%)	248 (35.2%)	219 (32.4%)	251 (35.9%)
≥30	426 (30.5%)	200 (32.1%)	208 (29.5%)	209 (31.0%)	212 (30.3%)
SGRQ Total Score (mean, SD)	37.7 (19.7)	44.1 (18.9)	32.37 (18.6)	44.87 (18.8)	30.81 (17.9)
CAT Total Score (mean, SD)	15.3 (7.9)	18.55 (7.6)	12.52 (7.1)	19.71 (6.8)	11.09 (6.4)

Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CAT, COPD Assessment Test; CMH, chronic mucus hypersecretion; FEV1, forced expiratory volume in one second; GOLD, Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease; SD, standard deviation; SGRQ, St. George’s Respiratory Questionnaire.

History of COPD Exacerbations at Baseline and Exacerbations During Follow-Up

A higher percentage of CMH+ participants experienced COPD exacerbations compared with CMH− participants during the 12 months prior to the baseline visit, as well as across all follow-up time points (Years 1, 2, and 3), whether using the SGRQ- and CAT-based definitions (Table 5) or the MRC-CMH and MRC-CB definitions (). However, in general, the proportion of participants experiencing exacerbations decreased as follow-up continued. Similar patterns of increased exacerbation frequency among CMH+ participants were observed regardless of smoking status (Figure 1, Figure 2). Given the relatively low frequency of exacerbations in SPIROMICS and the variation in exacerbation status year to year, we also examined exacerbation frequency across all 3 years of follow-up combined, and observed similar trends (Table 5). The trend for greater frequency of exacerbations in CMH+ versus CMH− participants was observed not only across the different definitions of CMH, but also across the different categories of exacerbations (≥1 moderate exacerbation, ≥1 severe exacerbation, and ≥1 moderate and ≥2 severe exacerbations). Chi-square tests to compare history of CMH+ and CMH− exacerbations at baseline indicated significant differences ().

Table 5

COPD Exacerbations for CMH+ and CMH− Participants Based on SGRQ and CAT Definitions

Characteristics, n (%)	Entire Cohort N=1431	SGRQ		CAT
		CMH+ N=639	CMH− N=722	CMH+ N=686	CMH− N=721
Exacerbations, 12 months prior to baseline
≥1 moderate	334 (26.1%)	175 (30.6%)	142 (21.9%)	200 (33.2%)	128 (19.5%)
≥1 severe	136 (9.6%)	62 (9.7%)	66 (9.3%)	81 (11.9%)	53 (7.4%)
≥1 severe or ≥2 moderate	265 (19.3%)	135 (22.2%)	117 (16.7%)	162 (24.7%)	99 (14.2%)
Exacerbations during 1st year
≥1 moderate	126 (12.4%)	65 (15.4%)	54 (9.9%)	72 (15.7%)	53 (9.7%)
≥1 severe	53 (4.9%)	30 (6.6%)	20 (3.5%)	36 (7.2%)	16 (2.8%)
≥1 severe or ≥2 moderate	82 (7.7%)	44 (9.8%)	33 (5.9%)	54 (11.1%)	27 (4.8%)
Exacerbations during 2nd year
≥1 moderate	92 (14.0%)	45 (17.2%)	42 (11.4%)	52 (18.8%)	39 (10.5%)
≥1 severe	37 (5.3%)	16 (5.8%)	17 (4.4%)	19 (6.4%)	16 (4.1%)
≥1 severe or ≥2 moderate	53 (7.7%)	26 (9.6%)	23 (6.0%)	29 (10.0%)	22 (5.7%)
Exacerbations during 3rd year
≥1 moderate	47 (11.4%)	21 (12.5%)	25 (10.7%)	22 (12.4%)	25 (11.1%)
≥1 severe	15 (3.5%)	6 (3.5%)	6 (2.5%)	9 (4.8%)	5 (2.2%)
≥1 severe or ≥2 moderate	19 (4.5%)	8 (4.7%)	8 (3.3%)	11 (6.0%)	7 (3.0%)
Exacerbations over 1st-3rd years combined
≥1 moderate	210 (19.5%)	101 (22.4%)	99 (17.3%)	113 (23.3%)	96 (16.6%)
≥1 severe	94 (8.5%)	50 (10.7%)	36 (6.1%)	58 (11.4%)	32 (5.5%)
≥1 severe or ≥2 moderate	137 (12.5%)	71 (15.4%)	56 (9.6%)	83 (16.7%)	50 (8.6%)

Notes: The denominator for proportions is based on the number of participants with available data at each visit, as assessed separately for each type of exacerbation.

