| Literature DB >> 33098119 |
Taichi Miyawaki1,2, Kazushige Wakuda1, Hirotsugu Kenmotsu1, Eriko Miyawaki1, Nobuaki Mamesaya1, Haruki Kobayashi1, Shota Omori1, Akira Ono1, Tateaki Naito1, Haruyasu Murakami1, Akifumi Notsu3, Keita Mori3, Hideyuki Harada4, Masahiro Endo5, Yasuhisa Ohde6, Kazuhisa Takahashi2, Toshiaki Takahashi1.
Abstract
Despite the importance of accurate disease definitions for effective management and treatment decisions, there is currently no consensus on what constitutes oligometastatic non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Predominant patterns of initial progressive disease (PD) after first-line systemic therapy have been shown to be a substantial basis for local ablative therapy (LAT) for all disease sites in patients with oligometastatic NSCLC, suggesting that these patterns could be helpful in defining synchronous oligometastatic NSCLC. Therefore, this retrospective study aimed to propose a threshold number of metastases for synchronous oligometastatic NSCLC, based on the pattern of initial PD after first-line systemic therapy. The cut-off threshold number of metastases compatible with synchronous oligometastatic NSCLC was determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses of PD at the initially involved sites alone. ROC analysis of 175 patients revealed that the presence of 1-3 metastases before first-line treatment (sensitivity, 85.9%; specificity, 97.3%; area under the curve, 0.91) was compatible with oligometastatic NSCLC, therefore we divided patients into oligometastatic NSCLC and non-oligometastatic NSCLC groups. Multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed oligometastatic NSCLC to be the only independent predictor of PD at initially involved sites alone (odds ratio 165.7; P < .001). The median survival times in patients with oligometastatic or non-oligometastatic NSCLC were 23.0 and 10.9 mo (hazard ratio, 0.51; P = .002), respectively. Based on these findings, we propose synchronous oligometastatic NSCLC as 1-3 metastases in accordance with patterns of initial progression. The result of our study might be contributory to provide a common definition of synchronous oligometastatic NSCLC.Entities:
Keywords: non-small-cell lung cancer; oligometastatic disease; pattern of progressive disease; platinum-based chemotherapy; threshold number of metastases
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 33098119 PMCID: PMC7780027 DOI: 10.1111/cas.14707
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancer Sci ISSN: 1347-9032 Impact factor: 6.518
FIGURE 1Study flowchart. ECOG, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group; PD‐L1, programmed death‐ligand 1; PS, performance status
FIGURE 2Incidence rate of progressive disease at the initially involved sites alone, shown per metastasis site. PD, progressive disease
FIGURE 3Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses for predicting disease progression at the initially involved sites alone per number of metastases. The optimal cut‐off threshold for the number of metastases was 3, with a sensitivity of 85.9% and specificity of 97.3% (area under the curve, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.86‐0.97)
Association between patient characteristics and progression at the initially involved sites alone using a logistic regression model adjusted for patient characteristics (n = 175)
| Covariates | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR | 95% CI |
| OR | 95% CI |
| |
| Age (<70 y vs ≥70 y) | 1.15 | 0.56‐2.36 | .693 | |||
| Sex (male vs female) | 2.36 | 0.96‐3.03 | .061 | 2.39 | 0.33‐17.6 | .389 |
| ECOG performance status score (0 vs 1) | 1.45 | 0.76‐2.77 | .257 | |||
| Smoking status (ever vs never) | 4.74 | 1.35‐16.6 |
| 3.36 | 0.31‐36.9 | .321 |
| Histology (squamous vs non‐squamous) | 1.10 | 0.46‐2.59 | .828 | |||
| T stage (1‐2 vs 3‐4) | 1.64 | 0.88‐3.05 | .116 | |||
| Nodal stage (0‐1 vs 2‐3) | 1.44 | 0.73‐2.84 | .283 | |||
| LPT before systemic therapy (no vs yes) | 1.46 | 0.72‐2.96 | .292 | |||
| CNS metastases (no vs yes) | 1.96 | 0.94‐4.05 | .069 | 1.12 | 0.28‐4.42 | .873 |
| Number of metastatic organ (1 vs ≥2) | 10.4 | 4.87‐22.4 |
| 1.67 | 0.44‐6.27 | .447 |
| Oligometastatic vs non‐oligometastatic NSCLC | 220.0 | 57.2‐845.5 |
| 165.7 | 36.7‐748.5 |
|
Significant P‐values are shown in bold type.
