| Literature DB >> 33080869 |
Christel Faes1, Steven Abrams1,2, Dominique Van Beckhoven3, Geert Meyfroidt4, Erika Vlieghe5, Niel Hens1,6.
Abstract
There are different patterns in the COVID-19 outbreak in the general population and amongst nursing home patients. We investigate the time from symptom onset to diagnosis and hospitalization or the length of stay (LoS) in the hospital, and whether there are differences in the population. Sciensano collected information on 14,618 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 admissions from 114 Belgian hospitals between 14 March and 12 June 2020. The distributions of different event times for different patient groups are estimated accounting for interval censoring and right truncation of the time intervals. The time between symptom onset and hospitalization or diagnosis are similar, with median length between symptom onset and hospitalization ranging between 3 and 10.4 days, depending on the age of the patient (longest delay in age group 20-60 years) and whether or not the patient lives in a nursing home (additional 2 days for patients from nursing home). The median LoS in hospital varies between 3 and 10.4 days, with the LoS increasing with age. The hospital LoS for patients that recover is shorter for patients living in a nursing home, but the time to death is longer for these patients. Over the course of the first wave, the LoS has decreased.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; length of stay in hospital; symptom onset to hospitalization; truncation and interval-censoring
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 33080869 PMCID: PMC7589278 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph17207560
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Number of hospitalized patients in the national surveillance survey of COVID-19 hospitalizations, between 1 March 2020 and 12 June 2020.
| Nursing Home | Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | Yes | No | Unknown | |
| 0–19 | 0 (0.0%) | 159 (61.4%) | 99 (38.2%) | 258 |
| 20–59 | 80 (1.8%) | 2506 (58.8%) | 1752 (40.4%) | 4338 |
| 60–79 | 652 (11.9%) | 2585 (47.2%) | 2243 (40.9%) | 5480 |
| 80+ | 1605 (35.3%) | 1562 (34.4%) | 1375 (30.3%) | 4542 |
| Total | 2337 (16.0%) | 6812 (46.6%) | 5469 (37.4%) | 14,618 |
Figure A2Observed number of new hospitalization in the national surveillance survey (black) and reported number of confirmed hospitalizations in the population (red).
Summary of the regression of the scale () and shape () parameters for reported delay time between symptom onset and hospitalization and between symptom onset and diagnosis, based on a truncated Weibull distribution: parameter estimate, standard error and significance (* corresponds to p-value <; ** to p-value < and *** to <). The reference group used are females of age living in nursing home that are hospitalized in the period 01 March to 20 March.
|
|
| |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Est | s.e. | Est | s.e. | |
| Symptom onset—hospitalization | ||||
| (Intercept) | 1.218 | 0.044 *** | 1.208 | 0.036 *** |
| Male | 0.032 | 0.020 | −0.076 | 0.017 *** |
| Age | −0.535 | 0.104 *** | 0.033 | 0.084 |
| Age 20–60 | 0.618 | 0.034 *** | −0.490 | 0.028 *** |
| Age 60–80 | 0.433 | 0.035 *** | −0.251 | 0.029 *** |
| Nursing home: No | −0.452 | 0.044 *** | 0.250 | 0.039 *** |
| Nursing home: Unknown | −0.046 | 0.021 * | 0.143 | 0.019 *** |
| Period 21 March to 30 March | 0.234 | 0.033 *** | −0.100 | 0.028 *** |
| Period 31 March to 18 April | 0.187 | 0.035 *** | 0.137 | 0.030 *** |
| Period 19 April to 12 June | 0.028 | 0.047 | 0.495 | 0.039 *** |
| Symptom onset—diagnosis | ||||
| (Intercept) | 1.527 | 0.042 *** | 1.232 | 0.035 *** |
| Male | 0.040 | 0.019 * | −0.098 | 0.016 *** |
| Age | −0.400 | 0.081 *** | −0.196 | 0.059 *** |
| Age 20–60 | 0.383 | 0.031 *** | −0.389 | 0.025 *** |
| Age 60–80 | 0.284 | 0.031 *** | −0.201 | 0.026 *** |
| Nursing home: No | −0.480 | 0.038 *** | 0.062 | 0.031 * |
| Nursing home: Unknown | 0.022 | 0.019 | −0.004 | 0.016 |
| Period 21 March to 30 March | 0.181 | 0.034 *** | −0.187 | 0.030 *** |
| Period 31 March to 18 April | 0.029 | 0.036 | 0.097 | 0.032 ** |
| Period 19 April to 12 June | −0.297 | 0.047 *** | 0.545 | 0.042 *** |
Figure 1Comparison of delay distribution for different population groups. Top: delay from symptom onset to hospitalization and diagnosis; Middle: LoS for all patients and for recovered patients; Bottom: LoS for patients that died and LoS in ICU. The boxplots show the estimated and quantiles. Results are based on period 21 March to 30 March. The reported values correspond to the quantiles.
