| Literature DB >> 33023905 |
Moman A Mohammad1, Sasha Koul1, Göran K Olivecrona1, Matthias Gӧtberg1, Patrik Tydén1, Erik Rydberg1, Fredrik Scherstén1, Joakim Alfredsson2, Peter Vasko3, Elmir Omerovic4, Oskar Angerås4, Ole Fröbert5, Fredrik Calais5, Sebastian Völz4, Anders Ulvenstam6, Dimitrios Venetsanos7, Troels Yndigegn1, Jonas Oldgren8, Giovanna Sarno8, Per Grimfjärd9, Jonas Persson10, Nils Witt11, Ellen Ostenfeld12, Bertil Lindahl8, Stefan K James8, David Erlinge13.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Most reports on the declining incidence of myocardial infarction (MI) during the COVID-19 have either been anecdotal, survey results or geographically limited to areas with lockdowns. We examined the incidence of MI during the COVID-19 pandemic in Sweden, which has remained an open society with a different public health approach fighting COVID-19.Entities:
Keywords: acute myocardial infarction; epidemiology
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 33023905 PMCID: PMC7677488 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2020-317685
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Heart ISSN: 1355-6037 Impact factor: 5.994
Baseline characteristics
| Total | All counties | Stockholm only | |||||
| Control period | Pandemic | P value | Control period | Pandemic | P value | ||
| N (%) | 17 656 | 15 213 (86.2) | 2443 (13.8) | 2597 (87.0) | 387 (13.0) | ||
| Age (years), median (IQR) | 70 (61–77) | 70 (61–77) | 70 (61–77) | 0.25 | 68 (59–76) | 68 (59–75) | 0.36 |
| Men, n (%) | 11 894 (67.4) | 10 248 (67.4) | 1646 (67.4) | 0.99 | 1805 (69.5) | 274 (70.8) | 0.60 |
| Women, n (%) | 5762 (32.6) | 4965 (32.6) | 797 (32.6) | 792 (30.5) | 113 (29.2) | ||
| BMI, median (IQR) | 26.8 (24.2–30.9) | 26.8 (24.2–30.0) | 26.9 (24.3–30.1) | 0.08 | 26.8 (24.2–30.0) | 26.9 (24.1–30.1) | 0.98 |
| Current smoker, n (%) | 3376 (19.1) | 2928 (19.3) | 448 (18.3) | 0.57 | 507 (19.5) | 69 (17.8) | 0.26 |
| Medical history | |||||||
| Diabetes, n (%) | 3804 (21.6) | 3277 (21.5) | 527 (21.6) | 0.09 | 594 (22.9) | 81 (20.9) | 0.46 |
| Hypertension, n (%) | 10 329 (59.1) | 8967 (58.9) | 1462 (59.8) | 0.04 | 1529 (58.9) | 221 (57.1) | 0.2 |
| Hyperlipidaemia, n (%) | 6972 (39.5) | 6043 (39.7) | 929 (38.0) | 0.03 | 990 (38.1) | 131 (33.9) | 0.26 |
| MI, n (%) | 3801 (21.5) | 3322 (21.8) | 479 (19.6) | ≤0.001 | 583 (22.5) | 77 (19.9) | 0.15 |
| PCI, n (%) | 3099 (17.6) | 2659 (17.5) | 449 (18.0) | 0.66 | 451 (17.4) | 72 (18.6) | 0.55 |
| CABG, n (%) | 1140 (6.5) | 1014 (6.7) | 126 (5.2) | 0.002 | 167 (6.4) | 15 (3.9) | 0.005 |
| In-hospital characteristics | |||||||
| STEMI, n (%) | 6713 (38.0) | 5814 (38.2) | 899 (36.8) | 0.18 | 933 (35.9) | 144 (37.2) | 0.62 |
| NSTEMI, n (%) | 10 943 (62.0) | 9399 (61.8) | 1544 (63.2) | 0.18 | 1664 (64.1) | 243 (62.8) | 0.62 |
| STEMI after cardiac arrest, n (%) | 310 (1.8) | 270 (1.8) | 40 (1.6) | 0.63 | 53 (2.0) | 7 (1.8) | 0.76 |
| Time from symptom to PCI (min), median (IQR) | 930 (200–2461) | 931 (200–2495) | 820 (198–2130) | 0.04 | 948 (180–2299) | 797 (225–1822) | 0.55 |
| Time from first ECG to PCI (min), median (IQR) | 650 (83–1890) | 646 (83–1926) | 582 (79–1599) | 0.01 | 721 (77–1725) | 806 (77–1527) | 0.59 |
| Duty hours, n (%) | 10 806 (61.2) | 9281 (61.0) | 1525 (62.4) | 0.11 | 1649 (63.5) | 231 (59.7) | 0.003 |
| Killip class, n (%) | |||||||
| 1 | 14 221 (80.5) | 12 234 (80.4) | 1987 (81.3) | 0.29 | 1895 (73.0) | 293 (75.7) | 0.83 |
| 2 | 562 (3.2) | 489 (3.2) | 73 (3.0) | 84 (3.2) | 11 (2.8) | ||
| 3 | 164 (0.9) | 150 (1.0) | 14 (0.6) | 27 (1.0) | 3 (0.8) | ||
| 4 | 256 (1.5) | 218 (1.4) | 38 (1.6) | 45 (1.7) | 7 (1.8) | ||
| High-sensitivity troponin T (ng/L), median (IQR) | 560 (155–2133) | 574 (157–2144) | 538 (146–2210) | 0.85 | 578 (152–2289) | 516 (126–2310) | 0.70 |
| Angiographic findings, n (%) | |||||||
| Normal/atheromatosis | 2622 (14.9) | 2211 (14.5) | 411 (16.8) | ≤0.001 | 466 (17.9) | 71 (18.4) | 0.26 |
| 1VD not LM | 6553 (37.1) | 5611 (37.9) | 942 (38.6) | 990 (38.1) | 165 (42.6) | ||
| 2VD not LM | 4012 (22.7) | 3444 (22.6) | 568 (23.3) | 521 (20.1) | 79 (20.4) | ||
| 3VD not LM | 3059 (17.3) | 2710 (17.8) | 349 (14.3) | 417 (16.1) | 46 (11.9) | ||
| LM or LM including 1-3VD | 1376 (7.8) | 1210 (8.0) | 166 (6.8) | 199 (7.7) | 25 (6.5) | ||
| PCI, n (%) | 11 696 (66.2) | 10 049 (66.1) | 1647 (67.4) | 0.19 | 1651 (63.6) | 261 (67.4) | 0.14 |
| Primary decision CABG, n (%) | 1017 (5.8) | 911 (6.0) | 106 (4.3) | ≤0.001 | 114 (4.4) | 8 (2.1) | 0.03 |
BMI, body mass index; CABG, coronary artery bypass grafting; LM, left main coronary artery; MI, myocardial infarction; NSTEMI, non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction; PCI, percutaneous coronary intervention; STEMI, ST-elevation myocardial infarction; VD, vessel disease.
