| Literature DB >> 33024355 |
Sonal Khurana1, Abid Haleem2, Sunil Luthra3, Donald Huisingh4, Bisma Mannan5.
Abstract
COVID-19 is the pandemic caused by one of the coronaviruses. This virus was not known before the outbreak in Wuhan, China, in December 2019. By January of 2020 it was declared to be a global human health crisis. The deaths and illnesses caused by the virus caused extensive fear and anxiety among people in all societies. The pandemic slowed economic activities nearly to a halt. The challenges of how companies should respond to the disruptions in their supply chains and how they can build more resilient systems, must be systematically addressed. The authors of this paper highlighted essential factors which can help companies to overcome this crisis and other types of crises, by learning from the approaches taken in India, which has a unique and diverse economic system. The Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) technique was used to identify the essential factors which can help companies to improve their resilience so they can recover during and after the COVID-19 pandemic era and potentially in other similar complex crises. The results of the AHP evaluation were prioritized by performing a sensitivity analysis to prioritise the essential factors. The "Role of governance" was found to be the most important factor that can be used to help in rebuilding industries and societies and in helping them to become more resilient to future severe shocks. The results of this research were used to develop recommendations for company managers, practitioners and policy-makers. The authors hope that this advice will help India to become a stronger nation with more resilient companies, which are better prepared to anticipate and to respond to future crises. We hope people in other nations will also benefit from the finding presented in this paper.Entities:
Keywords: Analytical hierarchy process (AHP); And medium enterprises (MSMEs); COVID-19; Disruption in supply chain; International labour organisation (ILO); Micro; Small; Sustainability
Year: 2020 PMID: 33024355 PMCID: PMC7529396 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.124466
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Clean Prod ISSN: 0959-6526 Impact factor: 9.297
Fig. 1Global deaths due to COVID-19 (Source:https://www.cochranetoday.ca/beyond-local/bar-chart-race-shows-rapid-rise-of-global-covid-19-deaths-2412222, accessed on 26th August 2020).
Key factors for industries to overcome the impacts of COVID-19 and to make positive contributions to more sustainable, equitable, post-COVID-19, post fossil carbon societies.
| S No. | Factors | Discussion | Sub factors |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Economics, trade and commerce | Efforts to revive the industries can be made through banks and special financial aid packages provided by Government | Support to industries & customers extended through banks Additional loans are required for enabling MSMEs and stressed sectors for overcoming the loss of businesses National economic and investment policies are to be favoured Emphasis should be on the creation of supply-chains integrated within geographical boundaries |
| 2. | IT preparedness | Advanced IT infrastructure commensurate to new needs | IT infrastructure and its reach Capacity-building for updating industrial technologies Improved training of the workforce and ensuring its availability The customised facility, latest technologies & cyber security tools for MSMEs |
| 3. | Roles of governance | Roles of governance is paramount for the revival of industries in post-COVID-19 | Provide Economic stimulus packages to provide low-cost money to industries to help them to restart Targeted social security programmes for those below the poverty line Close cooperation of Government and industry to improve efficiency and resilience of production and supply chain management issues Measures are to be adopted to ensure demand for locally produced products, i.e. produced in India Strong and quick decision-making and effective implementation of the selected approaches New norms for personal Hygiene and sanitation New healthcare norms |
| 4. | Supply chain and logistics | Facilitate the barrier-free movements of goods and services so that timely delivery can be accomplished within the country. The focus should be to overcome intra-country barriers. | Smooth movement of goods and services across all supply chains Smooth movement of workers should be a priority Smooth movement of essential goods Comprehensive and excellent quality healthcare facility to be provided |