Figure A7Comparison of delay distribution for different population groups. The boxplots show the estimated and quantiles, based on Weibull regression. Results are based on the time period 01 March to 20 March (period 1), 21 March to 30 March (period 2), 31 March to 18 April (period 3) and 19 April to 12 June (period 4).
Figure A6Comparison of delay distribution for different population groups. The boxplots show the estimated and quantiles, based on a truncated Weibull regression. The time intervals are assumed interval-censored in intervals . Results are based on period 21 March to 30 March.
Figure A8Comparison of delay distribution for different population groups. The boxplots show the estimated and quantiles, based on lognormal regression. The time intervals are assumed interval-censored in intervals . Results are based on period 21 March to 30 March.
Summary of the regression of the log-mean () and log-standard deviation () parameters for the length of stay in hospital and ICU, based on the lognormal distribution: parameter estimate, standard error and significance (* corresponds to p-value; ** to p-value and *** to ). The reference group used are females of age living in nursing home that are hospitalized in the period 01 March to 20 March. A ‘/’ indicates that this variable was not included in the final model.
|
|
| |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Est | s.e. | Est | s.e. | |
| Length of stay in hospital | ||||
| (Intercept) | 2.480 | 0.035 *** | 0.913 | 0.024 *** |
| Male | 0.091 | 0.019 *** | / | / |
| Age | −1.143 | 0.067 *** | / | / |
| Age 20–60 | −0.553 | 0.024 *** | / | / |
| Age 60–80 | −0.087 | 0.023 *** | / | / |
| Period 21 March to 30 March | −0.242 | 0.034 *** | −0.008 | 0.027 |
| Period 31 March to 18 April | −0.270 | 0.034 *** | 0.017 | 0.027 |
| Period 19 April to 12 June | −0.359 | 0.038 *** | 0.087 | 0.030 ** |
| Length of stay in ICU | ||||
| (Intercept) | 2.183 | 0.152 *** | 1.052 | 0.029 *** |
| Age | −0.443 | 0.401 | / | / |
| Age 20–60 | 0.098 | 0.126 | / | / |
| Age 60–80 | 0.273 | 0.122 * | / | / |
| Nursing home: No | −0.282 | 0.147 | / | / |
| Nursing home: Unknown | −0.170 | 0.072 * | / | / |
| Period 21 March to 30 March | −0.135 | 0.112 | / | / |
| Period 31 March to 18 April | −0.186 | 0.115 | / | / |
| Period 19 April to 12 June | −0.418 | 0.151 ** | / | / |
Summary of the regression of the log-mean () and log-standard deviation () parameters for length of stay in hospital for recovered patients and patients that died, based on lognormal distribution and weibull distribution: parameter estimate, standard error and significance (* corresponds to p-value ; ** to p-value and *** to ). The reference group used are females of age living in nursing home that are hospitalized in the period 01 March to 20 March. A ‘/’ indicates that this variable was not included in the final model.
