| Literature DB >> 33060261 |
Glaucia Maria Moraes Oliveira1, Antonio Luiz Pinho Ribeiro2,3, Luisa Campos Caldeira Brant4,3, Bruno Ramos Nascimento4,3, Renato Azeredo Teixeira5, Marcelo Antônio Cartaxo Queiroga Lopes6,7, Deborah Carvalho Malta8.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: During the COVID-19 pandemic, excess mortality has been reported, while hospitalisations for acute cardiovascular events reduced. Brazil is the second country with more deaths due to COVID-19. We aimed to evaluate excess cardiovascular mortality during COVID-19 pandemic in 6 Brazilian capital cities.Entities:
Keywords: acute coronary syndromes; coronary artery disease; health care delivery; stroke
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 33060261 PMCID: PMC7565269 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2020-317663
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Heart ISSN: 1355-6037 Impact factor: 5.994
Sociodemographic characteristics and total deaths in six selected Brazilian capital cities during epidemiological weeks 12–22, in 2019 and 2020
| Capital | São Paulo | Rio de Janeiro | Fortaleza | Recife | Belém | Manaus |
| Population, 2019 | 12 097 289 | 6 587 583 | 2 639 652 | 1 604 920 | 1 370 685 | 2 180 647 |
| Population, 2020 | 12 142 621 | 6 592 228 | 2 651 800 | 1 607 059 | 1 359 971 | 2 216 197 |
| HDI | 0.805 | 0.799 | 0.754 | 0.772 | 0.746 | 0.737 |
| ICU beds per 100 000 | 28.6 | 38.5 | 21.9 | 60.3 | 30.2 | 13.3 |
| Physicians per 100 000 | 353 | 329 | 251 | 407 | 234 | 167 |
| Nurses per 100 000 | 192 | 192 | 171 | 268 | 114 | 117 |
| Total deaths, 2019 | 18 046 | 13 055 | 4239 | 3165 | 2077 | 2334 |
| Total deaths rates, 2019 | 149 | 198 | 161 | 197 | 152 | 107 |
| Total deaths, 2020 | 23 738 | 18 115 | 7992 | 5440 | 4657 | 5507 |
| Total deaths rates, 2020 | 195 | 275 | 301 | 339 | 342 | 248 |
| Excess deaths | 5624 | 5051 | 3733 | 2271 | 2596 | 3135 |
| Excess deaths (%) | 31.1 (28.5 to 33.6) | 38.7 (35.6 to 41.8) | 87.7 (80.8 to 94.8) | 71.7 (64.3 to 79.3) | 126 (114.6 to 138) | 132.2 (121.2 to 143.7) |
| COVID-19 deaths | 5343 | 5277 | 3623 | 1119 | 1399 | 1116 |
| Excess deaths—COVID-19 deaths | 281 | −226 | 110 | 1152 | 1197 | 2019 |
| Excess deaths—COVID-19 deaths (%) | 1.6 (−0.5 to 3.6) | −1.7 (-4.1 to 0.7) | 2.6 (−1.7 to 7) | 36.3 (30.2 to 42.7) | 58.1 (49.6 to 67) | 85.1 (76 to 94.6) |
HDI, human development index; ICU, intensive care unit.;
Hierarchical data mining procedure to assess natural causes of death in the death certificate to define one cause per death, and other related conditions
| Condition | Hierarchical definition |
| 1 | Mention of COVID-19, coronavirus: considered as ‘COVID-19’ (suspected or confirmed). |
| 1.1 | Mention of ACS/infarction, associated with COVID-19, coronavirus: considered as ‘ACS with COVID-19’. |
| 1.2 | Mention of stroke (ischaemic or haemorrhagic), associated with COVID-19: considered as ‘stroke with COVID-19’. |
| 2 | Mention of severe acute respiratory syndrome: considered as ‘SARS’. |
| 3 | Mention of ACS/infarction not associated with COVID-19, coronavirus: considered as ‘ACS without COVID-19’ (ACS). |
| 4 | Mention of stroke (ischaemic of haemorrhagic) not associated with COVID-19, considered ‘stroke without COVID-19’ (stroke). |
| 5 | Mention of pneumonia associated with non-cardiovascular causes (excluding those listed above): considered as ‘pneumonia’. |
| 6 | Mention of an undetermined cause, sudden death or cardiorespiratory arrest, associated with arterial hypertension, diabetes mellitus, pulmonary embolism, heart failure, dilated cardiomyopathy, pulmonary oedema, atrioventricular block, cardiac arrhythmia, supraventricular tachycardia, ventricular tachycardia, fibrillation atrial, bradycardia: considered ‘unreported cause associated with cardiovascular disease’. |
| 7 | Mention of ‘sudden death’: considered ‘sudden death’. |
| 8 | Mention of cardiogenic shock, associated with ischaemic disease, was considered ‘cardiogenic shock associated with ischaemic disease’. |
| 9 | Mention of sepsis as the only reported cause: considered as ‘sepsis’. |
| 10 | Mention of respiratory failure as the only reported cause: considered as ‘respiratory failure’. |
| 11 | Mention of indeterminate cause as the only reported cause: considered as ‘indeterminate cause’. |
| 12 | Death not classified under any of the previous conditions: considered as ‘other cause’. |
Figure 1Horizontal bar graphs with mortality per predefined causes (from the data mining algorithm, including cardiovascular causes), per selected Brazilian capital city, in 2019 and 2020.
