| Literature DB >> 32974205 |
Jiahao Gao1, Fang Han1, Yingying Jin1, Xiaoshuang Wang1, Jiawen Zhang1.
Abstract
PURPOSE: To construct and verify a CT-based multidimensional nomogram for the evaluation of lymph node (LN) status in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).Entities:
Keywords: contrast-enhanced computed tomography; nomogram; pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma; radiomics; texture analysis
Year: 2020 PMID: 32974205 PMCID: PMC7482654 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2020.01654
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
FIGURE 1Radiomics workflow.
Characteristics of patients in the training and validation cohorts.
| Characteristics | Training cohort ( | Validation cohort ( | ||||
| LN Metastasis(+) | LN Metastasis(−) | LN Metastasis(+) | LN Metastasis(−) | |||
| Age, mean ± SD | 64.1 ± 8.6 | 62.2 ± 9.6 | 0.260 | 64.8 ± 10.3 | 62.2 ± 9.4 | 0.364 |
| Sex, No(%) | ||||||
| Male | 42 (58.3) | 22 (44.9) | 0.205 | 19 (63.3) | 11 (52.4) | 0.622 |
| Female | 30 (41.7) | 27 (55.1) | 11 (36.7) | 10 (47.6) | ||
| CA-199 level, No(%) | ||||||
| Normal | 11 (15.3) | 11 (22.4) | 0.444 | 12 (40.0) | 2 (9.5) | 0.037 |
| Abnormal | 61 (84.7) | 38 (77.6) | 18 (60.0) | 19 (90.5) | ||
| Tumor size on CT (cm) | 3.3 ± 1.4 | 3.7 ± 1.7 | 0.267 | 3.4 ± 1.3 | 4.1 ± 2.1 | 0.141 |
| Primary site | ||||||
| Head and neck | 40 (55.6) | 31 (63.3) | 0.511 | 14 (46.7) | 14 (66.7) | 0.260 |
| Body and tail | 32 (44.4) | 18 (36.7) | 16 (53.3) | 7 (3.3) | ||
| Margin | ||||||
| Well-defined | 7 (9.7) | 3 (6.1) | 0.711 | 0 (0.0) | 2 (9.5) | 0.321 |
| Poorly defined | 65 (90.3) | 46 (93.9) | 30 (100.0) | 19 (90.5) | ||
| Parenchymal atrophy | ||||||
| Yes | 5 (6.9) | 12 (24.5) | 0.014 | 3 (10.0) | 8 (36.1) | 0.040 |
| No | 67 (93.1) | 37 (75.5) | 27 (90.0) | 13 (61.9) | ||
| Pancreatic duct dilatation | ||||||
| Yes | 33 (45.8) | 32 (65.3) | 0.054 | 14 (46.7) | 9 (42.9) | 0.992 |
| No | 39 (54.2) | 17 (34.7) | 16 (53.3) | 12 (57.1) | ||
| CT-reported T stage | ||||||
| T1 | 17 (23.6) | 9 (18.4) | 0.853 | 5 (16.7) | 2 (9.5) | 0.296 |
| T2 | 35 (48.6) | 24 (49.0) | 19 (63.3) | 10 (47.6) | ||
| T3 | 15 (20.8) | 11 (22.4) | 5 (16.7) | 6 (28.6) | ||
| T4 | 5 (6.9) | 5 (10.2) | 1 (3.3) | 3 (14.3) | ||
| CT-reported vascular invasion | ||||||
| Yes | 7 (9.7) | 7 (14.3) | 0.631 | 2 (6.7) | 6 (28.6) | 0.084 |
| No | 67 (93.1) | 42 (85.3) | 28 (93.3) | 15 (71.4) | ||
| CT-reported LN status | ||||||
| LN-negative | 62 (86.1) | 21 (42.9) | <0.001 | 28 (93.3) | 9 (42.9) | <0.001 |
| LN-positive | 10 (13.9) | 28 (57.1) | 2 (6.7) | 12 (57.1) | ||
| Radiomics score, median (interquartile range) | −1.3(−2.9,−0.5) | 0.7(0.0,1.3) | <0.001 | −1.3(−1.8,−0.1) | 0.8(0.3,1.2) | <0.001 |
FIGURE 2Radiomic features selected for signature building.