| Length of stay in hospital (reason out of hospital = recovered) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
| |||
| Est | s.e. | Est | s.e. | |
| (Intercept) | 2.724 | 0.044 *** | 0.720 | 0.024 *** |
| Male | 0.077 | 0.022 *** | / | / |
| Age | −1.074 | 0.074 *** | / | / |
| Age 20–60 | −0.625 | 0.032 *** | / | / |
| Age 60–80 | −0.231 | 0.031 *** | / | / |
| Nursing home: No | 0.261 | 0.038 *** | 0.008 | 0.031 |
| Nursing home: Unknown | 0.012 | 0.0245 | 0.099 | 0.018 *** |
| Period 21 March to 30 March | −0.307 | 0.040 *** | 0.034 | 0.027 |
| Period 31 March to 18 April | −0.326 | 0.039 *** | 0.007 | 0.027 |
| Period 19 April to 12 June | −0.388 | 0.045 *** | 0.097 | 0.031 ** |
| Length of stay in hospital (reason out of hospital = death) | ||||
|
|
| |||
| Est | s.e. | Est | s.e. | |
| (Intercept) | 2.573 | 0.070 *** | 0.842 | 0.014 *** |
| Age 20–60 | 0.372 | 0.084 *** | / | / |
| Age 60–80 | 0.162 | 0.040 *** | / | / |
| Nursing home: No | −0.383 | 0.048 *** | / | / |
| Nursing home: Unknown | −0.160 | 0.047 ** | / | / |
| Period 21 March to 30 March | −0.142 | 0.069 | / | / |
| Period 31 March to 18 April | −0.156 | 0.069 * | / | / |
| Period 19 April to 12 June | −0.189 | 0.079 * | / | / |
Summary of the reported delay time between symptom onset and hospitalization and between symptom onset and diagnosis.
| Mean | Median |
|
|
|
| N | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Symptom onset—hospitalization | ||||||||
| Overall | 5.6 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 12,364 | |
| Gender | Male | 5.9 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 6700 |
| Female | 5.2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 5664 | |
| Age | <20 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 227 |
| 20–60 | 6.8 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 4166 | |
| 60–80 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 4717 | |
| >80 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 3254 | |
| Nursing home | Yes | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 1863 |
| No | 5.9 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 5885 | |
| Unknown | 5.9 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 4605 | |
| Period | 01 March to 20 March | 4.7 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 1365 |
| 21 March to 30 March | 6.2 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 4593 | |
| 31 March to 18 April | 5.6 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 4432 | |
| 19 April to 12 June | 4.8 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 1974.0 | |
| Symptom onset—diagnosis | ||||||||
| Overall | 5.8 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 12,574 | |
| Gender | Male | 6.1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 6798 |
| Female | 5.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 5776 | |
| Age | <20 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 13.3 | 227 |
| 20–60 | 6.8 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 4131 | |
| 60–80 | 6.1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 4838 | |
| >80 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 19.6 | 3378 | |
| Nursing home | Yes | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 1745 |
| No | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 6190 | |
| Unknown | 6.3 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 4628 | |
| Period | 01 March to 20 March | 5.6 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 1629 |
| 21 March to 30 March | 6.6 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 4623 | |
| 31 March to 18 April | 5.6 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 4427 | |
| 19 April to 12 June | 4.4 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 1895 | |
Summary of the reported length of stay in hospital.