Figure 1Incidence rate of myocardial infarction (MI) interventions and COVID-19 in Sweden as well as its capital city Stockholm. (A) Visualises the incidence rate of MI for each 7-day period during COVID-19 pandemic (1 March–May 2020) and the reference period (1 March 1–7 May, the years 2015–2019) together with the incidence of COVID-19 in Sweden. The incidence of MI is presented as daily incidence (absolute numbers) and the incidence rate per 100 000 inhabitants per year in brackets. (B) Visualised the same information but for Stockholm county. A clear decline in MI incidence can be observed since the beginning of the pandemic both nationwide and isolated to Stockholm. On 12 April, a national campaign was launched throughout major newspapers, television channels, on the web and social media, aimed to inform and encourage patients with symptoms suggestive of MI to seek medical care. The inflow of patients with MI returned to typical levels both nationally as well as in Stockholm by 7 May 2020 reflecting how adequate countermeasures can reverse the indirect effects of COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare-seeking behaviour.
Figure 2Results of primary, secondary and subgroup analyses. Forest plot showing the incidence rate ratios (IRRs) of myocardial infarction (MI) during COVID-19 pandemic in Sweden compared with the reference period together with absolute number during the given time period (COVID-19 pandemic vs reference period). The daily incidence rate in absolute numbers can be calculated by dividing events by days at risk (COVID-19 pandemic=68; reference period=340). A conversion formula and calculation example to convert daily incidence rates to incidence rate per 100 000 inhabitants can be found in the online supplemental material. AMI, acute myocardial infarction; NSTEMI, non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction; STEMI, ST-elevation myocardial infarction.
Figure 31-survival graph showing case fatality within 7 days during the pandemic compared with the reference period. (A) shows the failure estimates for the entire population stratified by pandemic and reference period together with results from Cox proportional regression models. No difference in case fatality can be observed. (B) shows the failure estimates for Stockholm county stratified by pandemic and reference period together with results from Cox proportional regression models. The adjusted models were adjusted for baseline differences found in table 1 except for time from symptom onset and first ECG to percutaneous coronaryintervention.
Quality of care indicators stratified on STEMI and NSTEMI
| Quality of care indicators | STEMI | NSTEMI | ||||
| Reference period | Pandemic | P value | Reference period | Pandemic | P value | |
| Sweden | ||||||
| Time from symtom to PCI (min), median (IQR) | 190 (122–385) | 191 (116–401) | 0.45 | 2070 (1260–3780) | 1825 (1069–2986) | <0.001 |
| Time from first ECG to PCI (min), median (IQR) | 75 (53–119) | 70 (48–105) | 0.02 | 1600 (959–2986) | 1422 (855–2430) | <0.001 |
| High-sensitivity troponin T (ng/L), median (IQR) | 1955 (596–4853) | 2186 (516–5407) | 0.23 | 282 (109–799) | 271 (99–730) | 0.57 |
| PCI, n (%) | 4788 (82.4) | 769 (85.5) | 0.019 | 5261 (56.0) | 878 (56.9) | 0.51 |
| Stockhholm | ||||||
| Quality of care indicators | ||||||
| Time from symptom to PCI (min), median (IQR) | 180 (110–390) | 180 (112–343) | 0.94 | 1968 (1259–3570) | 1570 (1057–2980) | 0.08 |
| Time from first ECG contact to PCI (min), median (IQR) | 64 (45–115) | 57 (41–95) | 0.13 | 1504 (930–2819) | 1377 (878–2263) | 0.06 |
| High-sensitivity troponin T (ng/L), median (IQR) | 2485 (893–5235) | 2690 (766–7340) | 0.28 | 229 (90–657) | 179 (72–671) | 0.30 |
| PCI, n (%) | 754 (80.8) | 120 (83.3) | 0.47 | 897 (53.9) | 141 (58.0) | 0.23 |
NSTEMI, non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction; PCI, percutaneous coronary intervention; STEMI, ST-elevation myocardial infarction.