| 5. | Industry protocol | New norms which have to be followed by industries to facilitate the restart and resilience in the likelihood of similar or far worse crises. | The safe return of workers to the workplace Organise standard operating procedures on modes to commute that will allow social distancing Shift management Flexible production size Workers safety and health to be the paramount agenda Transparency Welfare scheme and its effective implementation |
| 6. | Environmental issues | Drastic reduction in pollution level is observed, i.e. the planet revives with no humans into play | New environmental assessment models and norms Pollution is made from industrial production and mankind consumption level has been reduced. Newer energy sources, renewable sources of energy Energy-efficient devices to be used |
| 7. | Capacity building | Capacity building helps in easy incorporation of the technology | Industries must focus on realignment, retraining and re-skilling of their employees Digitisation, automation and artificial intelligence will have to be accelerated in every stream. Hands-on training on automation and artificial intelligence is required so that the future of societies is secured. Jobs under MGNREGA (Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act) should be increased so that the workers who have returned to their home towns can also obtain employment. |
| 8. | Change management | Stakeholders to be prepared mentally and trained to take the new normal | The morale of the workers should be boosted by giving them assurance that their health is the priority of the company; by removing the fear of the disease and by providing them a liveable wage, even when the company is temporarily ‘closed.’ Training for the “new normal” Psychological issues and management Awareness to be created amongst individuals on the importance of maintaining hygiene Safety of the consumers is to be ensured |
| 9. | Organisational culture | Change management facilitates effective implementation of the efforts taken by the government | Organisational should coalesce as a team for sailing through this complex environment Wearing the masks has to be made compulsory inside the premises Proper hygiene in the toilet area and near the work area is to be ensured The regular medical check-up should be conducted inside the premises of the industries The commitment of the top management to ensure the safety & well-being of the workforce which includes all of the workers in reverse and forward supply chains. |
Fig. 2The research flowchart of this paper.
Fig. 3AHP framework for identifying essential factors for rebuilding the industries in the post COVID-19 pandemic era.
Average random consistency index (RI) based on matrix size (Thanki et al., 2016).
| N | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.89 | 1.11 | 1.25 | 1.35 | 1.40 | 1.45 | 1.49 |
Description of the experts who took part in the analyses.
| Experts | Description | Industry Type | Experience |
|---|---|---|---|
| Expert 1 | Professor and subject expert | Academic | More than 12 years |
| Expert 2 | Professor and subject expert | Academic | More than 15 years |
| Expert 3 | CEO | Manufacturing | More than 20 years |
| Expert 4 | CEO | Manufacturing | More than 20 years |
| Expert 5 | Manager | Automotive | More than 10 years |
| Expert 6 | Senior Manager | Manufacturing | More than 15 years |
| Expert 7 | Assistant General Manager, Quality | Manufacturing | More than 10 years |
| Expert 8 | Mechanical Engineer | Manufacturing | More than 12 years |
| Expert 9 | Medical Doctor | CGHS Dispensary | More than 20 years |
| Expert 10 | Medical Doctor | Apollo Hospital | More than 15 years |
Pairwise comparison matrix of CFs.
| Factors | ETC | IT | RG | SCL | IP | EI | CB | CM | OC | WEIGHT | RANK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETC | 1 | 1/4 | 1/5 | 1/3 | 3 | 2 | 1/3 | ¼ | 1/3 | 0.0450359 | 7 |
| IT | – | 1 | 1/4 | 1/3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0.144461 | 3 |
| RG | – | – | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0.301093 | 1 |
| SCL | – | – | – | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0.171616 | 2 |
| IP | – | – | – | – | 1 | 1/2 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 0.0289235 | 9 |
| EI | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 1/2 | ¼ | 1/3 | 0.0370584 | 8 |
| CB | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 1/3 | ½ | 0.0638748 | 6 |
| CM | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 3 | 0.126623 | 4 |
| OC | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 0.081314 | 5 |
Maximum Eigen Value = 9.7592; C.I. = 0.0949.
Fig. 4Weight of individual factors.