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; ECOG, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group, LPT, local palliative therapy; OR, odds ratio.
Characteristics of patients with oligometastatic NSCLC and non‐oligometastatic NSCLC patients at baseline (n = 178)
| Characteristics | Oligometastatic NSCLC (n = 61) | Non‐oligometastatic NSCLC (n = 117) |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (range) | 65 (40‐77) | 66 (41‐80) | .507 | |
| Gender | Male | 53 (87%) | 92 (79%) | .224 |
| Female | 8 (13%) | 25 (21%) | ||
| ECOG PS | 0 | 26 (43%) | 35 (30%) | .099 |
| 1 | 35 (57%) | 82 (70%) | ||
| Smoking status | Ever | 57 (93%) | 96 (82%) |
|
| Never | 4 (7%) | 21 (18%) | ||
| Histology | Non‐squamous | 48 (79%) | 101 (85%) | .205 |
| Squamous | 13 (21%) | 16 (14%) | ||
| Palliative local therapy before systemic therapy | Yes | 10 (16%) | 39 (33%) |
|
| No | 51 (84%) | 78 (67%) | ||
| T | T1 | 16 (26%) | 20 (17%) | .118 |
| T2 | 18 (30%) | 31 (27%) | ||
| T3 | 16 (26%) | 25 (21%) | ||
| T4 | 11 (18%) | 40 (34%) | ||
| TX | 0 (0%) | 1 (1%) | ||
| N | N0 | 10 (16%) | 19 (16%) | .569 |
| N1 | 9 (15%) | 11 (10%) | ||
| N2 | 19 (31%) | 32 (27%) | ||
| N3 | 23 (38%) | 55 (47%) | ||
| Distant metastatic organ | ||||
| Bone | 14 (23%) | 56 (48%) |
| |
| Adrenal grand | 16 (26%) | 30 (26%) | 1.000 | |
| Extra‐thoracic lymph node | 12 (20%) | 20 (17%) | .685 | |
| Brain | 12 (20%) | 39 (33%) | .080 | |
| Pulmonary | 5 (8%) | 54 (46%) |
| |
| Liver | 4 (7%) | 23 (20%) |
| |
| Pleura | 0 | 14 (12%) |
| |
| Others | 3 (5%) | 25 (21%) |
| |
| Number of distant metastatic organs | ||||
| 1 | 54 (89%) | 36 (31%) | ||
| 2 | 7 (11%) | 40 (34%) | ||
| 3 | 0 | 25 (21%) | ||
| 4 | 0 | 10 (9%) | ||
| 5 | 0 | 5 (4%) | ||
| 6 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 7 | 0 | 1 (1%) | ||
| Number of metastases | ||||
| 1 | 2 (3%) | 0 | ||
| 2 | 34 (56%) | 0 | ||
| 3 | 25 (41%) | 0 | ||
| 4 | 0 | 11 (9%) | ||
| 5 | 0 | 6 (5%) | ||
| 6 | 0 | 8 (7%) | ||
| 7 | 0 | 3 (3%) | ||
| 8 | 0 | 3 (3%) | ||
| 9 | 0 | 2 (2%) | ||
| ≥10 | 0 | 84 (71%) | ||
Significant P‐values are shown in bold type. ‘Oligometastatic’ refers to synchronous oligometastatic disease.
Abbreviations: ECOG, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group; N, regional lymph node involvement; PS, performance status; T, primary tumor.