Cardiovascular (CV), acute coronary syndromes (ACS), stroke and unspecified CV deaths in six selected Brazilian capital cities during epidemiological weeks 12–22, in 2019 and 2020
| Capital | São Paulo | Rio de Janeiro | Fortaleza | Recife | Belém | Manaus |
| Total CV deaths, 2019 | 3489 | 2791 | 803 | 627 | 452 | 439 |
| Total CV deaths, 2020 | 3857 | 2596 | 908 | 669 | 644 | 652 |
| Excess in total CV deaths | 355 | −197 | 101 | 41 | 196 | 206 |
| Excess in total CV deaths (%) | 10.1 (5.2 to 15.3) | −7.1 | 12.6 | 6.6 | 43.6 (27.3 to 62) | 46.1 (29.5 to 64.9) |
| ACS deaths, 2019 | 1699 | 1330 | 297 | 260 | 203 | 98 |
| ACS deaths, 2020 | 1238 | 1062 | 206 | 135 | 254 | 124 |
| Excess in ACS deaths | −467 | −269 | −92 | −125 | 53 | 24 |
| Excess in ACS deaths (%) | −27.4 | −20.2 | −31 | −48.1 | 26.1 (4.9 to 51.7) | 24.5 |
| Stroke deaths, 2019 | 1096 | 420 | 339 | 223 | 175 | 159 |
| Stroke deaths, 2020 | 1068 | 392 | 327 | 186 | 217 | 186 |
| Excess in stroke deaths | −32 | −28 | −14 | −37 | 43 | 24 |
| Excess in stroke deaths (%) | −2.9 | −6.7 | -4 | −16.7 | 25 (2.4 to 52.5) | 15.1 |
| Acute CV deaths, 2019 | 2795 | 1750 | 636 | 483 | 378 | 257 |
| Acute CV deaths, 2020 | 2306 | 1454 | 533 | 321 | 471 | 310 |
| Excess in specified CV deaths | −499 | −297 | −106 | −163 | 96 | 49 |
| Excess in specified CV deaths (%) | −17.8 | −17 | −16.6 | −33.6 | 25.6 (9.7 to 43.8) | 18.7 (0.6 to 40) |
| Unspecified CV deaths, 2019 | 694 | 1041 | 167 | 144 | 74 | 182 |
| Unspecified CV deaths, 2020 | 1551 | 1142 | 375 | 348 | 173 | 342 |
| Excess in unspecified CV deaths | 854 | 100 | 207 | 204 | 100 | 157 |
| Excess in unspecified CV deaths (%) | 122.7 (103.6 to 143.5) | 9.6 | 123.5 (86.3 to 168.2) | 141.3 (98.7 to 193.1) | 135.6 (79.5 to 209.4) | 84.9 (54.5 to 121.3) |
Specified CV deaths were defined as ACS+stroke.
95% CI for per cent measures are reported in brackets.
ACS, acute coronary syndrome.
Figure 2Per cent change with 95% CIs between the observed and expected number of deaths in 2020 for specified cardiovascular deaths (acute coronary syndromes and stroke) and unspecified cardiovascular diseases per selected six capital cities.
Figure 3Map of Brazil showing the six capital cities with higher number of COVID-19 deaths from epidemiological weeks 12–22 in 2020. The boxes summarise the main findings for each capital city comparing observed with expected deaths in 2020, in the period cited above: excess mortality, change in specified cardiovascular (CV) deaths (acute coronary syndromes (ACS) plus stroke), and change in unspecified CV deaths. Data are reported as % and 95% CIs.
Figure 4(A) Total number of observed and expected hospital deaths in 2020 and deaths associated with COVID-19 and SARS in 2020. (B) Total number of observed and expected home deaths in 2020 and deaths associated with COVID-19 and SARS in 2020.
Figure 5Correlation between home deaths and deaths from unspecified cardiovascular causes by epidemiological week (coloured dots) in six selected Brazilian capital cities in 2020.