Local and global weights of CFs categories and specific factors. Global weights are attained by multiplication of the relative weight of factor category values with the relative weights of each specific factor.
| Factors | Weight | Sub Factors | Local Weight | Local Rank | Global Weight | Global Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Trade & Commerce (ETC) | 0.0450 | Support to industry & customer extended through banks (ETC1) | 0.447 | 1 | 0.020 | 19 |
| Additional Loans required (ETC2) | 0.282 | 2 | 0.013 | 27 | ||
| Nationalistic economic and investment policies favoured (ETC3) | 0.164 | 3 | 0.0074 | 33 | ||
| Creation of supply chains integrated within geographical boundaries (ETC4) | 0.106 | 4 | 0.005 | 36 | ||
| IT Preparedness (IT) | 0.144 | IT infrastructure and its reach (IT1) | 0.443 | 1 | 0.064 | 4 |
| Capacity building (IT2) | 0.183 | 3 | 0.026 | 15 | ||
| Trained manpower (IT3) | 0.096 | 4 | 0.014 | 24 | ||
| Customised facility, latest technologies & cyber security tools (IT4) | 0.278 | 2 | 0.040 | 9 | ||
| Role of governance (RG) | 0.301 | Economic stimulus package to be provided (RG1) | 0.224 | 2 | 0.067 | 3 |
| Social security programmes for the vulnerable (RG2) | 0.274 | 1 | 0.082 | 1 | ||
| Cooperation of Government and industry (RG3) | 0.175 | 3 | 0.053 | 5 | ||
| Measures to ensure demand (RG4) | 0.115 | 4 | 0.035 | 10 | ||
| Quick decision making (RG5) | 0.042 | 7 | 0.013 | 26 | ||
| Norms for personal Hygiene (RG6) | 0.104 | 5 | 0.031 | 12 | ||
| New healthcare norms (RG7) | 0.066 | 6 | 0.020 | 20 | ||
| Supply Chain & Logistics (SCL) | 0.172 | Smooth movement of goods and services across the supply chain (SCL1) | 0.164 | 3 | 0.028 | 14 |
| Smooth movement of workers should be a priority (SCL2) | 0.283 | 2 | 0.048 | 7 | ||
| Smooth movement of essential goods (SCL3) | 0.447 | 1 | 0.076 | 2 | ||
| Comprehensive and excellent quality healthcare facility to be provided (SCL4) | 0.106 | 4 | 0.018 | 21 | ||
| Industry Protocol (IP) | 0.028 | The safe return of workers to the workplace (IP1) | 0.269 | 2 | 0.007 | 32 |
| Organise standard operating procedures (IP2) | 0.294 | 1 | 0.008 | 30 | ||
| Shift management (IP3) | 0.078 | 5 | 0.002 | 40 | ||
| Flexible production size (IP4) | 0.048 | 6 | 0.001 | 41 | ||
| Workers safety and health (IP5) | 0.149 | 3 | 0.004 | 37 | ||
| Transparency (IP6) | 0.039 | 7 | 0.001 | 42 | ||
| Welfare scheme (IP7) | 0.120 | 4 | 0.003 | 39 | ||
| Environmental Issues (EI) | 0.037 | New environmental assessment models (EI1) | 0.277 | 2 | 0.010 | 28 |
| Pollution has been reduced (EI2) | 0.467 | 1 | 0.017 | 22 | ||
| Newer energy sources (EI3) | 0.095 | 4 | 0.003 | 38 | ||
| Energy-efficient devices to be used (EI4) | 0.160 | 3 | 0.005 | 34 | ||
| Capacity Building (CB) | 0.063 | The focus should be on realignment, retraining and re-skilling of the employees (CB1) | 0.666 | 1 | 0.042 | 8 |
| Digitisation, automation and artificial intelligence will have to be accelerated in every stream (CB2) | 0.333 | 2 | 0.021 | 17 | ||
| Change Management (CM) | 0.126 | The morale of the workers to be boosted& fear to be removed (CM1) | 0.401 | 1 | 0.050 | 6 |
| Training for new normal (CM2) | 0.070 | 5 | 0.008 | 29 | ||
| Psychological issues and management (CM3) | 0.163 | 3 | 0.020 | 18 | ||
| Awareness to be created (CM4) | 0.124 | 4 | 0.015 | 23 | ||
| Safety of the consumers is to be ensured (CM5) | 0.239 | 2 | 0.030 | 13 | ||
| Organisation Culture (OC) | 0.081 | Organisational should coalesce as a team (OC1) | 0.268 | 2 | .021 | 16 |
| Wearing of the masks should be made mandatory (OC2) | 0.164 | 3 | 0.013 | 25 | ||
| Proper hygiene to be ensured (OC3) | 0.072 | 5 | 0.005 | 35 | ||
| A regular medical check-up should be conducted (OC4) | 0.099 | 4 | 0.008 | 31 | ||
| The commitment of the top management (OC5) | 0.395 | 1 | 0.032 | 11 |
Values of other factors after changing the RG values from 0.1 to 0.9.
