| Literature DB >> 33046049 |
Jean Claude Udahemuka1,2, Gabriel Oluga Aboge3,4, George Ogello Obiero3, Phiyani Justice Lebea5, Joshua Orungo Onono4, Massimo Paone6.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Identification of risk factors is crucial in Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) control especially in endemic countries. In Rwanda, almost all outbreaks of Foot-and-Mouth Disease Virus (FMDV) have started in Eastern Rwanda. Identifying the risk factors in this area will support government control efforts. This study was carried out to identify and map different risk factors for the incursion, spread and persistence of FMDV in Eastern Rwanda. Questionnaires were administered during farm visits to establish risk factors for FMD outbreaks. Descriptive statistical measures were determined and odds ratios were calculated to determine the effects of risk factors on the occurrence of FMD. Quantum Geographic Information System (QGIS) was used to produce thematic maps on the proportion of putative risk factors for FMD per village.Entities:
Keywords: Eastern Rwanda; Foot-and-mouth disease; Foot-and-mouth disease spread; Geospatial; Maps; QGIS; Risk factors
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2020 PMID: 33046049 PMCID: PMC7552508 DOI: 10.1186/s12917-020-02610-1
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Vet Res ISSN: 1746-6148 Impact factor: 2.741
Multivariable model for risk factors for the occurrence of FMD outbreaks in herds raised in Eastern Rwanda
| Parameter description | Estimate | Standard error | Significance | Odds ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | 1.964 | 0.1336 | 0 | 7.13 |
| Vaccinate calves under 12 months | − 0.347 | 0.1738 | 0.046 | 0.707 |
| Not vaccinating calves under 12 months | 0 |
Fig. 1a: Map showing the proportion of farms where small ruminants are kept together with cattle per village (map created using QGIS v. 2.18.22 (https://qgis.org/downloads/)). b: Map showing the proportion of farms practising semi zero-grazing and free-ranging in each village (map created using QGIS v. 2.18.22 (https://qgis.org/downloads/)). c: Map showing the proportion of how farms are adjacent to each other in each village (map created using QGIS v. 2.18.22 (https://qgis.org/downloads/)). d: Map showing proportion of the non-fenced farms in each village (map created using QGIS v. 2.18.22 (https://qgis.org/downloads/))
Univariable model for risk factors for the occurrence of FMD outbreaks in herds raised in Eastern Rwanda
| Parameter description | Estimate | Standard error | Significance | Odds ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural breeding | 0.486 | 0.3876 | 0.21 | 1.626 |
| Artificial insemination | 0 | |||
| Vaccinate calves under 12 months | − 0.347 | 0.1738 | 0.046 | 0.707 |
| Not vaccinating calves under 12 months | 0 | |||
| Presence of small ruminants | 0.406 | 0.291 | 0.163 | 1.501 |
| Absence of small ruminants | 0 | |||
| Farm adjacent to another | −0.257 | 0.583 | 0.659 | 0.773 |
| Farm isolated | 0 | |||
| Not zero-grazing | −0.204 | 0.186 | 0.274 | 0.816 |
| Zero-grazing | 0 | |||
| Farm fenced | −0.255 | 0.712 | 0.720 | 0.775 |
| Farm not fenced | 0 | |||
| Farm adjacent to the park | −1.255 | 0.571 | 0.028 | 0.285 |
| Farm not adjacent to the park | 0 |
The proportion of farms for each farming systems practised in Nyagatare and Gatsibo districts of Eastern Rwanda and the impact on FMD outbreaks
| Farming system | ||
|---|---|---|
| Zero-grazing | Semi zero-grazing | |
| Number of farms (%) | ||
| At least one outbreak in the last 5 years | ||
| Yes | 16/40 (40) | 20/102 (19.6) |
| No | 24/40 (60) | 82/102 (80.4) |
| Total | 40 (27.97) | 102 (71.33) |
Fig. 2Map showing the proportion of farms at the interface with ANP per village in Eastern Rwanda (map created using QGIS v. 2.18.22 (https://qgis.org/downloads/))