Abbreviations: CAT, COPD Assessment Test; CMH, chronic mucus hypersecretion; SGRQ, St. George’s Respiratory Questionnaire.

Figure 1

COPD exacerbations (percentage) among current smokers by SGRQ and CAT definitions of CMH 12 months prior to baseline and during first, second and third year of follow-up.

Figure 2

COPD Exacerbations (percentage) among ex-smokers by SGRQ and CAT definitions of CMH 12 months prior to baseline and during first,second and third year of follow-up.

Similar patterns of increased exacerbation frequency among CMH+ participants were observed regardless of smoking status (Figure 1, Figure 2). In general, the proportion of participants experiencing exacerbations decreased as follow-up continued.

Discussion

The CAT is a short, simple questionnaire for assessing and monitoring health status in patients with COPD.12 The reliability and validity of the CAT, along with its reduced patient burden, make it a potentially useful tool for telemedicine or remote clinical trials. The aim of the present study was to derive a novel definition of CMH in patients with COPD based on the cough and sputum items within the CAT questionnaire.

Previous studies have demonstrated that the SGRQ identifies subjects with chronic cough and sputum who share a similar phenotype as the classic CB definition.10 In this analysis, the prevalence of CMH varied by each definition used, with 38% identified as MRC-CMH and 47% as SGRQ-CMH. Using a CAT cut-point of ≥2 for both cough and phlegm items identified a similar proportion of CMH+ participants as the SGRQ. Using a cut-point of ≥3 identified a smaller population, more analogous to the most stringent definition of CB. The ultimate choice of cut-point may depend on the relative importance of sensitivity versus specificity in relation to the purpose of the analyses. We opted for the cut-point that achieved a balance across all measures: ≥2 for both cough and phlegm items. Our recommended definition of CMH utilizing CAT items yielded very good sensitivity (78%) and specificity (80%) and PPV (77%), indicating very good agreement between CAT-CMH and SGRQ-CMH, suggesting these two questionnaires measure similar aspects of the disease.21 Both populations were similar with regard to demographics and smoking status. The moderate to good agreement observed in Cohen’s kappa score suggests that we identified largely the same participants.

As has been observed in this and other large cohorts,4,22 history of exacerbations was higher in CMH+ participants than CMH− participants. We additionally examined exacerbation frequency prospectively and observed that a higher percentage of CMH+ participants experienced COPD exacerbations compared with CMH− participants. When followed prospectively, we observed that the relative proportion of exacerbators was similar whether using SGRQ or CAT.

Regardless of smoking status or presence of CMH, the number of exacerbations identified in Years 1–3 was lower than the reporting of historical exacerbations at baseline, as has been previously reported.22,23 This is consistent with data demonstrating only modest repeatability of exacerbation recall in COPD patients and the variability of exacerbations in any individual.21,22 In general, the proportion of participants experiencing exacerbations decreased with follow up. Participants who experienced exacerbations earliest may also possibly have had the poorest health and were thus less likely to return for follow-up visits or calls.

Our study has several limitations. There is no specific patient-reported outcome (PRO) to collect information on CMH that can serve as a “gold standard.” We are using proxy measures of a traditional chronic bronchitis definition and individual items from questionnaires developed to measure health status in COPD. Further, we expect there can be patient selection bias impacting the SPIROMICS COPD patient population; participants were either selected based on their attendance of the investigator’s clinic or volunteered based on the study-related advertisement at clinics. Additionally, this prospective study used a questionnaire to collect data on participant medical history. Some of its modules were largely self-reported including healthcare utilization, exacerbations of COPD, and current treatment for COPD. We may expect recall bias to impact these variables.

Conclusions

CMH is a common COPD trait, occurring in nearly half of the SPIROMICS cohort. The CAT-based definition, using the selected threshold of 2 for both cough and phlegm items, identified a very similar proportion of CMH+ participants as the SGRQ definition. In addition to its use in health status assessment and clinical practice, the CAT has frequently been used as an entry criterion and efficacy outcome in clinical development programs and has thus been proposed for use as a clinical outcomes assessment drug development tool.24 The time to complete the CAT is significantly shorter than that for the SGRQ and it requires less assistance;25 it has been used in telehealth cohorts to monitor exacerbation risk or the impact of pulmonary rehabilitation.26,27 The use of the CAT-based definition would thus be of particular benefit in real-world trials where CMH is a trait to be identified. Further work and validation in other cohorts will be necessary to understand whether subtle differences exist between the two, with potential impact on patient selection or risk assessment.