| Factors | Values | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0450 | 0.0579 | 0.0515 | 0.04510 | 0.0386 | 0.03221 | 0.0257 | 0.01933 | 0.0128 | 0.0064 | |
| 0.1444 | 0.1860 | 0.16535 | 0.1446 | 0.12401 | 0.1033 | 0.0826 | 0.0620 | 0.0413 | 0.0206 | |
| 0.3010 | 0.1000 | 0.2000 | 0.3000 | 0.4000 | 0.5000 | 0.6000 | 0.7000 | 0.8000 | 0.9000 | |
| 0.1716 | 0.2210 | 0.1964 | 0.1718 | 0.1473 | 0.1227 | 0.09821 | 0.07366 | 0.04910 | 0.02455 | |
| 0.0289 | 0.0372 | 0.0331 | 0.0289 | 0.0248 | 0.0206 | 0.0165 | 0.01241 | 0.00827 | 0.0041 | |
| 0.0370 | 0.0477 | 0.0424 | 0.0371 | 0.0318 | 0.0265 | 0.0212 | 0.0159 | 0.0106 | 0.0053 | |
| 0.0638 | 0.0822 | 0.07311 | 0.0639 | 0.0548 | 0.0456 | 0.0365 | 0.0274 | 0.0182 | 0.0091 | |
| 0.1266 | 0.1630 | 0.14493 | 0.1268 | 0.10870 | 0.0905 | 0.0724 | 0.0543 | 0.0362 | 0.0181 | |
| 0.08131 | 0.104 | 0.0930 | 0.0814 | 0.0698 | 0.0581 | 0.0465 | 0.03490 | 0.0232 | 0.0116 |
ETC: Economic Trade & Commerce; IT: Information Technology Preparedness; RG: Role of governance; SCL: Supply Chain & Logistics; IP: Industry Protocol; EI: Environmental Issues; CB: Capacity Building; CM: Change Management; OC: Organisation Culture.
Fig. 5Values of other factors after changing RG values from 0.1 to 0.9.
Ranking of sub factors when increasing RG values from 0.1 to 0.9.
| Sub factors | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.301093 (Normal) | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETC1 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 19 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
| ETC2 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 |
| ETC3 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 |
| ETC4 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 |
| IT1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| IT2 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| IT3 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| IT4 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| RG1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| RG2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| RG3 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| RG4 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| RG5 | 25 | 19 | 15 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| RG6 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| RG7 | 21 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| SCL1 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| SCL2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| SCL3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| SCL4 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 21 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| IP1 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 |
| IP2 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 30 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 |
| IP3 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 |
| IP4 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 |
| IP5 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 37 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 |
| IP6 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 |
| IP7 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 |
| EI1 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 |
| EI2 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 22 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
| EI3 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 38 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 |
| EI4 | 35 | 35 | 35 | 34 | 35 | 35 | 35 | 35 | 35 | 35 |
| CB1 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
| CB2 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 |
| CM1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| CM2 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 29 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
| CM3 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
| CM4 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
| CM5 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| OC1 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
| OC2 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
| OC3 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 35 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 |
| OC4 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 31 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
| OC5 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 11 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
Fig. 6Ranking for Factors when the increasing weight of “Role of governance” factor is changed from 0.1 to 0.9.
Fig. 7Dimensions “Corona Warriors,” need to address to help in building resilient industries within the “New Normal Society.”