FIGURE 3The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of the Rad score in the (A) training cohort and the (B) validation cohort. The box-dot plots of the Rad scores in the (C) training cohort and the (D) validation cohort. The orange markers indicate patients with LNM; the green markers indicate patients with non-LNM. The black horizontal line presents the threshold. Patients with Rad scores higher than −0.2635 are classified as LNM; patients with scores lower than −0.2635 are classified as non-LNM.
Risk factors for lymph node metastasis in PDAC.
| Intercept and variable | Combined model (95% CI) | Clinical Model (95% CI) | ||
| Odds ratio | Odds ratio | |||
| Intercept | 0.52 (0.26,1.02) | <0.01 | 0.29 (0.18,0.49) | <0.01 |
| Parenchymal atrophy | 3.69 (0.75,21.07) | 0.09 | 3.47 (1.04,12.78) | 0.05 |
| Pancreatic duct dilatation | NA | NA | 0.37 (−0.50,1.24) | 0.40 |
| CT-reported LN status | 5.23 (1.59,19.25) | <0.01 | 7.63 (3.22,19.36) | <0.01 |
| Rad score | 4.75 (2.68,9.88) | <0.01 | NA | NA |
FIGURE 4(A) The nomogram, combining Rad score, CT-reported parenchymal atrophy, and CT-reported LN status. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for the nomogram, Rad score, and clinical model in the (B) training and (C) validation cohorts.
Diagnostic performance of models in the training and validation cohorts.
| Models | Training cohort ( | Validation cohort ( | ||||||
| Sensitivity | Specificity | Accuracy (95% CI) | AUC (95% CI) | Sensitivity | Specificity | Accuracy (95%CI) | AUC (95% CI) | |
| Clinical model | 0.57 | 0.86 | 0.74 (0.66,0.82) | 0.74 (0.66,0.82) | 0.57 | 0.93 | 0.78 (0.65,0.89) | 0.81 (0.69–0.92) |
| Rad-score | 0.85 | 0.81 | 0.83 (0.76,0.90) | 0.90 (0.85–0.96) | 0.90 | 0.73 | 0.80 (0.67,0.90) | 0.89 (0.80–0.97) |
| Combined nomogram | 0.73 | 0.94 | 0.86 (0.78,0.92) | 0.92 (0.88–0.97) | 0.81 | 0.87 | 0.84 (0.71,0.93) | 0.95 (0.90–1.00) |
FIGURE 5The calibration curves presented good consistency between the nomogram-predicted lymph node (LN) status and observed LN status in the (A) training cohort and (B) validation cohort.
The area under the curve (AUC) values of combined model for stratified analysis in different subgroup.
| Combined nomogram | Age subgroup | Sex subgroup | CT-reported LN status subgroup | ||||
| All group ( | Young ( | Old ( | Male ( | Female ( | CT-LN(+) ( | CT-LN(−) ( | |
| Patients | LNM (+) = 102 | LNM (+) = 27 | LNM (+) = 43 | LNM (+) = 33 | LNM (+) = 37 | LNM (+) = 40 | LNM (+) = 30 |
| LNM (−) = 70 | LNM (−) = 38 | LNM (−) = 64 | LNM (−) = 61 | LNM (−) = 41 | LNM (−) = 12 | LNM (−) = 90 | |
| AUC values (95% CI) | 0.965 (0.926,1.000) | 0.912 (0.861,0.963) | 0.940 (0.895,0.985) | 0.918 (0.859,0.976) | 0.973 (0.934,1.000) | 0.878 (0.816,0.940) | |
FIGURE 6Decision curve analysis for the combined model (nomograms) compared with clinical model in the validation cohort. The decision curve analysis demonstrated that when the threshold probability is over 10% approximately, the nomogram would provide extra diagnostic efficacy over the “treat-all” or “treat-none” scheme and the clinical model.