| Mean | Median |
|
|
|
| N | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Length of stay in hospital | ||||||||
| Overall | 11.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 40.0 | 11,825 | |
| Gender | Male | 11.3 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 42.0 | 6290 |
| Female | 10.7 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 38.0 | 5535 | |
| Age | <20 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 202 |
| 20–60 | 8.2 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 31.0 | 3865 | |
| 60–80 | 12.3 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 44.0 | 4425 | |
| >80 | 12.9 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 41.0 | 3333 | |
| Nursing home | Yes | 11.5 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 34.0 | 1945 |
| No | 11.1 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 43.0 | 5453 | |
| Unknown | 10.6 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 40.0 | 4421 | |
| Period | 01 March to 20 March | 14.7 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 53.0 | 1479 |
| 21 March to 30 March | 10.9 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 42.0 | 4214 | |
| 31 March to 18 April | 10.5 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 36.0 | 4300 | |
| 19 April to 12 June | 9.2 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 29.0 | 1832.0 | |
| Length of stay in ICU | ||||||||
| Overall | 12.2 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 42.7 | 1534 | |
| Gender | Male | 12.7 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 18.0 | 43.0 | 1062 |
| Female | 11.2 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 40.2 | 472 | |
| Age | <20 | 5.2 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 17.5 | 11 |
| 20–60 | 11.5 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 38.5 | 580 | |
| 60–80 | 13.3 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 19.0 | 45.0 | 796 | |
| >80 | 9.9 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 41.0 | 147 | |
| Nursing home | Yes | 8.7 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.2 | 35.9 | 96 |
| No | 13.3 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 19.0 | 46.0 | 749 | |
| Unknown | 11.5 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 41.0 | 688 | |
| Period | 01 March to 20 March | 14.1 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 45.9 | 284 |
| 21 March to 30 March | 12.8 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 18.0 | 44.0 | 691 | |
| 31 March to 18 April | 11.2 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 37.2 | 434 | |
| 19 April to 12 June | 8.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 25.9 | 125.0 | |
List of members of the Belgian Collaborative Group on COVID-19 Hospital Surveillance and affiliations.
| Name | Institution |
|---|---|
| Amir-Samy Aouachria | Centre Hospitalier Chrétien, Liège |
| Kristof Bafort | Mariaziekenhuis, Pelt |
| Leïla Belkhir | Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels |
| Nathalie Bossuyt | Sciensano |
| Vincent Colombie | Centre Hospitalier Epicura, Baudour |
| Nicolas Dauby | Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Saint-Pierre, Brussels |
| Paul De Munter | Universitair Ziekenhuis Leuven, Leuven |
| Jessika Deblonde | Sciensano |
| Didier Delmarcelle | Clinique St. Jean, Brussels |
| Mélanie Delvallee | Centre Hospitalier de Wallonie Picarde, Tournai |
| Rémy Demeester | Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Charleroi, Charleroi |
| Thierry Dugernier | Clinique Saint-Pierre, Ottignies |
| Xavier Holemans | Grand Hôpital de Charleroi, Charleroi |
| Frédéric Thys | Grand Hôpital de Charleroi, Charleroi |
| Benjamin Kerzmann | Clinique Notre Dame de Grâce, Gosselies |
| Pierre Yves Machurot | Centre Hospitalier de l’Ardenne |
| Philippe Minette | Centres Hospitaliers Jolimont |
| Jean-Marc Minon | Centre Hospitalier Régional de la Citadelle, Liège |
| Saphia Mokrane | Hôpitaux Iris Sud, Brussels |
| Catherine Nachtergal | Cliniques de l’Europe, Brussels |
| Séverine Noirhomme | Centre Hospitalier Régional de Namur |
| Denis Piérard | Universitair Ziekenhuis Brussel, Brussels |
| Camelia Rossi | Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Ambroise Paré, Mons |
| Carole Schirvel | CHIREC, Brussels |
| Erica Sermijn | A.S.Z. Ziekenhuis, Aalst |
| Frank Staelens | OLV Ziekenhuis, Aalst |
| Filip Triest | Algemeen Ziekenhuis Sint Lucas, Gent |
| Dominique Van Beckhoven | Sciensano |
| Nina Van Goethem | Sciensano |
| Jens Van Praet | Algemeen Ziekenhuis Sint Jan, Brugge-Oostende |
| Anke Vanhoenacker | Ziekenhuisnetwerk Antwerpen |
| Sarah Cooreman | Algemeen Ziekenhuis. Monica |
| Elise Willems | Algemeen Ziekenhuis Nikolaas, Sint-Niklaas |
| Chloé Wyndham-Thomas | Sciensano |