FIGURE 4Kaplan‐Meier curves for progression‐free survival (A) and overall survival (B), in accordance with oligometastatic state. P‐values were calculated using the log‐rank test. CI, confidence interval; Oligo, oligometastatic. Small vertical lines on the curve indicate patients who were censored
Univariable and multivariable analyses of covariates for progression‐free survival (n = 178)
| Covariates | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI |
| HR | 95% CI |
| |
| Age (<70 y vs ≥70 y) | 0.76 | 0.54‐1.07 | .127 | |||
| Gender (female vs male) | 0.60 | 0.41‐0.89 |
| 0.68 | 0.43‐1.06 | .087 |
| ECOG performance status score (0 vs 1) | 0.63 | 0.45‐0.87 |
| 0.74 | 0.53‐1.03 | .070 |
| Smoking status (never vs ever) | 0.57 | 0.37‐0.89 |
| 0.70 | 0.42‐1.17 | .142 |
| Histology (non‐squamous vs squamous) | 1.21 | 0.79‐1.84 | .365 | |||
| T stage (1‐2 vs 3‐4) | 0.73 | 0.54‐1.00 | .054 | 0.87 | 0.63‐1.20 | .418 |
| Nodal stage (0‐1 vs 2‐3) | 0.84 | 0.60‐1.17 | .311 | |||
| LPT before systemic therapy (no vs yes) | 0.79 | 0.75‐1.11 | .186 | |||
| CNS metastases (no vs yes) | 0.64 | 0.45‐0.88 |
| 0.70 | 0.50‐0.99 |
|
| Number of metastatic organ (1 vs ≥2) | 0.63 | 0.46‐0.86 |
| 0.87 | 0.60‐1.25 | .460 |
| Oligometastatic vs non‐oligometastatic NSCLC | 0.64 | 0.46‐0.87 |
| 0.65 | 0.45‐0.94 |
|
Significant P‐values are shown in bold type.
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; ECOG, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group; HR, hazard ratio; LPT, local palliative therapy.
Univariable and multivariable analyses of covariates for survival outcomes
| Covariates | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI |
| HR | 95% CI |
| |
| Age (<70 y vs ≥70 y) | 0.87 | 0.59‐1.27 | .491 | |||
| Gender (female vs male) | 0.71 | 0.46‐1.09 | .126 | |||
| ECOG performance status score (0 vs 1) | 0.61 | 0.43‐0.86 |
| 0.61 | 0.43‐0.86 |
|
| Smoking status (never vs ever) | 0.60 | 0.35‐1.02 | .122 | |||
| Histology (non‐squamous vs squamous) | 1.19 | 0.74‐1.91 | .470 | |||
| T stage (1‐2 vs 3‐4) | 0.82 | 0.59‐1.14 | .260 | |||
| Nodal stage (0‐1 vs 2‐3) | 0.71 | 0.49‐1.03 | .074 | 0.74 | 0.51‐1.09 | .138 |
| LPT before systemic therapy (no vs yes) | 1.04 | 0.72‐1.48 | .758 | |||
| Brain metastases (no vs yes) | 0.90 | 0.65‐1.25 | .528 | |||
| Number of metastatic organ (1 vs ≥2) | 0.66 | 0.48‐0.92 |
| 1.02 | 0.70‐1.50 | .881 |
| Oligometastatic vs non‐oligometastatic NSCLC | 0.51 | 0.36‐0.73 |
| 0.51 | 0.34‐0.77 |
|
Significant P‐values are shown in bold type.
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; ECOG, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group; HR, hazard ratio; LPT, local palliative therapy.
Trials of PD‐1/PD‐L1 inhibitors for oligometastatic NSCLC
| Trial | Eligibility criteria | Study design | Primary outcome | Treatment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCT03275597 | ≤6 metastatic lesions | Phase I | Safety | Durvalumab/Tremelimumab with SBRT (30‐50 Gy in 5 fractions) to all sites |
| NCT03965468 | ≤3 metastatic lesions | Phase II | OS | Durvalumab + Carboplatin + Paclitaxel followed by SBRT to all sites |
| NCT03774732 | ≤6 metastatic lesions | Phase III | OS | PD‐1/PD‐L1 Inhibitors with concurrent irradiation to all sites |
Abbreviations: NSCLC, non–small‐cell lung cancer; OS, overall survival; PD‐1, programmed cell death 1; PD‐L1, programmed death‐ligand 1; SBRT, stereotactic body radiotherapy.